ABC logo
Oxford United v Derby Best Bet Preview

Oxford United v Derby Best Bet Preview

EFL
Starts Tomorrow, 12:30
Thursday 16 October, 20252 min read
Avatar

ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

The Championship seems so open this year that it is difficult to label this as a pure “six-pointer”, because so many teams could find themselves near the bottom at different times of the season.

However, fans of both of these clubs would probably settle for avoiding the scrap at this stage, so a result in this match against a relegation rival would go a long way.

Check out these Oxford United v Derby Betting Stats for further insight.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a browse ahead of the weekend.

✚ Add picks to your betslip to place bets directly on Andy's Bet Club.


Oxford United v Derby Best Bet

Fixtures for: Saturday 18th October

Oxford United v Derby

Championship

12:30

Oxford United Draw No Bet

Whilst there is very little between the teams in the table at this stage, Derby in 20th on eight points and Oxford in 22nd on six points, it is actually Oxford who have by far the better performance data over the opening nine matches of the league.

Only Sheffield Wednesday have a poorer expected points (a way of distributing points based on quality of shots taken per match) than Derby so far this season. John Eustace’s side have overperformed from an attacking perspective, scoring 10 from only 7.9xG, an expected goals total that is the lowest in the league. They have also conceded slightly more than expected as well though, 15 from 12.6xGA (expected goals against).

Oxford outperform Derby in both attacking and defensive metrics, but despite pretty much matching those expected totals with their actual goals, they haven’t been getting enough points on the board.

I expect the Yellows to generate a higher number of chances, and higher quality chances, in this match. The concern is whether or not they will be ruthless enough to take the chances, and, also, whether Derby can be resilient and continue to do what they have done so far this season, which is snatch points when they perhaps wouldn’t usually expect to. 

This is why the draw no bet option looks the smart play here. I fancy Oxford to be the better team and have the best chance to win, but holding a money back option in case of a draw works for me.

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD


📈 Oxford United v Derby Form & Stats

Oxford have won only once in the league so far this season, an impressive 3-1 away win at Bristol City. Anyone watching that win would be forgiven for thinking that it was Oxford in the play-off positions, rather than languishing in the bottom three. This is because they have scored only once in the subsequent three league games, drawing 0-0 at QPR in a dour game, and losing their last match 1-2 at Watford.

As hinted at above, their data isn’t too bad. Ranked 14th for expected goals and 17th for shots on target, they are also 14th for touches in the opposition box. They don’t achieve this through possession football though, as they rank 23rd out of 24 for possession, they are also 24th for corners earned, which is interesting from a betting perspective.

Derby have become the masters of the 1-1 draw. They have had five such results in all competitions this season, with all of their last three Championship matches ending 1-1. In truth, their home draws with Charlton and Southampton, Derby edged the performance battle, against Wrexham they were a little more fortunate.

Derby are bottom of the league for expected goals, and 22nd for shots on target, averaging 2.7 per match. They also have the lowest number of touches in the opposition box. Derby are not a high pressing team either, they rank 22nd for balls won in the final third. They do, however, rank third for fouls and are top of the league for yellow cards received.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

There are plenty more EFL Betting Predictions for this weekend's action on Andy's Bet Club, as well as Premier League and European Football Betting Tips.

There are also Bayern Munich v Dortmund Tips and Nottingham Forest v Chelsea Predictions on site for Saturday, as well as QPR v Millwall Betting Tips and Leicester v Portsmouth Tips.

We also have Shots On Target Predictions and Player Fouls Tips in store, as well as an Over 2.5 Goals Acca and a Both Teams to Score Acca.

Our favourite welcome offers for this weekend include the Sky Bet Sign Up Offer, SBK Sign Up Offer and William Hill Sign Up Offer. There's a full list of the Best Free Bet Offers on-site too, as well as the Best Odds Boosts.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

18+ please gamble responsibly.