Newcastle v Benfica Bet Builder Tips, 36/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Andy Robson
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Newcastle welcome Benfica with Eddie Howe’s side looking to build on their 4-0 win over USG.
Benfica are building under Jose Mourinho, who has only lost one of his first six games in charge. This loss did come in the Champions League against Chelsea.
Check out these Newcastle v Benfica Betting Stats ahead of kick-off at St James' Park.
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- Newcastle v Benfica
- Champions League
- 20:00
- Newcastle v Benfica
- Champions League
- 20:00
📂 Newcastle v Benfica Cheat Sheet
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📈 Newcastle v Benfica Form & Tactics
Newcastle looked to be back on the right track with back-to-back wins before the international break against USG and Nottingham Forest, but their optimism has been curbed slightly by a 2-1 defeat against Brighton, which once again exposed some of the issues that the Magpies face at the moment.
Their record at St James’ Park has been pretty black and white in the early stages of the season. They’ve won two and lost two of their four Premier League matches at home, and also lost their opening game in the Champions League at home against Barcelona. Newcastle should be optimistic about their chances of getting all three points here. Benfica are still adapting to the approach of Mourinho, which will offer the Magpies a real opportunity here.
Benfica have only lost one of their six matches under the tutelage of Jose Mourinho so far, but his spell has been far from convincing up until this point. Their victories have come against Chaves, Gil Vicente, and AVS Futebol, which are all sides that you would expect Benfica to beat pretty comfortably.
They did return to winning ways in the cup last time out, dispatching Chaves 2-0 thanks to a brace from Pavlidis. A worrying pattern that Mourinho will want to change as soon as possible is that Benfica have been struggling in matches against more elite sides. They drew 0-0 against Porto and failed to beat Chelsea in the Champions League, though it is still early in Mourinho’s tenure, so these results could be down to a lack of familiarity between Mourinho and his players.
📔 Newcastle v Benfica Formation & Team News
Newcastle line up in an identifiable 4-3-3 with their main strength being their midfield trio of Tonali, Guimaraes, and Joelinton. These three are essential to Newcastle and frequently involved whenever Newcastle find success, especially against the more elite sides, which they’ll face in this competition.
Another strength of Newcastle’s, which won’t be as prominent here, is the role of their fullbacks. Both Livramento and Hall are out for this game, so the Magpies will miss their overlapping runs and delivery into the box, which has become such a pivotal part of their play. We can still expect balls into the box with Nick Woltemade waiting in the middle, but the fullback duo are a big miss for Eddie Howe’s side.
Benfica have been lining up in a 4-2-3-1 under Jose Mourinho, which shifts to a 4-4-2 when they don’t have the ball. Mourinho is still quite a conservative and pragmatic manager; his side won’t take too many risks and look to keep Newcastle contained while looking for opportunities on the counter attack and in the latter stages of the game.
Benfica have long-term absentees in Bah and Silva, but Mourinho has the bulk of the squad available to pick from. I’d anticipate him going with a similar lineup to the one he went with at Stamford Bridge, which would set up a midfield battle well worth keeping an eye on.
📊 Newcastle v Benfica Key Stats
Jose Mourinho has lost just one of his six matches in charge of Benfica.
Newcastle won their most recent Champions League match 4-0.
Pavlidis is Benfica’s top scorer this season with nine goals across all competitions.
Nick Woltemade has scored in his last four games for Newcastle.
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