This selection landed in the first leg as Shakhtar ran out 3-1 winners over Lech Poznan.

Both sides produced an xG in excess of 1.0 in the first leg (1.45-1.79).

Lech Poznan need to score at least twice here to get back into the tie, and have seen BTTS + Over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions.

This selection landed in the first leg as Alkmaar ran out 2-1 winners over Sparta Prague.

The first leg produced a combined xG of 4.81.

Sparta Prague have seen this selection land in four of their last five matches across all competitions.

Alkmaar have seen this selection land in three of their last five matches across all competitions.

This selection landed in the first leg meeting between the sides, with Porto coming away 2-1 winners.

Stuttgart’s last 10 matches have seen an average of 3.4 goals per game.

Stuttgart have scored 21 goals across their 11 games in the Europa League this season (1.90 per game).

Porto have seen BTTS in each of their last four Europa League games.

This angle landed in the first leg as Strasbourg came away 2-1 winners over Rijeka.

Both sides registered an xG of 2.0 or higher in the first leg (2.10-2.50).

Strasbourg have seen BTTS in six of their seven matches in the Conference League this season.

The first leg between these sides produced exactly three goals, as Alkmaar came away with a 2-1 victory on home soil. The Dutch side could have made more of their opportunities in that match, having registered 27 shots and posting an xG of 3.84.

Sparta Prague will feel they got away with one in the first leg, and now find themselves well within the tie - just one goal would bring them level on aggregate. Sparta have seen three or more goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, including each of their last three Conference League outings.

Alkmaar have also had three or more goals in four of their last five matches in all competitions, and have been involved in 39 goals across their 18 away Eredivisie fixtures this season (2.16 per game). The closeness of the tie should give Sparta encouragement, particularly as they return home needing to overturn a narrow deficit to progress.

The first leg between these sides finished 2-1 to Porto, a significant result given that Stuttgart rarely come away with a loss on home soil. The Bundesliga side do, however, regularly find themselves involved in high-scoring matches and will need to score at least twice here if they want to progress without requiring extra time or penalties.

That first leg saw the two sides combine for 13 shots on target, and the urgency to get attempts away should only increase given the natural pressure of a second leg in a knockout format. Porto have seen two or more goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with Stuttgart also seeing 2+ goals in three of their last five.

Stuttgart have been involved in 51 goals across their 13 away games in the Bundesliga this season (3.92 per game) and possess the attacking quality to fight their way back into this tie. Porto tend to be strong at home, so it won’t be straightforward for Sebastian Hoeness’ side, but the context should lend itself to an exciting and end to end second leg.

Amad Diallo isn’t always the first name that comes to mind when looking for a serial fouler, but his record is actually quite strong for a winger - and I've noted how clumsy he can be with his challenges.

Manchester United committed 15 fouls in the most recent head to head meeting between these sides, with Amad Diallo committing two fouls - and dragging down Truffert with one of these challenges. 

Amad has committed 17 fouls across his 21 Premier League appearances this season, working out to an average of 0.84 fouls committed per 90. His recent foul record may look a little off putting, but he has the perfect opponents here to force him into committing at least one foul here.

Amad will face up against Truffert and Rayan down that side of the pitch. I’ll expand on Truffert a bit more below, but Rayan has been brilliant since coming to the Premier League, notably winning four fouls across his six starts (0.67 fouls won per 90). 

Adrien Truffert is a really exciting fullback to watch, a brief glance at his heat map this season will show you just how often he is given encouragement to push forward with Bournemouth often opting for a bold approach when playing in front of their own fans.

There’s actually a bit of value with this as a single when compared to other bookmakers, who have Truffert at 1.36 to win a foul here. Manchester United committed 15 fouls in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides, and may have to stop Truffert progressing down that side of the pitch again with his direct opponents being Amad Diallo and Diogo Dalot.

Diallo and Dalot combine to commit 1.76 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, so should offer a decent foul threat to Truffert between them when the Bournemouth fullback inevitably looks to bomb forward. Truffert has won 23 fouls across his 30 starts in the Premier League this season, working out to an average of 0.78 fouls won per 90.

Elliot Anderson contributed two shots in that game against Fenerbahce, and he also saw plenty of involvement in the final third against Midtjylland in the first leg. The midfielder recorded three shots, and he came close to scoring - two of his efforts were on target, and the other was blocked. 

Once again, Anderson should be able to pick up some promising positions up the field, which bodes well for this selection. Especially if Midtjylland can keep Forest out, the game situation would lend itself towards the visitors having lots of shots. 

Anderson also recorded three shots against Midtjylland in the league phase, landing this selection comfortably, meaning he is averaging 2.37 shots per 90 in the Europa League. That figure is already significantly higher than his average of 1.42 shots per 90 for the season in total, but both numbers could rise even further here, considering the aggregate score.

Murillo is averaging 1.1 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, but that figure rises significantly to 1.3 when playing away. He has recorded six fouls in his last three away outings alone, and was booked against Man City. Murillo has been even more aggressive in his duels in the Europa League, and he is averaging 1.94 fouls per 90 in the competition, landing this selection in all seven of his starts so far. That includes multiple infringements in four of those games, and one booking. 

The Brazilian international recorded two fouls against Midtjylland in the league phase, despite only lasting 28 minutes before being substituted due to an injury. He repeated that feat in the round of 16 as well, accounting for two of Forest’s nine fouls in the match. When Forest play a back three, Murillo can afford to be more intense in his challenges and get tighter to the opposing attacker, which has led to an uptick in fouls recently.

The stats were eerily similar in that match, as Forest registered 22 shots (again), worth 2.05 xG, while Midtjylland managed eight shots worth 2.1 xG. Despite having far less possession, and less shots, they recorded a higher xG tally, which shows how they were able to create quality chances on the break. 

There were also 18 corners in that game, with 10 corners for Forest, and eight for Midtjylland. With Forest chasing the game here, we could get a similar outcome - Forest will have to be attack-minded in their approach, but that could play into the hands of Midtjylland, who have shown their class on the counter. 

Forest managed 10 corners in their last away outing in the Europa League, which was against Fenerbahce. They won that game 3-0, and will hope for a similar result in this one.

It was stormy conditions at the City Ground in the first leg, which made life difficult for the players, but chances were still available at both ends of the field. The hosts were the dominant side, recording 22 shots worth 1.72 xG, but they were unable to find the back of the net. Elias Olafsson was a key reason for that, as he finished with five saves to his name. 

Midtjylland managed six shots worth 0.69 xG in return, but those stats are a bit deceiving - the visitors had a shot cleared off the line by Murillo, then hit the crossbar, before Gue-Sing Cho eventually scored in the 80th minute, with an excellent header. 

The Danish side will once again have confidence here against Forest, especially considering they won 3-2 when the sides met in the league phase. Once again, it was an entertaining watch, with both sides able to carve out good chances.

Evan Guessand was wasteful in the first leg, as he missed three big chances. The Ivory Coast international has adapted well to life in South London, and has been an important player for the Eagles in recent weeks, but he was partially responsible for goalless first leg, and will want to make amends. 

He will find confidence from the fact that he was able to pick up such promising positions, though, and the winger should be able to do the same on Thursday night. Guessand had four shots in the first leg, and two hit the target. Against Zrinjski in the previous knockout round, Guessand also had plenty of success going forward, and helped his side qualify for the Conference League round of 16. He had three shots, with two on target, and eventually scored in the 93rd minute to make the aggregate score 3-1. 

Adam Wharton is averaging 1.19 shots per 90 across all competitions this term, which is nothing to write home about, but he has shown a considerable increase in shots when playing in the Conference League. He was benched against Larnaca in the league phase, but Wharton managed one shot against the Cypriot side in the round of 16 first leg. That was a speculative effort which came from outside the box, and went well wide. Wharton has shown he is not shy to try his luck from range, and 19 of his 26 shots in the Premier League this season have come from outside the box. 

The 22-year-old is averaging 1.71 shots per 90 on the European stage this season, and he has hit this mark in six out of eight appearances in the competition. That includes all four away games, including three shots against Zrinjski in the previous knockout round. 

Larnaca have proven they can be a stubborn unit to face, and they are currently unbeaten in the Conference League after seven matches. They even managed to beat Palace in the league phase, but that was the definition of a smash-and-grab. Palace again dominated possession, and they registered 15 shots worth 1.76 xG. Larnaca managed just four shots worth 0.2 xG in return, but they were efficient in front of goal, and came away with a 1-0 win. 

This selection has landed in both head-to-head meetings between the sides, and Palace cleared this line on their own in the first leg. The Eagles managed eight corners in the first meeting, and six in the second. With the tie still hanging in the balance, Larnaca could open up a bit more, and they have registered at least five corners in all of their home matches in the Conference League this season. 

Boos rang out at the full time whistle at Selhurst Park last week, as Crystal Palace were held to a 0-0 draw by AEK Larnaca. That was a shock result, and the Eagles now face the long trip to Cyprus for the second leg, but they will be hopeful that they can atone for their mistakes. Crystal Palace are still favourites to secure progression to the Conference League quarter-finals, but they will have to be more clinical in the final third. 

Palace recorded 13 shots and six big chances worth 1.98 xG in the first leg, but were denied by four crucial saves from Zlatan Alomerovic between the sticks. Oliver Glasner’s men came close on several occasions, but were just unable to find the decisive finish. In return, Larnaca were barely able to lay a glove on the hosts, and they managed just two shots in return.

The first leg between Aston Villa and Lille wasn’t exactly the most entertaining spectacle, but the Premier League side came away with a 1-0 win, as Ollie Watkins scored the only goal of the game.

It was a composed performance from Villa on their travels, and that result puts them in a commanding position for the second leg. Even though a draw will do for them, Villa will want to come away with the win on home turf here. 

The hosts have been a bit inconsistent at Villa Park in recent weeks, and they have only won two of their last seven home matches across all competitions. Before that, Unai Emery’s men had won 11 matches on the spin at home, in a run stretching from September to January.

They will hope to recover that kind of form and use this game against Lille to start a streak.

Trailing by one goal in the tie, Lille will have to bring the intensity in their approach, so players like Konsa could be incredibly useful.

At the other end of the field, Morgan Rogers will be a key player for Villa, and he should be looking forward to this matchup. The 23-year-old had four shots in the reverse fixture, out of nine in total for Aston Villa, taking his average to 2.39 shots per 90 for the season. 

His goal against Bournemouth put Rogers into double figures for the season, highlighting the threat he can carry in the final third. Even though he hasn’t scored in the seven games since then, Rogers’ shot volume has remained high, and he has landed this selection in six of those matches.

He only missed this mark against Newcastle in a 3-1 defeat, but Villa should have much more success going forward here. 

Lille were lucky to see none of their players pick up a card in the first leg, as they went unpunished for 11 infringements. Former Arsenal man Olivier Giroud accounted for two of those fouls against Villa, and he could look to force the issue once again on Thursday night. 

Giroud is averaging 1.52 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, and has landed this selection in each of his last three starts. He draws an excellent matchup to improve that figure even more, as his primary matchup will be Ezri Konsa at the back. 

The centre back is averaging 1.36 fouls per 90 across all competitions, rising steeply to 2.32 in the Europa League. He is adept at drawing soft-free kicks when Villa find themselves under a bit of pressure, which can be so useful to allow his side to establish some possession. 

Villa excel in these kinds of situations, where they don’t have much pressure on them, so they can sit back, absorb pressure, and play on the counter.

Lille will have to be front-footed in their approach here, which could leave them exposed in transition. Lille weren’t shown a card in that first-leg defeat, but they have seen a massive uptick in bookings when playing away. 

Lille are averaging 1.65 cards per game at home this season, which is much lower than their average of 2.79 cards per game on the road. This selection has landed in four of their five Europa League away matches this season, where Lille have accrued 12 yellows and one red in that time. 

Meanwhile, Aston Villa rank top of the Premier League charts for total cards drawn this campaign, and this selection has landed in each of the last five matches at Villa Park. 

Lens boast the best home record in Ligue 1 this season, winning 11 of their 13 matches and netting 26 goals in the process (2.0 per game). They are still in the title race in Ligue 1, which is some achievement - given that PSG usually have a 10 point lead at this stage of the campaign in the French top flight.

Lens can go above PSG with a win here, though Luis Enrique’s side do have two games in hand to reinstate their current lead at the top of the table. Lens scored twice when these sides met earlier in the season, coming away 2-1 winners as the away side with their xG of 2.05 offering plenty of encouragement when looking to back Lens for two goals again here.

Angers have struggled on the road in Ligue 1 this term, winning just three of their 13 away matches in the French top flight. They’ve conceded 17 goals across these matches, and notably come into this fixture having lost four of their last five matches across all competitions - conceding 2+ goals in three of these games.

The first meeting between these two sides this season was a crazy one, ending in a 4-4 draw. With a combined xG of 5.34 from 39 shots. Based on this evidence, we could be in for another lively clash with goals looking likely at both ends.

Bournemouth tend to play a high-risk game, which is why that chaotic scoreline at Old Trafford earlier in the campaign wasn't a complete shock. The Cherries have toned things down a little in recent weeks, with three goalless draws in their last five outings - but their overall home record still tells a different story. Across 15 matches at the Vitality Stadium, there have been 36 goals, averaging 2.4 per game.

That said, it’s hard to see Bournemouth keeping United out here. Michael Carrick has done well to organise the side, but Manchester United are still struggling for clean sheets. Both teams have scored in four of their last five matches in all competitions and with United pushing for a Champions League spot, that trend could easily continue.

Alex Jimenez was dropped to the bench last weekend, but the Spaniard has been a regular at right back for Bournemouth in recent weeks and should reclaim his starting spot here over Adam Smith. Jimenez has proven his versatility this season, as he has featured in more advanced areas, but the 20-year-old has dropped into a more natural fullback role since the emergence of Rayan. 

Because of that, Jimenez should be directly up against Matheus Cunha on the flank on Friday night, which is a matchup to keep an eye on. The Brazilian international is averaging 2.17 fouls drawn per 90 this season across all competitions, and he was fouled five times against Newcastle in his last away outing. 

Jimenez is averaging 1.45 fouls per 90 on home turf this season, and he has landed this selection in eight of his eleven home starts.

Bournemouth had a bit of an injury crisis in midfield when these sides last met, as Lewis Cook was suspended, Ryan Christie was injured, and Tyler Adams suffered a knock just eight minutes into the match. That meant Marcus Tavernier had to play deeper than usual, but he was still a standout performer at Old Trafford, finishing the game with a goal and an assist to his name. 

Tavernier had four shots in total, with three of those efforts hitting the target, and he has again been heavily involved since returning from injury. Tavernier has landed this bet in each of his last three starts, with 13 shots in that time.

Even though just 32% of his efforts in the Premier League have hit the target, Tavernier’s shot volume tends to be high, and he is averaging 2.48 shots per 90 in the league. He is the designated free-kick taker for the Cherries, and could also be on penalties. 

There were plenty of chances available at either end of the field in that game, with neither side offering much defensive resistance.

The hosts generated 3.4 xG from their 25 shots, while Bournemouth managed 14 attempts at goal themselves. Both goalkeepers were also kept busy, finishing the game with five saves apiece, highlighting how there could have been even more goals. 

That game had a bit of everything - goals, cards, and even corners. There were nine in total, with five for Man United and four for Bournemouth. Andoni Iraiola's side have been a team to target for corners all season, as they can be quite direct in their approach, and often look to play through wide areas.

They are averaging 10.9 corners per game in the Premier League this season, with 5.7 for and 5.2 against. This selection has landed in 12 of their last 13 league matches.

Bournemouth have been stalemate specialists over the last few weeks, as they have drawn each of their last four matches coming into this clash. Three of those games have seen no goals at all for either side, which is unusual, given how Bournemouth games are usually quite open and entertaining to watch. 

However, Bournemouth have still been able to create some good chances, and it seems like the goals will start flowing again soon. They somehow failed to score against Burnley last time out, despite registering 22 shots worth 2.55 xG. 

BTTS has landed in 12 of Man United’s last 13 away games, making this an excellent opportunity for Bournemouth to break their duck. However, keeping Man United at bay has proven to be no easy task, as they have scored in every game since November. Also, it finished 4-4 when these sides met in the reverse fixture at Old Trafford.

Lincoln struck in the 93rd minute last time out to earn a 2-2 draw against Huddersfield on the road, extending their unbeaten run in League One to 21 matches. This brilliant run of form has seen them rise to top of the pile in League One, boasting a five point buffer to Cardiff in second who had led the way for a large chunk of the season.

Lincoln’s home record has been particularly impressive this term with 14 wins across their 19 games in front of their own supporters - losing just one of these matches. They’ve scored 43 goals across these games (2.26 per game), which is more than any other side at home in League One this term.

It’s hard to see how Rotherham battle against this dominance seeing as they have the worst away record of any side in League One this term. Rotherham have only won three of their 18 matches on the road this season - losing 13 of these games. They’ve only scored 13 goals across these matches, exposing a key point of difference between these sides, this is the joint lowest goal tally in the road in League One this term.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced six goals as Thun came away 4-2 winners as the home side over Zurich. That clash saw a combined xG of 5.01, with Thun making up most of this (3.66), but Zurich also managing to contribute (1.35), which is pretty reflective of how Thun’s season has unfolded so far.

They’ve been one of the stories of the season across Europe as a newly promoted side looking to win the title in the top flight at the first time of asking. Clean sheets haven’t really been their priority this term, with only six across their 30 games in the Swiss Super League (20%) and each of their last five matches across all competitions seeing 3+ goals.

Zurich have also seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, losing four of these games. Zurich’s 15 home games have produced 56 goals in the Swiss Super League (3.73 per game), so there should be plenty of scope for both sides to contribute to an exciting encounter here.

Chelsea come into this game pretty bruised from a brutal week in which they lost three games in a row with Newcastle delivering one blow and PSG adding a few more with an 8-2 win on aggregate against the Blues to knock them out of the Champions League.

Chelsea have struggled to keep clean sheets since Liam Rosenior arrived at the club, keeping just three shutouts across his 18 games in charge at Chelsea. They now travel to face an Everton side that they have beaten just once on the road across their last eight away trips against the Toffees.

David Moyes’ side is perfectly set up to hurt Chelsea, they will have the fitness advantage on the Blues having not played in midweek and can expose one of Chelsea’s main weaknesses this season which has been conceding shots and chances from set pieces.

Everton have scored 18 goals across their 15 home games in the Premier League this season. This isn’t a crazy record, but this angle leans more on Chelsea being vulnerable at the back which Everton are sure to prey on with David Moyes’ side having the opportunity to close the gap to Chelsea to just three points with a win in this match.

This is a huge game in the Eerste Divisie with Waalwijk looking to maintain their spot in the playoffs while Den Bosch look to eat into some of the four point gap which is keeping them from a playoff spot.

Waalwijk managed to earn a 2-2 draw on the road when these sides last met with that game seeing 26 match shots and 10 match shots on target. BTTS is quite common when these sides meet, with each of the last four head to head clashes seeing both sides find the back of the net.

Waalwijk have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 2-2 draw against Almere last time out which has dampened their playoff push slightly and provided encouragement to the likes of Den Bosch - who have also seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions.

Furthermore, Den Bosch have seen 58 goals across their 16 away matches in the Eerste Divisie this season - working out to an average of 3.6 goals per game.