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West Ham v Everton
The first game on Sunday takes us to the London Stadium, where the Hammers are hosting Everton. West Ham are currently sitting in ninth place on the table but have had a recent string of disappointing results. Fans will definitely be wanting an improvement on their 2-1 defeat to Olympiacos on Thursday this week. Their last match in the Premier League was nothing to write home about either: a 4-1 defeat at Aston Villa.
Everton are currently in 16th place on the table, having had an abysmal start to the season. However, their recent run of fixtures has definitely been an improvement, winning three out of their last five. One of these victories was notably an away match against Aston Villa in the EFL Cup.
West Ham v Everton Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
Now, let’s get into the breakdown for Sunday’s 1pm kick-off…
🚩 West Ham stats: Moysey loves a corner
West Ham have been averaging a large amount of corners per game so far this season (5.76). The Hammers have also been averaging a large number of corners conceded (6.76), meaning their total average corners per game is a staggering 12.52.
This sees West Ham rank first out of any Premier League club for the most times the over 10.5 corners market has landed in their games (89%).
Prediction: Over 10.5 match corners @ 1.85
🥅 Everton stats: xG name of the game for Toffees
Everton have accumulated an impressive 18.19 xG so far this season, yet have only scored nine goals.
The Hammers have conceded a total of 18.79 xG so far this campaign. Given the high volume of chances they’re allowing, will Sunday finally be the day when Everton capitalise on their promising expected goals process?
🎯 West Ham offensive stats: Bowen key for Hammers
Jarrod Bowen has been the Hammers’ danger man up front this season, averaging the highest shots on target per game out of his team (1.45). This has seen him find the back of the net six times so far, which is not only West Ham’s highest, but ranks him as the fourth top goalscorer so far this season, third without penalties.
Bowen has a strong record against Everton, scoring a brace in the last game he played against them back in January. He took a total of four shots this game and earned himself the Player of the Match award in the process. In the other game he played against Everton last season he also managed four shots. A goalscoring option is attractive if you are looking for something more adventurous than a shot on target.
Prediction: Jarrod Bowen to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.53
Prediction: Jarrod Bowen to have score anytime @ 3.40
🎯 Everton offensive stats: Toffees can match Irons in attack
The hosts have seen this market land in all of their last five matches. They have been averaging 3.15 match goals per game: 1.67 for and 1.48 against. As for the visitors, they have also seen this market land in their last five. Everton have been averaging 2.66 goals per game: 1.07 for and 1.59 against.
In terms of previous head-to-head matches between these two sides, there has been an average of two goals per game over their last ten bouts. In their last match, where Bowen got his brace, this market would have won. Further, the expected goals in this game were just shy of three goals. Given the vast amount of attacking threat both teams have to offer, it wouldn’t be surprising for history to repeat itself and see this selection land again.
Prediction: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.44
🛑 West Ham defensive stats: Alvarez overpriced in the fouls department
Mexican Edson Alvarez was one of the first signings of a late summer spending splurge from the Hammers following the sale of Declan Rice to Arsenal.
The former Ajax man arrived in East London with a strong reputation as a top defensive midfielder, and this has proven to be correct in the early stages of this season.
With this reputation, however, has come the obvious baggage of Alvarez picking up plenty of fouls since arriving at the London Stadium. He averages over two fouls per 90 (2.12) and tends to play the majority of minutes each game (74 minutes on average).
Tasked with marking Amadou Onana, who himself averages over two fouls drawn per 90 (2.18), means that Alvarez could be a shrewd option to add in both the foul and cards department for any potential bet builder.
Prediction: Edson Alvarez to commit 1+ foul @ 1.20
Prediction: Edson Alvarez to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.0
Prediction: Edson Alvarez to be shown a card @ 3.75
🛑 Everton defensive stats: Gueye the usual suspect
Idrissa Gueye has been averaging 1.33 fouls committed per game, the fourth-highest of any Everton player. Gueye committed at least one foul in all of the last three games where he played the full 90 minutes, and seems to commit an even higher average when he is playing away from home (1.73).
Gueye is likely to be defending in a tough midfield battle against Tomas Soucek, who has a career average of 1.07 fouls drawn per game. The Evertonian midfielder often sees himself covering the full back positions, meaning that he may even be tasked with defending against the likes of Bowen or Lucas Paqueta, who draw high career averages of 1.69 and 2.09 fouls respectively.
Prediction: Idrissa Gueye to commit 1+ foul @ 1.30
Prediction: Idrissa Gueye to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.38
Prediction: Idrissa Gueye to be shown a card @ 3.40
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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