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I've played a blinder here. Got EVS for a Nicolas Jackson shot on target against Barcelona, boosted from 1.57. It also includes him hitting the woodwork and it is also covered by Super Sub.

Across all competitions, Jackson has comfortably had more shots on target than any other Aston Villa player. He has had 18 compared to John McGinn's next best of 8 for comparison.

Jackson averages 1.84 shots on target per 90 minutes across all competitions and he averages a mental 3.20 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Champions League having had 2 v Brugge, 3 v Fenerbahce and 3 v Viking.

Jackson has had at least one shot on target in each of his last eight appearances for Aston Villa across all competitions, he had multiple shots on target in six of those eight matches.

Another thing that excites me about this Super Boost is that Barcelona play a ridiculous high line and do concede plenty of chances and that is something that an in-form forward like Nicolas Jackson can exploit and hit the target at least once in the match.

3+ Goals

There's no guarantees in betting obviously, but at the minute, Barcelona games are almost guaranteed goals with their last 12 having three or more goals.

Villa's three UCL matches so far have been 3-2, 6-0 and 3-1 wins.

Bayern are similar on the goals front so their game against Atletico has a great chance of goals.

Bayern's matches so far have been a 5-0 win over Bodo, a 3-3 draw with Viking and then a 2-2 draw against Arsenal.

Man Utd are awful right now, conceding goals and losing matches. They're set to take on a Roma side who have scored 16 goals in their last four and nine goals in their last two.

9+ Corners
Barcelona v Aston Villa is a great match up for corners as both sides like to attack in wide areas. In Villa's last two UCL matches there has been a massive 30 corners taken.

There were 12 corners in Atletico's first UCL match v Liverpool, 7 v Man Utd but then 13 in their match against Stuttgart.

There were 9 when Bayern played Bodo, 22 when they played Viking and 8 v Arsenal.

There have been 23 corners in Roma's last two Champions League matches. Man Utd's first home match v Sabah had nine corners.

2+ Cards

There has been 2+ cards in 2/3 of Barcelona's UCL matches. It's also 2/3 matches for Aston Villa.

There has been 2+ cards in 3/3 of Atletico's UCL matches. It's also 3/3 matches for Bayern.

There has been 2+ cards in 3/3 of Man Utd's UCL matches. It's also 3/3 matches for Roma.

Building on the obvious weakness of Barcelona at the back, Aston Villa have enough quality in forward areas to get on the scoresheet.

It would be a real shock if Barcelona didn’t manage to get on the scoresheet here, they’ve scored in each of their last 16 competitive matches - including every game this season.

So we’re mainly looking at Villa to score here, with Jackson and Manzambi being their main threats. Unai Emery’s side have scored at least three goals in every Champions League game so far.

This is an obvious step up in quality from those opponents, but I can’t get away from Barcelona’s risky style of play here which will inevitably lead to Villa getting decent chances in front of goal.

Barcelona have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches, including conceding goals to Deportivo La Coruna and Galatasaray. They also have seen BTTS in all three of their Champions League games.

Man Utd are winless across their last nine matches, conceding multiple goals in each of their last three games against Chelsea, Bournemouth and Como.

There’s actually an argument to suggest that Carrick and his side may prefer playing away from Old Trafford at the moment, due to the growing toxicity in the ground which was evident against Bournemouth a few weeks ago.

Roma are flying under Gian Piero Gasperini, they scored five at the weekend against Udinese and have scored in each of their last six matches - netting multiple times in all of these games, including three goals against Real Madrid.

Roma have only failed to score in one game all season, which was an away defeat to Como where Roma were reduced to 10 men early in the second half. Malen in particular is playing really well, netting eight goals in Serie A already - he could be the one to get on the scoresheet for the away side.

Building on the obvious weakness of Barcelona at the back, Aston Villa have enough quality in forward areas to get on the scoresheet.

It would be a real shock if Barcelona didn’t manage to get on the scoresheet here, they’ve scored in each of their last 16 competitive matches - including every game this season.

So we’re mainly looking at Villa to score here, with Jackson and Manzambi being their main threats. Unai Emery’s side have scored at least three goals in every Champions League game so far.

This is an obvious step up in quality from those opponents, but I can’t get away from Barcelona’s risky style of play here which will inevitably lead to Villa getting decent chances in front of goal.

Barcelona have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches, including conceding goals to Deportivo La Coruna and Galatasaray. They also have seen BTTS in all three of their Champions League games.

Bayern have seen this selection land in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions, including all three of their Champions League games against Arsenal, Viking and Bodo Glimt.

Bayern have covered this line on their own in two of those games, and have also notably failed to keep a clean sheet across their last seven matches. That recent record would suggest that Atletico can contribute to the goal tally here in what should be an end to end and entertaining match.

Atletico’s recent matches have admittedly been a lot tighter, but their last two Champions League games have seen a red card produced in the second half - massively affecting the gamestate. They did see 3+ goals on Matchday 1, losing 2-1 to Liverpool at Anfield.

It’s hard to see how Atletico can get any success here by just being defensive solid. They have to offer an attacking threat to match the scoring power of Bayern, who have seen 3+ goals in 88% of their Bundesliga matches and 100% of their Champions League matches.

Villarreal look just a little off the level of the Champions League, which was evident in their last outing in the competition as they conceded four goals to Liverpool at Anfield.

They’ve conceded in all three of their Champions League matches, conceding 2+ goals in two of these games against Dortmund and Liverpool.

They conceded an xG of 1.70 against Napoli in the one game where this selection didn’t land, and a side with the attacking quality of PSG will be able to punish their defence more than the Italian side did.

PSG have scored at least four goals in every Champions League game so far, including clashes against Barcelona and Man City.

They’ve scored 2+ goals in each of their last seven matches, and Luis Enrique will see this as an opportunity to secure PSG’s spot in the top eight as they’re already flawless in the competition with three wins from three.

Man Utd are winless across their last nine matches, conceding multiple goals in each of their last three games against Chelsea, Bournemouth and Como.

There’s actually an argument to suggest that Carrick and his side may prefer playing away from Old Trafford at the moment, due to the growing toxicity in the ground which was evident against Bournemouth a few weeks ago.

Roma are flying under Gian Piero Gasperini, they scored five at the weekend against Udinese and have scored in each of their last six matches - netting multiple times in all of these games, including three goals against Real Madrid.

Roma have only failed to score in one game all season, which was an away defeat to Como where Roma were reduced to 10 men early in the second half. Malen in particular is playing really well, netting eight goals in Serie A already - he could be the one to get on the scoresheet for the away side.

There was a lot of promise in Burnley’s 0-0 draw with Portsmouth on Saturday, their first game with Fabio Celestini in charge.

Burnley generated 1.89 xG, with Marcus Edwards producing one of the biggest misses of the season so far, while, arguably even more impressively, they restricted Pompey to five shots and only one inside the box - equating to 0.25 xG.

A performance close to that will see them generate enough chances to get on the scoresheet at a QPR side who’re not known for defensive solidity.

They have conceded in 10/13 league games so far this season, while Burnley’s improved defensive process should give them the platform to express themselves more in the final third.

Poor old Preston.

They’ve already pressed the new manager button, welcoming a club legend in Graham Alexander back to the club after his very impressive work at Bradford, but he’s only returned one point from five league games.

They mustered a pathetic 0.10 xG from just three shots in their 2-0 defeat at Stoke on Saturday and they host a Sheff U side who have improved of late and are knocking on the door of the play-offs as a result.

Chris Wilder’s Blades have scored in their last five league away games, netting two or more in three of those, and have taken seven points from their last three games.

This bet is unbeaten in 12/13 PNE league games this season and they’re already six points adrift of safety, sitting rock-bottom with preparation for League One creeping towards the forefront of their minds.

Lincoln continue to be underestimated by the market and should get on the scoresheet at Vicarage Road.

Lincoln have scored in 10/13 in the league, and one of those blanks was a game where they saw two red cards in the first half, it’s 10/12 (83%) if we exclude that one.

Watford have only kept one clean sheet in their 13 league outings, and it came at home to Charlton - who’re 2nd-bottom for xG for and goals for.

Watford are a relegation-battler on virtually every metric, they’re at the bottom end for xG against as well, while Lincoln have scored seven goals in their last three games, with this bet landing in the first half of two of those.

Huddersfield are playing so well, it could materialise that they run away with the league and build a 10+ point cushion at the top.

They’re title favourites and as short as 1.44 in places for promotion.

If that comes to pass, it’ll make a mockery of the fact that we’re still getting prices around even money for them to win home games.

Huddersfield top the league on points, expected points, expected goal difference and xG against, while they’re 2nd for xG for.

There are two teams in this match though and Luton are only five points back in the table, they’re overperforming a touch in front of goal - netting 26 from 23.2 xG where Huddersfield are at a more sustainable 27 from 28.5.

The scheduling is against the visitors as well, this will be their second away game in four days while Huddersfield’s 3-0 early kick-off win at Bradford on Saturday was done and dusted by the time Luton kicked off in their 2-0 win at Peterborough.

This bet is unbeaten in 6/6 of Huddersfield’s home league games this term.

Southampton have scored in 12/13 league games so far this term, and they travel to a West Brom side who’ve unsustainably overperformed to concede only 14 from 19.0 xG.

Saints have scored seven goals in their last two games, and that’s come against 8th and 9th in the table (West Ham and QPR) but their attack has been so good they’ve been able to find the net like they were playing relegation-battlers.

West Brom have kept just two clean sheets in 13 league outings, shutting out Watford and Derby (21st and 23rd), they’re about to face a far superior attack.

Only Middlesbrough and West Ham have scored more in the league than Southampton, and the visitors rank 5th for xG for.

Bayern have really struggled to keep clean sheets this season, with both teams scoring in each of their last seven games across all competitions.

They drew 2-2 at home to Dortmund over the weekend, the same scoreline as their last Champions League game against Arsenal.

Their attack has still been incredible, averaging more than three goals per game this season, but their defence has been giving opponents plenty of chances, allowing at least 12 shots in four of their last five games.

They even conceded against second-division side Magdeburg, allowing nine shots in that game.

Atlético have the third-best attack in La Liga and they've scored in all five of their home league matches.

They're averaging 1.82 xG at home across all competitions and have already shown what they can do by beating Real Madrid 2-1.

Both Villarreal and PSG have scored and conceded in all three of their Champions League games so far, and every one of those games has had at least four goals.

PSG have the best attack in the competition, averaging 4.67 goals per game, and they're coming off two 4-2 wins against Manchester City and Barcelona.

Villarreal, meanwhile, have shown they can score against defences that don't usually give much away, putting three past Liverpool and two past Dortmund away from home.

That hasn't been enough to turn those performances into more wins, though, as they've conceded eight goals in the Champions League, averaging 2.67 per match.

The Spanish side have also gone 14 straight games in the competition without keeping a clean sheet.

The good news is that PSG haven't exactly been solid at the back either, conceding five goals in three games, including one at home to Slovan Bratislava.

Villarreal have had at least 13 shots in every Champions League game so far, and now they're facing a PSG side that takes more shots than anyone else, averaging 24 attempts per match.

Both Villarreal and PSG have scored and conceded in all three of their Champions League games so far, and every one of those games has had at least four goals.

PSG have the best attack in the competition, averaging 4.67 goals per game, and they're coming off two 4-2 wins against Manchester City and Barcelona.

Villarreal, meanwhile, have shown they can score against defences that don't usually give much away, putting three past Liverpool and two past Dortmund away from home.

That hasn't been enough to turn those performances into more wins, though, as they've conceded eight goals in the Champions League, averaging 2.67 per match.

The Spanish side have also gone 14 straight games in the competition without keeping a clean sheet.

The good news is that PSG haven't exactly been solid at the back either, conceding five goals in three games, including one at home to Slovan Bratislava.

Villarreal have had at least 13 shots in every Champions League game so far, and now they're facing a PSG side that takes more shots than anyone else, averaging 24 attempts per match.

Gordon has settled in really well to this Barcelona side, and has had the most shots on target of any Barcelona player in the Champions League this season.

All four of his shots on target actually came in one game, as Barcelona beat Galatasaray 4-1 a few weeks ago. That may sound alarming, but his record in LaLiga suggests that he’s much more consistent when it comes to finding the target.

Only Raphinha and Yamal (both 19) have had more shots on target than Gordon in LaLiga this season. The former Newcastle winger is averaging 1.81 shots on target per 90 domestically - and has found the target in 70% of his LaLiga matches.

It’s also worth noting that one of the main reasons as to why Barcelona went for Gordon in the summer was because of his record in the Champions League last season.

Gordon scored 10 goals across just nine starts for a Newcastle side that struggled to deal with the quality of the Champions League. He had 14 shots on target during that campaign, working out to an average of 1.64 shots on target per 90.

Believe it or not, only Mbappe (10) has had more shots on target in the Champions League this season than Nicolas Jackson (8).

He’s found the target twice in all three of his Champions League matches against Brugge, Fenerbahce and Viking. While this is an obvious step up in quality, Barcelona still offer up so many chances to opposition sides with their high line.

Jackson’s movement is really clever, and has improved further working under the guidance of Unai Emery - who seems to have a way to get the most out of forwards that previously haven’t been that clinical.

Jackson should also be full of confidence. He’s scored in each of his last two Premier League matches against Fulham and Man City, managing a shot on target in each of his last five games domestically.

Hansi Flick confirmed in a recent press conference that he has no intention of changing Barcelona’s style of play, which sees them play with a ridiculously high line without really having the right profiles to play in this way.

Their forward options almost always account for this weakness, but it does mean that Barcelona regularly give up chances to the opposition. They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, and have only kept four across their last 14 games more widely.

This defensive weakness obviously leads to more work for Joan Garcia, who is a top keeper. He’s been forced into making 20 saves across his 10 starts domestically (2.11 per 90) and has also been called into action 13 times across his three Champions League starts (4.33 per 90).

Building on the obvious weakness of Barcelona at the back, Aston Villa have enough quality in forward areas to get on the scoresheet.

It would be a real shock if Barcelona didn’t manage to get on the scoresheet here, they’ve scored in each of their last 16 competitive matches - including every game this season.

So we’re mainly looking at Villa to score here, with Jackson and Manzambi being their main threats. Unai Emery’s side have scored at least three goals in every Champions League game so far.

This is an obvious step up in quality from those opponents, but I can’t get away from Barcelona’s risky style of play here which will inevitably lead to Villa getting decent chances in front of goal.

Barcelona have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches, including conceding goals to Deportivo La Coruna and Galatasaray. They also have seen BTTS in all three of their Champions League games.

Only Donyell Malen (21) has had more shots on target across all competitions for Roma this season than Soule (13 - 1.38 per 90).

He’s such a talented player, and is playing under the perfect coach on Gian Piero Gasperini - who has made a habit of taking attacking players to the next level, as he’s done with Malen over the last year.

Soule has also taken the second most shots for Roma (32 - 3.39 per 90) across all competitions, again only sitting behind Malen - who is having a freakish season.

Soule has had at least two shots in eight of his ten matches in Serie A this season, and will certainly get opportunities here against a Man Utd side who look hopeless at the moment.

After defeat to Chelsea at the weekend and a 4-1 loss to Como in their last European outing, Carrick could do with a response from United. Mbeumo is expected to lead the line again, and his Premier League numbers suggest he's the right man to get their attack going.

He's registered a shot on target in every league appearance this season, with his 12 across nine games double the tally of both Cunha and Fernandes. His 1.33 on target per 90 is also the best in the squad, so in a United side averaging five per league game, he's been their most consistent contributor.

His last five league appearances read 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, putting him within touching distance of this line even when he hasn't reached it. Roma should give him opportunities too, conceding 4.33 shots on target per 90 in Serie A and 4.40 in the Champions League. Their keeper has been getting tested in both competitions.

Mbeumo's UCL numbers are worth flagging, with just two on target across three games and none against Como. However, another central start should put him in the positions to improve that record, and with Roma allowing attempts through, I've backed United's most reliable league shooter to find the target twice.

At 35, De Roon is still putting in the hard yards for Gasperini. He's played 448 minutes across five Serie A starts and started Roma's two most recent Champions League games, even getting on the scoresheet in their 4-3 defeat to Real Madrid.

It's his work without the ball that interests me here though. He's committing 1.81 fouls per 90 in Serie A, up from 1.23 last season, while engaging in 8.24 duels per 90. His last five league appearances read 2, 0, 3, 3, 0 for fouls, accounting for 8 of his 9 this season, with 6 of the overall tally coming away from home.

United have players capable of drawing him into those challenges. Tielemans wins a squad-high 2.28 fouls per 90 in the Premier League and was fouled three times against Como. Cunha isn't far behind at 1.90 per 90, drawing 2+ in 5 of his 9 league appearances, so depending on Carrick's setup, De Roon could have some awkward matchups.

Roma have also committed 14.67 fouls per Champions League game, the joint-highest figure alongside LASK. De Roon himself has only contributed one in each of his two European appearances, so the team total doesn't tell the whole story. But his recent league run and United's foul-winning midfielders give him opportunities to get caught a second time, and Utd have to go for it here. I'm expecting them to still give Roma a good game, and the Italian side may have to be cynical at times to stop that.

Villa's defence has been busiest through the middle this season, which could suit Raphinha nicely if he continues at the nine. 73% of the shots they've conceded have come through the central channel, putting Barca's expected striker in an area opponents have regularly been able to shoot from.

Raphinha has certainly been making the most of his opportunities domestically. He's averaging 4.36 shots and 2.37 on target per 90 in La Liga, with both figures placing him in the top 1% of strikers in the league. He's reached two on target in five of his ten league appearances, including three of his last five, and contributed two against Alavés last time out.

Meanwhile Villa are allowing five shots on target per 90 in the Premier League, with only three teams conceding more. Their Champions League figure is slightly lower at 4.67, but still gives us encouragement against a Barca side producing 8.33 on target per 90 in Europe.

Raphinha's European sample is smaller, with two on target against Feyenoord and one against PSG. However, his squad-leading 9.62 touches in the opposition box per 90 shows he's getting involved close to goal. Put that alongside his shooting volume and the areas Villa have been conceding attempts from, and there's plenty behind his inclusion.

Maatsen knows what it's like to face Spanish opposition on a big European night, having started Dortmund's Champions League final against Real Madrid two and a half years ago. But this time he'll be lining up for Villa against Barcelona, but what really caught my eye in this one is his likely opponent Yamal. I don't think much more is needed to be said tbh.

That assignment is the main reason Maatsen is in over Cash. 37% of Barca's attacks come down their right, where Yamal attempts 7.36 dribbles per 90 and gets past his opponent 4.28 times in La Liga. Both figures lead the league's wingers, so Maatsen could find himself being asked the same difficult question throughout the game.

Yamal's ability to draw fouls has carried into Europe too. He's winning 2.67 per 90 in the Champions League and drew 6 against PSG last time out, with left-back Hernández committing 3. Maatsen won't necessarily repeat that tally, but it's a recent example of the problems this particular matchup can create.

The Dutchman is committing 1.24 fouls per 90 in the Premier League, up from 0.96 last season, while attempting 2.47 tackles and being dribbled past 0.88 times per 90. Two fouls is above his usual rate, granted, but he seems to have established himself as Villa's main left back, especially with Ruggeri out, and what better opportunity to see a classic winger v fullback matchup than here. Not just any against any winger either, one who keeps taking defenders on. So I've backed the matchup to push him beyond his average.

Bayern haven't kept a clean sheet in seven games, and although we don't need Álvarez to score, their recent opponents have shown there are opportunities to test the keeper.

Dortmund registered six shots on target against them at the weekend, with Fábio Silva supplying two, while Arsenal managed five in Bayern's latest Champions League outing. Those are useful examples of forwards getting chances against a defence that is still allowing 3.38 shots on target per 90 in the Bundesliga.

Álvarez UCL stats are quite convincing as well. Last season, he registered 22 shots on target in the Champions League, more than anyone else in the Atlético squad, averaging 1.60 per 90. This campaign, he's contributed 4 across 3 appearances, with his 1.51 per 90 comfortably the best in the team.

His domestic numbers are encouraging too, averaging 1.91 on target per 90 in an Atlético side whose 6.09 per 90 is only bettered by Barcelona and Real Madrid in La Liga.

The concern is their lower output in Europe, where they're averaging 4 on target per 90, so 2 from Álvarez would be a sizeable contribution. But he's been their leading individual threat in this competition, and Bayern's recent games have provided enough encouragement for me to include him.

Bayern's team has already been hit with injury problems, but one player unaffected is Laimer who I expect to continue at right-back here, and his recent foul record suggests Atlético's left side could earn a couple of free-kicks.

He's committed 11 fouls in the Bundesliga this season, the second most in the Bayern squad, while his 2.36 per 90 is the highest frequency of any of his teammates too. For context, his last five league appearances read 3, 2, 3, 1, 2, so this selection has landed in 4 of those 5 games.

He's carried that involvement into Europe, committing a squad-high 5 fouls across Bayern's three Champions League fixtures. Four came against Arsenal last time out, and his 9.55 duels per 90 in the competition shows he's regularly involved in contests where another could follow.

Baena is the expected opponent down that side. The Spaniard's won a foul in each of his 3 Champions League appearances, averaging 1.69 won per 90 compared with 1.30 in La Liga. He also attempts 1.29 dribbles per 90, giving Laimer something to deal with when he carries the ball forward.

This isn't quite the relentless dribbling matchup Maatsen could face against Yamal, but Laimer's own numbers do more of the convincing here.

His European rate of 1.84 fouls per 90 sits just below the line, while his recent Bundesliga run shows 2+ is a tally he's been reaching regularly. I fancy him to do it here, and I think this could actually be a really intersting game.

Rodri has committed 10 fouls across his 13 appearances for Barcelona across all competitions this season (1.00 per 90), but I’d expect that record to rise as we go through the season and there’s a favourable matchup here against one of the most fouled sides in the Premier League.

Aston Villa have long been a very good side when it comes to winning fouls, no English side has won more fouls than Villa since Emery took charge and that’s no coincidence - the way Villa play invites fouls and sets up individual matchups all over the pitch.

I’m particularly interested in Rodri’s battle with Joao Gomes here. I can see the Brazilian really getting involved in the midfield battle, antagonising Rodri in the process. He’s won four fouls in the Champions League this season.

Rodri will also have to manage the threat of John McGinn, who is one of the best players in Europe when it comes to winning fouls - maintaining an average of 2.00 fouls won per 90 or higher in each of the last three seasons.

Mario Hermoso committed three fouls at the weekend as Roma came away 5-2 winners against Udinese. I’d consider looking at higher lines for the centre back here, they’re pretty generously priced for a player that is regularly quite aggressive.

Hermoso has committed a foul in all three of his Champions League matches so far, committing multiple fouls against Real Madrid and Fenerbahce. He committed 40 fouls across 25 starts in Serie A last season (1.72 per 90), also maintaining an average of 1.93 fouls committed per 90 in the Europa League.

It’s clear that Hermoso is a consistent player when it comes to winning fouls, and will be one of the main Roma players to watch here for infringements. You can back Hermoso to commit 2+ fouls at 2.50, which is a really appealing price.

Tajon Buchanan has won more fouls than any other Villarreal player in the Champions League this season (7 - 4.67 per 90), and has also won the most fouls across all competitions for the LaLiga side (3.18 per 90).

He won 36 fouls across his 34 appearances in LaLiga last season (1.78 per 90), with only three players in the Villarreal squad winning more fouls than Buchanan during that campaign.

PSG aren't the most aggressive side in Europe, but do play with a really effective counter press. This can leave gaps, especially in wide areas with Hakimi and Mendes being so willing to push on into advanced areas. I can see Buchanan exploiting that space, making him a target to be fouled.

Yamal has reached a new level of goalscoring this season, netting 12 goals across just 14 appearances across all competitions.

It’s a part of his game that has steadily improved over the last few years, with the winger going from 18 goals in his first full season to 24 goals last year.

Yamal scored six goals across his ten appearances in the Champions League last season. He’s already scored two goals across his three starts in the competition this year, and comes into this clash having scored twice at the weekend against Deportivo La Coruna.

Manzambi is such an exciting player, and has slotted in seamlessly as a replacement for Morgan Rogers.

He’s linked up really well with Jackson, and has scored three goals already this season - including one in the Champions League.

Only Buendia (27) and Jackson (33) have taken more shots for Aston Villa this season than Manzambi (3.70 per 90), with Manzambi featuring in four fewer games than this duo.

He’s had six shots on target across his seven appearances overall (1.17 per 90) and found the target against Fulham at the weekend.

Matty Cash has picked up more yellow cards than any other Aston Villa player this season, with five in eight Premier League games, including four in his last five matches.

The right-back has also been giving away plenty of fouls, averaging 2.19 per 90 minutes.

He recently gave away four fouls and got booked against Manchester City. Against Fulham last time out, he picked up another yellow despite committing just one foul.

Cash is likely to come up against Anthony Gordon, who's been fouled in three of his last four starts. He'll also have to deal with Raphinha's movement down that side.

The referee could make things even trickier for Cash. Davide Massa has averaged 4.35 yellow cards per game in Serie A over the past 12 months, while calling more than 25 fouls per match.

Rodri has committed 10 fouls across his 13 appearances for Barcelona across all competitions this season (1.00 per 90), but I’d expect that record to rise as we go through the season and there’s a favourable matchup here against one of the most fouled sides in the Premier League.

Aston Villa have long been a very good side when it comes to winning fouls, no English side has won more fouls than Villa since Emery took charge and that’s no coincidence - the way Villa play invites fouls and sets up individual matchups all over the pitch.

I’m particularly interested in Rodri’s battle with Joao Gomes here. I can see the Brazilian really getting involved in the midfield battle, antagonising Rodri in the process. He’s won four fouls in the Champions League this season.

Rodri will also have to manage the threat of John McGinn, who is one of the best players in Europe when it comes to winning fouls - maintaining an average of 2.00 fouls won per 90 or higher in each of the last three seasons.

Bryan Mbeumo has had more shots on target than any other Man Utd player across all competitions this season (14 - 1.19 per 90).

He found the target right at the death against Chelsea last time out, forcing a superb save from Mike Penders. That effort on target landed my Chelsea v Man Utd Bet Builder on Saturday, and I think Mbeumo can help us to another winner.

He’s incredibly consistent when it comes to finding the target, managing at least one effort on goal in every Premier League match this term. He’s found the target in two of his three Champions League matches, only failing to do so against Como.

Mbeumo should lead the line for Man Utd again here, with Benjamin Sesko still battling an injury.

Only Donyell Malen (21) has had more shots on target across all competitions for Roma this season than Soule (13 - 1.38 per 90).

He’s such a talented player, and is playing under the perfect coach on Gian Piero Gasperini - who has made a habit of taking attacking players to the next level, as he’s done with Malen over the last year.

Soule has also taken the second most shots for Roma (32 - 3.39 per 90) across all competitions, again only sitting behind Malen - who is having a freakish season.

Soule has had at least two shots in eight of his ten matches in Serie A this season, and will certainly get opportunities here against a Man Utd side who look hopeless at the moment.

Roma have been one of the most exciting sides in Europe to watch this season, and saw seven goals at the weekend as they beat Udinese 5-2.

They’ve seen 3+ goals in each of their last four games, including their last Champions League clash against Slovan Bratislava, where they covered this line on their own in a 4-0 win.

Roma have seen 3+ goals in two of their three Champions League matches, with the exception of their 1-1 draw against Fenerbahce which is a real anomaly when you look at Roma’s games overall.

Man Utd are winless across their last nine matches, which is one of the worst records in the club’s history. They conceded an xG of 3.01 against Chelsea over the weekend, and conceded four in their last Champions League clash against Como.

Mario Hermoso committed three fouls at the weekend as Roma came away 5-2 winners against Udinese. I’d consider looking at higher lines for the centre back here, they’re pretty generously priced for a player that is regularly quite aggressive.

Hermoso has committed a foul in all three of his Champions League matches so far, committing multiple fouls against Real Madrid and Fenerbahce. He committed 40 fouls across 25 starts in Serie A last season (1.72 per 90), also maintaining an average of 1.93 fouls committed per 90 in the Europa League.

It’s clear that Hermoso is a consistent player when it comes to winning fouls, and will be one of the main Roma players to watch here for infringements. You can back Hermoso to commit 2+ fouls at 2.50, which is a really appealing price.

Bayern have seen this selection land in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions, including all three of their Champions League games against Arsenal, Viking and Bodo Glimt.

Bayern have covered this line on their own in two of those games, and have also notably failed to keep a clean sheet across their last seven matches. That recent record would suggest that Atletico can contribute to the goal tally here in what should be an end to end and entertaining match.

Atletico’s recent matches have admittedly been a lot tighter, but their last two Champions League games have seen a red card produced in the second half - massively affecting the gamestate. They did see 3+ goals on Matchday 1, losing 2-1 to Liverpool at Anfield.

It’s hard to see how Atletico can get any success here by just being defensive solid. They have to offer an attacking threat to match the scoring power of Bayern, who have seen 3+ goals in 88% of their Bundesliga matches and 100% of their Champions League matches.

Bayern are averaging 8.0 corners per game in the Champions League this season, which is impressively high. Even though that figure is highly influenced by the Bavarians’ count of 15 against Viking, Bayern are averaging 8.1 corners per game across all competitions, highlighting just how attack-minded they have been.

However, it is unlikely to be one-way traffic for the full 90 minutes in Madrid - Atletico tend to play with confidence on home turf. They are unbeaten in any of their six games at the Metropolitano this season, so another open contest is expected on Tuesday night. Because of that, corners are one to target.

After a difficult start to the season, Julian Alvarez seems to finally be finding his confidence again, and he scored his first league goal against Deportivo La Coruna. Prior to that, Alvarez also found the back of the net against Stuttgart in the Champions League.

The Argentine international is averaging 3.81 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, which is the highest figure in the Atletico squad, and he is expected to play a big role midweek. Alvarez has the tools to exploit Bayern’s high line - if he can utilise his pace and clever movement in behind, he will pose a serious threat to the Bavarians.

Dayot Upamecano is averaging 1.3 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, landing this selection in eight of his ten starts overall. That includes two infringements in the derby at the weekend, and one foul against Arsenal in the previous round of the Champions League.

The centre back likes to be aggressive in his duels, and regularly step out of the back line to try and win the ball back quickly. Upamecano will have the tough task of trying to contain Alvarez on Tuesday night, but also Kang-In Lee, who is averaging 1.65 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions.

Marcus Thuram has five goals and two assists this season, and he's Inter's main goal threat with Lautaro Martinez out.

Inter have one of the best attacks in Italy, scoring 26 goals in ten games and leading Serie A in xG, averaging around 2.69 per match.

With Lautaro out, Thuram is taking more shots than anyone else in the team, averaging 4.33 per 90 minutes.

He recently had a great game against Fiorentina, taking nine shots, four of them on target.

Feyenoord have really struggled defensively in the Champions League, conceding eight goals in three games.

They've allowed 58 shots, including 24 on target, averaging almost 20 shots and eight on target per game.

Barcelona scored five against Feyenoord, while Como managed to score twice despite playing away in Rotterdam.

Thuram has already had success against Feyenoord too. He scored in both of their last two meetings in the 2024/25 Champions League, including Inter's 2-0 away win.

Southampton are stronger than West Brom on almost every metric, they’re not in terms of their league position but that’s due to their four-point deduction.

Saints would be three points higher than the overperforming Baggies if it wasn’t for the deduction, but they can pull two ahead of them with a win at The Hawthorns.

Max O’Leary Goals Prevented of 6.00, comfortably the best in the league, is one of the main reasons why West Brom are still bouncing around in the play-offs, they won’t be for much longer if performances don’t improve.

The 3-1 win at West Ham looks good on paper, they took advantage of some very poor defending and such that could spell the end of Nuno Espirito Santo sooner rather than later.

Southampton have scored seven goals in their last two games, and could continue in that vein against the Baggies’ overperforming backline.

This bet has won in 10 of Schlotterbeck’s 11 Championship games this season (91%).

He had two shots on target, both headers from corners, in the 4-1 win v QPR on Saturday, and West Brom are allowing 4.62 shots per 90 from set pieces, the 7th-most in the division.

0.46 set piece xG against ranks them as the 5th-leakiest side in the league when it comes to denying the opposition chances from dead balls.

The odds are very attractive for this bet, considering how reliable Schlotterbeck has been at delivering on this selection (10/11) , 47% of the xG that West Ham generated against West Brom at the weekend came from set pieces.

Max Kilman had two shots from corners against West Brom on Saturday, you can get 5.50 in places on Schlotterbeck matching that tally.

He’s not a striker, but the biggest shot threat in the West Brom side is Isaac Price.

Price is at 3.07 shots per 90 in the league this season, has landed this bet in 10 of 13 league appearances and will lead the charge against the visiting automatic promotion hopefuls.

Even though Southampton have the 7th-best backline in terms of xG against, they concede a lot of shots, just lower probability ones than many of their second tier rivals, which is good for this bet.

Only Blackburn (13th), Charlton (20th), Watford (21st), Preston (24th) and Lincoln (16th), have conceded more shots than Southampton this season, and Price does not need a second invitation to let fly.

Price has had four shots from free kicks this season and has scored two penalties, so there’re plenty of circumstances where this selection sails in, even if Southampton are the better team on the night.

This bet has won in five of West Brom’s last six, even Preston covered this line and they’re six points adrift of safety already.

West Ham, Wolves and Birmingham have all managed eight corners or more against West Brom, in those last six outings, and Southampton are a side that’ll be competing in the same section of the table as that trio this season.

Max O’Leary’s excellent form between the sticks could also help this bet, tipping shots round the post that are destined for the back of the net more than other goalkeepers have been able to.

Saints have comfortably covered this line in their last three, with nine against QPR and six against West Ham in their last two.

This selection has landed in all three of Isco’s games in the Champions League this season:

3 shots v Feyenoord
2 shots v Porto
3 shots v Lille

He’s had a further 19 shots across his seven starts in LaLiga this season (3.22 per 90), with this selection landing in five of those games.

Isco didn’t feature much at all last season due to injury, but managed 44 shots across his 17 starts for Betis during the 24/25 campaign (2.55 per 90), scoring 12 goals in the process.

He’s also on free kicks for Betis, which could prove to be a good avenue to goal with Betis winning 11.00 fouls per game across all competitions this term.

It's no exaggeration to say that Donyell Malen has been one of the best forwards in Europe this year, he's developed really well under Gian Piero Gasperini - who has been the first manager to actually trust Malen as a central striker.

Malen's finishing ability was always a strong part of his game, he showed it in flashes at Aston Villa but was in the shadows of Ollie Watkins for most of his time there. He's scored 11 goals across his 12 appearances this term, including netting in each of his last two Champions League games.

He also scored against Udinese at the weekend, meaning that Malen has provided a goal contribution in each of his last five matches for Roma. We know that this United backline can't deal with the speed and mobility of a player like Malen, and he should get chances here.

Any player going up against this Man Utd midfield is a good option for a few fouls and a card, due to how many foul winning midfielders the struggling home side have at the moment.

I was surprised to see Tielemans dropped for Man Utd's trip to Stamford Bridge over the weekend, he should come back into the starting eleven here and will be one of Cristante's main opponents - the Belgian has won more fouls than any other Man Utd player this season (18 - 2.04 per 90).

Cristante has committed 14 fouls across his nine starts in all competitions this season (1.61 per 90), also picking up two yellow cards across his eight starts in Serie A. He was also cautioned in his only Champions League appearance so far this season against Fenerbahce.

Bruno Fernandes has been far from his best this season, but he's still the most likely Man Utd player to make something here.

Fernandes has taken 25 shots across his eight starts in the Premier League this season (3.12 per 90), so his shot volume really hasn't dropped too much from where it was last season.

He should have really found the target against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last time out, squandering a 1 on 1 opportunity after being put through by Bryan Mbeumo.

Fernandes is on penalties and free kicks for Man Utd, and it may take that bit of luck or something special for Carrick's side to get out of this rut they're currently in.

Fernandes has also taken seven shots across his three starts in the Champions League this season (2.66 per 90), seeing three of those efforts find the target (1.14 per 90).

Man Utd are winless across their last nine matches, one of the worst runs in the club's history.

It's hard to see that turning around here, even with United being at Old Trafford. They lost 3-0 to Bournemouth in their last home game, and the end of the match was really toxic with fans coming after the players.

Man Utd's display at Chelsea over the weekend was another disaster, they conceded an xG of 3.01 and lost 2-0 with Lisandro Martinez being sent off - Carrick couldn't even look at his centre back as he walked down the tunnel.

On the other hand, Roma are flying under Gian Piero Gasperini. He's set up a side that is very similar to the Atalanta one that won the Europa League a few years ago, nurturing attacking players really well.

Roma have scored twice in each of their last six matches, it's hard to see how Man Utd can deal with that scoring power. You get the feeling that going 1-0 down could be terminal for Man Utd with where their confidence is at the moment.

Raphinha has scored more goals than any other Barcelona player this season (17).

This selection is as short as 1.53 with some bookmakers, Raphinha should start as the central striker for Barcelona again here - which is where he's been playing for most of the season.

Barcelona have scored at least twice in all three of their Champions League matches, so there should be plenty of chances for Raphinha to get on the scoresheet for this boost to land.

Despite that, Archie Brown was fouled twice in that 6-0 defeat against Aston Villa a few weeks ago, and he has been adept at drawing contact this season.

The fullback is averaging 3.0 fouls drawn per 90 in Europe this term, and he has landed this selection in all three appearances. Liverpool press aggressively under Iraola, and they are averaging 13.0 fouls per game across all competitions this season. They will be eager to bounce back from their loss at the weekend, and this is a favourable matchup for Brown to extend his streak.

Bradley Barcola has three goals and two assists in his last four starts across all competitions, and he should be looking forward to playing in the Champions League again. The former PSG man bagged a hat-trick against LASK Linz in round two, before providing the assist for Isak to score the winner in the next game.

It took a while for the Frenchman to adapt to life on Merseyside, but he has really come out of his shell in recent weeks. Based on how Fenerbahce capitulated against Aston Villa just a few weeks ago, this looks like a good matchup to back Liverpool, and their forwards should be licking their lips.

Milan Skriniar had a really tough time at Villa Park, and this matchup promises to be no easier. Since that game, the centre back committed two fouls against Alanyaspor, two infringements against Slavia Prague, and three fouls against Goztepe. He was carded in the latter two matches.

The centre back is averaging 1.07 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, and he has picked up five yellow cards in his last 14 matches. That shows how Skriniar can often be caught out of position and forced into cynical fouls. Interestingly, his numbers rise to 1.43 fouls per 90 when playing at the Chobani Stadium, which bodes well for this selection.

Despite losing 6-0 against Villa, Fenerbahce did create some good opportunities, and they finished the game with 15 shots. Oguz Aydin accounted for five of those efforts, which was more than any other player in the Fenerbahce squad. The 26-year-old is averaging 3.07 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, and he scored a wonder goal against Slavia Prague in the previous round of the Champions League.

Impressively, he scored that with his weak foot, which shows just how lethal he can be from distance. Aydin is always looking to cut inside and drive towards goal, and he isn't afraid to try his luck from range either.

Liverpool have been one of the most entertaining sides to watch in the Champions League, with a total of 12 goals scored from just three matches so far. That includes a notable comeback against Villarreal in the previous round - after going 2-0 down, Liverpool came back to win 4-3. That was the second time the Reds have conceded three goals in Europe this term - they also played out a thrilling 6-3 win against LASK Linz.

Fenerbahce haven't quite been as expansive, but over 2.5 goals has landed in each of their last seven matches across all competitions. They haven't been in the best of form heading into this clash against Liverpool, which doesn't bode well for them.

Fenerbahce suffered a 2-1 defeat against Gotepe at the weekend, and there were a total of six yellow cards dished out in that match. Prior to that, Fenerbahce landed this selection on their own against Galatasaray, racking up six yellow cards. The Turkish side have been no stranger to the referees notebook, and they are averaging 2.44 cards per game in their Champions League matches so far, including qualifiers.

Liverpool have also shown more of an aggressive edge under Andoni Iraola, and there were seven cards shown in their match against Arsenal at the weekend. They have seen an average of 4.56 cards per game across all competitions this season.

Mason Greenwood wasn't given the friendliest reception when returning to English soil a few weeks back, as he was fouled three times against Aston Villa. Fenerbahce lost that game 6-0, and it was barely a contest with Greenwood being subbed after 69 minutes. The former Man United man is likely to be met with another frosty reception by Liverpool.

Greenwood has drawn six fouls in his three Champions League starts this season, and he is likely to be up against Kostas Tsimikas on Wednesday night. The Greek international has featured sporadically this season, but he is averaging 2.59 fouls per 90 from his limited game time.

Iraola has typically opted for changes in midweek games this season, so Rio Ngumoha is perhaps most likely to start on the left wing. Gakpo could shift into a centre forward role, with Alexander Isak rested. Gakpo was on the scoresheet in the EFL Cup midweek, albeit from the penalty spot, but he did land this selection just after with a shot on target from outside the box.

The Dutch international didn't have as much success in the final third at the weekend against Arsenal, but there should be more opportunities for him going forward against Fenerbahce. He had three shots with one on target in his last European outing, which was against Villarreal.

Unsurprisingly, Kylian Mbappe has had more shots on target in the Champions League than any other player on the pitch here (10 - 3.37 per 90).

He's had at least two shots on target in all three of his Champions League matches this term, managing 4+ shots on target in two of these games.

His domestic record is just as appealing, he's had at least one shot on target in 10 of his 11 appearances in LaLiga, having multiple shots on target in eight of these games.

AEK conceded five goals and seven shots on target in their last Champions League game against Man City, Real Madrid should be able to produce similar numbers against a side that has lost four of their last five matches across all competitions.

It's impossible to underestimate the importance of Scott McTominay to this Napoli side. They really lack a threat in the final third and general box presence when McTominay isn't in the side.

McTominay is utilised as a second striker now, there used to be a bit of a debate as to his best role - but he's certainly at his best when arriving as the second runner in the box to get on the end of crosses with Hojlund not being the best with his movement.

McTominay has taken nine shots across his two starts in the Champions League this term (5.40 per 90). He's also taken 17 shots across his six starts in Serie A this term, working out to an average of 2.86 shots per 90.

Douvikas is developing really well, as are the majority of the players in this Como side, and has scored eight goals across his 13 appearances in all competitions this term.

He's scored three goals across his two starts in the Champions League, taking six shots in the process (2.92 per 90). Four of these have found the target (1.95 per 90), which is an impressive conversion rate.

These trends continue when you look at his domestic numbers. He's scored five goals across just nine starts in Serie A from 28 shots (3.29 per 90), seeing 13 of them find the target (1.53 per 90).

Lens are really vulnerable at the moment, they've failed to keep a clean sheet across their last 12 matches and have conceded at least twice in all three of their Champions League games.

I've been waiting for Antonio Nusa to have a proper breakout season, and it finally looks like it's come for the winger who has registered 12 goal contributions across his 13 appearances in all competitions.

He's always had this level of talent, but has previously lacked the confidence or clinical edge to add the numbers to his game to be a top winger.

A strong World Cup campaign seems to have given him that confidence, and he comes into this clash having registered a goal contribution in each of his last three appearances.

No Leipzig player has had more shots on target across all competitions than Antonio Nusa (12 - 1.23 per 90), with Nusa having an effort on target against Como and PSV in the Champions League so far.

City are far from settled at the back, and the pace of Nusa could be perfect for the home side as City's high line has been exposed quite regularly over recent weeks.

I'd expect Mikel Arteta to rotate here, and Merino should be part of those changes - either in midfield or as a number nine.

Despite Havertz and Gyokeres being the two main striker options that Arteta has rotated between over the last year, I still think Merino is the best finisher at the club.

He scored twice when Arsenal travelled to Slavia Prague in the league phase last season, which is a good example of the threat he can pose.

He's incredibly good in the air, which could be useful for Arsenal here against a Slavia Prague side who will most definitely sit quite deep.

Merino scored four goals across 10 starts in the Premier League last season, averaging 0.70 shots on target per 90 across those games. If you look at the games where he played as a number nine, that number jumps to 1.30 shots on target per 90.

I'd expect Mikel Arteta to rotate here, and Merino should be part of those changes - either in midfield or as a number nine.

Despite Havertz and Gyokeres being the two main striker options that Arteta has rotated between over the last year, I still think Merino is the best finisher at the club.

He scored twice when Arsenal travelled to Slavia Prague in the league phase last season, which is a good example of the threat he can pose.

He's incredibly good in the air, which could be useful for Arsenal here against a Slavia Prague side who will most definitely sit quite deep.

Merino scored four goals across 10 starts in the Premier League last season, averaging 0.70 shots on target per 90 across those games. If you look at the games where he played as a number nine, that number jumps to 1.30 shots on target per 90.

It may not be a popular approach, but you have to respect the defensive organisation and resilience of this Arsenal side.

They refused to buckle against Liverpool at Anfield last time out, marking the first time that Mikel Arteta has won at the ground as a manager - surviving 17 shots and 52 touches in their box to secure a 1-0 victory.

This should be really routine for Arsenal, Slavia Prague have struggled at this level and have failed to win any of their three matches - losing against Sabah and Lens in their opening two games of the Champions League.

Arsenal find the early stages of the Champions League so routine, they won all eight of their games in the league phase last season, scoring 23 goals in the process and only conceding four.

These sides actually faced off as part of that campaign, with Arsenal coming away comfortable 3-0 winners as the away side - despite Arteta rotating quite heavily for that game.

David Moses is going to have a really tough assignment here in trying to deal with an Arsenal midfield that use the ball better than any other side in Europe.

He's committed five fouls across just 180 minutes of action in the Champions League this season (2.50 per 90), also making seven tackles and recording 12 defensive contributions.

This is obviously a small sample size, but Moses also committed seven fouls across his five starts in the Champions League last season (1.72 per 90).

These Champions League metrics both represent a rise in Moses' domestic foul numbers, suggesting that he finds the level of the competition quite difficult - which is also the case for the majority of this Slavia Prague side.

Moses will have to deal with either Bruno Guimaraes or Myles Lewis-Skelly, who are two of the strongest players in the Premier League when it comes to winning fouls.

Eze's main opportunities for Arsenal this season have come in the Champions League, with the former Palace man starting all three games in Europe so far - compared to just 210 minutes of action in the Premier League.

This is mainly down to the fact that Arteta doesn't trust Eze out of possession. He requires complete discipline from his attacking players in the Premier League, which isn't as necessary in the Champions League, especially against this calibre of opponent.

Eze has won more fouls than any other Arsenal player in the Champions League this season (8 - 3.12 per 90), winning at least two fouls in all three games.

He was fouled four times against Bayern Munich last time out, and should be able to win at least two fouls against a Slavia Prague who are committing 12.33 fouls per game in the Champions League.

Yamal has reached a new level of goalscoring this season, netting 12 goals across just 14 appearances across all competitions.

It’s a part of his game that has steadily improved over the last few years, with the winger going from 18 goals in his first full season to 24 goals last year.

Yamal scored six goals across his ten appearances in the Champions League last season. He’s already scored two goals across his three starts in the competition this year, and comes into this clash having scored twice at the weekend against Deportivo La Coruna.

This could be a really exciting game between two inform sides, especially Club Brugge who have won each of their last eight matches - netting 25 goals in the process (3.1 per game).

PSV have conceded an xG of 1.0 or higher in all three of their Champions League matches, seeing BTTS on Matchday 1 as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Shakthar at home.

They put seven goals past Wilhelm at the weekend, which is a snapshot of the scoring power that PSV can possess at home when they are fully firing.

Club Brugge have seen BTTS in two of their three Champions League matches, competing well against Aston Villa and Inter Milan and even winning 4-3 against the latter as the away side.

They've seen BTTS in each of their last two league games ahead of this clash, which is one that both sides will see as pivotal to their chances of progressing from the league phase with more challenging assignments to come.

It may not be a popular approach, but you have to respect the defensive organisation and resilience of this Arsenal side.

They refused to buckle against Liverpool at Anfield last time out, marking the first time that Mikel Arteta has won at the ground as a manager - surviving 17 shots and 52 touches in their box to secure a 1-0 victory.

This should be really routine for Arsenal, Slavia Prague have struggled at this level and have failed to win any of their three matches - losing against Sabah and Lens in their opening two games of the Champions League.

Arsenal find the early stages of the Champions League so routine, they won all eight of their games in the league phase last season, scoring 23 goals in the process and only conceding four.

These sides actually faced off as part of that campaign, with Arsenal coming away comfortable 3-0 winners as the away side - despite Arteta rotating quite heavily for that game.

Betis are a really complete side and have won all three of their Champions League games this season against Feyenoord, Porto and Lille.

They were the away side for their opening game of the Champions League, managing to score three goals past Lille with an xG of 1.80 from 20 shots.

Betis have only failed to score in one of their 14 matches across all competitions this season. That blank came against Celta Vigo a few weeks ago, and still saw Betis have 15 shots and record an xG of 1.15.

Dortmund have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their three Champions League matches this season against Sabah, Villarreal and Bodo Glimt.

I think Leipzig can contribute to the goal tally here, they've scored a remarkable 18 goals across their four home games in the Bundesliga (4.5 per game), notably winning all four of these matches without conceding.

City are a natural step up in quality from the sides they've faced in the Bundesliga, so I wouldn't read too much into Leipzig keeping those clean sheets - but the scoring power is undeniable.

Leipzig have seen 3+ goals in two of their three Champions League games against Real Madrid and Como, conceding four goals in both games. They're managed by former City man Martin Demichelis, who wants to play in quite an expansive way.

Man City will welcome Leipzig coming onto them, they've seen 3+ goals in each of their last two Champions League matches and in eight of their last nine matches more widely.

Harold Moukoudi's biggest challenge will be dealing with Real Madrid's attack, especially Mbappé, who's scored three goals in three Champions League games and is likely to be his most direct opponent through the middle.

The centre-back gave away three fouls against Manchester City and picked up a yellow card against Shakhtar Donetsk in his last two Champions League games.

Bellingham is another concern, having been fouled 30 times in 11 LaLiga games and another ten times in his first three Champions League matches this season.

AEK are averaging 16 fouls per game in the Greek league, while they've already picked up five yellow cards in three Champions League matches.

Referee Maurizio Mariani has been pretty strict this season, averaging 4.33 yellow cards and calling more than 26 fouls per match in Serie A.

He's been just as strict in Europe, handing out ten yellow cards and one red in two Champions League qualifying games this season.

Armando Obispo has picked up five yellow cards in 14 games this season and will be up against Nicolò Tresoldi, who's been one of Club Brugge's standout players in the Champions League.

The Club Brugge striker has been fouled 24 times in 13 games, averaging 1.85 per match, and has already shown how dangerous he can be with his hat-trick against Inter Milan.

Obispo is averaging 1.5 fouls per game and has given away at least two fouls in six of his 14 appearances.

Irfan Peljto will be the referee, and he's already handed out four yellow cards in Slovan Bratislava vs Stuttgart and seven in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bodø/Glimt in this season's Champions League.

That's not good news for Obispo, who's already been booked in both his Champions League starts and has given away at least two fouls in each.

Archie Brown is really strong when it comes to winning fouls, drawing the joint most fouls of any player on the pitch here across all competitions (13 -1.95 per 90).

This is the perfect matchup too, against a Liverpool side who have become way more aggressive under Andoni Iraola - committing more fouls than any other Premier League side (14.22 per game), and committing at least 11 fouls in every game.

Brown has been fouled in all three of his Champions League matches in the league phase, and also won at least one foul in the four qualifying games before that in two legged ties against Lyon and Sturm Graz.

Nkunku is probably not the first player that would come to mind for fouls, but he's got a really consistent record in the Champions League this term and he's been playing just behind the central striker - setting up a battle against Elliot Anderson and Enzo Fernandez.

Nkunku has committed seven fouls across his three appearances in the Champions League this term (2.76 per 90) - more than any other Leipzig player. His role just behind Romulo as the main striker suits Nkunku, I've never seen him as a number nine but this role inevitably leads to Nkunku contesting quite a few duels.

No player on the pitch has won more fouls than Elliot Anderson across all competitions this season (32 - 3.18 per 90). It's an incredibly strong part of his game, and he should be able to tempt Nkunku to commit at least one foul with the two having a direct matchup.

There's always a lot of focus on players like Paz and Baturina when people talk about Como, but 32 year old Luis Milla may just be the most important player in this side - and they got him for free from Getafe over the summer.

Milla registered 10 assists in LaLiga for Getafe last season, which is his standout attribute, but he does have to get through quite a lot of work in the middle of the park as well as being a creative presence on the side.

Milla has committed a foul in all three of his Champions League matches this season, committing multiple fouls in Como's 4-1 win over Leipzig on Matchday 1.

This selection speaks for itself most of the time.

Haaland has had 11 more shots on target across all competitions than any other player on the pitch here (23 - 2.11 per 90), and is usually deadly against this level of opponent.

Haaland has had 3+ shots on target in both of his Champions League matches so far against Porto and PSG, managing four shots on target in City's opening away game in the Champions League as they won 2-0 in Porto.

He's also found the target in all four of his away games in the Premier League, managing multiple efforts on goal in two of these games.

I think City will have too much for Leipzig here, the home side have conceded four goals on two occasions in the Champions League this season against Real Madrid and Como, which would suggest that they're just not at the level of the elite sides in the Champions League.

I've been waiting for Antonio Nusa to have a proper breakout season, and it finally looks like it's come for the winger who has registered 12 goal contributions across his 13 appearances in all competitions.

He's always had this level of talent, but has previously lacked the confidence or clinical edge to add the numbers to his game to be a top winger.

A strong World Cup campaign seems to have given him that confidence, and he comes into this clash having registered a goal contribution in each of his last three appearances.

No Leipzig player has had more shots on target across all competitions than Antonio Nusa (12 - 1.23 per 90), with Nusa having an effort on target against Como and PSV in the Champions League so far.

City are far from settled at the back, and the pace of Nusa could be perfect for the home side as City's high line has been exposed quite regularly over recent weeks.

I think Leipzig can contribute to the goal tally here, they've scored a remarkable 18 goals across their four home games in the Bundesliga (4.5 per game), notably winning all four of these matches without conceding.

City are a natural step up in quality from the sides they've faced in the Bundesliga, so I wouldn't read too much into Leipzig keeping those clean sheets - but the scoring power is undeniable.

Leipzig have seen 3+ goals in two of their three Champions League games against Real Madrid and Como, conceding four goals in both games. They're managed by former City man Martin Demichelis, who wants to play in quite an expansive way.

Man City will welcome Leipzig coming onto them, they've seen 3+ goals in each of their last two Champions League matches and in eight of their last nine matches more widely.

Nkunku is probably not the first player that would come to mind for fouls, but he's got a really consistent record in the Champions League this term and he's been playing just behind the central striker - setting up a battle against Elliot Anderson and Enzo Fernandez.

Nkunku has committed seven fouls across his three appearances in the Champions League this term (2.76 per 90) - more than any other Leipzig player. His role just behind Romulo as the main striker suits Nkunku, I've never seen him as a number nine but this role inevitably leads to Nkunku contesting quite a few duels.

No player on the pitch has won more fouls than Elliot Anderson across all competitions this season (32 - 3.18 per 90). It's an incredibly strong part of his game, and he should be able to tempt Nkunku to commit at least one foul with the two having a direct matchup.

Cherki is such a talented player and has already registered nine goal contributions across his 14 appearances in all competitions for Man City this season.

If there's one thing that lets Cherki down at times, it's his work ethic and discipline, Maresca has touched on those traits about Cherki when explaining why he doesn't always start despite his obvious talent.

He was brilliant in City's 5-1 win over AEK Athens last time out in the Champions League, scoring a wonderful goal and having the most touches of any City player in the opposition box (13).

Leipzig have conceded 4+ goals on two occasions in the Champions League already this season against Real Madrid and Como.

City can cause them similar issues with the quality they have in forward areas, only Haaland (13) has registered more goal contributions than Cherki (9) across all competitions this season.

Many of you probably remember Neil El Aynaoui from the World Cup, where he was excellent for Morocco alongside Ayyoub Bouaddi - who could line up on the opposite side of the pitch here.

El Aynaoui somehow managed to avoid a booking over the six games he played at the World Cup, despite committing 15 fouls (2.40 per 90). If you were backing cards during the World Cup, you'll know how resistant the referees were to reach for their pockets - so that record doesn't put me off too much.

He's picked up two yellow cards across his seven starts for Leipzig domestically, committing just seven fouls to earn these cautions (1.08 per 90). He also recently picked up a yellow card in the DFB Pokal, inside just 45 minutes of action.

El Aynaoui's potential opponents here really pull the case for a card together. He'll be up against Anderson (3.18 fouls won per 90), Cherki (1.07 fouls won per 90) and Fernandez (1.86 fouls won per 90).

Enzo Maresca received quite a bit of criticism from City fans for persisting with Enzo Fernandez in City's defeat to Brighton at the weekend.

He was eventually hooked off at the 64 minute mark, having two shots before being replaced.

Enzo Maresca clearly sees Fernandez as a player that can impact the game in the final third, he mentioned this regularly when the pair were at Chelsea - resulting in Fernandez having the two best goalscoring seasons of his career under Maresca.

He's taken eight shots across his three starts in the Champions League this term (2.87 per 90). We'll need him to be a little more accurate with his efforts here as only one of those has found the target.

Elliot Anderson has won more fouls across all competitions than any other player on the pitch here (32 - 3.18 per 90).

It's an incredibly strong part of his game, and usually results from opposition sides wanting to stop Anderson playing those incisive passes between the lines, which is one of the main reasons why City signed him.

Anderson was fouled three times in City's defeat to PSG in the Champions League a few weeks ago, and will face off against Neil El Aynaoui and Christopher Nkunku, who have both been committing fouls regularly for Leipzig this term.

Lens haven't kept a clean sheet in either Ligue 1 or the Champions League this season, conceding seven goals in their first three European games.

Como look really dangerous right now, having scored ten goals in three Champions League games, including two 4-1 wins over Leipzig and Manchester United.

Nico Paz has five goals and six assists this season, while Douvikas has already scored eight times.

Lens have been doing pretty well going forward, though, averaging 1.8 goals and more than six shots on target per home game.

Even in their defeat to Sporting, they managed 21 shots and put plenty of pressure on their opponents.

The good news for the home side is that Como have conceded in every away game this season, averaging 1.54 xGA per match.

Both teams have also scored in all three of Como's Champions League games, including their 3-2 defeat to Feyenoord.

Manchester City are going through their worst defensive spell of the season, having conceded in each of their last six games across all competitions.

That's good news for Leipzig, who've won every home game this season, averaging 3.8 goals and more than 19 shots per match.

Antonio Nusa has been their standout player, with four goals and six assists in eight league games.

The problem is that Leipzig have really struggled against stronger opponents in the Champions League, conceding four goals against Como and another four against Real Madrid.

Manchester City have the second-best attack in the Premier League, with 20 goals in nine games, and they're averaging around 2 xG per match.

Both teams have scored in two of City's three Champions League games, and while they might concede again, they should have plenty of chances to score against a Leipzig side that let in six against Bayern in October.

This could be a really exciting game between two inform sides, especially Club Brugge who have won each of their last eight matches - netting 25 goals in the process (3.1 per game).

PSV have conceded an xG of 1.0 or higher in all three of their Champions League matches, seeing BTTS on Matchday 1 as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Shakthar at home.

They put seven goals past Wilhelm at the weekend, which is a snapshot of the scoring power that PSV can possess at home when they are fully firing.

Club Brugge have seen BTTS in two of their three Champions League matches, competing well against Aston Villa and Inter Milan and even winning 4-3 against the latter as the away side.

They've seen BTTS in each of their last two league games ahead of this clash, which is one that both sides will see as pivotal to their chances of progressing from the league phase with more challenging assignments to come.

Guirassy has been at his best in the Champions League, scoring twice in both games he's started.

He took 14 shots across those two games, with seven of them on target, playing one at home and one away.

Dortmund have also been strong going forward at home, scoring eight goals in four Bundesliga games, and now face a Betis side that has struggled defensively against stronger attacks.

They conceded two goals against both Lille and Porto, while Barcelona put five past them.

They've also allowed an average of 5.2 shots on target per game this season.

Guirassy comes into this one with four goals in his last four games and has already shown how dangerous he can be against Spanish opposition in the Champions League.

He's also Dortmund's first-choice penalty taker, which gives him another chance to score, just like he did against Villarreal.

Nico Paz is one of the most exciting talents in the world right now and if you haven’t watched him yet, I urge you to.

The Argentine already has five G/A in Como’s three Champions League matches.

He is absolutely vital to Cesc Fabregas’ fluid attacking set-up, which gets the absolute best out of technicians like Paz.

He’s a brilliant dribbler, he creates chances and he scores goals and for sides to beat Como, they have to try and stop him.

That’s been the approach to Paz in the Champions League so far, as he has drawn six fouls in his three Champions League matches.

He’s been fouled twice or more in two of those, including drawing 3 against United, working out at an average of 2.07 times per 90 minutes. 

He’s drawn 1.11 fouls per 90 domestically, which could be higher when you see the amount of times people try to take him down, or an advantage is played.

One of his direct opponents is Mikael Cuiscance.

Cuiscance has committed two or more fouls in three of his last four games. He’s averaged 1.50 per 90 in the Champions League and 1.64 domestically.

His midfield partner, Amadou Haidara, has also fouled in three of his last four matches.

Although primarily a creator, Paz does find himself very high and often acts as a second striker alongside Douvikas.

So, it’s also worth noting that Lens’ back-line do commit a few fouls. Ruben Aguilar has averaged 1.67 per 90 across all competitions.

Udol has averaged 0.80 and Jean Clair-Todibo, who came on at half-time in their last Champions League match, is athas averaged 1.47.