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Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen played each other earlier this month in a game that ended 2-2, with 32 shots between them.

BTTS has landed in every Werder Bremen Bundesliga game so far, with the team averaging two goals scored and two conceded per game.

Their defence has been so shaky that they even conceded twice at home to Paderborn, who have one of the weakest attacks in the Bundesliga.

Dortmund have scored in every home game this season and are averaging 18 shots per game at home.

The problem for the hosts is that they've struggled against some of the stronger attacks they've faced, conceding twice against Villarreal, Bayern Munich and Bremen.

The visitors will have Füllkrug, the Bundesliga's top scorer, and Grüll, one of the league's top assist providers, which makes BTTS look even more likely here.

Torino and Como have both been looking sharp going forward in their last four games, but they've also had their fair share of problems at the back.

Torino have conceded in all four home games so far, including against Udinese, who are fighting to avoid relegation.

Como haven't kept a single clean sheet away from home in Serie A either, even against teams that don't score many goals, like Genoa.

Fàbregas' side have been looking much better going forward, though, averaging 20 shots and 1.71 xG per away game.

Anastasios Douvikas has scored in Como's last four games, including twice against Sassuolo in the previous round, and he's available for this one.

Giovanni Simeone has been involved in three goals over his last two games and could have a big part to play against a team that's averaging 1.78 xGA away from home.

Lazio are playing their best football of the season right now, with one of the strongest attacks in the league and at least two goals scored in each of their last six games.

They beat Juventus 3-0 away from home, drew 2-2 with Milan and now face a Sassuolo side that have conceded in all eight league games so far.

The problem is that Lazio are averaging 1.60 xGA away from home and are up against a team that had scored in every league game until the last round.

They gave away 17 shots against bottom-of-the-table Venezia and even conceded against Parma, who have the worst attack in the league.

Sassuolo's strong home record makes BTTS look even better here, especially with key attacking players like Vasilije Adžić and Domenico Berardi available.

Cagliari have a dreadful record when travelling to face Roma, failing to win any of their last 11 trips to the Stadio Olimpico.

Roma earned a point on the road against Napoli last time out, scoring three goals in an end to end game that saw Gian Piero Gasperini’s side record an xG of 1.90 from 24 shots.

Roma have won three of their four matches at home in Serie A this season, scoring 10 goals and only conceding three. Only Milan (2) and Como (1) have conceded fewer goals at home than Roma in the Italian top flight this term.

Cagliari enter this game having failed to win any of their last three matches, losing the last two to nil against Monza and AC Milan. 

They’ve only scored six goals across their eight matches, and I don’t think that scoring power will be enough to trouble a Roma side who have only been outscored by Inter so far domestically.

These have been two of the top performing sides in League Two in the early stages of the season, setting up an entertaining clash with Barnet sitting in an automatic promotion spot, and York not far behind the playoffs.

Barnet have seen BTTS in each of their last four matches ahead of this one, losing just one of these games. They’ve only managed to win half of their home games in League Two this term, notably conceding nine goals across their six matches but scoring 12 (2.0 per game).

York have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, avoiding defeat in all of these games. They are yet to win away from home in League Two this term, but have scored in four of their five away assignments. 

These two faced off in the National League last year, with Barnet coming away 3-1 winners on that occasion. Both have started the season well, and have enough to get on the scoresheet.

Donyell Malen is Roma's top scorer this season, with six of their 19 goals in Serie A.

Roma have the second-best attack in the league, averaging 18 shots and 2.13 xG per game.

Malen has also scored three goals in the Champions League and leads Roma in both shots and shots on target this season, averaging 4.89 shots per 90 minutes.

Cagliari haven't looked great at the back lately. They lost 4-0 to Monza and then 2-0 at home to Bologna in their last game.

Malen has scored in each of his last two home games, and he's now facing a team that gives up an average of 17 shots per game.

With Malen in good form and Cagliari giving up so many chances, he's got a great chance of scoring again.

These have been two of the top performing sides in League Two in the early stages of the season, setting up an entertaining clash with Barnet sitting in an automatic promotion spot, and York not far behind the playoffs.

Barnet have seen BTTS in each of their last four matches ahead of this one, losing just one of these games. They’ve only managed to win half of their home games in League Two this term, notably conceding nine goals across their six matches but scoring 12 (2.0 per game).

York have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, avoiding defeat in all of these games. They are yet to win away from home in League Two this term, but have scored in four of their five away assignments. 

These two faced off in the National League last year, with Barnet coming away 3-1 winners on that occasion. Both have started the season well, and have enough to get on the scoresheet.

This is going to be a really interesting game, especially after the news that Sheffield Wednesday have parted ways with manager Henrik Pedersen, coming after back-to-back 2-0 defeats on the road.

They have been a lot better in front of goal when playing at home though, with them winning by five goals on two separate occasions already this season. They are currently averaging 1.8 goals scored per game, whilst conceding 1.1 across their 12 league games, so their averages for a BTTS game are strong.

They also have an xG conceded of 15.97, from their 12 goals conceded, which suggests that they are overperforming defensively, but Cambridge are a team that can punish you when given the opportunity. They are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game this season, scoring 20 goals from an xG of 15.31, which shows they are very clinical in front of goal.

Cambridge have seen both teams score in 12 of their 13 league games this season, with this landing in each of their five away games, which does make the 1.61 price very appealing for me. Wednesday possess the quality in attack to cause Cambridge problems here, and with Cambridge’s strong scoring record, especially on the road, I would’ve expected this price to be lower.

It’s no secret that Bromley have struggled to adapt to life in League One. Being winless in four and sitting in the relegation zone has seen long-term manager Andy Woodman have a shock exit from the club this week.

At the club for five seasons, Woodman led Bromley to two promotions, and his mutual departure will have caused a big stir at the club, which I think will only negatively impact the players. It has caused a rift amongst the fanbase for the Chairman, with his decision seeming to disregard the incredible job that Woodman did, which could cause a very toxic away end here.

That said, they have really struggled this season, winless on the road since their opening day victory at Barnsley and also sit bottom for a large amount of attacking metrics. They currently have had the least touches in opposition boxes, least shots taken and have the lowest xG across the whole division, and I fear this could continue.

MK Dons on the other hand, have shown glimpses of quality this season, with their impressive performances against Luton and Stevenage rewarding them with three points. They are in need of a run of wins here, with boss Paul Warne under pressure, so will be looking at this weakened Bromley side as a great opportunity to do so.

MK Dons also beat Bromley here when the two were fighting for the League Two title, despite going down to 10 men, so will be feeling confident. In that game, Bromley looked to struggle on the wide pitch at Stadium MK, and with Warne’s side still operating in a wing-back system, they will be looking to stretch the pitch again and exploit this Bromley side.

Given the context of Bromley’s struggles, combined with the playstyle differences, I think 1.61 for an MK Dons win is slightly overpriced. I feel a fairer price would be closer to the 1.50 mark, which means there is value in backing an MK Dons victory tonight.

Wigan have really struggled this season, particularly on the road where they have only registered one point from their six away games.

Across the entire season, they have scored just eight goals, averaging just 0.7 per game, whilst also struggling with a very thin squad, having to rely on younger, inexperienced players to make up numbers, resulting in them having one of the youngest average ages in the whole division with 23.0. What hasn’t helped them is the amount of suspensions they have received, with Charlie Gray and Fraser Murray set to miss this one for that exact reason.

Despite a similar rocky start to League One, Leicester are by far the better of the two sides here, and have shown glimpses of quality in Russell Martin’s system. Although they sit in mid table, their underlying attacking metrics suggest they could be higher.

They have the 5th highest xG, and register the 6th most touches in an opposition box of any team in League One. When you compare that to Wigan who sit bottom, not only in the table, but for goals scored, I’m struggling to see Leicester having any problems here.

Man City surrendered their flawless start to the Premier League campaign at the weekend, as they were beaten 2-1 by Aston Villa. Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of the last seven matches for Enzo Maresca’s men, who have cleared this line on their own in five of those games. 

Brighton also tasted defeat at the weekend, but they put up a real fight at Anfield and were unfortunate not to find the back of the net given that they registered 17 shots worth 1.32 xG. The Seagulls also managed considerably more possession that Liverpool which shows how competitive they can be against top sides, and this midweek EFL Cup clash at the Etihad should be an even contest.

Expecting chances at both ends of the field, corners are naturally a market to target. Man City were left frustrated by Villa last time out, but they still managed seven corners, while the hosts contributed an additional four. This bet has also landed for Maresca’s men against PSG, with 13 corners, and Liverpool with 11 corners. This is expected to be another close affair. 

Meanwhile, Brighton are averaging 10.2 corners per game across all competitions this season, with 6.4 for, and 3.8 against. This line has comfortably cleared in matchups against Arsenal and Chelsea - there were 11 corners awarded in both of those respective matches.

Maresca has persisted with a high line this season, asking his centre backs to be aggressive in their duels in an attempt to win possession back quickly. Because of that, Ruben Dias has racked up some notable foul counts, including three infringements against Aston Villa last time out. 

Prior to that, he accounted for two fouls of Man City’s six fouls against AEK Athens in the Champions League, meaning he has recorded at least two fouls in five of last six starts. The only miss came against PSG, but Dias was replaced at halftime in that match. The Portuguese international will have the tough task of trying to contain Kostoulas, and that is a matchup to keep an eye on.

On the opposite side, Luka Vuskovic is another centre back who has been amongst the fouls this season. However, the Croatian international has been adept at drawing free-kicks. In fact, Vuskovic is averaging 1.21 fouls drawn per 90 this season across all competitions, which is impressively high for a centre back. He has been fouled in six of his last seven starts, and will now have to deal with Erling Haaland. 

The Norwegian international likes a physical contest, and he is averaging 0.95 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season. Man City racked up 17 infringements against Aston Villa at the weekend, and Brighton can be another frustrating side to face.

Charalampos Kostoulas has been rested in Brighton’s Conference League matches so far, but he did start in the last EFL Cup match against Old Trafford. The Greek international played a key role in that match as the Seagulls came from behind at Old Trafford to win - he bagged one goal, finishing the game with a total of four shots. 

Kostoulas has been in excellent form this season, and he is averaging 4.2 shots per 90. That includes taking four shots against Anfield at the weekend, with one of those hitting the target. He also found the back of the net against Arsenal back in September, which shows how he thrives in tougher matchups.

I like the look of Calvin Miller to register at least one shot on target against Rangers on Wednesday night.

Miller has been one of Hearts’ most impressive performers during the early part of the season, with a respectable return of 7 goals in 20 appearances across all competitions.

He typically operates on the right wing and is always willing to cut inside and shoot, as shown by his superb strike to seal Hearts’ 2-0 win at Motherwell on Sunday.

Miller is now averaging 1.17 shots on target per game in the Scottish Premiership this season and has worked the opposition goalkeeper at least once in each of his last 5 outings, including away at Celtic. 

He’s also Hearts’ penalty taker and occasionally takes free kicks from shooting range, adding to the appeal of backing him to deliver an on-target effort against Rangers.

The South Korean playmaker is becoming an increasingly important figure in Rangers’ attack and looks to be improving with every game.

One notable aspect of Kim’s game is his willingness to try his luck, with the midfielder averaging a sizeable 4.44 shots per 90 across his opening eight Scottish Premiership appearances for Rangers.

A deeper dive into those figures shows that Kim has attempted at least 2 shots in each of the seven Scottish top-flight games he has started this term, firing off no fewer than 5 against St Johnstone last time out.

Hearts conceded 18 shots against Celtic and are giving up an average of just over 11 per game in the Scottish Premiership this season, so Kim looks well placed to get another two efforts away.

While I’m backing Rangers to win or draw on Wednesday night, I don’t expect either side to keep a clean sheet, which is why I’m also taking both teams to score.

Hearts are a much more attack-minded outfit than they were last season, with BTTS landing in 7 of their opening 10 Scottish Premiership games of the campaign.

A closer look shows both teams have scored in 6 of the Jam Tarts’ eight league matches, and 5 of those six games also broke the over 2.5 goal barrier.

The case for BTTS is strengthened by the fact that each team has obliged in 3 of Rangers’ five top-flight road trips this term, including their most recent away day, which was a 2-2 draw at Dundee. 

On top of all that, both teams have scored in each of Hearts’ last 3 European games at Tynecastle, adding to the appeal of backing goals at both ends again.

I’m keen to side with Rangers on the double chance when they travel to Tynecastle on Wednesday night.

The Light Blues are unbeaten in their last 10 matches across all competitions, winning an impressive nine of them. 

That run includes triumphs over Celtic both home and away, so Rangers will not be fazed by the prospect of facing Hearts in their own backyard.

The Jambos returned to winning ways with a 2-0 victory over Motherwell on Sunday, but they gave up a number of opportunities and lost both the shot count and xG battle at Fir Park.

That win came after Hearts were thrashed 7-1 by Celtic the weekend before last and then lost 2-0 away to Trabzonspor. 

Indeed, the Jambos have often come up short against more elite opposition this season, both at home and on the continent, and Rangers very much fall into that category.

What’s more, Hearts are playing their third game in six days, so Rangers should have fresher legs.

Gakpo has recovered from an injury which saw him miss the early weeks of October, starting the last two games for Liverpool and finding the target in both games against Villarreal and Brighton.

Gakpo had six shots against the Seagulls at the weekend, seeing two of those efforts find the target. No Liverpool player had more shots or touches in the opposition box (12) than Gakpo against Brighton, with Iraola’s use of the winger reminding me of his relationship with Semenyo at Bournemouth.

Gakpo has already had 33 touches in the opposition box across his five starts in the Premier League (6.33 per 90), leading to 16 shots (3.12 per 90). He does need to be more clinical with his efforts, given that three of these shots have found the target, but I expect that to level out the more he gets in these promising positions.

We got to see Marco Palestra for the third time in the Premier League from the bench against Tottenham last time out, with the Italian contesting five duels in his 25 minutes of action.

If I’m honest, I thought he looked a little off the pace of the Premier League - which is normal for players arriving from leagues that aren’t as fast paced or intense as the English top flight. I expect him to start here as Alonso attempts to build his fitness, setting him up against either Barcola or Gakpo.

Palestra committed 41 fouls across his 34 starts in Serie A for Cagliari last season (1.20 per 90) and he has the flexibility to play on either side of the pitch. Palestra is one to keep an eye on more generally for foul involvements as he gets more opportunities in this Chelsea side.

It’s hard to see how this is a low scoring game, I expect both sides to rotate but keep similar principles that we’ve seen from them in the Premier League.

Chelsea have seen 3+ goals in six of their eight Premier League matches, and saw nine goals in their EFL Cup clash against Leeds in the previous round - coming away 6-3 winners at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea’s games are seeing an average of 4.00 goals per game, more than any other side in the Premier League. Liverpool have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches, and covered this line on their own against Tottenham in the previous round with a 3-1 win at Anfield.

I can’t see Chelsea tightening up at the back in time for this clash, and the expected rotation should lead to quite an open game with at least three goals. 

Chelsea’s loss against Tottenham over the weekend was a real wake up call for the Blues, who were pretty pathetic in defeat to Roberto De Zerbi’s side.

Xabi Alonso will have to travel to Anfield without Cole Palmer, following a recurrence of the discipline issues that have plagued Chelsea for a few seasons now. Palmer was sent off at Stamford Bridge, and was lucky to be the only one. 

Joao Pedro could also still be sidelined, taking away two of Chelsea's most important attacking players. Without that threat in the final third, Chelsea do look a bit rigid and uncreative with the structure behind Rogers, Palmer and Pedro.

Things are looking more positive each week for Liverpool under Iraola. I was impressed with their display against Brighton at the weekend, limiting one of the best attacking sides in the league to just one shot on target. 

That victory over the Seagulls represents Liverpool’s fourth straight win across all competitions. They’ll be more confident than Chelsea here, and it looks like Iraola is close to finding the right balance for the likes of Wirtz, Barcola and Isak - which looked near impossible just a few weeks ago. 

Luminaries is Racing Ratings' joint-2nd favourite horse of the day, with a score of 8.7/10.

He is on a hat-trick coming into this race, and has shortened in odds of late.

Luminaries is a previous course and distance winner at Newcastle, and has finished in the top two in each of his last three outings.

His last two wins have both been comfortable ones and have come this month, so he has plenty of recent form and course pedigree to take into the 13:26.

He's experienced on this ground and the course should suit him in just a five-horse field.

Bajan Bandit is the joint-2nd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings today, with an 8.7.

He has finished in the top three in five of his last six races, including each of his last three with one victory in that trio.

The two horses above Bajan Bandit in the betting, Eighty Eight and Sant Alessio, are both winless in their last five.

With a win under his belt as recently as September and promising runs over this course and distance from earlier this year, it is clear to see why he's rated by the bookies.

His yard is in decent form and Bajan Bandit's consistency suggests he'll be around those top positions again.

Ridger is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day with a perfect 10.0/10 score.

He is the odds-on favourite for the 18:00, on a hat-trick and to be ridden by Oisin Murphy.

Ridger's just won two in a row, and he's racing in a field where only one horse has a win to their name in their last five - and it's 40/1 shot Dontwaste A Moment.

Ridger is a course and distance winner from late September and his best form has come on the all-weather.

Murphy was in the saddle for that win and will be contributing to his heavy favouritism today.

Midnight's Dream is the joint-2nd highest rated horse of the day, with an 8.7.

He's also on a hat-trick coming into this evening's race, and has finished in the top three in four of six.

He's the clear favourite, at the time of writing, the only horse to consider for a straight win bet with 2nd-favourite, Zoulu Warrior, back at 5/1.

His two recent wins include one over course and distance earlier this month, and he's finished in the top three in his last three outings at Wolverhampton.

Billy Loughnane adds credibility to his favouritism as the Champion Flat Jockey for 2026.

Lewis Ferguson has committed more fouls than any other Bologna player in Serie A this season (19 - 2.38 per 90) and is at a great price here to commit at least two fouls.

The Scot has committed a foul in all eight of his matches in the Italian top flight, committing multiple fouls in six of these games. He even committed 3+ fouls in four of these matches, sinning four times against Cagliari last time out.

AC Milan are winning 10.63 fouls per game in Serie A this season, and forced Bologna into committing 16 fouls in this fixture last season. Ferguson made three fouls in that game, struggling to deal with Loftus-Cheek and Modric in particular.

He’ll be up against Yunus Musah here, who has won eight fouls in Serie A this term - only two AC Milan players have won more fouls domestically than the American, who also averaged 2.57 fouls won per 90 for Atalanta last season.

Luminaries is Racing Ratings' joint-2nd favourite horse of the day, with a score of 8.7/10.

He is on a hat-trick coming into this race, and has shortened in odds of late.

Luminaries is a previous course and distance winner at Newcastle, and has finished in the top two in each of his last three outings.

His last two wins have both been comfortable ones and have come this month, so he has plenty of recent form and course pedigree to take into the 13:26.

He's experienced on this ground and the course should suit him in just a five-horse field.

Ridger is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day with a perfect 10.0/10 score.

He is the odds-on favourite for the 18:00, on a hat-trick and to be ridden by Oisin Murphy.

Ridger's just won two in a row, and he's racing in a field where only one horse has a win to their name in their last five - and it's 40/1 shot Dontwaste A Moment.

Ridger is a course and distance winner from late September and his best form has come on the all-weather.

Murphy was in the saddle for that win and will be contributing to his heavy favouritism today.

Inter came from behind at the weekend to beat Fiorentina, showing real resilience to score the equaliser and the winning goal in added time. 

They deserved that victory too, registering an xG of 3.15 from 33 shots and conceding just seven shots (0.24 xG).

Inter have won seven of their eight matches in Serie A this term, only dropping points against a very capable Roma side in a 2-2 draw. 

They’ve scored 23 goals across these games, which is really what sets them apart from the rest of the division - not many sides in Serie A, particularly those at the foot of the table, can match this scoring power.

They travel to take on a Venezia side who sit rock bottom of Serie A, having lost seven of their eight matches - with the exception of a very lucky home win over Napoli in which they conceded an xG of 2.36 and 10 shots on target.

Inter have won each of the last five head to head meetings between the sides, most recently beating Venezia 5-1 in the Coppa Italia last year with a very notable gap in the underlying numbers of that game (3.20 xG - 0.15).

Monza may have only won two of their eight games in Serie A this season, but they’ve found the back of the net in all of those matches - including games against Lazio and Inter.

Monza have scored 15 goals in total across their eight games in Serie A (1.87 per game), only five sides in the division have scored more goals than the home side here. They’ve even outscored Napoli (13) so far this term, with eight of these goals notably coming across their three home matches.

Napoli have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four matches, conceding 3+ goals in three of these games. The appointment of Allegri looks more and more bizarre with each passing week, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see the players down tools on the coach soon.

Ridger is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day with a perfect 10.0/10 score.

He is the odds-on favourite for the 18:00, on a hat-trick and to be ridden by Oisin Murphy.

Ridger's just won two in a row, and he's racing in a field where only one horse has a win to their name in their last five - and it's 40/1 shot Dontwaste A Moment.

Ridger is a course and distance winner from late September and his best form has come on the all-weather.

Murphy was in the saddle for that win and will be contributing to his heavy favouritism today.

Luminaries is Racing Ratings' joint-2nd favourite horse of the day, with a score of 8.7/10.

He is on a hat-trick coming into this race, and has shortened in odds of late.

Luminaries is a previous course and distance winner at Newcastle, and has finished in the top two in each of his last three outings.

His last two wins have both been comfortable ones and have come this month, so he has plenty of recent form and course pedigree to take into the 13:26.

He's experienced on this ground and the course should suit him in just a five-horse field.

Bajan Bandit is the joint-2nd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings today, with an 8.7.

He has finished in the top three in five of his last six races, including each of his last three with one victory in that trio.

The two horses above Bajan Bandit in the betting, Eighty Eight and Sant Alessio, are both winless in their last five.

With a win under his belt as recently as September and promising runs over this course and distance from earlier this year, it is clear to see why he's rated by the bookies.

His yard is in decent form and Bajan Bandit's consistency suggests he'll be around those top positions again.

Ridger is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day with a perfect 10.0/10 score.

He is the odds-on favourite for the 18:00, on a hat-trick and to be ridden by Oisin Murphy.

Ridger's just won two in a row, and he's racing in a field where only one horse has a win to their name in their last five - and it's 40/1 shot Dontwaste A Moment.

Ridger is a course and distance winner from late September and his best form has come on the all-weather.

Murphy was in the saddle for that win and will be contributing to his heavy favouritism today.

Midnight's Dream is the joint-2nd highest rated horse of the day, with an 8.7.

He's also on a hat-trick coming into this evening's race, and has finished in the top three in four of six.

He's the clear favourite, at the time of writing, the only horse to consider for a straight win bet with 2nd-favourite, Zoulu Warrior, back at 5/1.

His two recent wins include one over course and distance earlier this month, and he's finished in the top three in his last three outings at Wolverhampton.

Billy Loughnane adds credibility to his favouritism as the Champion Flat Jockey for 2026.

This is an opportunity to oppose a Bromley side who're 1.29 in places to get relegated this season.

Andy Woodman, who'd taken them from the National League to the third tier has recently left by mutual consent with the team looking out of their depth at League One level this term.

Byron Webster is in interim charge, his first role in senior management.

MK are coming out the other side of a difficult start to the season, winning two of three in the league - a trio that followed a 5-1 hammering at home to Reading.

They hit rock-bottom in that game and seem to have used it in the right way, to adapt their approach and bounce back.

Stadium MK has wide pitch dimensions that suit the hosts, but don't suit Bromley, and that was clear to see when MK beat them 2-1 in April (in League Two) as they established a two-goal lead after just 17 minutes.

MK could well go off closer to 1.50 here, so I'm happy to take the odds available around 1.60 as a slice of value.