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Man United v Brighton Bet Builder Tips
Our expert has put together two bet builders for Sunday’s Premier League clash between Man United and Brighton coming in at 3/1 and 12/1. We also have further in-depth coverage of this game in our Man United v Brighton Betting Preview.
3/1 Man United v Brighton Bet Builder Level 1
12/1 Man United v Brighton Bet Builder Level 2
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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip
🥅 Both Teams to Score
📈 Odds: 1.57
Man United have seen 33 goals across their 11 home games this season (3.0 per game). Ruben Amorim’s side currently lack the consistency to control games at Old Trafford which usually creates basketball like games, with both sides having good opportunities.
Brighton have a similar record in their away fixtures this season, the Seagulls have seen 34 goals across their 11 away games this campaign. This selection landed in the initial meeting between the sides at the Amex earlier in the season, both sides recorded an xG in excess of 1.0 (2.09-1.43) and had 2 big chances each.
Man United have seen BTTS in each of their last 3 games across all competitions, this includes conceding against the lowest scorers in the division in Southampton last time out.
Brighton have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5 Premier League games, Fabian Hurzeler’s side have the ability to disturb this United backline which should set up an entertaining contest.
🎯 Joao Pedro to have 1+ Shots on Target 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.57
Joao Pedro has had 12 shots on target across his 15 Premier League appearances this season, 13 of these have been starts taking his average to 0.96 shots on target per 90, resulting in 5 goals for the Brazilian.
Joao Pedro has made a habit of stepping up against the better sides in the league this season. He’s registered goal contributions against Chelsea, Arsenal, Aston Villa and Man City as well as scoring the winner against Man United earlier in the season.
Pedro had 2 shots on target in his return to first team action against Ipswich last time out, he’s also on penalties for Brighton and will relish the chance of adding to his impressive tally against the traditional big 6 sides here.
🛑 Bruno Fernandes to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.44
Bruno Fernandes has committed 18 fouls across his 20 Premier League appearances this season (0.98 per 90).
This average has increased since the arrival of Ruben Amorim which appears to have fired up Bruno Fernandes – he’s committed at least 1 foul in each of his last 5 Premier League matches. He’s been playing as one of Ruben Amorim’s advanced number 10s which carries a defensive responsibility if the midfield duo behind him are overloaded by the opposition.
Fernandes committed 1 foul and contested 6 duels in United’s 2-1 defeat to Brighton earlier in the season. He’ll be up against Carlos Baleba who is averaging 1.60 fouls won per 90 across his 18 Premier League appearances this season.
🩹 Bruno Fernandes to be Fouled 1+ Times 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.30
Bruno Fernandes has won 25 fouls across his 20 Premier League appearances this season (1.36 per 90).
Similar to his fouls committed record since Ruben Amorim’s arrival, this selection has landed in each of Fernandes’ last 5 Premier League games suggesting he is very involved in Amorim’s set up and style of play.
He’ll be up against Carlos Baleba who can often be the only defensively minded midfielder in Fabian Hurzeler’s set up. Baleba has committed 23 fouls across his 18 Premier League appearances this season (1.54 per 90).
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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip
⚽ Amad Diallo to Score or Assist 🔄
📈 Odds: 2.30
Amad Diallo has registered 12 goal contributions across his 19 Premier League appearances this season, only 14 of these have been starts making him one of the most efficient players in the league when it comes to consistent output. The majority of these goal contributions have been since the arrival of Ruben Amorim, making it clear that he is someone that will thrive in this system.
He’s scored in each of his last 2 Premier League games including a hat-trick against Southampton last time out, so he should enter this contest with plenty of confidence.
Even though Amad Diallo lines up in what would be considered a wing back role, this role is very specialised in a Ruben Amorim system and actually forms part of the attacking line with how high they are encouraged to press up the pitch creating overloads which the opposition can struggle to manage.
🟨 Manuel Ugarte to be Shown a Card 🔄
📈 Odds: 3.10
Manuel Ugarte has been shown 5 yellow cards across his 15 Premier League appearances this season, only Lisandro Martinez has been shown more yellow cards in the United squad (7) than the former Sporting midfielder.
Ugarte has committed 22 fouls across these 15 Premier League appearances this season (2.32 per 90) which underlines how aggressive he can be in attempting to win the ball back. This is further supported by his successful tackle average this season (2.53 per 90)
He’ll be up against Matt O’Riley who has looked sharp since returning from injury for Brighton, there could also be instances where Brighton look to get a few extra bodies around Mainoo and Ugarte to overload the duo. O’Riley is averaging 0.87 fouls won per 90 across his 415 minutes of Premier League football this season.
🩹 Joao Pedro to be Fouled 2+ Times 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.44
Joao Pedro has won 31 fouls across his 15 Premier League appearances this season (2.49 per 90).
The Brighton forward is a strong dribbler and could prove a challenge for Maguire and De Ligt in particular with his mobility and speed. United’s centre backs have been instructed to jump out of their shape when the opportunity presents itself to win the ball back, this has seen the back 3 consistently commit fouls under Amorim.
As the lone striker, Pedro should have plenty of duels against the back 3 of Man United, he should look to concentrate on finding joy against Maguire and De Ligt who won’t be as comfortable with the striker dropping into pockets and 1v1 duels. Joao Pedro was fouled once and contested 15 duels in the initial meeting between the sides.
🛑 Noussair Mazraoui to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.33
Mazraoui has committed 23 fouls across his 21 Premier League appearances this season (1.29 per 90).
He’s been a consistent performer for Man United this season with Ruben Amorim deploying him as part of the back 3 or in the wingback role, in recent weeks the back 3 has become settled so we can expect Mazraoui to line up in his more familiar position.
He’ll be up against Kaoru Mitoma who is a very direct and tricky winger, Mitoma has won 15 fouls across his 21 Premier League appearances this season (0.81 per 90) and has completed 37 dribbles (2.00 per 90).
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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