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Arsenal v Tottenham
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Kick Off: Wednesday 15th January at 20:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Arsenal v Tottenham Bet Builder Tips
Arsenal have collected almost twice as many Premier League points as Tottenham this season, however, the outcome of Wednesday’s North London Derby clash between the bitter local rivals feels difficult to forecast.
Reeling from back-to-back cup defeats to Newcastle and Man United, the misfiring Gunners have been spurning numerous chances in attack and Mikel Arteta’s side will need to sharpen up to avoid a chastening derby day experience.
⭐ Arsenal v Tottenham Best Bet
Arsenal have been toiling in the goal-scoring department in recent weeks and their lack of cutting edge in the final third is threatening to scupper their campaign. The Gunners have scored 1 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 5 assignments at The Emirates, and with Gabriel Jesus joining Bukayo Saka in the treatment room, their output in attack could be modest again on Wednesday.
Tottenham are generously priced at 1.67 to make the most of a +2.0 goal handicap in the North London Derby. A bet in that direction would have landed in 30 of Spurs’ 31 fixtures in all competitions this season and with Arsenal performing so poorly in attack, the same market holds plenty of promise again.
🟢 Arsenal v Tottenham #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Arsenal conceded 5 shots on target in their narrow 1-0 win over Tottenham in the first North London Derby of the campaign back in September, and only 3 other teams have mustered more accurate shots in games against the Gunners this term (Sporting, Man City & Crystal Palace).
Tottenham also managed to win 7 corners to Arsenal’s 6 in that derby defeat – a tally bettered by just 2 of the Gunners’ other opponents so far this season (Sporting & Man City). Having already shown that they have the tools to be a nuisance in the final third against Arsenal, Tottenham should carry a decent amount of threat into Wednesday’s clash.
Spurs rank joint-third in the Premier League for average shots on target mustered per 90 (5.50) since August and despite Arsenal’s reputation as the division’s prime set-piece specialists, Tottenham have actually been winning more corners than the Gunners this season (7.95 to 6.25 p/90).
Ange Postecoglou’s commitment to attacking football has been driving Tottenham’s metrics up in both areas and targets of 2+ shots on target and 2 corners per half look like modest ones to beat for this cavalier Spurs side at a superb price of 10/1.
👕 Arsenal v Tottenham Predicted XI
🔍 Arsenal v Tottenham Players to Watch
⚪ Son Heung-Min
North London Derby specialist Son Heung-Min has scored 8 career goals in previous appearances against Arsenal, 2 of which were plundered when Tottenham last visited The Emirates Stadium in September 2023.
The 32-year-old, who ranks joint-first at Spurs for average shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season (1.24), is at his best when marauding into open space on the counterattack and Son can use his explosive pace to good effect again here. The derby veteran is an attractive prospect at 1.83 to land at least 1 accurate attempt.
⚪ Dominic Solanke
Dominic Solanke relishes a physical battle with centre-halves and the 27-year-old, who has been fouling at a rate of 1.67 times per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season, could be in the thick of the action again on derby day.
The last North London Derby back in September featured 23 fouls and 8 yellow cards and Tottenham striker Solanke, who accounted for a game-high 4 of those fouls himself, was a chief offender. Wednesday’s rematch should be bristling with just as much aggression, so look for Solanke to be collared for at least 2 fouls again.
🔴 Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz was a chance and spot-kick-missing villain for Arsenal in their FA Cup loss to Manchester United, though the German forward did clock 5 attempts on Sunday, hitting the target once and the 25-year-old only needs to find his range once for this bet to land.
Havertz has been averaging 2.37 shots and 0.97 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season and the languid attacker hit the target with 1 or more efforts in 9 of his last 10 appearances in all competitions for the Gunners. With Gabriel Jesus out, Havertz will need to assume even more responsibility in the final third on Wednesday, so expect him to test Antonin Kinsky at least once.
📂 Arsenal v Tottenham Cheat Sheet
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We’ve got plenty more in store for this week’s footballing action, look out for our Newcastle v Wolves Betting Tips as well as Leicester v Crystal Palace Betting Tips for Wednesday night’s Premier League fixtures.
💻 Arsenal v Tottenham Form and Tactics
Arsenal have scored 1 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 5 fixtures at The Emirates Stadium, they have also scored more set-piece goals than any other Premier League team this term, so expect the Gunners to try to win corners and free kicks against Tottenham.
Despite sitting 10 places below Arsenal in the table, Tottenham (42) have outscored Arsenal (39) in the Premier League this season.
Spurs dominated 63.7% of the possession in September’s reverse fixture against Arsenal and Tottenham (243.4) have been attempting more short passes per 90 minutes than the Gunners (240.6) overall this term.
Interestingly, Arsenal posted their joint-lowest xGF figure of the Premier League campaign (0.70) when they beat Spurs 1-0 in September. Arsenal were deployed in an unfamiliar 4-4-2 formation by Mikel Arteta in the last North London Derby, though they are likelier to use their preferred 4-3-3 system on Wednesday.
Tottenham have been drawing a league-high 13.10 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season, so home cards or home player fouls could prove a strong betting angle.
Arsenal have won 4 of the last 5 North London Derbies and the Gunners haven’t lost a home fixture against Tottenham in the Premier League since 2010, while the last 4 North London Derbies combined have produced 24 cards (an average of 6 per game).
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🏁 Arsenal v Tottenham Ref Watch
- Referee: Simon Hooper
| Average Cards (Yellows/Reds) | 4.62/0.13 |
| Fouls Given | 20.88 |
| Penalties | 0.06 |
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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