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Real Madrid v Valencia Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Real Madrid v Valencia Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Thursday 2 January, 20253 min read
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Following their victory against Barcelona last weekend, Real Madrid have extended their lead at the top of La Liga to five points - Xabi Alonso’s men have been in exceptional form in recent weeks, showing no signs of slowing down.

They face off against Valencia on Saturday night at the Bernabeu, hoping to extend their winning run. 

These Real Madrid v Valencia Betting Stats also offer further insight ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look for Saturday's action, too.

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Real Madrid v Valencia Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Real Madrid v Valencia
  • La Liga
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 2.89

Over 1.5 Real Madrid Goals

Los Blancos were utterly dominant in the El Classico, and the 2-1 scoreline doesn’t really do them much justice. The hosts racked up a total of 23 shots and four big chances, which amounted to 3.63xG. Wojciech Szczesny was forced into nine saves, which kept the scoreline respectable in Madrid.

That result made it five wins on the spin for Alonso’s men, who have bounced back strongly since their 5-2 defeat against Atletico Madrid at the end of September.

Valencia have not quite been so impressive, and have failed to win any of their last five La Liga matches. In that run, they conceded twice against Villarreal, Espanyol, Girona and Real Oviedo - the latter two sit in the relegation zone alongside Los Ches. Valencia also lost 6-0 against Barcelona earlier in the season, during which they conceded 24 shots and six big chances worth 4.02xG.

Valencia GK to Make 4+ Saves

In Valencia's hammering by Barcelona, they contributed just two shots, worth 0.18xG, as they were barely able to lay a glove on the Catalans. It was one-way traffic for the majority of the game at the Johan Cruyff Stadium, and is likely to be no different this weekend.

Despite conceding six goals, goalkeeper Julen Agirrezabala accrued a total of five saves, so the scoreline could even have been worse for the visitors. The Spaniard has been kept busy in between the sticks for Valencia this season, averaging 3.33 saves per game.

Considering Real Madrid are forcing an average of 6.15 saves per game from the opposing goalkeeper, rising to 6.57 when playing at the Bernabeu, Agirrezabala could be in for another difficult night. In their last two home matches alone, Los Blancos have drawn a total of 17 saves, to highlight just how strong they have been in the final third.

Kylian Mbappe to Score Anytime

Kylian Mbappe alone was responsible for six saves across those two matches, as he racked up five shots with four on target against Juventus - failing to score for the first time in eight matches, before registering three shots on target against Barcelona last weekend. He did get on the scoresheet in that game, taking his tally to 16 goals after just 13 appearances in all competitions.

With 11 of those goals coming in La Liga, the Frenchman is well on track to retain his Pichichi trophy - Julian Alvarez is currently his closest competitor on six goals. It seems unlikely that Valencia will be able to offer up much resistance to halt his momentum.

Los Ches have conceded 16 goals from their 10 league matches this season, and their poor record of two wins, three draws and five losses has them languishing in the relegation zone.

Dean Huijsen to Commit 1+ Fouls

Dean Huijsen’s return from injury against Barcelona was a major boost for Real Madrid. The Spaniard is tasked with being incredibly aggressive in his duels with the hopes of retaining possession and sustaining pressure high up the pitch.

As a result, Huijsen is averaging 1.18 fouls per 90 this campaign since completing the move from Bournemouth over the summer, landing this bet in eight out of 10 starts overall. As a further testament to his firm combative style, Huijsen has already picked up two yellow cards and a straight red, with one of those yellows coming against Barcelona last weekend.

His primary matchup this weekend will be up against Hugo Duro, who has drawn the most fouls for Valencia this season, averaging 1.59 fouls drawn per 90. Barcelona centre back Eric Garcia made two fouls against Los Ches earlier in the campaign, despite the 6-0 drubbing.

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📈 Real Madrid v Valencia Form & Tactics

After starting the season with a flawless seven wins from seven, Real Madrid were dealt an abrupt reality check, as they lost 5-2 against their local rivals Atletico Madrid at the Metropolitano. But since then, Xabi Alonso’s men have responded well, and come into this clash having won five successive matches.

Their recent run has been particularly impressive. Prior to beating Barcelona at the weekend, Los Blancos made it three wins from three in the Champions League by beating Juventus, while they also prevailed against Getafe and Villarreal in the Spanish top flight - two sides who can be stubborn opponents.

Valencia’s league form has been a stark contrast, but they were at least able to secure progression to the next round in the Copa del Rey by beating amateur side Maracena 5-0 in midweek.

Prior to that though, they were comfortably beaten by Villarreal at the Mestalla, making it five La Liga matches without a win. Worryingly, Valencia have now failed to score in back-to-back matches leading up to this clash against the league leaders, which certainly does not bode well for them.


📔 Real Madrid v Valencia Formation & Team News

Dean Huijsen’s return to the starting 11 at the weekend provided some respite for Xabi Alonso, who has had to contend without David Alaba and Antonio Rudiger at the back.

Dani Carvajal also made a brief appearance off the bench in El Classico, but is seemingly facing another spell out with a knee injury. Trent Alexander-Arnold was fit enough for the bench against Barcelona but remained unused, as did Franco Mastantuono. Both will now be pushing to feature at the weekend.

Carlos Corberan opted for a passive approach when he faced Barcelona earlier in the season, and Valencia failed to really get out of their own half for the majority of the game. He has generally stuck with a 4-4-2 this season, and could utilise that same blueprint at the Bernabeu hoping his side can remain compact enough to frustrate the hosts.

Hugo Duro could partner Arnaut Danjuma up front, with the pair possessing enough pace in behind to cause Madrid some problems.


🔮 Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, as well as European Football Predictions for this weekend's football, on Andy's Bet Club.

For Saturday's football, we also have tips and insight on Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen, Napoli v Como, Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano and Cremonese v Juventus.

If you’re eyeing goals and player prop bets, we've got Saturday BTTS Tips, Over 2.5 Goals Tips, Shots Predictions and Fouls Predictions in store.

If you're looking for a new bookie, we recommend the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 New Customer Offer, as well as the SBK Sign Up Offer. There's a list of Free Bet Offers on the site, as well as a collection of the Best Odds Boosts.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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