Netherlands ran out 8-0 winners when these sides faced off in Holland a few months ago, and it’s hard to see anything other than a repeat of a convincing win for Ronald Koeman’s side here.

That 8-0 victory stemmed from an xG of 4.52, with Netherlands having 27 shots in the game. Malta may be able to control the scoreline a bit more seeing as they are the home side here, but I’d still expect the Dutch to be more than comfortable in victory.

Ronald Koeman’s side also saw over 2.5 goals in their most recent qualifier as they recorded a 3-2 win over Lithuania on the road. That result, paired with Koeman’s likelihood to rotate in this game, could see Malta have a few chances themselves - they could even contribute to the scoring.

Over 2.5 goals landed in the initial meeting between these sides in qualifying a few back, as Bosnia registered a 2-1 win. There was a combined xG of 2.51 on that occasion.

Cyprus saw four goals last time out as they earned a point in the form of a 2-2 draw against Romania. This seems to be the only way that Cyprus are able to collect points in this group, their backline isn’t secure enough to grind out points, so an end-to-end approach has suited them so far. Cyprus have seen 12 goals across their five qualifying games this term (2.4 per game).

Meanwhile, Bosnia have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. The exception in this run was a 1-0 win over San Marino, which was a game where they racked up an xG of 2.93 - so it should have produced a couple more goals in truth. Bosnia have seen 14 goals across their five qualifying matches so far (2.8 per game).

This game could end up being quite one sided, but that actually works out pretty well for our selection here. Denmark covered this line on their own last time out, with a 3-0 win on the road against Greece. 

I’d back them to come away with a similar result here against a Belarus side that sit rock bottom of Group C, having conceded seven goals across two matches.

Belarus saw over 2.5 goals in one of these games, which was a 5-1 defeat against Greece. They could have conceded more goals in their 2-0 defeat to Scotland in the following game, and the quality of Denmark’s attack should see this materialise here.

This is a real opportunity for Denmark to gain control of the group. I’d be confident enough backing Denmark to cover this line on their own, they’re priced at 1.83 to score 3+ goals here.