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Inter Milan v Napoli
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Kick Off: Sunday 17th March at 19:45
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Competition: Serie A
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1
Italian heavyweights, Inter and Napoli will clash at the San Siro on Sunday night. We’ve not taken our eye off the ball though, with coverage continuing from across Europe with our European bet builder tips and beyond with our experts supplying the usual range of expert football tips & predictions that you’ve come to expect.
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Both Inter Milan and Napoli suffered Champions League heartbreak at the hands of Spanish sides, both paying the ultimate price for not putting away their chances. The San Siro will play host to the third meeting between these two gladiators this season as both look for revenge.
Inter are having a glorious Serie A campaign, sitting a huge 16 points above arch-rivals AC Milan. Inter have won their last TEN consecutive league matches, not allowing any side to get even a sniff at sharing the honours. It does seem as though their quest for a 20th Scudetto is essentially wrapped up, with the Nerazzurri requiring only four wins from their last ten to seal the deal.
Napoli, however, have endured an underwhelming campaign and continue to look a shadow of the all-conquering presence they were last season. Last year’s champions sit in seventh place with only one win in their last seven league starts and their hunt for Champions League football is fading each week. Despite exiting the competition, Napoli played some decent football in both ties with Barcelona, unfortunately, it needed them to go behind to click into gear.
Inter Milan v Napoli Cheat Sheet
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You can find Inter Milan v Napoli match stats, on our bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
🏆 Match stats: Inter are dominant against the visitors
These two sides have met nine times in the league since 2020 and Inter have certainly established themselves as the force to reckon with in this tie, claiming six victories and losing just once. Inter have shown themselves to be a killer force this year, and playing against a very inconsistent Napoli side with low confidence, we expect the winning streak to continue.
Napoli’s away form is plagued with struggles, with only one win in their last seven games on the road and keeping only five clean sheets in away fixtures across all competitions this season. This certainly doesn’t promise much against an Inter side that have won their last five home matches with flying colours.
Inter have already beaten Napoli twice this season, 3-0 at the Maradona and 1-0 in the Super Cup final, and have been victorious in all their last five matches at the San Siro against the Partenopei with an aggregate score of 8-2 – pure domination.
It’s difficult to look beyond a triumph here for Simone Inzaghi’s men considering their emphatic attacking ability and general ruthlessness this year in Serie A, and the price looks too good to ignore.
Predictions:
⚽ Inter to win @ 1.57
🥅 Goals stats: Napoli can still cause trouble
Although both sides paid a very high price for missing numerous chances across both legs of their Champions League clashes, we expect the subsequent shooting drills in training to play to our advantage here.
Inter have been killer upfront this season and this is no more apparent than when playing at home. The Neroazzurri have scored in all but one of their Serie A home games this season and have led at half-time in 13 out of 14 league games at San Siro.
Not to mention that Inter have scored four goals in four of their last six league games, scoring a huge total of 19 goals in that time. They boast the best-attacking form in Italy’s top-flight with 70 goals so far this campaign, 16 ahead of second top-scorers Roma – certainly some worries for the wobbly Napoli defence.
Napoli are enjoying some decent attacking form in recent weeks, and it seems the biggest issue is keeping teams out. Napoli have scored nine goals across their last three matches in Serie A, and have scored in seven consecutive games across all competitions. There’s no doubt it will be tough to break down the Inter defence but they need to start making impressions on these games quickly.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.65
⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.65
🎯 Shooting stats: Martinez’s revenge arc
Lautaro Martinez has been Inter’s star man this season with the Argentine racking up an impressive 23 goals from 25 appearances, sitting comfortably as the league’s top goalscorer.
Martinez missed the decisive penalty in his side’s penalty shoot-out on Wednesday with an effort that was very much the opposite of what we’ve witnessed from him this season and we expect him to get back on track here.
He has a good track record against Napoli, with five goals and one assist from 14 matches. Three of those goals have been at the San Siro and two have come in their last two meetings.
Martinez is averaging a crazy 1.02 goals per 90 this season from 1.47 shots on target per game. He has hit the target in all but three of his last 26 games and we could certainly see him on the scoresheet on Sunday.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has continued to blossom this season following his incredible campaign in Napoli’s dominance last year and he is proving to be a great target in the shots markets.
Kvaratskhelia is averaging a very impressive 4.29 shots per 90 in Serie A this season, and 1.52 on target. Across his last three league games, he has registered a whopping 20 shots with 9 on target, scoring four goals in the process. He also managed 3 attempts at goal in his side’s defeat to Barcelona on Tuesday night.
With 10 goals this season and scoring in each of his last three in Serie A, Kvaratskhelia is proving to be the key goal threat for Napoli and he could certainly cause more headaches at the San Siro in this contest.
Predictions:
⚽ Lautaro Martinez to score anytime @ 2.0
⚽ Lautaro Martinez to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.20
⚽ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.73
⚽ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to have 2+ shots @ 1.33
🚩 Corners stats: A night for crosses
The final angle we’re taking for this weekend’s clash is set pieces. Both sides have shown strength in racking up a high total of corners in recent weeks and we expect this action-packed fixture to follow suit.
Inter‘s home fixtures this season are averaging 10.09 corners per 90 with this same corner total being witnessed in five of their last nine league matches. Three of the remaining four fall slightly short of that total, each seeing 9 corners.
Fixtures involving Napoli this season are averaging a total of 9.14 corners. Napoli are showing particular strength in being the team taking those corners as they’ve won six corner match bets from their last seven in Serie A.
Napoli’s fixture with Torino last time out saw a whopping total of 20 corners with Gli Azzurri racking up 13 of those.
The two meetings between these Italian heavyweights saw totals of 9 and 10 corners, and considering their equally attacking-focussed playstyles, we could be in for another game dominated by set pieces.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 7.5 total corners @ 1.30
⚽ Over 8.5 total corners @ 1.57
⚽ Over 3.5 Napoli corners @ 1.80
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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