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Millwall v Preston Bet Builder Tips & Match Predictions

Millwall v Preston Bet Builder Tips & Match Predictions

EFL
Starts Tomorrow, 12:30
Friday 7 November, 20252 min read
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The Perceptive Football Punter

Football analyst, betting writer, and educator. Wealth of experience studying football markets and identifying value opportunities through a data-heavy approach. As a true specialist in player markets, I use that knowledge and theory to educate others on how to spot shrewd angles in the market.

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It should be an interesting encounter on Saturday afternoon as 5th-placed Millwall take on 4th-placed Preston. Both sides are exceeding expectations at present, there’s a genuine belief that the play-offs could be a reality.

Despite a good sequence of form from Millwall, which had seen them pick up 13 points from five games, they suffered a sobering 4-0 away defeat to Birmingham in midweek. Preston’s form has generally been solid over the last two months, losing just two of their last 10 games. The visitors will be hoping to avoid defeat in a tricky fixture at The Den.

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Millwall v Preston Best Bets
  • Millwall v Preston
  • Championship
  • 12:30
2 Selections @ 1.66

Millwall Double Chance

The Den has always been a notoriously tough place to go for opposing teams, and while Millwall have suffered three defeats on home soil this season, two of those came against 1st-placed Coventry and 3rd-placed Middlesbrough.

Millwall are posting underlying numbers that are emblematic of their position in the league, currently sitting 4th in the xG table, the same as their current position in the league. Preston’s two away wins came against a Derby side devoid of confidence at the time, while a 2-0 win away at Southampton was notable, but it didn’t change the fact that Southampton had only won one of their 10 matches prior to the game at St Mary’s.

The hosts have now managed three consecutive home wins without conceding a goal; their defence has looked extremely solid, conceding just 1.62 xG across those three games cumulatively, which has averaged out at 0.54 xG per game.

Over 3.5 Millwall Corners

Millwall’s home advantage should have some influence on their ability to take the initiative in the game and get on the front foot. Given the position of both teams in the league, it’s become quite a big game, and the Millwall faithful will be keen to get behind their team and push them forward. The hosts are averaging 5.41 corners per home game, going under 3.5 corners in just two out of their seven home games this season, in a 4-0 defeat to Coventry and a 2-0 win against Stoke.

Preston’s averages in away games also make this a logical play, the visitors are currently conceding an average of 5.38 corners across their first six away games. Preston have now conceded over 3.5 corners in each of their last three away games, while they've only conceded under 3.5 corners on just one occasion this campaign.

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📈 Millwall v Preston Form & Stats

Millwall have become a very solid Championship outfit in recent years, they haven’t flirted with relegation since the 2018/19 season, generally finishing mid table or just outside the play-offs. They continue to punch above their weight relative to other teams with bigger resources.

Millwall’s Championship record this season is seven wins, three draws, and four defeats. There’s a tendency to keep clean sheets when they win, exemplified by five clean sheets in their seven wins. However, they haven’t managed to score a goal in any of their four defeats, often being beaten comfortably.

It’s been a bright start to the season for Preston, most pundits felt they were a contender for relegation rather than a play-off chasing team. Preston only finished one point above the drop zone last season.

The visitors have shown they are a tough nut to crack, repeatedly getting favourable results against teams with considerable resources, including wins against Leicester, Ipswich, Sheffield United and Southampton.

The underlying data suggests Preston’s performances have been more reflective of a mid table side, currently sitting 9th in the Opta Analyst xG table, with a fairly significant overperformance on xG against, they've conceded 3.9 goals less than expected.


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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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