Both of these sides have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Both featured in the EFL Trophy last time out, with Fleetwood drawing 3-3 with Port Vale and Swindon dispatching MK Dons by a 4-0 scoreline.

The most recent head to head meeting between these sides produced four goals, all going in the direction of Swindon who came away comprehensive victors back in April. Swindon only had three shots on target in that game, but they were aided by an own goal and registered an xG of 2.20 from those limited opportunities.

Fleetwood have seen 26 goals across their seven home games this season (3.71 per game). They’ve only lost one of these matches, so they should be able to offer a challenge to Swindon in a more convincing manner than they did when the sides last met.

Türkiye have been one of the most entertaining nations during this qualifying campaign with their four matches producing 23 goals. Unsurprisingly, all four of these matches have seen 3+ goals, including their 6-1 win over Bulgaria when the sides clashed back in October.

Türkiye were completely dominant in that game and managed to substantially overachieve their xG of 1.78 to come away 6-1 winners. Türkiye had 18 shots in the game with eight of these attempts finding the target, I’d anticipate their dominance being even more obtuse here as they will be playing in front of their home fans.

Bulgaria have been a bit of a punching bag in this group, losing all four of their matches and conceding 16 goals in the process. They’ve also seen 3+ in all four of their qualifying matches, the difference being that Bulgaria have conceded at least three goals in all of these matches.

The most recent head to head meeting between these sides which took place back in October, saw Spain register an xG of 3.83 and run out 2-0 winners. Remarkably, Spain managed to limit Georgia to just one shot in the game, and an xG of 0.

Each of the previous five head to head meetings between these sides prior to that 2-0 win have seen 3+ goals, including Spain’s 4-1 win over Georgia at the European Championships last summer. 

Georgia should be able to carry more of an attacking threat as the home side, they’ve won one and lost one of their home games in this qualifying group so far, netting five goals across these matches.

Three of Spain’s four matches in this qualifying group have produced 3+ goals. Spain have netted 15 goals overall in the qualifying process, with nine of these coming in their away matches. They should be able to extend that record here with Luis de la Fuente’s side looking to put some distance between themselves and their closest challengers in Türkiye.

These sides are sorted by just two points in the Eerste Divisie, so we can expect an evenly contested game that produces plenty of goals in one of the most entertaining leagues in Europe. Emmen have seen 54 goals across their 15 matches in the Eerste Divisie this season (3.6 per game) with their away matches averaging 3.1 goals per game.

Willem II enter this game having seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. They’ve only managed to win one of these games, so we can anticipate Emmen getting chances here as Willem have been unable to see out games in recent weeks, an argument further fuelled by the lack of clean sheets they’ve kept this term (3).