The Welsh derby in the Championship has been previously reserved for South Wales, but now we have northerners Wrexham taking on the more recent power base of Welsh football, and Phil Parkinson’s team are coming into this match as the top Welsh club in the English league system competition.

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📈 Swansea v Wrexham Form & Tactics

Swansea's start to life under Victor Matos has been up and down. Consecutive wins at home to Oxford and Portsmouth were vital to give Matos a chance of getting some buy-in from players and fans alike, but there is a long way to go to make Swansea a more effective Championship side.

They lost to Stoke last time out who were on a poor run themselves, and performance data tells us that Swansea have been one of the most ineffective teams in the league. Swans sit bottom of the pile in expected goals for, only creating 17.3 xG in 21 matches.

Wrexham are on a long run of matches without a win away from home, but they are still 15th in the away league table because of the number of draws, especially 1-1 draws, they have managed. That all came to an abrupt stop last time out at Hull City though, where Wrexham were soundly beaten and were second best throughout the game.

The bigger concern has to be that this was coming for Wrexham. They are running at a huge negative xG differential away from home, -1.1xG per match over the course of the season. In other words, they are conceding over a goal's worth of chances more than they are creating per game. They haven't won the xG battle away from home since their win at Norwich in September.

📔 Swansea v Wrexham Formation & Team News

Victor Matos has been using a fairly standard 4-2-3-1 shape. The flexibility in approach changes around who might be selected in the central roles, especially in the #10 role. Liam Cullen is the most obvious support striker with the technique to link play effectively as well, whereas Goncalo Franco or Melker Widell would be slightly more conservative options.

Josh Key might be brought back into the team at right-back for this one. This would allow Ethan Galbraith to play in a more central position, which should strengthen Swansea in a key area.

Wrexham have been playing 3-5-2, but the temptation to have both Nathan Broadhead and Josh Windass on the pitch may lead to Parkinson deploying a 3-4-1-2 or 3-4-2-1 formation. Ben Sheaf will hold the central space in front of the back three and Ryan Longman and James McClean will provide the width.

Wrexham also still have a long list of injuries to deal with, though most of them are more fringe players. Liberato Cacace is almost back to match fitness, and Issa Kabore is a big miss too.

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