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Heading into the weekend, no side has conceded more shots than Newcastle, they’ve conceded 97 shots in five games - 10 more than the next weakest team for that metric.

They’ve conceded that many shots against sides, heading into the weekend, sitting 6th, 20th, 17th, 5th and 8th, so it doesn’t appear that they’ve had a particularly challenging fixture list so far.

They’ve conceded 19.40 shots per game on average, comfortably landing this bet in each match by giving up 27. 17, 17, 15 and 22 shots.

If you take out their opening night trip to reigning champions Arsenal, Coventry are at 11.75 shots per game, so they’d only need to improve on that by just over one shot to land this bet, when they’re at home to the worst defence at limiting opposition shots.

Newcastle had way more players called up for international duty than Coventry, so they’re dealing with more disruption than their hosts ahead of this fixture as well.

Harvey Barnes has started the season quite well for Newcastle, recording three goal contributions across his five starts in the Premier League from eight shots overall (1.60 per 90), seeing half of them find the target (0.80 per 90)

Barnes has been waiting for an opportunity to start games regularly at Newcastle having previously lived in the shadow of Anthony Gordon - who has now moved on to Barcelona, leaving Barnes as Newcastle’s main left winger this season.

Barnes should get plenty of success against this Coventry backline, which has conceded 10 goals across their five Premier League matches so far (2.0 per game) and Barnes netted seven goals across 19 starts last season - averaging 0.96 shots on target per 90. 

Jack Rudoni looks like one of the few Coventry players that could develop into a decent player at this level, but has still had to do quite a lot of work off the ball which has seen him commit five fouls across his four Premier League matches.

That works out to an average of 1.50 fouls committed per 90, which is a solid record that should extend here with Rudoni facing up against a Newcastle midfield who look strong on paper when it comes to winning fouls. 

Rudoni’s main opponent here is likely to be Nico Gonzalez, who has been fouled three times across his three Premier League appearances so far and averaged 1.03 fouls won per 90 across his 17 starts in the Premier League last season.

Bobby Thomas has been really good at winning fouls in the early stages of this campaign, drawing eight fouls across his five starts in the Premier League (1.64 per 90).

That’s a remarkable record for a centre back, but it’s an area where Thomas has shown consistency - averaging 0.77 fouls won per 90 across 33 starts in the Championship last season.

There’s a really good matchup for Thomas as well here as he faces up against Yoanne Wissa. The Newcastle forward has been really reckless with his challenges so far, committing 10 fouls across his five starts in the Premier League (2.04 per 90).

Lukas Hornicek has been the busiest keeper in the Premier League so far, having to make 2+ saves in all five of his games so far and 19 saves overall (3.80 per 90).

Hornicek is having to be so active due to Mathias Jaiselle's expansive style of play that has left Newcastle without much protection defensively. Newcastle have conceded an xG of 9.10 across their five Premier League matches, only keeping one clean sheet.

Hornicek played his football in Portugal for Braga last season, making 74 saves across his 33 starts (2.25 per 90), with a save percentage similar to the one he’s posted across the opening five games of the campaign (69.2%). 

Coventry have drawn 2+ saves from the opposition keeper in all but one of their Premier League games so far this season, with that being against Arsenal in their opening game. They also forced Bizot and Suzuki to make four saves between them in their EFL Cup defeat to Villa.

Even Coventry’s heavy 5-0 defeat at home to Brighton before the international break saw Coventry test Verbruggen on six occasions - despite only having 30% of the ball. Even if Coventry really struggle, they are still offering enough of an attacking threat to test Hornicek on at least three occasions.

If there’s one team worth keeping an eye on for goals in the Eliteserien right now, it’s Vålerenga. No side has seen more goals scored and conceded combined over their last five matches, with a total of 25. Their BTTS record is equally impressive, with both teams finding the net in five of their last six league games.

Their seven-match winless run in the Eliteserien largely comes down to a defence that simply cannot keep opponents out. Going forward, though, Vålerenga remain a real threat, averaging almost 16 shots per away game - the second-highest figure in the league, behind only Bodø/Glimt.

For hosts KFUM, there’s both encouragement and cause for concern. The positive is that they face a Vålerenga side with an xGA of 1.63. However, KFUM have defensive problems of their own, ranking among the league’s six teams to have conceded the most goals. Although they have picked up 17 of their 25 points at home, they still leave plenty of space for opponents to exploit. 

Take a look at Udinese’s away results: a 3-2 win over Monza followed by a 5-3 defeat to Inter. That’s six goals scored and seven conceded in just two away matches. One thing is clear: this is a side that isn’t afraid to take risks, even on the road.

The visitors consequently have the fourth-worst defensive record in Serie A heading into this round of fixtures. That offers encouragement for Torino, who have seen BTTS land in four of their five league matches so far. Both sides also stand out more for their defensive vulnerabilities than their attacking output, with Torino averaging 1.65 xGA and Udinese 1.81.

Torino have shown they can take advantage of opponents struggling defensively, as they did against Fiorentina. Monday’s meeting with Udinese could offer a similar opportunity, making Both Teams to Score an appealing option.

Levante have been a completely different proposition at home. They average 16 shots and 1.94 xG per game at their own ground, albeit from a small sample of just two matches. Against Betis and Barcelona, they scored seven goals and conceded six.

Sevilla have won two of their three away matches this season, drawing the other. Despite averaging just eight shots per away game, they have scored five goals across those fixtures. Their attacking consistency is also worth highlighting, having found the net in all seven league matches so far. Another encouraging statistic for this market is that BTTS has landed in five of their seven games this season.

Both sides are expected to have their key attacking players available, with Roger Brugué particularly worth keeping an eye on. Levante's top scorer has three goals in five appearances.

Jack Rudoni looks like one of the few Coventry players that could develop into a decent player at this level, but has still had to do quite a lot of work off the ball which has seen him commit five fouls across his four Premier League matches.

That works out to an average of 1.50 fouls committed per 90, which is a solid record that should extend here with Rudoni facing up against a Newcastle midfield who look strong on paper when it comes to winning fouls. 

Rudoni’s main opponent here is likely to be Nico Gonzalez, who has been fouled three times across his three Premier League appearances so far and averaged 1.03 fouls won per 90 across his 17 starts in the Premier League last season.

If there’s one team worth keeping an eye on for goals in the Eliteserien right now, it’s Vålerenga. No side has seen more goals scored and conceded combined over their last five matches, with a total of 25. Their BTTS record is equally impressive, with both teams finding the net in five of their last six league games.

Their seven-match winless run in the Eliteserien largely comes down to a defence that simply cannot keep opponents out. Going forward, though, Vålerenga remain a real threat, averaging almost 16 shots per away game - the second-highest figure in the league, behind only Bodø/Glimt.

For hosts KFUM, there’s both encouragement and cause for concern. The positive is that they face a Vålerenga side with an xGA of 1.63. However, KFUM have defensive problems of their own, ranking among the league’s six teams to have conceded the most goals. Although they have picked up 17 of their 25 points at home, they still leave plenty of space for opponents to exploit. 

Lennon Miller certainly hasn't been holding back when it comes to committing fouls in the early stages of this Serie A season. With 12 fouls across the opening five rounds, he has committed the third-most fouls in Serie A. Despite playing just 254 minutes, he averages 4+ fouls per 90 minutes and has already picked up a yellow card.

One potential opponent is Simeone, who has won nine fouls and is among the most frequently fouled players in the home side's squad.

The striker is capable of playing between the centre-backs, dropping deep to receive possession and competing for second balls. If Miller retains his central midfield role for Udinese, he may be forced to track those movements, particularly when Simeone drops deep to receive the ball with his back to goal.

Another potential matchup is Cacciamani, who operates on the home side's left flank and has won six fouls in his last three appearances.

With Miller expected to start, his aggressive approach and the challenging individual matchups awaiting him suggest he could struggle to get through the game without picking up a booking.

Kike Pérez has committed at least one foul in four of his five Serie A appearances this season. He has also picked up two yellow cards, highlighting his involvement in Venezia’s defensive work.

Against Atalanta, he could find himself up against Éderson and Rowe, both of whom rank among the ten most-fouled players in Serie A this season.

Pérez operates in an area of the pitch where Atalanta are particularly active. With the home side expected to dominate possession and take the attacking initiative, the Venezia midfielder could be called upon to make even more defensive interventions than usual.

The referee is Paride Tremolada, who averages 5.8 yellow cards per game,  another factor that points towards a potentially card-heavy encounter.

Bryan Mbeumo has been in decent goalscoring form so far this season, netting three goals across his six starts in the Premier League - with the latest goal coming against Tottenham at the weekend.

Mbeumo has always been a very solid finisher, and could find himself leading the line again here with Benjamin Sesko still being a doubt for the game. He registered an assist in United’s convincing 4-0 win over Sabah in thru first Champions League game and had one shot on target in that clash.

Mbeumo scored 11 goals in the Premier League last season, taking 73 shots across his 31 starts in the competition (2.51 per 90). 32 of these efforts found the target (1.10 per 90), which is a solid record over a decent sample size to suggest that Mbeumo will find the target at least once here.

Marc Pubill really struggled in Atletico Madrid’s opening game of the Champions League campaign, committing three fouls and collecting a yellow card as Atletico Madrid fell to defeat at Anfield - with Pubill accounting for a third of the total fouls that Atletico committed.

Pubill is expected to continue at right centre back here, pitting him directly against Matheus Cunha who will be a real handful for the Spaniard to contain given his already aggressive baseline. Pubill has committed six fouls across his five starts in LaLiga this season (1.34 per 90).

Cunha was back on the left hand side for United’s 1-1 draw against Tottenham last time out, and looked much more comfortable in that role as he registered an assist and was fouled three times.

Cunha is a really good player when it comes to winning fouls due to how he moves with the ball. He’s very fluid and has a consistent record over the last few seasons, averaging 1.94 fouls won per 90 across 29 starts in the Premier League last campaign.

Cunha was fouled twice in United’s 4-0 win over Sabah in their opening Champions League game and will be up against Marcos Llorente and Marc Pubill in this one. I’m more interested in his battle with Pubill rather than Llorente, but Cunha can force either to haul him down on a few occasions here.

You really have to feel for Senne Lammens as his good work in goal for United over the last year or so has largely gone unnoticed due to how poor their overall defensive record has been.

Lammens has been doing his bit, he’s already made 18 saves across six starts in the Premier League this season (3.0 per 90), yet has not been rewarded with a clean sheet across these games for his efforts.

Lammens was forced into making 79 saves across his 32 starts in the Premier League last season (2.47 per 90) with a save percentage of 66.9%. Atletico Madrid forced Alisson into three saves in their opening game of the Champions League, and should be able to do the same against a United backline that is really struggling.  

Bryan Mbeumo has been in decent goalscoring form so far this season, netting three goals across his six starts in the Premier League - with the latest goal coming against Tottenham at the weekend.

Mbeumo has always been a very solid finisher, and could find himself leading the line again here with Benjamin Sesko still being a doubt for the game. He registered an assist in United’s convincing 4-0 win over Sabah in thru first Champions League game and had one shot on target in that clash.

Mbeumo scored 11 goals in the Premier League last season, taking 73 shots across his 31 starts in the competition (2.51 per 90). 32 of these efforts found the target (1.10 per 90), which is a solid record over a decent sample size to suggest that Mbeumo will find the target at least once here.

Viktor Gyokeres hasn’t been given much of a chance in the league this season, but the Swedish international is expected to start midweek to allow Kai Havertz a rest.

During the international break, Gyokeres was in exceptional form, and he scored in all four appearances for his national side - it was a surprise to see him benched against Leeds. Gyokeres found the back of the net against Poland and Bosnia, while also scoring in both encounters with Romania. 

Assuming Gyokeres starts midweek, this will be an ideal opportunity for him to try and lock down a starting role under Mikel Arteta, and prove he is up to standard.

Eberechi Eze is another player who has largely had to settle with a role from the bench this campaign, but he has typically played in midweek games.

Arsenal are looking a bit light on wide options, so Eze is likely to feature on the wing here. The former Crystal Palace man started against Napoli before the international break, and he committed two fouls. In his only other start of the season, he also landed this selection with one foul against Ipswich Town.

Eze is likely to play on the same flank as Dilane Bakwa on Tuesday night - he scored against Le Havre at the weekend, and is averaging 1.86 fouls drawn per 90 this season.

Hakon Haraldsson is another player who has been adept at drawing contact, and he has been one of Lille’s most consistent players this campaign. Tiago Santos has been fouled the most times for Lille this season with 15, but Haraldsson is not too far behind with 13 fouls drawn. 

Haraldsson is usually the player who Lille look to when they need to alleviate pressure - he likes getting on the ball in midfield, and is always looking to beat his man. The attacking midfielder has landed this selection in three of his last four starts, and he is averaging 2.37 fouls drawn per 90. Arsenal like to press aggressively in midfield areas, which bodes well for this selection.

Arsenal started their Champions League campaign with a 1-0 victory away against Napoli, as Martin Odegaard scored the decisive goal during the closing stages.

Mikel Arteta’s men went into the international break following a 3-0 defeat against Brighton, but they responded by completing an impressive comeback against Leeds at the weekend. That means the Gunners have won eight of their last nine matches across all competitions, maintaining their momentum after lifting the Premier League title last season.

Meanwhile, Lille were beaten 3-2 by Real Betis in their opening European match, despite taking the lead twice. They then squeezed past Le Havre last weekend, despite the visitors being reduced to ten men.

Arsenal look a lot stronger than Lille on paper here, and it is likely to be one-way traffic. The Gunners accrued eight corners in their opening Premier League match against Coventry, before also landing this selection against Chelsea. Last season, they had an average of 5.75 corners per game across all competitions, rising to 6.0 when playing at the Emirates. 

Set pieces remain a significant part of Arsenal’s attacking approach, so they typically look to utilise width when their opponents sit deep. The hosts should dominate proceedings, forcing Lille into extended spells of defending their box. That should bring corners into the game.

Inter have started the season really well, winning five of their opening six matches in Serie A - scoring 18 goals in the process.

Only Roma, who sit just behind them in the table, have managed to take points off them domestically this season in the form of a 2-2 draw a few weeks back - Inter won the xG battle in that game too (2.86-1.66).

Inter did lose their opening game of their Champions League campaign, but you can’t get much tougher assignments in the Champions League than a trip to the Bernabeu, making this game look much more winnable on paper.

Club Brugge have also started the season well domestically but tend to struggle at this level, as shown by their 3-2 defeat at home on Matchday 1 to Aston Villa.

That game saw them concede an xG of 3.22 despite having 64% of the ball - showing how they aren’t at the level of get anything from this clash with Inter looking really strong so far this season.

Arsenal look a lot stronger than Lille on paper here, and it is likely to be one-way traffic. The Gunners accrued eight corners in their opening Premier League match against Coventry, before also landing this selection against Chelsea. Last season, they had an average of 5.75 corners per game across all competitions, rising to 6.0 when playing at the Emirates. 

Set pieces remain a significant part of Arsenal’s attacking approach, so they typically look to utilise width when their opponents sit deep. The hosts should dominate proceedings, forcing Lille into extended spells of defending their box. That should bring corners into the game.

Galatasaray have lost just one of their home games over the last year and should be able to offer a decent attacking threat to a Barcelona side who are scoring for fun themselves at the moment.

Barcelona have won each of their last five matches ahead of this clash, but have only managed to keep a clean sheet in one of these games. They conceded two goals in their opening game of the Champions League campaign, scoring seven in response as they beat Feyenoord comfortably.

Galatasaray have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, and this angle is mainly backing them to score as Barcelona are as short as 1.11 to find the back of the net here. Barcelona don’t care too much about conceding shots and chances, giving Galatasaray the perfect scenario where they can get on the scoresheet.

It’s hard to make a case for either of these backlines at the moment, United conceded to 10 man Tottenham over the weekend to mark another game where they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet - only Sabah have failed to score against United so far this season.

Atletico Madrid have found clean sheets quite difficult to come by too, keeping just three shutouts this term - with two of those coming against sides that sit in the bottom five of LaLiga following the opening set of matches. 

They’ve seen BTTS in each of their last two matches ahead of this game, and also saw BTTS in their opening game of the Champions League campaign as they fell to a 2-1 defeat to Liverpool. 

Simeone is not quite the same defensively minded manager he is usually pinned as, he’s been willing to be more expansive over recent seasons which partly explains Atletico Madrid’s early record.

Bruno Fernandes cut the same frustrated figure that’s followed him throughout his United career after United failed to beat 10 men for the second time this season in front of their own fans last time out. 

Fernandes has every right to feel a bit let down by his team mates, he’s been setting an unreal standard for the last few seasons but that hasn’t been matched by the players around him - often leaving Fernandes as the sole point of quality within this United side.

Fernandes has registered four goal contributions across his six starts in the Premier League already this season and also scored against Sabah in United’s opening game of the season in the Champions League. 

Atletico Madrid have only managed to keep three clean sheets this season, with two of those shutouts coming against sides that sit in the bottom five sides in LaLiga. United can cause them issues with their attacking quality and Fernandes is an obvious candidate to register a goal contribution.

Alvarez is yet to get going this season, but this is the perfect game to announce himself with a goal contribution following what was a very turbulent summer for the striker in which he was heavily linked with a move to Barcelona.

Alvarez really enjoyed playing in the Champions League for Atletico Madrid last season, registering 14 goal contributions across his 15 starts in the competition - only Kvaratskhelia, Mbappe and Kane registered more goal contributions than Alvarez in the Champions League last season.

Furthermore, Alvarez is lining up against a United side who have only kept one clean sheet this term - with that shutout coming against Sabah on Matchday 1. Alvarez registered an assist in Atletico Madrid’s opening game of the campaign against Liverpool, and I’m backing him to cause similar damage to their rivals.

Maguire has already collected two yellow cards across his six starts in the Premier League this season, and I think we’ll see the centre back struggle with the speed of Atletico’s frontline with Alvarez, Lookman and Kang In Lee set to be running at him here.

Maguire is really well suited to the English game with his ability in the air and surprising composure on the ball - but he’s not very quick or agile, which is where his game can come apart a bit against a side with the attacking quality of Atletico Madrid. His main opponent here is likely to be Julian Alvarez, who averaged 0.85 fouls won per 90 last season.

I’m more interested in Maguire’s battles with Lookman (1.25 fouls won per 90) and Lee (1.61 fouls won per 90) who will know that they have the beating of the United centre back and will relish the chance to drag him into wider areas where Maguire is naturally not as comfortable.

There aren’t many moves in football that make as much sense as Romero joining Atletico Madrid. 

It’s a transfer that has looked inevitable for the last few years with Romero being the perfect player to embody Simeone’s style of play. He’s already picked up one yellow card for his new side, with that caution coming against Real Madrid.

Romero was cautioned in both league meetings between Tottenham and Manchester United last season, actually being sent off in Tottenham’s 2-0 defeat at Old Trafford towards the end of last season.

Romero will be up against Bryan Mbeumo here with Benjamin Sesko suffering a recurrence of the injury that kept him sidelined at the start of the campaign. Mbeumo averaged 0.96 fouls won per 90 last season and will cause Romero issues as a makeshift striker.

Ayase Ueda has made a strong start to life at Lille since arriving from Feyenoord, contributing three goals from just five appearances.

That includes getting on the scoresheet against Real Betis in his last Champions League appearance. The Japanese international is averaging 2.96 shots per 90 this season, which is the highest figure in the Lille squad. Even though that is based on a small sample size, it is worth noting that he had an average of 3.37 shots per 90 across all competitions for Feyenoord last season - he is adept at finding gaps in opposing defences.

Impressively, 42% of those efforts hit the target as well. Ueda will be Lille’s biggest threat in transition, and he will hope to exploit this Arsenal backline who have looked a bit shaky in defence.

Benjamin Andre has long been one of Lille’s most aggressive midfielders over the years, and he has recorded double-digit card counts in all seven seasons as a Lille player. That includes 11 yellows in 37 appearances across all competitions last season, and 15 in the campaign before that. 

This season, he has picked up one card in four appearances, but he is averaging 2.43 fouls per 90 in that time, which shows how his intense approach hasn’t changed. The Frenchman will have a tough task here trying to contain the Arsenal forwards, so this price stands out.

Martin Odegaard scored the winning goal against Napoli in Arsenal’s opening Champions League match, so he should be looking forward to this fixture.

The Norwegian international was one of the standout performers for Arsenal prior to the international break - he scored in four out of eight appearances across all competitions. Even though he didn’t score against Leeds last time out, he still played a massive role in the final third, and recorded a shot on target. 

Odegaard only scored one goal in 36 appearances across all competitions last season, but he looks revitalised this term. He was much more of a provider last season, contributing seven assists, and he will be the one pulling the strings again midweek.

Luis Javier Suárez has been making headlines for more than just his goals at Sporting this season. The striker has already picked up five yellow cards across the domestic league and Champions League.

The reasons behind those bookings are particularly revealing: two for arguing, two for committing fouls and one for an off-the-ball incident.

There’s no questioning Suárez’s commitment. He even managed to pick up a booking in an international friendly. That intensity, combined with the pressure of a Champions League fixture, could make it even harder for the striker to keep his emotions in check. In his determination to help the team, he could easily cross the line.

Croatian referee Igor Pajač will take charge of the match, averaging more than four yellow cards per game. He has shown little hesitation in reaching for his pocket in Europa League qualifying this season, handing out 12 yellow cards across two matches. That record suggests he is unlikely to tolerate players who let their emotions get the better of them.

There aren’t many moves in football that make as much sense as Romero joining Atletico Madrid. 

It’s a transfer that has looked inevitable for the last few years with Romero being the perfect player to embody Simeone’s style of play. He’s already picked up one yellow card for his new side, with that caution coming against Real Madrid.

Romero was cautioned in both league meetings between Tottenham and Manchester United last season, actually being sent off in Tottenham’s 2-0 defeat at Old Trafford towards the end of last season.

Romero will be up against Bryan Mbeumo here with Benjamin Sesko suffering a recurrence of the injury that kept him sidelined at the start of the campaign. Mbeumo averaged 0.96 fouls won per 90 last season and will cause Romero issues as a makeshift striker.