Football Tips

McGinn has committed 43 fouls in 29 Premier League games this season (1.97 per 90) and made three fouls in the reverse fixture against City, picking up a yellow card too. McGinn contested 10 duels in the initial meeting as Villa committed 14 fouls in that game, higher than their average of 11.0 fouls committed per game across the season.

He’ll be up against Kevin De Bruyne (0.92 fouls won per 90) here, and will also have to keep an eye on the wide areas, where City have multiple players that can draw fouls in Savinho, Doku and Grealish. 

Both teams have scored in four of Villa’s last five games, with their only clean sheet coming against goal-shy Southampton - the visitors have kept just six clean sheets so far this season. BTTS also landed in seven of the last eight meetings between these sides, including the reverse fixture (2-1 Aston Villa win), and with both clubs chasing Champions League spots, goals at both ends look likely again.

Villa drew four saves from Ortega in the reverse fixture at Villa Park, and since the January transfer window, they’ve shown real improvement in attack, registering a huge 18 shots on target across their last two games (9 v Newcastle, 9 v PSG). Villa have a poor defensive record on the road, they can’t rely on their backline to get a result here and with a depth of attacking players, they can force the City goalkeeper into action.

Everton drew two saves from Ortega last time out, despite having just 32% of the ball, Villa can force the City keeper to make a couple more saves here.

Barcelona are unbeaten at home in 2025 with 10 wins and three draws, their dramatic 4-3 comeback win last weekend shows they’ve got plenty of fight. Mallorca have lost eight of their last 13 away games and haven’t beaten Barcelona in a huge 17 attempts. Barca have scored 27 goals across their last eight home matches and (3.38 scored per match) and can extend their lead at the top of La Liga to seven points with a win here.

Barcelona average 7.25 corners per game at home and have hit 7+ corners in five of their last seven matches. No team in La Liga wins more corners than them, and they've only failed to hit this line three times at home in the league since the turn of the year. Mallorca conceded eight corners in their last away match (v Real Sociedad) and will likely be penned in for most of the match here.

Yamal is averaging 3.99 shots per 90 minutes and has recorded 3+ shots in 14 of his last 15 starts, underlining his consistency in getting efforts away. He also managed a huge six shots in the reverse fixture against Mallorca as Barcelona won 5-0. Only four La Liga sides have conceded more shots than Mallorca this season.

Raíllo averages 1.33 fouls per 90 and has committed at least one foul in 10 of his last 11 matches. He’ll be under pressure defending against Barcelona’s attack, likely being up against Ferran Torres, who draws 1.11 fouls per 90. Raíllo has also committed fouls in both previous meetings with Barcelona, he can continue that run here.