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Nottingham Forest v West Ham 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Nottingham Forest v West Ham 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 29 August, 20254 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Nottingham Forest welcome a West Ham side that desperately need a win after back to back heavy defeats against Chelsea and Sunderland to kick off their campaign. 

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Nottingham Forest v West Ham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Nottingham Forest v West Ham
  • Premier League
  • 14:00
4 Selections @ 3.99

Jarrod Bowen to have 1+ Shots on Target

It is getting a bit ugly at West Ham at the moment, Bowen had to be pulled away from a disgruntled supporter after West Ham’s 3-2 defeat to Wolves in the Carabao Cup last time out which perfectly sums up the problems at the London Stadium at the moment.

West Ham may have conceded 11 goals across their opening three games of the season in all competitions, but they do still retain an attacking threat through Jarrod Bowen who has had six shots across his opening two games of the Premier League season with two of these attempts finding the target.

Bowen led the line for West Ham against Wolves and Potter has been playing him in central areas in all three games this season which is why his shot count is so high this early on in the campaign. If there is one man that can offer some relief to West Ham, it’s Jarrod Bowen. He averaged 1.12 shots on target per 90 last season, netting 13 goals in the process.

Bowen found the target in both games against Nottingham Forest last season, and scored against Nuno’s side in the clash between the sides at the London Stadium.

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Chris Wood to have 1+ Shots on Target

Chris Wood picked up from where he left off last season on the opening weekend of the campaign as he netted a brace against Brentford, scoring with both of his efforts on target.

Wood’s main strength is how clinical he is from low xG chances. This is the basic building blocks of what Forest do, Wood had a personal xG of 13.4 in the Premier League but ended the season with 20 goals. It’s fair to say that there isn’t a more clinical striker in the Premier League across the calendar year than Chris Wood when looking at the quality of chances being served up.

Wood had 68 shots in the Premier League last season, if that sounds quite low for a striker it’s because it is - the three players that finished above Wood in the scoring ranks last season (Salah, Isak and Haaland) all had a shot average of 3.0 or higher, Wood’s sits at just 2.06.

35 of Wood’s attempts last season found the target (51%) which was the best record of any of the top five scorers in the Premier League last season. I’m not quite sure how he’s doing it, but Wood consistently outperforms his xG and usually finds the target if he can get a shot away and those traits show no signs of deserting him this season.

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Tomas Soucek to be Fouled 1+ Times

Soucek played in an attacking role against Wolves in the Carabao Cup last time out and was fouled three times. He contested nine duels in the game and also made the most tackles of any player on the pitch.

I don’t think that there are many players that Potter can fully trust at the moment in this West Ham squad, but Soucek is certainly one of them. He’s consistently performed to a high standard for the Hammers and I think he’s one of the most underrated players in the West Ham squad.

As well as being fouled three times against Wolves, Soucek was also fouled in West Ham’s 5-1 defeat to Chelsea. He played in a more defensive role in that game and still managed to win a foul. Soucek averaged 0.88 fouls won per 90 across his 35 appearances in the Premier League last season.

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West Ham Over 1.5 Cards

I think this game is where the frustration will really kick in for West Ham. They’ve been really poor so far but that hasn’t quite yet seeped into their card count this season with just one caution across their opening two games of the campaign.

Forest are a strong counter attacking side and will be able to draw fouls from West Ham when they come forward with real speed and intensity. The Hammers picked up three yellow cards and a red card in this fixture last season.

West Ham picked up 78 yellow cards across their 38 Premier League matches last season (2.05 per game) and their start to the season should see this average realised against a side that constantly creates overloads on the break.

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Nottingham Forest v West Ham Best Longshot Bets
  • Nottingham Forest v West Ham
  • Premier League
  • 14:00
3 Selections @ 7.60

Morgan Gibbs-White to Assist

In my opinion, Gibbs-White is the best and most important Forest player and he is also one of the best chance creators in the Premier League.

Gibbs-White has already registered an assist, which came against Brentford, and created four chances across his opening two Premier League matches. He registered eight assists last season having set up 10 goals the season before.

Gibbs-White is such an important player for Forest as he is often the one to set Nuno Espirito Santo’s side on their way when they go flying forward. He doesn’t have the speed of players like Hudson-Odoi but you don't really need it when you have the creative talent that Gibbs-White has.

I expect Gibbs-White to create at least two chances here for his Forest teammates but I wouldn’t be surprised if he controlled the entire game and set up a few goals against a West Ham side that have shipped 11 goals across their opening three games of the season in all competitions.

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Lucas Paqueta to Score or be Shown a Card

Paqueta scored a special goal against Chelsea last time out. At least, I thought it was special until I watched the replay and renewed my love/hate affair with Robert Sanchez. He probably should have kept it out, but Paqueta is capable of brilliance like that at times and West Ham really need it now.

Paqueta scored four goals across his 27 appearances for West Ham in the Premier League last season. In truth, this is a pitiful record for a player like Paqueta who should, at the very least, be aiming for double digits.

Admittedly he is more likely to get a card than he is to score. Paqueta picked up 10 yellow cards across his 27 appearances in the Premier League last season which was unsurprisingly the highest total in the West Ham squad. Paqueta will be lining up against Elliot Anderson here who is one of the most talented young players in the league for me, and he averaged 1.90 fouls won per 90 last season.

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Nottingham Forest to Win

I can’t see how this gets any better for West Ham and Potter anytime soon. I can see him getting dismissed over the international break so West Ham don’t have to deal with the noise directly, and this could be the final nail in the coffin.

Potter has won just five of his 22 games as West Ham manager meaning that he has a lower win rate than previously sacked head coach Julien Lopetegui. West Ham may have conceded 11 goals across their opening three games of the season, but I think their main challenge here will actually be to score a goal.

Forest only conceded 16 goals at the City Ground last season, and also beat West Ham in both head to head clashes between the sides in the Premier League last season.

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📂 Nottingham Forest v West Ham Cheat Sheet

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📈 Nottingham Forest v West Ham Form & Tactics

Forest have made a solid start to the season, despite the off the field rumblings between Evangelos Marinakis and Nuno Espirito Santo over recruitment strategy. Noise of Nuno being dismissed from his role has quietened down in the last few days, but this rift is one to keep an eye on throughout the season. The rumours suggest that it is actually a disagreement between Nuno and Forest’s new director of football, Edu, who was formerly at Arsenal.

On the pitch, Nottingham Forest have been setting up in the same way as they did last season with their counter attacking style proving effective in the opening weekend of the season as they ran out 3-1 winners over Brentford. Dan Ndoye has really stood out to me across Forest’s opening two games of the season, he scored against Brentford and then provided a wonderful assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi to score the equaliser against Palace last time out.

Forest only conceded 16 goals across their 19 games at the City Ground last season so this could be another painful attacking exercise for West Ham who have only scored one goal so far. This was the joint best defensive home record in the Premier League, alongside Liverpool, and Forest have crucially managed to keep hold of the trio of Murillo, Milenkovic and Sels who produced this defensive record.

I’m not quite sure where to start with West Ham, it’s easy to lay all the blame at Potter’s feet but this goes far deeper than just the manager. The squad has no identity and that is no surprise when looking above Potter at boardroom level, West Ham don’t have a director of football or any clear recruitment strategy so it is no surprise that this West Ham side doesn’t have any structure, certainly not for the system that Potter wants to play. They have just agreed a deal with Southampton for Mateus Fernandes which is another example of their aimless recruitment, I almost fainted when I saw the fee was £40 million.

If West Ham’s performance against Sunderland on the opening weekend of the season was unacceptable, then their display against Chelsea can only be described as abysmal. Chelsea have quality players and can tear you apart, but West Ham made it far too easy for Enzo Maresca’s side to slice through them despite Chelsea missing their most influential player in Cole Palmer.

West Ham are going to continue to struggle regardless of if Potter keeps his job or not, no side is too big to avoid the drop and the Hammers must be more active in the final weeks of the window to ensure that they don’t get sucked into what could be a competitive battle at the bottom this year.


🏁 Ref Watch

Craig Pawson:

Craig Pawson gave out just two yellow cards in his only appointment of the Premier League season so far as he took charge of Aston Villa v Newcastle. 


📊 Nottingham Forest v West Ham Key Stats

  • Forest boasted the joint best home defensive record in the Premier League last season, conceding just 16 goals.

  • Forest’s new signing, Dan Ndoye, has registered a goal and an assist across his opening two Premier League games of the season.

  • Forest beat West Ham in both head to head matches between the sides in the Premier League last season.

  • West Ham have conceded 11 goals across their opening three games of the season in all competitions, letting in at least three goals in each of these games.

  • Graham Potter has only won five of his 22 games as West Ham manager, a lower win rate than previously sacked manager Julien Lopetegui.

  • West Ham won just six of their 19 away games last season, conceding 28 goals across these matches.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips. We also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research. Look out for our Premier League Predictions, including weekly Premier League Acca Tips this season.

These Nottingham Forest v West Ham Betting Stats provide further insight. We’ve also got Bet Builders for Liverpool v Arsenal and Brighton v Man City as well as our Sunday Acca Tips, and Quick Previews for Dundee v Dundee United and Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona.

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For additional value, check out our bet365 6 Scores Challenge Tips and our Paddy Power Beat The Drop Predictions.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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