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Bournemouth remain winless in the Premier League this season, but they have carried a significant attacking threat under Marco Rose so those results perhaps don't do them justice. The Cherries registered 20 shots worth 2.20 xG during last weekend’s 2-2 draw with Brentford, as ten of their efforts hit the target. BTTS has landed in five of their six matches across all competitions this campaign. 

Liverpool were held to a goalless draw by Fulham last weekend, but they responded by scoring three times against Tottenham in the EFL Cup. Chances have typically been available at both ends of the field when the Reds are playing, as Spurs racked up 17 shots worth 2.26 xG against them midweek.

This is a really intriguing early meeting between the Madrid sides, who have both made strong starts to the season having lost just one of their opening six matches.

This game is usually one that produces goals at both ends, each of the last three head to head clashes between these two has seen BTTS, with BTTS landing in 13 of the last 14 meetings more widely.

Real Madrid have seen BTTS in each of their last three matches, notably winning all three of these matches. I still think they look a bit vulnerable at the back having allowed Inter, Rayo Vallecano and Elche opportunities in the final third across recent matches.

Atletico Madrid may be without Julian Alvarez, but new signing Jonathan David has started well with a few goals across recent matches - and Ademola Lookman is a constant threat in transition for Diego Simeone’s side.

I don’t trust either of these backlines at the moment and think this could be a high scoring game between two sides who are under real pressure following poor starts to the season.

Both sides saw 3+ goals during the week in the EFL Cup, with Fulham winning 3-2 against West Ham on the road and United giving up a two goal lead to lose 3-2 to Brighton and crash out in the first round of the cup.

United have only managed to win one of their opening four games in the Premier League, scoring and conceding the same number of goals across these games (7 - 3.5 per game), while Fulham are yet to win a game and have conceded seven goals across their seven matches.

The most recent league meeting between the sides produced five goals as United came away 3-2 winners over Fulham at Old Trafford. 

There aren’t many sides as dominant as PSV in their domestic division, with Peter Bosz’s side looking to claim their third straight league title.

They’ve made a strong start to that goal, avoiding defeat in all six of their games in the Eredivisie this term - winning five of these games. They’ve scored 22 goals across these matches, which is unsurprisingly the most of any side in the Dutch top flight.

PSV came away 5-1 winners when these sides last met, and also ran out 2-0 winners in this fixture last season. They’ve won each of the last eight head to head meetings between these sides, you have to go all the way back to 2022 for the last clash that Twente managed to win.

This is the highest rated game for Both Teams to Score on my Goals Sheet.

Vaduz have seen BTTS in 8/8 Swiss Super League outings this term, while Thun have seen the bet land in 4/4 league away games.

Vaduz have conceded two or more goals in seven of those eight, which points towards why they are 11th, of 12.

Vaduz have the league’s 4th-most potent attack at this stage, but that’s gone to waste because they’ve been so poor defensively.

Thun have actually been even worse at the back, conceding the most in the league, 22, by three clear goals at this early stage.

This bet landed after 38 minutes in Thun’s last match.

Valerenga have seen BTTS land in six of their last seven, and in six of 10 home league games this term.

The last three meetings between these two have seen both of them find the net, most recently in mid April.

Fredrikstad have seen BTTS win in their last three league games in a row, after just 28 minutes in their last outing, and they’ve found the net in all of their last eight.

Valerenga have kept just one clean sheet in their 10 home league games this term.

Likewise, Fredrikstad have kept one clean sheet across their 10 league away games.

11 of 12 Eredivisie games involving Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles this season have seen both teams score.

Both sides are yet to keep a clean sheet in the league this season and BTTS has landed in seven of the last eight meetings between the sides.

The goal-heavy nature of games is nothing new for the hosts, they saw both teams score in 28 of their 34 (82%) league games last term and they scored in 33/34 (97%).

Go Ahead Eagles found the net in 27/34 last term (79%), and this season they’ve seen 28 total goals in their opening six - a whopping 4.67 per game.

10 of 12 Eerste Divisie matches this season involving De Graafschap and Breda have seen BTTS land.

The bet has won in 100% of De Graafschap’s home games and 100% of Breda’s away games.

De Graafschap ranked 3rd for BTTS Yes games in the Eerste Divisie last season, with 27/34 seeing the bet land, including 14 of 19 home league games.

These two sides have managed zero clean sheets between them so far this season, and De Graafschap have a -11 goal difference already.

De Graafschap scored in 18/19 home league games last term, and are yet to draw a blank on their own patch this season.

Newly-relegated Breda are odds-on favourites to win a, likely, goal-heavy affair.

Viking have seen BTTS land in seven of nine home league games this season.

Despite being the only side challenging Bodo/Glimt for the league title, the reigning champions are three points back in 2nd with 10 to play, they’ve only managed five clean sheets in their 20 league outings.

Lillestrom registered 0.97 xG in the reverse fixture with the bet coming in just after the hour mark, and they’ve found the net in 70% (14/20) of their Eliteserien games this term.

They scored two in the first half in their last league away game, winning 2-1 at Brann.

Man United’s only clean sheet this season came at home to Azerbaijan top-flight winners, Sabah, in the Champions League (a 4-0 win).

In their other five games so far this season, they’ve conceded twice or more in four of them.

Fulham have an extra day to prepare for this match, with United losing 3-2 at home to Brighton in the League Cup on Wednesday, where the Cottagers won 3-2 at West Ham on Tuesday night.

Both meetings between the sides saw BTTS land last season and the desire to go into the international break with a positive result could see a lift in goals across the league this weekend.

Fulham have scored two or more goals in four of six games in all competitions this season and United don’t look like a side capable of blunting them at the moment.

Fear and Fast has a Lifetime Top-3 Hit Rate of 50% across four starts on today's ground conditions.

A wind operation may have been what it took to finally get the best out of this son of Massaat, recording his first win in 22 starts at Musselburgh, and now he's finally broken the duck; there may well be more to come off a mark of 50.

That mark of 50 seems especially low when you consider that it's 20lbs below his career high, and his last run showed that that operation has resolved his breathing issues; this looks like an opportunity to take another step back towards that lofty mark.

He is turned around quickly for this contest, which can be taken as a good sign as Jim Goldie looks to make the most of favourable ground conditions and a soft mark to continue winning ways with Sam James taking the saddle. This combination holds a record of 11 from 94.

Eternal Angel has a Lifetime Top 2 Hit Rate of 85% over 7 starts over today's distance.

Eternal Angel is one that I've had in my tracker since May, when he posted a 14-length win, and a further thrashing of the field, with third being 39 lengths off. He backed that up with an 18-length win in July, and should've beaten Loriko off 120 at Market Rasen last time out but gave the inform Skelton runner too much control and was denied on the line.

I noted down this selection at 7/1 last night, which I thought was an outstanding price considering he runs off an unchanged mark; unfortunately, Edelak was made a non-runner, and the price has fallen accordingly. I had Edelak rated as the most likely winner though, and his absence should put Eternal Angel in a strong position here, especially as Tom Lacey strikes at 27.6% at Plumpton. Mojito Des Mottes and Nap Hand are no slouches, and if you're going to watch any race today, I suggest it be this one.

Bradbury has a Lifetime Top 3 Hit Rate of 66% across six starts over today's distance.

Ed Bethell is a fantastic trainer anywhere, but when it comes to Hamilton, there is no better. Posting 7 winners from 21 runners this season, and 17 from 63 across the last five seasons, a 27% strike rate. Ed Bethell is certainly one who knows how to get a winner up here, and that's why I'm not particularly concerned about Bradbury handling the ground, with his only two starts on this type of ground coming in hot novice races early in his career.

As his 66% hit rate over 10f shows, Bradbury stays the trip, which isn't so clear for some of the other runners in this contest. Billy Loughnane rides as he continues his quest for the championship and Bradbury holds live chances off the back of those factors here at a big price and 1lb lower mark, just 2lbs above his last winning mark.

Aggagio has a Lifetime Top 4 Hit Rate of 50% across 53 career starts.

Aggagio is a dual-purpose horse for the Moore duo, and he posted a number of good efforts on the flat this summer before being returned to hurdles, where he finished a respectable 4th at Fontwell on his return. He should improve from that run, and a drop of 2lbs will certainly help.

He has got his ground ahead of this contest, posting some of his career best efforts on good and heavy ground and should have more in the tank off a fair mark to contest the finish here in a weak race at Plumpton.

You won’t get this price very often with PSV, they’re the most dominant side in the Eredivisie and are yet to lose a game this term - winning five of their six matches and netting 22 goals in the process (3.66 per game).

Twente’s form on paper looks really solid, but digging a bit deeper into their results shows that they’ve had quite an easy start to the season. Twente have already faced two of the newly promoted sides as well as Telstar and Zwolle - two sides who finished just outside of the relegation spots last season.

Another aspect that stands out to me is the head-to-head record between these sides. They can sometimes be a little misleading if you rely on them in isolation, but PSV have won the last eight meetings between the sides, which is significant.

PSV put five goals past Twente when the sides last met, and I think the home side have been a little overrated in the market here following their strong start to the season on paper, which is a little less impressive when you see the sides that they’ve had to play so far.

Haaland has started the season as you’d expect, netting six goals across his six appearances for Manchester City with a goal in three of his four Premier League matches so far.

Haaland has taken 16 shots across these games (4.00 per 90), which is more than any other Manchester City player. Nine of these efforts have found the target (2.25 per 90), with 15 of his shots coming from inside the box.

Haaland had a shot on target in both head to head meetings with Sunderland last season, with City coming away 3-0 winners and having six shots on target. I think Maresca’s side will be dominant here again, and Haaland is an obvious choice to find the target at least twice.

Brian Brobbey is going to have quite a thankless task at the Etihad on Sunday, he’ll have to act as an outlet for Sunderland and chase down lost causes as Regis Le Bris’ side attempt to offer a threat in transition.

Brobbey is one of the strongest players in the Premier League, he’s the best striker in the division at holding up the ball - but does overstep the mark at times, committing seven fouls across his four starts in the Premier League (2.03 per 90).

He committed 32 fouls across his 22 starts in the Premier League last season (1.49 per 90). Brobbey’s battle with Marc Guehi particularly interests me - he’s won four fouls in the Premier League already and was one of the most consistent centre backs in the division when it came to winning fouls last season.

Donnarumma has been a busy man so far, making 10 saves across his four starts in the Premier League (2.50 per 90).

I’m still not completely convinced about City’s defensive setup under Maresca, I think they’re vulnerable in transition and this showed in their last Premier League home game where Donnarumma had to make three saves to keep out Coventry.

Sunderland won’t have loads of chances, but showed against Arsenal last time out that they can offer a threat on the counter. Sunderland forced 2+ saves from David Raya last time out, with the Black Cats also forcing four saves from Donnarumma when the sides last met. 

Manchester City have real momentum having won each of their six games since their Community Shield defeat to Arsenal back in August.

City have won their last four games to nil, including the Manchester Derby - despite dropping down to 10 men in the first half of that game. Maresca’s style is a natural continuation from Pep Guardiola, and I’d expect City to get over the line quite easily here.

Sunderland have only managed to win one of their opening four matches in the Premier League this season, and I’m also conscious of the fact that Regis Le Bris’ side played in Europe during the week, which is a schedule that they won’t be used to.

Bournemouth remain winless in the Premier League this season, but they have carried a significant attacking threat under Marco Rose so those results perhaps don't do them justice. The Cherries registered 20 shots worth 2.20 xG during last weekend’s 2-2 draw with Brentford, as ten of their efforts hit the target. BTTS has landed in five of their six matches across all competitions this campaign. 

Liverpool were held to a goalless draw by Fulham last weekend, but they responded by scoring three times against Tottenham in the EFL Cup. Chances have typically been available at both ends of the field when the Reds are playing, as Spurs racked up 17 shots worth 2.26 xG against them midweek.

Expecting quite an open contest, there is likely to be plenty of space for either side to exploit at times. Bournemouth will be familiar with Iraola’s style of football - it is quick and direct, looking to utilise width and spread players across the pitch.

The Spaniard’s replacement, Marco Rose, opts for a similar style. He likes his team to press high, to be aggressive in their tackles and that has led to some notable foul counts.

The Cherries have committed at least ten infringements in all six matches under their new manager, picking up at least two cards in all of those. Bournemouth were awarded five yellow cards against Brentford last weekend.

Another left winger in terrific form is Marcus Tavernier. He has really come into his element under Marco Rose, and he has scored in three out of four Premier League matches so far.

That includes finding the back of the net against Man City at the Etihad in gameweek one. Tavernier is averaging 3.32 shots per 90 in the league, which is the highest in the Bournemouth squad, and he has managed eight shots on target. 

That includes four shots with three on target against Brentford last weekend, and five shots with four on target against Everton before that. He tends to be efficient when chances fall his way, and he should find chances against Liverpool here.

Adam Smith accounted for one of those bookings, as he finished the game with two fouls. In fact, the fullback has struggled in Marco Rose’s system so far, and he has already picked up three yellow cards in just four starts.

Smith has recorded a foul in all five starts for Bournemouth this season. He will now be directly up against Cody Gakpo this weekend, which promises to be another tough assignment for the 35-year-old. 

The Liverpool winger scored against Tottenham midweek, meaning he now has four assists and two goals under his belt from five appearances across all competitions. He is playing with confidence at the moment, and is also averaging 1.94 fouls drawn per 90 this season.

Dominik Szoboszlai added another spectacular goal to his collection against Tottenham midweek, finding the net from long range during Liverpool’s 3-1 EFL Cup victory.

The Hungarian international only featured from the bench in that game, but he still managed to land this selection with two shots, of which both hit the target. Szoboszlai has once again been one of the standout performers for Liverpool this season, and he should be looking forward to this fixture given that he scored at the Vitality Stadium last season. 

Szoboszlai has accrued 14 shots in his opening six appearances of the campaign, landing this selection in five of those games. He is the designated free-kick and penalty taker for the Reds, which bodes well for this selection. 

Uncle Liam is Sunday's Racing Ratings NAP of the Day with a Racing Rating of 8.7.

Uncle Liam was a handy winner at Ayr at the beginning of September, justifying 5/2 favouritism with a 3l win off a 5lb lower mark under Danny Tudhope. The positive in that respect is that the 5lb rise has effectively been cancelled out by Lauren Young's 5lb claim here, so Uncle Liam will be running off the same terms that saw him produce such an impressive performance that day.

What really caught my eye was how much improvement the softer ground brings out of Uncle Liam, racing on worse than good ground 4 times in the last 12 months, and placing in or winning all of those efforts. The heavy ground conditions will certainly suit our selection here, and Lauren Young in the saddle is an even bigger positive, with her striking at 13.8% here at Hamilton and an impressive record with favourites here.

Bournemouth remain winless in the Premier League this season, but they have carried a significant attacking threat under Marco Rose so those results perhaps don't do them justice. The Cherries registered 20 shots worth 2.20 xG during last weekend’s 2-2 draw with Brentford, as ten of their efforts hit the target. BTTS has landed in five of their six matches across all competitions this campaign. 

Liverpool were held to a goalless draw by Fulham last weekend, but they responded by scoring three times against Tottenham in the EFL Cup. Chances have typically been available at both ends of the field when the Reds are playing, as Spurs racked up 17 shots worth 2.26 xG against them midweek.

This is a really intriguing early meeting between the Madrid sides, who have both made strong starts to the season having lost just one of their opening six matches.

This game is usually one that produces goals at both ends, each of the last three head to head clashes between these two has seen BTTS, with BTTS landing in 13 of the last 14 meetings more widely.

Real Madrid have seen BTTS in each of their last three matches, notably winning all three of these matches. I still think they look a bit vulnerable at the back having allowed Inter, Rayo Vallecano and Elche opportunities in the final third across recent matches.

Atletico Madrid may be without Julian Alvarez, but new signing Jonathan David has started well with a few goals across recent matches - and Ademola Lookman is a constant threat in transition for Diego Simeone’s side.

Leeds extended their excellent start to the season by beating Newcastle 4-1 last weekend, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin found the back of the net. He has now scored three times in his last four appearances across all competitions. The former Everton man has really found his feet under Daniel Farke, and this upcoming matchup against Crystal Palace looks like a favourable one. 

The Eagles have lost three of their opening four Premier League matches, with ten goals conceded in that time. They have looked vulnerable at the back, conceding an average of 17.4 shots per game, with 6.0 on target. Opponents have had no issue creating chances, so Calvert-Lewin is one to keep an eye on.

Palace’s league form suffered last season in the gameweeks when they also had Thursday night European action.

They began their Europa League campaign with a 4-0 win over Lech Poznan, but face a much tougher test at Leeds.

The Whites are a tough nut to crack, their unbeaten in the league so far and put Newcastle to the sword on Monday night, 4-1.

They beat Palace 4-1 in this encounter last season and have a repeatable way of playing that could see them go into the international break as Arsenal and Man City's closest challengers at the top of the table.

The classy Crystal Palace midfielder likes to dictate the tempo of the game and often comes in for plenty of close attention from opponents looking to limit his influence.

That is underlined by Wharton drawing an average of 2.08 fouls per game in the Premier League this season, having been fouled at least twice in each of his four appearances.

While that figure was not quite as high last term, Wharton still won fouls consistently in the top flight, earning his side an average of 1.09 free kicks per 90.

Wharton should regularly cross paths with Ethan Ampadu at Elland Road on Sunday, who is never shy about getting stuck in.

The Leeds captain has committed at least 1 foul in five of his six appearances across all competitions this season.

Leeds have made an encouraging start to the season, but the number of cards shown to their opponents has also stood out.

Daniel Farke’s side have drawn 11 yellow cards across their opening four Premier League matches, the third-highest total in the division behind only Arsenal and Chelsea.  

Indeed, each of the Whites’ four league opponents has received at least 2 cards, while Nottingham Forest racked up 4 bookings when Leeds visited the City Ground in the EFL Cup. 

While Crystal Palace have not picked up too many cards during the early weeks of the season, they did receive one yellow and one red in last week’s home defeat to Ipswich. 

It is also worth noting that the Eagles were shown multiple cards in each of their two top-flight fixtures with Leeds last season.

The key here is that Pubill will be up against Vinicius Junior. Vini is the most fouled player in La Liga this season, he’s already been fouled 22 times, a rate of 3.93 fouls per 90 minutes in La Liga this season.

Most full-backs struggle against Vini, and Pubill has struggled against similar wingers this season. He made three fouls against Liverpool and Bilbao, when faced with Ngumoah and Williams, two players with very high dribbling volume.

Pubill has averaged 1.25 fouls per 90 this season and has committed a foul in all bar one match.

I have never rated Konate, personally. I’m always happy to back him for fouls as I think he’s a bit of a calamity. He’s rash, he gets dragged in by strikers and caught out regularly.

He’s already picked up three yellow cards this season and has averaged 1.40 fouls per 90 minutes and is joint top of the foul charts in the squad.

He’s committed two or more fouls in each of his last two matches, combining for five in total. He’s committed a foul in five out of six matches in all competitions so far this season.

Mbappe has been in sensational form this season. The Frenchman has seven goals and two assists in La Liga already this campaign and will be looking to build on that.

That’s nine G/A in just six domestic matches. He racked up 30 in 31 last season and 34 in 34 the season before, so he’s as consistent as it gets in this market.

This selection has landed in each of his last three matches and in four of six La Liga games to this point.

Jude is superb at drawing fouls. His combination of dribbling ability, quick feet but also substantial strength and big frame makes him a nightmare for opponents. He’s always looking to break presses and get the ball on the half turn.

Bellingham has been fouled 14 times this season. The second most in the Madrid squad behind Vinicius Junior.

That’s an average of 2.86 times per 90 minutes. You could feasibly push this out to three fouls drawn at evens and it takes the bet builder considerably higher.

I think we’ll see plenty of goals here and this is a nice price for Mbeumo to find the back of the net, as he did in United’s most recent away game as they were held to a 2-2 draw by Everton.

Mbeumo is a proven finisher at this level, and also netted in United’s win over Ipswich at home as he looks to build on his 12 goal haul for United in his debut season at the club. Mbeumo scored 20 goals in the Premier League the season prior to joining United, so he’s one of the more proven finishers in the squad.

Fulham look really open at the back under Arbeloa, who has been a little naive in how he’s set up his side given the quality of the Premier League. Fulham have only kept one clean sheet so far, failing to win any of their four Premier League matches - also ranking joint second bottom for xG conceded (7.50). 

Shea Charles collected six yellow cards across his 21 starts in the Championship last season, and I think this is the perfect game for the former Southampton midfielder to pick up the first yellow card of his Fulham career.

Charles will have to contend with Tielemans, Mainoo and Fernandes in this game - as well as managing the threat of Cunha when he comes into more central areas either from the wing or as a false nine depending on how Carrick will set up. 

Tielemans and Mainoo are particularly strong when it comes to winning fouls, averaging 3.63 fouls won per 90 between them. Tielemans looks like he’ll be his main issue in this clash, he’s been pushing on quite high for United which will pit him directly against Shea Charles here.

I’ve been really impressed with Josh King so far, despite Fulham’s sluggish start to the season. 

King has definitely been Fulham’s standout performer, he’s scored two goals already this season - already outperforming his goal tally from last term. 

He’s taken 11 shots across these games (2.85 per 90), seeing five of his efforts find the target (1.30 per 90). I think King has a lot more confidence this season from his early performances, it’s clear he’s been given a lot of trust by Arbeloa as his starting number 10.

Manchester United are really vulnerable defensively and are yet to keep a clean sheet across their opening four Premier League matches - also conceding in both head to head meetings with Fulham last season.

The Resdev Roman holds a Racing Rating of 7.8 ahead of the 14:30 at Hamilton.

The Resdev Roman fits the profile that I like to target in Handicaps and Nurseys, first time testing the mark after showing stark improvement on their last run in novice or maiden company. Whilst she clearly took a significant step forward when switched to soft ground at Ripon, I don't believe that improvement was that far out of character.

Her debut form when an 80/1 shot in a good novice race at the Dante Festival was better than it reads; she was pushed hard to take the lead and forced to race wide that day and ultimately expended too much and weakened in the final furlong, finishing just a few lengths back from a number of horses who are now rated comfortably in the 80s.

Her opening mark of 75 seems rather lenient, especially if she improves to the standard expected now. Continuing on softer ground, I believe she has a great chance here at Hamilton down in class.

Annie Edson Taylor holds a Racing Rating of 8.4 ahead of the 15:30 at Hamilton.

Annie Edson Taylor won at Hamilton, on soft ground and over 6f, in early September and looks to have far more scope for progression, especially as she remains 3lb below her career-high winning mark of 70. She was well suited by the wetter conditions, and hopefully that will help her regain momentum after a tricky season up to that point.

At the time of writing, Thunderstorm Katie is the market leader for this contest at 3/1, which is slightly surprising considering that Annie Edson Taylor beat Thunderstorm Katie by quite a margin and I don't believe that the weight swing will be enough to overturn that, especially as Annie Edson Taylor gets her ground here at her favoured circuit.

Annie Edson Taylor posted field-leading figures on her last run, with an average speed of 36.9mph, something she's backed up across her last three, with an average speed of 37.8mph, which ranks as comfortably the best in the field today. She has the tools to win this contest, and the drift has given us the opportunity to take her E/W at 7/1.

Maximising holds a Racing Rating of 8.4 ahead of the 16:00 at Hamilton.

With Autumn arriving and the track softening significantly, especially in Scotland, we're sticking with our theme of targeting runners suited to softer conditions, with Maximising. Maximising posted a career best on soft ground at Windsor last time out, being sent off a 3/1 chance there and obliging by 2 lengths.

Billy Loughnane has never ridden at Hamilton before, and makes the trip with one purpose in mind - extending his championship lead over Oisin Murphy, who has no rides today and a three-day suspension for careless riding. Billy currently sits 18 winners ahead of Oisin, and every winner today would bring him one step closer to being crowned champion jockey at Ascot on Champions Day. His 20% strike rate across 664 rides makes him a man to target, especially on weaker cards like today.

Let's hope that the addition of the country's leading jockey will be enough to defy the rise in the weights for Maximising today on his favoured conditions.

Uncle Liam is Sunday's Racing Ratings NAP of the Day with a Racing Rating of 8.7.

Uncle Liam was a handy winner at Ayr at the beginning of September, justifying 5/2 favouritism with a 3l win off a 5lb lower mark under Danny Tudhope. The positive in that respect is that the 5lb rise has effectively been cancelled out by Lauren Young's 5lb claim here, so Uncle Liam will be running off the same terms that saw him produce such an impressive performance that day.

What really caught my eye was how much improvement the softer ground brings out of Uncle Liam, racing on worse than good ground 4 times in the last 12 months, and placing in or winning all of those efforts. The heavy ground conditions will certainly suit our selection here, and Lauren Young in the saddle is an even bigger positive, with her striking at 13.8% here at Hamilton and an impressive record with favourites here.

It has been a poor start to life in the Premier League for Alvaro Arbeloa, but there have been some positives for Fulham. Josh King has been particularly promising, and he has scored two out of four goals for his side. He has been featuring in the advanced midfield position, and has landed this selection in all four league matches so far. That includes four shots against Liverpool at Anfield last weekend. 

This seems like a good time to face Man United, as they are just coming off a damning defeat against Brighton, during which they squandered a 2-0 lead to end a notable Old Trafford record. Prior to that, they also lost 1-0 against Man City in a controversial derby.

Thomas Meunier has been operating on the right wing for Sunderland, which suits him nicely. The Belgian international typically features in a fullback role, but he likes to get forward and join attacks, and Regis Le Bris has recognised that.

Meunier accounted for three of Sunderland’s 12 shots against Arsenal last weekend, with one of those hitting the target. He has landed this selection in all four starts for the Black Cats, averaging 1.71 shots per 90. 

Man City will dominate the ball at the Etihad, but Sunderland showed against Arsenal that they can still create chances on the break. Meunier has a knack for popping up in promising shooting positions, which makes this price stand out.

Marcus Tavernier is another player who has hit the ground running this season. He scored against Man City in gameweek one of the Premier League, before adding to his tally against Newcastle and Brentford.

He has landed this selection in all four Premier League matches, averaging 3.32 shots per 90. Tavernier has clearly benefitted from Marco Rose’s system, as he is afforded plenty of freedom on the left wing, always looking to cut inside and shoot.

Five of his 13 shots this season have come from outside the box, with two of those from free-kick situations. Tavernier is given a massive role in the final third for the Cherries, and he should find chances to let fly against Liverpool this weekend.

This is a clash between two attack-minded teams, and the return of Andoni Iraola to the Vitality Stadium adds further intrigue this weekend. Liverpool haven’t been completely convincing under their new manager, but they remain unbeaten after six matches across all competitions, and Alexander Isak has played a massive role. 

He has scored three league goals, already matching his tally from the previous campaign, averaging 3.17 shots per 90 which is the highest in the Liverpool squad. After an injury-hit last season, Isak looks sharp again, and he has landed this selection in four out of five starts overall. Bournemouth are yet to keep a clean sheet this campaign, so Isak should be looking forward to this matchup.

Leeds extended their excellent start to the season by beating Newcastle 4-1 last weekend, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin found the back of the net. He has now scored three times in his last four appearances across all competitions. The former Everton man has really found his feet under Daniel Farke, and this upcoming matchup against Crystal Palace looks like a favourable one. 

The Eagles have lost three of their opening four Premier League matches, with ten goals conceded in that time. They have looked vulnerable at the back, conceding an average of 17.4 shots per game, with 6.0 on target. Opponents have had no issue creating chances, so Calvert-Lewin is one to keep an eye on.

Gonzalo Garcia’s shot volume in the early stages of this season has really stood out to me with the former Madrid striker taking 12 shots across his four starts in the division (3.11 per 90).

He’s found the target against Liverpool and Chelsea, scoring against the latter in Fulham’s opening game of the season. 

He’s clearly a striker that will get chances, and should have opportunities to find the target against a United side who are yet to keep a clean sheet in the Premier League.

Garcia scored six goals across his nine starts in LaLiga last season, taking 21 shots across these games (1.99 per 90) and seeing 11 of these efforts find the target (1.04 per 90).

Bruno Fernandes is still the only real player that can help United have a somewhat successful season and has already registered four goal contributions across his four starts, scoring three goals.

He’s taken 16 shots across these games (4.0 per 90), seeing five of these efforts find the target (1.25 per 90). He’s had more shots than any other United player in the Premier League this term, and should be an important figure here again.

Fernandes had a shot on target in this fixture last season as United were held to a 1-1 draw by Fulham at Craven Cottage. His start to the season has been promising, particularly when it comes to shots, and Fulham have real defensive issues that Fernandes can take advantage of.

I don’t trust either of these backlines at the moment and think this could be a high scoring game between two sides who are under real pressure following poor starts to the season.

Both sides saw 3+ goals during the week in the EFL Cup, with Fulham winning 3-2 against West Ham on the road and United giving up a two goal lead to lose 3-2 to Brighton and crash out in the first round of the cup.

United have only managed to win one of their opening four games in the Premier League, scoring and conceding the same number of goals across these games (7 - 3.5 per game), while Fulham are yet to win a game and have conceded seven goals across their seven matches.

The most recent league meeting between the sides produced five goals as United came away 3-2 winners over Fulham at Old Trafford. 

Kobbie Mainoo came into the starting lineup for United’s defeat to City in the Manchester Derby last week, winning one foul as he lined up alongside Youri Tielemans.

I’d expect Carrick to go with the same midfield pivot for this game and this is a nice price for Mainoo to win just one foul. He’s won five fouls across his three starts in the Premier League so far (1.62 per 90) and now faces off against Shea Charles.

Fulham are committing 10.3 fouls per game under Alvaro Arbeloa, Charles has committed one foul across his two starts so far but this is a record that will definitely increase the more he plays for Fulham. He averaged 1.42 fouls committed per 90 for Southampton in the Championship last season. 

Come the big games, come the big players and I think Jude will have a big impact on this match. We saw how much he stepped up for England in the summer.

Bellingham has averaged 1.42 shots on target per 90 minutes in La Liga this season.

He’s had a shot on target in five of his six starts in the league.

What I love about Jude is his routes to landing this bet. He’s excellent on both feet, can arrive late in the box and is also very good in the air.

Vini does have the tendency to get embroiled in drama in big games, especially in a match like this where Atleti will be firm on him and look to wind him up.

He’s committed eight fouls in the last five meetings with Atleti and this selection has landed in four of the games. He’s also been booked twice in that run if you fancy a higher odds angle.

This season, Vini has averaged 0.89 fouls per 90 minutes and has fouled in five out of seven matches in all competitions.

Marc Pubill who’ll start at right-back against Vinicius has drawn a steady 1.25 fouls per 90 minutes this season.

This is similar to the Vini pick. Mbappe can be petulant and in these big games, he can get frustrated and commit silly fouls.

He’s averaged 1.17 fouls per 90 minutes in La Liga this season and his seven fouls is actually the joint most in the Madrid squad along with Ibrahima Konate.

Mbappe has committed one or more fouls in four of his five La LIga matches this season.

He committed a foul and was carded the last time he played against Atleti.

Of course, Vinicius is an expert at drawing fouls and when tipping on Madrid games, I tend to look at his direct opponent for fouls.

Vini has drawn an average of 3.93 fouls per 90 minutes and has been fouled more times than any other player in the league.

Pubill has averaged 1.25 fouls per 90 minutes this season in La Liga and has fouled in four of his five starts.

Interestingly, when his foul counts have been particularly high, it’s been against very direct wingers with high dribble attempts. He committed three fouls against Liverpool when defending Rio Ngumoah and three against Bilbao when tasked with stopping Nico Williams.

Annie Edson Taylor holds a Racing Rating of 8.4 ahead of the 15:30 at Hamilton.

Annie Edson Taylor won at Hamilton, on soft ground and over 6f, in early September and looks to have far more scope for progression, especially as she remains 3lb below her career-high winning mark of 70. She was well suited by the wetter conditions, and hopefully that will help her regain momentum after a tricky season up to that point.

At the time of writing, Thunderstorm Katie is the market leader for this contest at 3/1, which is slightly surprising considering that Annie Edson Taylor beat Thunderstorm Katie by quite a margin and I don't believe that the weight swing will be enough to overturn that, especially as Annie Edson Taylor gets her ground here at her favoured circuit.

Annie Edson Taylor posted field-leading figures on her last run, with an average speed of 36.9mph, something she's backed up across her last three, with an average speed of 37.8mph, which ranks as comfortably the best in the field today. She has the tools to win this contest, and the drift has given us the opportunity to take her E/W at 7/1.

Maximising holds a Racing Rating of 8.4 ahead of the 16:00 at Hamilton.

With Autumn arriving and the track softening significantly, especially in Scotland, we're sticking with our theme of targeting runners suited to softer conditions, with Maximising. Maximising posted a career best on soft ground at Windsor last time out, being sent off a 3/1 chance there and obliging by 2 lengths.

Billy Loughnane has never ridden at Hamilton before, and makes the trip with one purpose in mind - extending his championship lead over Oisin Murphy, who has no rides today and a three-day suspension for careless riding. Billy currently sits 18 winners ahead of Oisin, and every winner today would bring him one step closer to being crowned champion jockey at Ascot on Champions Day. His 20% strike rate across 664 rides makes him a man to target, especially on weaker cards like today.

Let's hope that the addition of the country's leading jockey will be enough to defy the rise in the weights for Maximising today on his favoured conditions.

You won’t get this price very often with PSV, they’re the most dominant side in the Eredivisie and are yet to lose a game this term - winning five of their six matches and netting 22 goals in the process (3.66 per game).

Twente’s form on paper looks really solid, but digging a bit deeper into their results shows that they’ve had quite an easy start to the season. Twente have already faced two of the newly promoted sides as well as Telstar and Zwolle - two sides who finished just outside of the relegation spots last season.

Another aspect that stands out to me is the head-to-head record between these sides. They can sometimes be a little misleading if you rely on them in isolation, but PSV have won the last eight meetings between the sides, which is significant.

PSV put five goals past Twente when the sides last met, and I think the home side have been a little overrated in the market here following their strong start to the season on paper, which is a little less impressive when you see the sides that they’ve had to play so far.

Palace’s league form suffered last season in the gameweeks when they also had Thursday night European action.

They began their Europa League campaign with a 4-0 win over Lech Poznan, but face a much tougher test at Leeds.

The Whites are a tough nut to crack, their unbeaten in the league so far and put Newcastle to the sword on Monday night, 4-1.

They beat Palace 4-1 in this encounter last season and have a repeatable way of playing that could see them go into the international break as Arsenal and Man City's closest challengers at the top of the table.

Lugano are the surprise front-runners in the Swiss Super League this season, after Thun upset the odds to win it last term. They’ve won seven of eight, drawing the other, and they travel to rock-bottom Lausanne on Sunday.

Lausanne have picked up just one point in their last five league matches, scoring in just two of those games, not the best preparation to face the early pace-setters.

Lugano have scored two or more goals in seven of eight in the league (88%), and doing so again would make a victory very likely.

Lausanne’s process has been just as concerning as their points tally, towards the bottom on expected points, generating just 7.6 xG from eight matches compared to Lugano’s 13.4.

Bodo/Glimt have been pretty flawless in the Eliteserien this term, winning 80% (16) of their 20 games so far, but they’ve had to be, with reigning champions Viking only three points behind them in 2nd.

Brann haven’t hit the heights of previous years and are nine points off the European spots with 10 to play.

Bodo won the reverse fixture 3-1 in May and have won nine in a row in the league.

Brann are slowly approaching an end to the season with nothing to play for, while the league title is on the line for Bodo; the visitors also have the best attack and defence in the league.

Paderborn are yet to score in their three league outings this season, returning to the Bundesliga after six seasons in the second tier.

They are as short as 1.40 in places to be relegated, and they face a Hoffenheim side that beat, Champions League outfit Stuttgart last time out.

Hoffenheim have scored two goals in each of their three Bundesliga clashes, and there’s some extra juice in the price ahead of their trip to Paderborn because they were in Europa League action in Greece on Thursday evening.

This match presents the perfect opportunity to go into the international break off the back of a win, and bounce back from their 2-0 defeat at Crete.

Timothy Castagne should start on the right side of Fulham’s back four this weekend, placing him directly against Marcus Rashford. The Man United winger has looked rejuvenated since returning to the starting lineup under Michael Carrick, and he is averaging 1.95 fouls drawn per 90 this season. In fact, Rashford has been fouled six times in his four Premier League appearances. 

Castagne has committed seven fouls in his five appearances this season, and the Belgian international seems to really struggle when isolated against pacey wingers. Last season, he had an average of 0.83 fouls per 90 across all competitions, but that number has risen to 1.54 this season, which shows how he is a bit more vulnerable in Alvaro Arbeloa’s system.

It hasn’t taken long for Honest Ahanor to establish himself as a regular starter at Crystal Palace - he has played the full 90 in all three games since arriving over the summer. In that time, he has drawn a total of six fouls, averaging 2.0 fouls drawn per 90.

That is a small sample size to go off, but Ahanor was just as adept at drawing contact for Atalanta last season. The highly-rated 18-year-old averaged 2.13 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions for the Italian side.

For a centre back, those are impressive numbers. He is confident enough to look to get on the ball, and Ahanor can often go down quite easily under contact to buy his side soft free-kicks and allow them to get a foothold in possession.

Jeremy Jacquet is another centre back who is a target for drawing fouls, and he has landed this selection in all four Premier League starts this season.

The Liverpool defender is usually the one who looks to step forward and contest duels, while Virgil Van Dijk hangs back to sweep. That means Jacquet typically has plenty of duels to contest, which is ideal. 

Last season, the Frenchman had an average of 0.92 fouls drawn per 90 for Rennes, which is still relatively high, but that figure looks set to increase this season. He is averaging 1.38 fouls drawn per 90 since arriving at Anfield.

Rayan Cherki has already contributed two goals and two assists in Man City’s opening four Premier League matches, operating in an attacking midfield role. His work rate has also been commendable, and the Frenchman has committed five fouls in those matches. Cherki is averaging 1.5 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season. 

Cherki should find duels against Granit Xhaka, who has drawn nine fouls in five starts for Sunderland this season. He sees plenty of the ball in midfield, and will occupy a similar zone of the field as Cherki this weekend. Sunderland were fouled ten times by Arsenal in their last league game, and Martin Odegaard accounted for two of those infringements.

I tipped this on the last Atalanta game I covered and it was an easy winner. Scalvini is an immensely talented young defender but he does lack a bit of experience.

He’s committed an average of 1.25 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A this season. He’s made five fouls in four Serie A matches and he’s made at least one in every game.

He’ll also be in charge of marshalling Randal Kolo Muani, Juve’s second most fouled player. He’s drawn an average of 1.50 fouls per 90 minutes in the league this season.

Kessie started his first league game against Cagliari, after spending some time without a club following his departure from the Saudi Pro League.

Kessie shone at Atalanta early in his career and at 29 he still has a lot to give.

He’s been a regular for being carded throughout his career and has regularly averaged between 1.5 0 - 1.90 fouls per 90 minutes.

He’s averaged 1.47, 1.49 and 1.37 fouls per 90 in Saudi Arabia.

He committed a foul in his only start and managed one in just 12 minutes of game time against Roma.

Despite being associated more with his ability on the ball, the Portuguese winger has racked up some pretty crazy foul numbers so far this season.

He’s averaged a massive 3.13 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A. He’s made two or more fouls in three of his four appearances, including four fouls in two of those.

Ederson often drifts in those pockets to the left side of the Atalanta midfield and Conceicao will be in close proximity. Ederson has drawn an average of 2.50 fouls per 90 minutes this season.

Kessie loves to have a go from range and get himself in and around the box when possible. He’s had some tremendous goalscoring seasons in his career, especially in Italy, he netted 13 for Milan back in ‘20/21 and got 10 in his first season in Saudi Arabia.

He’s averaged above 1.00 shots per 90 throughout his entire career and was up closer to 2.00 during his time in Italy.

In his first start he had three shots, so the odds perhaps haven’t caught up yet since his return.

I would imagine he is also Atalanta’s penalty taker. He’s an expert from the spot, so that could be an easy tick on the slip if they were to get one.

Hobro have seen BTTS land in six of eight league games this season, including all three of their away trips.

Koege are sitting bottom but have improved of late, scoring in three of their last four, including a couple of 2-2 draws, and two of the last three head-to-heads have seen both sides find the net.

From 16 collective attempts, Koege and Hobro have only managed three clean sheets combined so far this term.

Hobro have found the net in seven of eight, but do come into this one as outsiders even though they’re travelling to the rock-bottom side, which demonstrates that Koege have improved and look more capable than their league position would suggest.

Csikszereda have conceded 2.33 goals per game this season, and their visit to Petrolul is an opportunity for the hosts to improve on their 4th-placed position, at the time of writing, in the table.

Csikszereda are also bottom of the Romanian top-flight with just one draw from their nine matches, but they have managed to find the net in each of their last four games.

BTTS has landed in each of their last three, and it came in after just 26 minutes of their last game.

Petrolul have conceded in six of nine league games this term and if they fail to keep a clean sheet again, this looks a very generous price on both teams scoring.