Hoffenheim have probably had the biggest swing in form of any side in Europe from last season, the club finished just three points above the relegation zone last term, but have performed much better this season, with Hoffenheim currently sitting third in the Bundesliga and on course to secure a Champions League finish.

Hoffenheim have seen 3+ goals in each of their last four matches across all competitions. Their form has been a bit patchy in this recent run, though their struggles have tended to be away from home. Hoffenheim have won eight of their 11 home games in the Bundesliga this term, with these games producing 40 goals (3.63 per game). Only Bayern Munich (48) have scored more goals at home than Hoffenheim (27) in the Bundesliga.

St Pauli desperately need the points here, as the club is locked in a relegation battle which looks like it’ll go all the way down to the final few games of the season. Only five points separated Werder Bremen in 17th and Koln in 12th, with St Pauli right in the middle of the pack. St Pauli have only managed to win one of their 12 away games in the Bundesliga this term, conceding 22 goals across these matches.

Barcelona are usually a good bet when it comes to goals, Hansi Flick’s side have seen 3+ goals in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions, and have seen 42 goals across their 12 home games in LaLiga this term (3.5 per game), with Barcelona scoring 37 of these goals.

Villarreal have enjoyed a decent season so far and currently sit in the Champions League spots in LaLiga. They’ve avoided defeat in eight of their 12 away matches in the Spanish top flight, with these games producing 34 goals (2.83 per game). They managed to run out 3-2 winners in their most recent away game against Barcelona which took place in May last year, they managed to register an xG higher than Barcelona in that clash (1.75-1.39). 

Villarreal have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, most recently claiming a 2-1 win over Valencia at home. There’s plenty of motivation for both sides to push for all three points as well, Barcelona are in a dogfight with Real Madrid for the title, while Villarreal face a scrap themselves to secure their spot in the Champions League next season.

Thun have been one of the standout stories of the season across Europe, and currently sit comfortably top of the Swiss Super League as a newly promoted side. That said, the focus for this fixture should really be on Luzern, who are pushing hard to break into the top six.

The Swiss Super League splits into a Championship group and a relegation group after the main league phase, and Luzern find themselves right on the edge of qualification. Only three points separate them from Young Boys, who currently occupy the final Championship group spot. Luzern have hit a strong run of form at the perfect time, winning each of their last three Swiss Super League matches.

All three of those victories have featured at least three goals, with Luzern scoring four times in every game during that run. They were on the receiving end of a 4-1 defeat when these sides met earlier in the season, although they still managed to post an expected goals figure of 1.94 to Thun’s 3.24.

Thun have also been involved in high scoring games, with four of their last five matches across all competitions producing three or more goals. Their home matches have been particularly open, with 45 goals scored across 13 games, an average of 3.46 per match.

PSV could end up covering this line on their own, this is a meeting between the league leaders and the bottom placed side in the Eredivisie, so a one sided affair isn’t completely off the table. However, Heracles did manage to be competitive when these sides met earlier in the season - netting three goals against PSV and only losing to a late strike from Guus Til.

PSV have covered this line on their own in each of the last three meetings between these sides, though all three of those games have also seen Heracles get on the scoresheet. Heracles have seen 45 goals across their 11 home games in the Eredivisie this term, working out to an average of 4.09 goals per game. They’ve picked up 13 of their 17 points in the Eredivisie at home this season.

Heracles have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, winning just one of these games - which was a home triumph over Fortuna Sittard. PSV have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, covering this line on their own in three of these games. PSV have also been dominant on the road in the Eredivisie this season, winning 11 of their 12 matches, with these games producing 43 goals (3.58 per game).