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Leicester v Brentford
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Kick Off: Friday 21st February at 20:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sports Main Event
As Leicester approach Round 26 of the Premier League, they find themselves in a desperate fight for survival, sitting second from bottom. With Southampton all but doomed for relegation and West Ham enjoying a 10-point cushion in 16th, the battle to stay up appears to be between three teams. However, Leicester faces a tough challenge against a Brentford side in contrasting form.
⭐ Leicester v Brentford Best Bet
Leicester’s urgent need for points could lead to frustration and an increase in cynical challenges, further reinforcing their already poor disciplinary record. While Brentford do not draw a particularly high number of fouls (8.42 per away game), 7 of their 12 opponents on away trips have committed at least 9 against them.
The real value in this bet comes from Leicester’s foul tendencies at home. Averaging 11.23 fouls per game at the King Power Stadium, they have committed at least 9 fouls in all but 2 home matches this season. In the reverse fixture, Leicester gave away 10 fouls and a similar figure is expected on Friday night.
🟢 Leicester v Brentford ABC Exclusive Boost
Brentford Half Time/ Full Time & Most Shots on Target in Both Halves @ 6.0 on Paddy Power
Brentford Half Time/Full Time: Leicester’s defensive woes have been a season-long issue, conceding 2.2 goals per game—the second worst in the league. Their xG against (48.9) also ranks among the worst, highlighting their vulnerability. Leicester’s home form has been particularly concerning, as they have conceded the first goal in 8 home matches and have failed to equalise before halftime in 7 of those. To make matters worse, they have not scored in their last 5 home league matches.
Brentford, on the other hand, have netted in the first half in 6 of their last 10 away games, leading at halftime in 4. Their away form has been impressive, with 3 consecutive road victories, while Leicester is winless in their last 6 (5L). Given these trends, Brentford are well-positioned to dominate both halves.
Most Shots on Target in Both Halves: If Brentford control the game as expected, they should also lead in shots on target. Leicester have lost the shots on target count in 9 of their last 20 home league halves (W5, D5). Meanwhile, Brentford have outperformed their opponents in this metric in 6 of their last 10 away halves. This bet also landed in the reverse fixture, making it a strong selection.
👕 Leicester v Brentford Predicted XI
🔍 Leicester v Brentford Players to Watch
🔴 Yoane Wissa
Wissa ranks second only to Mbeumo in Brentford’s scoring charts, having netted 11 times in the Premier League this season. He leads the team in shots on target per 90 minutes, averaging 1.3, and has tested the goalkeeper in 5 of his last 6 starts. He also found the net in the reverse fixture and has registered a shot on target in 3 of his last 4 meetings with Leicester.
🔵 Jamie Vardy
Despite Leicester’s struggles, Vardy remains one of their most reliable sources of goal attempts. While he has failed to register a shot in each of his last 2 games, the veteran’s shooting accuracy is excellent, having hit the target in all 7 games before that, and in 8 of the 10 prior to this dry spell. His season average of 0.71 shots on target per game is the highest in the squad, making him a strong selection for this market.
📂 Leicester v Brentford Cheat Sheet
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💻 Leicester v Brentford Form and Tactics
Leicester’s struggles are evident, with just 1 win in their last 10 Premier League matches. Although this suggests a stronger start to the season, their overall tally of just 4 wins from 25 games underlines their prolonged issues. Their home form has been particularly dreadful, suffering 5 consecutive league defeats at the King Power without scoring. In fact, they have only managed 2 home wins all season, and their last goal in front of their own fans came back in early December.
Brentford, in stark contrast, are enjoying a strong run of away form. After failing to win any of their first 9 away league games (D2, L7), they have now secured 3 consecutive road victories, most recently a 1-0 win over West Ham. Their record in Friday night Premier League fixtures is also impressive, winning 4 of their 5 such games since earning promotion (drawing the other).
Defensively, Brentford’s resilience will be a major concern for Leicester. The Bees have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 Friday night fixtures and in 3 of their last 4 away league games. Additionally, Brentford’s discipline under Thomas Frank has been a key strength, as they commit the second-fewest fouls per game (7.9) and have the lowest yellow card count in the division.
🏁 Leicester v Brentford Ref Watch
- Referee – Tony Harrington
Average Cards (Y / R) | 3.85 / 0.23 |
Fouls Given | 22.62 |
Penalties | 0.31 |
📺 How to Watch Leicester v Brentford in the Premier League
📅 When is Leicester v Brentford? / Friday, 21st February 2025, 20:00
🏟 Where is Leicester v Brentford? / King Power Stadium (Leicester)
📺 What TV Channel is Leicester v Brentford on? / Sky Sports Main Event
🟨 …And who is the referee for Leicester v Brentford? / Tony Harrington 🏴
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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