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Monaco v Tottenham Bet Builder Tips, 21/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Monaco v Tottenham Bet Builder Tips, 21/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Tuesday 21 October, 20254 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Tottenham travel to Monaco with Thomas Frank looking to extend his sides’ unbeaten record on the road which has seen them win three of their five away matches across all competitions.

Monaco have started the season well at home and managed to hold City to a 2-2 draw last time out. They’ve netted 13 goals across their four home games in Ligue 1 this season.

Check out these Monaco v Tottenham Betting Stats ahead of kick-off in France.

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Monaco v Tottenham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Monaco v Tottenham
  • Champions League
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 3.38

Over 2.5 Goals

Monaco have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. They’ve seen 3+ goals in both of their Champions League matches so far, with a 2-2 draw against Manchester City and a 4-1 defeat against Club Brugge.

Tottenham have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last three matches. The defensive solidity which Frank instilled early on in the campaign is just starting to wane a little, with the Lilywhites keeping just one clean sheet across their last five matches, with this shutout coming in the Carabao Cup against Doncaster.

Monaco have seen 20 goals across their four home matches this season (5.0 per game). They’ve scored 13 goals across these games, but the seven they’ve conceded will offer optimism to Tottenham, who themselves saw four goals in their most recent Champions League assignment as they contested a 2-2 draw with Bodo Glimt.

Tottenham GK to Make 2+ Saves

Vicario was called into action twice in Tottenham’s 2-2 draw with Bodo Glimt in their most recent Champions League outing. The Tottenham keeper has been busy this season and has contributed to Tottenham’s general improvement as a defensive unit.

Vicario has been forced into making 24 fouls across his eight Premier League appearances so far this season (3.0 per 90), maintaining a save percentage of 77.4% across these matches. This cements Vicario as a solid goalkeeper, and he’ll have to be active here with the quality that Monaco have in the final third.

Monaco drew one save from Donnarumma in their 2-2 draw with City, though the Italian keeper could have done better with a few of the efforts, with his xG prevented sitting at -0.77 from the game. Monaco have netted 13 goals across their four home matches so far this season, so they will carry an attacking threat here, and Tottenham could be vulnerable, judging by their lax defensive display against Bodo Glimt last time out.

Ansu Fati to have 1+ Shots on Target

Fati has been in fine form since joining Monaco on loan from Barcelona. The 22-year-old has netted five goals across his four appearances in Ligue 1 so far this term, managing nine shots across these games (3.52 per 90) and impressively scoring with each of his five shots on target (1.96 per 90).

Fati has also been impactful in the Champions League with a goal and two shots on target in Monaco’s 4-1 defeat at the hands of Club Brugge on Matchday 1. He can cause Tottenham problems here with Thomas Frank’s side conceding two goals in their first European away trip of the season as they drew 2-2 with Bodo Glimt.

Bodo Glimt managed 18 shots in that encounter, with four of these attempts finding the target, resulting in an xG of 2.52. Monaco can replicate this attacking performance, having scored twice against Manchester City last time out and netting 13 goals across their four home matches (3.25 per game).

Pedro Porro to Commit 1+ Fouls

Porro has committed 10 fouls across his eight Premier League appearances so far this season (1.41 per 90). He committed 25 fouls across his 28 starts in the Premier League last term (0.86 per 90), so his foul numbers stay pretty consistent when looking over a larger sample size.

Monaco are likely to line up in a 3-4-3 here, which means that Porro will end up with two opponents at times here which will leave him outnumbered. He is quite forward-thinking as well, so he could be caught out of position and have to make fouls to stop Monaco putting together a quick counter-attack.

Monaco managed to draw 13 fouls from Manchester City in their 2-2 draw with Pep Guardiola’s side, with the right-hand side proving fruitful for fouls and cautions. Bernardo Silva was tasked with managing the threat of that side in City’s draw against Monaco and was forced into committing a foul, and was shown a yellow card.

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Monaco v Tottenham Best Longshot Bets
  • Monaco v Tottenham
  • Champions League
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 21.71

Jordan Teze to have 1+ Shots

Teze lined up in the middle of the park for Monaco in their 2-2 draw with Manchester City and had two shots, one of which ended up in the back of the net. Both of his efforts came from outside of the box, which is notable, seeing as Tottenham could be forced quite deep here - five of the 18 shots they conceded against Bodo Glimt came from outside the box.

Teze has had five shots across his seven appearances in Ligue 1 so far this season (0.77 per 90). He’s continued playing in the defensive midfield role in the last few games, having two shots against Nice and a shot in Monaco’s 1-1 draw with Angers. Teze had five shots across his 568 minutes of football in Ligue 1 last season (0.79 per 90), so his shot rate has remained pretty consistent over the last year, particularly when he plays in a defensive midfield role, which he is expected to here.

Tottenham may find themselves a little low on confidence, having given up a 1-0 lead to lose 2-1 to Aston Villa over the weekend, which could lead to Monaco being emboldened to take the game to the Lilywhites. Tottenham conceded 18 shots against Bodo Glimt in their most recent away fixture in the Champions League and could be vulnerable to a high shot count again here.

Takumi Minamino to Score or Assist

Minamino has long been a reliable player for Monaco, having registered double digits for goal contributions in each of the last two seasons. He’s started this campaign pretty well with five goal contributions across his nine appearances for the club, including an assist against Club Brugge on Matchday 1.

Minamino was benched for Monaco’s 2-2 draw against Manchester City last time out, but that game showed the attacking quality that Monaco have in the side. They’ve netted 13 goals across their four home games in Ligue 1 so far this season, so they should be able to carve out a few chances for their talented forwards, with Minamino joined by the likes of Fati, Biereth, and Akliouche in what is an exciting side.

Minamino picked up an assist in Monaco’s most recent game as they drew 1-1 with Angers. He also scored over the international break in a friendly against Brazil, so he has shown form over recent weeks, which can translate to a goal contribution against a Tottenham side that are starting to see their early defensive solidity dwindle with each passing week.

Caio Henrique to be Shown a Card

Henrique has picked up one caution across his eight appearances in Ligue 1 so far this season. He didn’t start in Monaco’s 2-2 draw with Manchester City, but is set to line up on the left side of the back three here, which leaves him against Tottenham’s best player so far this season in Mohammed Kudus.

Kudus has registered five goal contributions across his eight Premier League appearances so far this term, winning seven fouls in the process (0.89 per 90). This is only a fraction of Kudus’s ability when it comes to winning fouls and is bound to improve as the season progresses. Kudus won 64 fouls across his 32 Premier League appearances last season (2.21 per 90), which is a tally that is more reflective of his excellent ability in 1v1 duels.

Henrique should have a few of those 1v1 battles here against Kudus when he is able to get past the wingback, which is likely to be the first defence. Henrique picked up three yellow cards and averaged 0.75 fouls committed per 90 across his 27 appearances in Ligue 1 last term.

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📂 Monaco v Tottenham Cheat Sheet

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📈 Monaco v Tottenham Form & Tactics

Monaco have hit a difficult patch in their season with just one win from their last five matches, drawing their last three games against Manchester City, Nice, and Angers. The draw against Manchester City was a really positive result for Monaco, but it was a bit fortunate with the home side being awarded a dubious penalty in the closing moments.

I would argue that Monaco are too open at the back. Not only have they conceded six goals across their first two Champions League matches, but they’ve seen 20 goals across their four home matches in Ligue 1 this term (5.0 per game), which is not a sustainable record if you want to compete at the elite level. Their scoring power always gives them a chance of staying in games, but no clean sheets across their last five games paints a clearer picture of where this Monaco side are at in their development.

Tottenham’s defensive solidity has also disappeared in recent weeks, with Thomas Frank’s side failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four matches across all competitions. They conceded 18 shots and two goals on their trip to face Bodo Glimt in their most recent Champions League assignment and let a lead slip against Aston Villa last time out to lose 2-1 at home.

Tottenham do have the slight advantage of being unbeaten away from home so far across all competitions, with their main issues coming at home so far this term. However, Monaco can end that record here with their immense scoring power. The home side’s challenge will be keeping Tottenham out at the other end, but this isn’t the most complicated task, with Tottenham looking a little predictable in the final third at the moment, in the absence of Maddison and Kulusevski.


📔 Monaco v Tottenham Formation & Team News

Monaco are set to line up in a 3-4-3 here, which was the shape they went with in their 2-2 draw with Manchester City in their most recent Champions League assignment. They do have quite a lengthy injury list, which notably includes their starting goalkeeper, Lukas Hradecky, as well as talented midfielder Camara and Vanderson. Paul Pogba is part of the squad but unlikely to feature here as he builds towards match fitness.

Tottenham will line up in a 4-2-3-1, which has been the preferred shape of Thomas Frank at Tottenham so far. The midfield anchor pairing of Palhinha and Bentancur appears to be Frank’s preferred midfield structure, but this comes at the cost of Tottenham being a little blunt in the final third, with this Tottenham side desperately crying out for creative players.

Tottenham have a lengthy injury list, which includes Udogie and Romero, as well as long-term absentees James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, and Dominic Solanke. The creative players are the main ones that Tottenham are missing at the moment, particularly Dejan Kulusevski, who would really bring together the attacking talent that exists in this squad.


📊 Monaco v Tottenham Key Stats

  • Monaco have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches.

  • Tottenham have avoided defeat in all of their away matches so far this season.

  • Monaco have seen nine goals across their two Champions League matches so far.

  • Tottenham conceded 18 shots and two goals in their first Champions League away trip of the season against Bodo Glimt.


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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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