Southampton v Man City

• Man City have won four league matches in a row and are unbeaten in their last seven.

• Southampton have conceded 2.34 goals per game this season.

• City have kept four clean sheets in their last six league matches.

Man City have hit form at the right time, and after a strong run of results, their European destiny is now in their own hands. However, with just four points separating them in 3rd and Aston Villa in 7th, every match remains a must-win.

Southampton, already relegated, have little to play for, but pride is still on the line. With just two home games left in the Premier League, they’ll be eager to put on a show for their fans and avoid the shame of joining Derby County in holding the league’s lowest-ever points total.

⭐ Southampton v Man City Predictions and Best Bets

Southampton have struggled badly in front of goal this season, averaging just 0.7 goals per game, the worst attacking record in the league by some distance.

City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches. With this being a must-win for the visitors, expect a focused, disciplined display that likely shuts the hosts out for large periods.

City average 1.91 goals per game, the second-highest in the Premier League, and they face a Southampton side with the league’s worst defensive record, shipping 2.34 goals per game. Pep Guardiola’s side come into this fixture in red-hot form with four straight wins and a seven-game unbeaten run.

By contrast, Southampton have lost nine of their last 11. Given the stakes for City and the Saints' lack of quality, this could get ugly for the hosts. Taking Man City to Win to Nil or Over 2.5 Man City Goals are potential plays.

🔴 Saints Suffer League's Earliest Relegation

Southampton’s return to the Premier League has been a harsh reality check. Despite implementing a progressive, possession-heavy style under Russell Martin, the team failed to turn control into results. Defensive frailties and managerial instability plagued their campaign, and this saw them relegated earlier than any team in Premier League history.

Their record, marked by poor goal difference and the league’s worst defensive stats highlighted their struggles to cope with the difference in top-flight intensity. The season has served as a clear indication of the gap between Championship success and Premier League survival, particularly in defensive organisation.

🔵 Man City Regaining Some Control

Man City’s 2024–25 season has seen uncharacteristic inconsistency. A dip in form mid-season, caused by defensive vulnerabilities and key injuries, raised questions about squad depth and Guardiola’s evolving system. Their once-dominant pressing game showed signs of decline, and opponents were more successful in retaining possession against them.

However, in recent weeks City have regained stability, climbing back into the top four after going unbeaten in seven matches. A strong late-season run has revived their Champions League hopes, which were looking shaky at points, and brought renewed momentum.

📊 Southampton v Man City Head-to-Head Key Stats

The last meeting between these sides came in October at the Etihad, where Man City edged out a 1-0 victory thanks to an early goal from Erling Haaland.

While the scoreline was narrow, City’s dominance was clear. They registered 23 shots to Southampton’s six, and the xG heavily favoured the hosts at 2.50 to 0.70.

City also won 12 corners to Southampton’s one, underlining their territorial control. With Southampton already relegated and little at stake for them, and City fighting for crucial points, another one-sided encounter is likely on the cards. City have won four of the last five against Southampton.

Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips, such as our Bundesliga Tips. We also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research. We have Gem Bets and Southampton v Man City Betting Stats available too.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.