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Monaco v Lille
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Kick Off: Wednesday 24th April at 20:00
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Competition: Ligue 1
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 2
Below is a full betting preview ahead of this week’s standout Ligue 1 fixture between Monaco and Lille, accompanied by betting tips, predictions, team news, and best bets as well as a Cheat Sheet covering proceedings.
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Ligue 1’s Champions League battle will really heat up on Wednesday when two of the main pretenders face off at Stade Louis II.
Monaco might have suffered something of a stop-start season, yet recent wins over Rennes and Brest have Adi Hutter’s side favourites to finish PSG as best of the rest in France’s top-flight.
Lille, meanwhile, showed their qualities as they pushed Aston Villa in the Conference League and under the shrewd management of Paulo Fonseca are making real waves with a multi-talented team.
This promises to be a fascinating affair.
Lille v Monaco Best Bets
➡️ Monaco (+0.5) handicap @ 1.42 with bet365
➡️ Maghnes Akliouche to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.73 with Paddy Power
📂 Monaco v Lille Cheat Sheet
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets to look for player fouls won stats or any other markets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Monaco v Lille match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.
⚔️ Monaco v Lille Head-to-Head
This will be the second meeting between these sides this season, with Lille coming out on top back in October 2-0 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Edon Zhegrova, who is expected to start after injury, got a couple of assists for Ivan Cavaleiro and Bafode Diakite on that occasion.
The match, though, was tighter than the score suggests. Lille created just 0.4 xG to 0.5 from Monaco.
Aleksandr Golovin, who is injured for the rest of the season, had two of the Monegasques’ six shots on target, a figure matched by Maghnes Akliouche, who came on at the break in that clash. The midfielder’s praises have been sung by Adi Hutter lately and he is liable to play a big role.
Although there were 30 fouls in the previous meeting, there were only three yellow cards. Two of those went the way of Monaco, despite the visiting side only committing 13 fouls. Four of these were given away by Ismael Jakobs, yet he was another casualty before this fixture.
Nabil Bentaleb (4) and Angel Gomes (3) led Lille’s crime count, with fellow central midfielder Benjamin Andre also giving up a couple of free kicks. The trio are all likely to start and are 1.95 to commit at least one foul each or 7.76 to give away two free kicks each.
📊 Monaco Form and Stats
Monaco are a team coming into form, having won each of their last three matches in Ligue 1, including a 2-0 success over Brest at the weekend that carried them above the Bretons and into second place.
Goals from Denis Zakaria and Takumi Minamino, who are 5.5 and 3.3 respectively to get on the scoresheet again, got the job done at Stade Francis-Le Ble.
Monaco created only 0.9 xG at the weekend. In their three previous matches, they have generated 2 xG on each occasion, highlighting the volume of chances they are creating.
It was notable, however, that Aleksandr Golovin was missing at the weekend with an injury likely to end his season. Their chief creative dynamo, he has a club-high six Ligue 1 assists.
A further issue for Monaco is that strikers Wissam Ben Yedder and Folarin Balogun are struggling. Ben Yedder is eight games without a goal while Balogun has struck just four times since the beginning of December.
Better value to get on the scoresheet are Takumi Minamino and Maghnes Akliouche, who are 4.0 to net anytime.
Monaco, meanwhile, have a high crime count. They have seen at least three cards in eight of their last 11 Ligue 1 games and are without Wilfried Singo and Eliesse Ben Seghir after both were sent off late in Brest. They are 2.5 to see at least three cards again.
📊 Lille Form and Stats
Although Lille have won plaudits for their results this season, they are clearly a team more comfortable playing at home than on the road. Of their 14 Ligue 1 victories this season, only three have come on their travels, coming against Le Havre, Lyon, and Reims.
Indeed, their away record since December has been poor domestically. Les Dogues have won only one of their last seven in the league (3D 3L), which makes their price of 2.88 to win this encounter look rather small.
Nevertheless, in Jonathan David, they have arguably the league’s most in-form striker. Across his last 17 Ligue 1 games, he has 15 goals and has failed to score only six times. Before rushing to back the Canada star at 2.5, it’s worth recognising that of the games he has come up short, five have been away fixtures.
Lille are likely to find the net, though. They have done so in their last 15 games across all competitions.
Unlike Monaco, LOSC do not have a high yellow card count. In their last ten Ligue 1 matches, they have picked up more than two cards only three times and have not seen a red in that sequence.
💰 Monaco v Lille Best Bets
Monaco have the upper hand here because of their lighter schedule and also because of their opponents’ away record. While odds of 2.25 on the hosts may be a little slight to back them with confidence, 1.36 on Monaco +0.5 handicap on bet365 looks strong.
Maghnes Akliouche to have 1+ shots on target on Paddy Power at 1.73 looks like the outstanding value of this fixture, though. The 22-year-old attacking midfielder has had shots on target in five of the six starts that he has enjoyed since February 18 (nine in six games) and has played at least 70 minutes in each of those fixtures. With Golovin out, his importance will only increase.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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