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The Cherries are in incredible form. They’ve won seven on the spin in all comps, keeping six clean sheets.

They’ve averaged 1.57 xG and cruised past Manchester United last time out.

They’re excellent in attack, with Evanilson and Marcus Tavernier performing particularly well recently.

Ipswich have the second highest xGA in the Premier League at 2 per match and one of the lowest xG’s at 1.28.

Sociedad have won 4 of their last 5 La Liga matches and they’ve lost just one home game so far, which was against Atletico Madrid.

They’ve averaged 1.58 xG and notably, they have been much sterner defensively at home, averaging 1.32 xGA compared to 2.05 away.

That strength at home matches up well with Vallecano’s lacklustre away form.

The visitors are winless in five away matches which includes shipping five to Barcelona and four to Real Madrid.

In total, they’ve managed just two points from a possible 15 on their travels.

Freiburg are going really well and are keeping pace at the top of the Bundesliga with five wins from their opening eight games.

Only Bayern and RB Leipzig have outscored them and on home soil they’ve won three from four, only tasting defeat to Bayern.

Their home metrics are very impressive as they average 1.69 xG and restrict their opponents to just 1.06 and even that is inflated by the 1.98 Bayern had.

Union Berlin have won just one game this season and on the road their returns have been laughable.

They’ve taken one point and scored just a single goal in three games, shipping 12 in the process with an eye-watering 2.75xGA.

Johan Manzambi has settled in really well at Aston Villa, and found the target against Barcelona during the week as Unai Emery’s side slumped to a 3-0 defeat.

He’s a natural replacement for Morgan Rogers with many of the same traits that made the now Chelsea man such an effective player in the Premier League last season.

Manzambi has registered five shots on target across his six appearances in the Premier League this season (1.16 per 90). Only Nicolas Jackson (9) has had more shots on target than Manzambi in the Premier League this term, and he’s played two more games.

Manzambi has had a shot on target in both of his Premier League appearances in away games for Aston Villa this season - managing two efforts on target in the win over Tottenham.

You could see the relief and passion on Fernandes’ face as Man Utd came from 2-0 down to beat Roma 3-2 in the Champions League during the week.

Fernandes was as involved as he always is, taking four shots and scoring from the penalty spot as well as registering an assist and picking up a yellow card.

Man Utd are still in a bit of a mess, but that result will definitely help to lift spirits and Fernandes showed in that comeback exactly why he is so crucial to Man Utd.

Only Bryan Mbeumo (27) has had more shots in the Premier League than Fernandes (25 - 3.13 per 90). He’s quite careless with his efforts, often taking aim when there are better options available.

That’s a trend that exists across the United squad as well, they’ve had the most shots of any side in the Premier League (18.56 per game).

You’re probably tired of me defending Senne Lammens, but he’s constantly being asked to do the impossible in this United side and would be seen in a different light with a competent defensive set up in front of him.

Only three keepers in the Premier League have been called into action more often than Lammens this season, with the Belgian having to make 30 saves across just nine matches (3.33 per 90).

He’s made at least one save in all nine of his Premier League appearances this season, having to make multiple stops in seven of those games.

The only games where he wasn’t forced into at least two saves were against Bournemouth, who scored three from four shots on target, and Man City, who had a man sent off early on.

Aston Villa have the attacking threats to test Lammens, namely Jackson and Manzambi who will almost certainly find space in transition with how unorganised Man Utd’s backline is.

I can’t see this game being tight, Man Utd’s 3-2 comeback win over Roma was a good snapshot into how their games have generally been this season.

The attacking setup is not too bad at Man Utd, with individual quality like Fernandes, Mbeumo, Cunha and Amad - you’re always going to be able to produce individual moments of quality.

It’s at the other end where there are more alarming issues, only six sides have conceded more goals than Man Utd in the Premier League this season (1.67 per game), and it seems to get worse at Old Trafford - they’ve only kept one clean sheet at home across all competitions (v Sabah).

Ipswich, Roma, Bournemouth and Brighton have all scored at least twice at Old Trafford this season, and only five sides have faced a greater xG conceded than Carrick’s side.

One of those sides is Aston Villa, who have conceded 13 goals from an xG conceded of 15.1. They’ve seen 3+ goals in each of their last two away matches, and in four of their last five more widely.

Both teams have been free-scoring of late and gamestate will lend itself towards goals if one team is leading heading into the closing exchanges of the game - the margin of defeat is irrelevant in a cup tie.

8th-tier Stafford beat Gateshead, of the National League, 5-0 in a replay in the final round of qualifying, and currently sit 2nd in the Northern Premier League Division One West with 11 wins and three defeats.

Grimsby, who beat Man Utd in the EFL Cup last season, will have to contend with Tom Tonks’ long throws (see Tamworth v Tottenham from 24/25 if you don’t remember these missiles) whenever they concede a throw in their own third.

Which doesn’t bode well considering they’ve conceded six goals and 0.49 xG per game from set pieces in League Two this season, and Stafford can turn every throw in the Grimsby defensive third into a set piece.

Grimsby have been reliable going forward this season and come into this game off an epic 5-2 win over York.

Only Barnet and Salford have scored more than Grimsby in the fourth tier, and they’ve seen over 2.5 goals in five of their seven league away games.

This game is definitely on the upset radar given how Crawley have played this season.

There hasn’t been an uplift since Kevin Blackwell’s arrival in an interim capacity replacing Colin Kazim-Richards in the dugout, despite what results suggest.

They won 1-0 at Oldham last weekend, but it was a hugely unconvincing performance considering the hosts were reduced to nine men from the 30th minute onwards.

That was their first league win since late August and their first league clean sheet of the season (which definitely has an asterisk next to it).

Wimborne will have moments on their own patch, they have five-time Northern Ireland international Josh McQuoid and average 1.69 goals for per game in the league this term.

Crawley’s three EFL Trophy games this season average 3.67 total goals and they lost 3-0 at Boreham Wood at this stage of the FA Cup last season.

In fact, Crawley’s FA Cup first round encounter has seen three or more goals in each of the last four seasons.

Oldham have been one of the biggest data outliers, and unsustainable underperformers, in League Two this season, scoring just 15 from 21.36 xG.

A regression to the mean in their finishing would see them contribute to the scoreline against Sheffield Wednesday.

Wednesday have been inconsistent this season, but have shown that when they click they can be devastating, beating Bromley 7-2 and AFC Wimbledon 5-0 earlier in the campaign.

Dave Challinor has recently replaced Henrik Pedersen in the dugout and will be keen to avoid embarrassment at Boundary Park.

Oldham saw over 3.5 goals in their two FA Cup outings last season, a similar tally is expected in this one.

Como are on some run at the moment.

They’ve won each of their last six matches, netting 22 goals in the process.

Cesc Fabregas’ side put nine goals past Lens in the Champions League during the week, highlighting just how much confidence this young and talented side are playing with at the moment.

I don’t think they’ll be phased by the trip to face Inter Milan, which is admittedly the toughest assignment for any side in the division, and we only need them to score once.

Inter’s underlying attacking numbers are really positive, but there are clear defensive issues. Five sides in Serie A have conceded fewer goals than Inter this season, and they’ve only kept three clean sheets across their 10 matches (30%).

Fiorentina, Club Brugge, Udinese and Monza have all scored against Inter at home this season. Como enter this game with real confidence, and have enough players firing to score at least once.

I’m also keen to back Como to earn at least four corners during this contest.

The Blue and Whites are very attack-minded and excellent at retaining possession, which naturally sees them rack up plenty of corners.

That is underlined by the fact that Como have averaged 7.10 corners per game in Serie A this season, the second-highest tally in the division and only bettered by Juventus.

Upon closer inspection, Como have cleared the over 3.5 corners hurdle in each of their 10 league matches this season, as well as during their demolition of Lens in the Champions League in midweek.

While Inter do not tend to concede too many corners, they have had to defend 4 or more in each of their four Champions League games this season, including home matches against Club Brugge and Shakhtar Donetsk.

It’s also worth pointing out that Napoli forced 5 flag kicks against Inter at the San Siro earlier this season.

Nicolo Barella is a player I’ve had success with in the foul markets in recent weeks, and I’m keen to back the Inter Milan midfielder to commit at least one foul against Como on Sunday.

The Italian international was in the thick of the action during last week’s Milan derby, when he was penalised on 3 occasions.

That means Barella has now committed at least 1 foul in each of his last four Serie A outings, taking his overall average for the season to 1.08 per game.

Even more encouraging is the fact that he was guilty of 5 offences during Inter’s 3-0 win away at Feyenoord in the Champions League earlier this week.

I expect Barella’s combative streak to be on show again here against an attack-minded Como side with plenty of pace and flair.

He’s likely to come into close contact with Luis Milla and Nico Paz.

The pair have drawn an average of 1.25 and 1.10 fouls per game respectively in Serie A this season.

Back Nico Paz to be fouled at least once on Sunday evening.

As already mentioned, the classy Como playmaker has drawn an average of 1.10 fouls per game in Serie A this season.

A closer look shows that the Como ace has been fouled 8 times across his six league appearances away from home this term.

Paz has also come in for plenty of close attention in the Champions League.

He’s won at least 1 free kick in all four of his appearances and 2 or more in three of them, including against Lens last time out.

Given how influential he is for Como, he is likely to come in for plenty of close attention from Inter’s midfield on Sunday evening.

He could find himself up against the aforementioned Nicolo Barella, who has been committing fouls regularly in recent weeks, as well as Hakan Calhanoglu, who has averaged 1.34 fouls per 90 in Serie A this season.

Sunderland find themselves under a bit of pressure heading into this clash, winless in any of their last seven Premier League matches. They will need to bring the intensity at the Stadium of Light this weekend, but it’s a difficult matchup for them. The Blues are drawing an average of 12.0 fouls per game across all competitions this season, with the majority of those concentrated on their attacking midfielder.

Granit Xhaka will have to deal with the likes of Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers, and Pedro Neto, so he will have his hands full. The former Arsenal man is only averaging 0.7 fouls per 90 this season in the league, but this is an excellent matchup to increase that figure.

Julio Enciso has drawn 14 fouls in his nine Premier League appearances this season, averaging 1.7 per 90. The Paraguay international has been one of the standout performers in this struggling Ipswich side, and he has scored in back-to-back matches heading into this clash. Enciso will be full of confidence, and demanding the ball at every available opportunity.

Bournemouth are a team who like to be aggressive in their press, averaging 13.3 fouls per game across all competitions, rising even further to 14.6 fouls when playing. Tyler Adams has been a key contributor to that record, and he should find duels against Enciso at Portman Road this weekend.

Jean-Philippe Mateta’s red card in the 13th minute against Spurs last weekend forced Crystal Palace into a very deep block, as they were beaten 2-0 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Chris Richards couldn’t afford to commit a foul in that match, but he had landed this selection in five out of eight starts before that. That includes the last three successive home matches.

The American international has been kept busy this season, and he is set for another difficult task at Selhurst Park here. Cody Gakpo looks set to occupy the left wing for Liverpool, and the Dutchman is averaging 1.64 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions.

Costinha has been thrust into a starting role by Fabian Hurzeler in recent weeks, having to deal with an injury to Ferdi Kadoiglu. He has started the last five successive matches across all competitions, and has recorded at least two infringements in three of those. That includes picking up a yellow card against Getafe in the Conference League midweek, and another booking against Liverpool.

The Portuguese international likes to be aggressive in his duels, and he will have to deal with Kevin Schade this weekend. The German international was fouled three times against Nottingham Forest last time out, taking his average to 1.8 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions this season.

Johan Manzambi was the most fouled player in the Bundesliga last season by quite some distance - he was fouled a total of 78 times, with Antonio Nusa ranking second with 64. The Swiss international is adept at using his body to draw contact, and he excels at buying soft free-kicks. This season, Manzambi is averaging 2.3 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions, and he has landed this bet in six of his seven starts overall.

It hasn’t taken long for Manzambi to settle in at Villa - he sees plenty of the ball in an advanced midfield position, and will hope to pull the strings against Man United this weekend. Michael Carrick’s men racked up 20 infringements against Chelsea last weekend.

Real Sociedad have been involved in some pretty entertaining games lately, scoring 14 goals in their last five league matches but also conceding nine, with both teams scoring in all five.

They've got the fourth-best attack in La Liga, averaging almost two goals per game, but they're also among the five worst defences in the league, just like Rayo.

Rayo have scored in all five of their away games, with both teams finding the net in every one. They've also conceded an average of 2.6 goals per match.

Sergio Camello has scored four of his seven goals for Rayo away from home, so he's definitely one to watch.

Real Sociedad will fancy their chances here, especially with Rayo giving up 15.5 shots per game. The hosts have also been looking much better going forward, managing at least 12 shots in each of their last five matches.

Groningen have been causing plenty of problems away from home, scoring in every game so far and averaging 2.6 goals per match.

The problem is their defence, which has conceded 24 goals in 11 games, almost twice as many as AZ.

They've also taken some heavy beatings against stronger sides, losing 5-2 at home to Ajax and 5-1 away to PSV.

AZ are averaging 2.23 xG and 17 shots per game at home, and those numbers tend to go up against weaker defences.

They managed 21 shots against Go Ahead Eagles and another 24 against Utrecht, scoring nine goals across those two games.

Groningen have shown they can cause problems going forward, scoring 14 goals in their last five matches, but they still don't look capable of avoiding defeat against stronger sides like AZ.

Barcelona have been a nightmare for opponents away from home in La Liga, scoring 22 goals in five games and averaging an impressive 3 xG per game.

Across all competitions, they’ve scored at least twice in every away game this season, although they’ve also conceded in their last five.

Atlético have plenty of firepower themselves and showed what they're capable of in their 2-1 home win over Real Madrid, where they managed 18 shots and 2.41 xG.

Barcelona could have a few problems at the back, with Koundé and Christensen both doubtful, while Rodri has already been ruled out.

Going forward, though, Raphinha and Lamine Yamal are both confirmed.

Raphinha is La Liga’s top scorer with 15 goals in ten games, while Yamal has already scored ten himself.

Atlético also struggled against Bayern and Liverpool, losing both games and conceding at least twice in each. That's another reason to fancy Barcelona's chances here.

Chelsea come into this clash in a strong run of form, having won three of their last four league matches, and it finished 2-0 against Man United last time out. The Blues have had a full week to rest and prepare for this fixture against Sunderland, which gives them another advantage. There were 15 corners in their game against Man United last weekend, with Chelsea accounting for eight of those, meaning they are averaging 5.8 corners per game across all competitions.

Interestingly, that figure actually rises to 6.2 when playing away, where they have landed this selection in each of their last three games on the road.

Xabi Alonso likes his side to play with width, but they have left themselves a bit exposed in midfield at times. Chelsea are averaging exactly 2.0 cards per game in the league this season, rising to 2.75 when playing away where this selection has landed in three of their four games.

Sunderland haven’t been in the best form, but they are still averaging an eye-catching 14.3 fouls drawn per game this season. For context, only Arsenal and Man City have suffered more infringements than the Black Cats. Six of their last eight Premier League opponents have hit this mark, including Arsenal and Bournemouth.

Cole Palmer isn’t the first name who comes to mind when thinking of fouls, but his numbers this season have been impressive. Palmer was sent off against Spurs for two bookable offences, and he already had two yellow cards to his name prior to that sending off.

Palmer has accrued a total of 11 infringements this season, which is more than any other player in the Chelsea squad. He has landed this selection in seven of his nine starts overall, including the last five in a row, which makes this price stand out. Granit Xhaka and Noah Sadiki have combined for 3.3 fouls drawn per 90 in the league this season, and they should find duels against Palmer here.

Enzo Le Fee is another Sunderland player who has been adept at drawing contact, and he is averaging 1.96 fouls drawn per 90 in the league. The Frenchman has landed this bet in five of his nine league games this term, and this matchup against Chelsea is a favourable one to improve that hit-rate.

Chelsea are likely to dominate possession at the Stadium of Light, but Le Fee is the type of player who can get out of high-pressure situations. He likes having the ball at his feet, and is adept when it comes to beating opposing players - he is perhaps the most press-resistant player for Sunderland, and Le Fee was fouled three times against Man City back in December.

Morgan Rogers has been Chelsea’s most effective player in the final third this season, and he already has five league goals to his name. Rogers scored a wonderful solo goal against Man United last weekend to give his side the lead, and he should come into this clash full of confidence.

The 24-year-old is averaging 2.38 shots per 90 in the league this season, and exactly a third of his efforts have hit the target. Sunderland have conceded 14 goals in their last six league matches, which shows how they haven’t been watertight at the back, so Rogers should be able to find chances in the final third.

Isak is getting very close to the level we saw from him for a few seasons at Newcastle, and has had more shots on target than any other player on the pitch here (9 - 1.23 per 90).

Isak has found the target at least once in all four of his away appearances in the Premier League for Liverpool, managing multiple shots on target in two of those games against Ipswich and Newcastle.

Furthermore, Crystal Palace have completely lost the organisation and structure that made them such a tough side to beat under Oliver Glasner last season. They’ve conceded more shots than any other side in the Premier League (18.78 per game).

Pierre Sage’s side have also conceded the most shots on target of any team in the division (6.00 per game), so Palace are the worst side in the Premier League at the moment at limiting shots and shots on target from opposition sides.

Daichi Kamada has been playing higher up this season, and has already outperformed his goal tally from the last two campaigns combined to score four goals - most recently netting against Hoffenheim in the Europa League.

Kamada had two shots in that game, and has had at least one shot in three of his four appearances at Selhurst Park this season. That includes getting a shot away against Man City very early on in the campaign, prior to Kamada being moved into a more advanced role.

Only three Palace players have had more shots than Kamada in the Premier League this season (7 - 0.80 per 90) and I’d expect that rate to continue to rise as Kamada plays in an advanced role more regularly.

This has landed in all nine of Liverpool’s matches so far this season, and it’s directly linked to Andoni Iraola.

Iraola wants his side to run and press with real intensity, especially the attacking players which signals a real shift from the more tempered approach that Arne Slot took last season - where Liverpool averaged just 10.88 fouls per game, only two sides committed fewer.

Their away numbers are particularly appealing, committing 13+ fouls in all four of their assignments on the road. They even committed 15 fouls in one of these games (v Newcastle), so it may be worth testing higher lines here.

Palace aren’t a standout side when it comes to winning fouls (9.89 per game), but this angle is more about Liverpool’s approach - with a clear trend under Iraola of being more aggressive out of possession and committing more fouls as a result.

I can’t see Pierre Sage working out at Crystal Palace much longer.

He just doesn’t seem like the right fit for the club, and all of the underlying numbers would suggest that his style isn’t gelling with the league or the players.

Palace sit in the relegation zone having won just two of their opening nine games. They’ve conceded the most shots, shots on target and the highest xG against of any side in the league.

The most alarming part of this is the fact that Palace ranked really well for most of those metrics just six months ago. All the work done by Oliver Glasner to make them a tough team to beat has been undone, and Liverpool can take advantage.

Liverpool have won three of their four away matches in the Premier League this season. Only Arsenal have a better record on the road than Andoni Iraola’s side this term and Palace have lost three of their four games at Selhurst Park in the Premier League.

Brentford’s form has also been impressive, and they rank sixth in the Premier League. The Bees have only lost once in nine league matches so far, making this a clash between two in-form teams.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in eight out of 12 Brentford games across all competitions, with all four misses finishing on exactly two goals. Their games have been quite open, and the Bees haven’t struggled to find the back of the net. However, their biggest task at the Amex here will be keeping Brighton at bay. With 24 goals scored in just nine Premier League matches, no side has been more efficient in the final third than Fabian Hurzeler’s men.

Michael Oliver is the designated referee for this clash on the south coast, and he is likely to be kept busy - Brighton and Brentford have been two of the most ill-disciplined sides in the Premier League so far.

The Seagulls are averaging 2.4 cards per game this campaign, and they have picked up at least two bookings in seven of their nine matches. When playing at home, this bet has landed in three of their four matches. Brentford have an identical hit-rate when playing away this season, and they have picked up 22 yellows in their nine matches. The Bees have also been shown three red cards, which is a league-high.

With Ferdi Kadioglu still out with injury, Costinha looks set to retain his spot at right back. The Portuguese international is averaging 1.66 fouls per 90 across all competitions for Brighton, and he will be directly up against Kevin Schade this weekend.

The Brentford winger likes to be direct in his play, and look to beat his defender. He is one of the more technical players in the Brentford squad, meaning he typically sees plenty of the ball. Schade is averaging 1.8 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions this season, and he was fouled three times against Nottingham Forest last weekend.

Schade should also find duels against Chema Andres this weekend, when he looks to invert centrally, or even in transitional scenarios. Andres is given a significant defensive responsibility under Hurzeler, and he is averaging 2.53 fouls per 90 across all competitions. This selection has landed in six of his seven appearances overall - the only miss came against Man City, but Andres was shown a yellow card for his first foul, and then withdrawn after 64 minutes.

The Spaniard is also averaging 3.07 tackles per 90 this season, which is the highest in the Brighton squad, which shows just how willing he is to jump into tackles, and he should have plenty of duels to contest this weekend.

Yasin Ayari scored Brighton’s winner at Man City last weekend, so he should come into this clash full of confidence. The Swedish international only managed one shot in that game as the Seagulls were forced to defend deep for large periods, which was the first time he has failed to land this selection all season. Ayari is averaging 2.9 shots per 90 from his nine starts across all competitions this season, and he has been incredibly consistent at landing this selection.

Ayari has already chipped in with three Premier League goals, matching his tally from the previous campaign. Over half of his efforts in the league have come from outside the box, and his confidence should be sky-high.

There’s a few reasons why I really like this selection. Firstly, my Boost includes the woodwork for a shot on target, which in itself is enticing. But his data and positioning is also really convincing.

The Portuguese has registed 1+ SOT in each of his last 5 league appearances, tallying 9 on target from 12 attempts during that same period. His last 3 games have seen him take 3 shots on target at Everton, 2 against Spurs and 2 against Man Utd.

Looking wider across the whole season so far, he’s had 12 accurate attempts from 17 shots, equalling 1.58 shots on target and 2.24 shots per 90. Those figures are also a considerable jump from last seasons 0.44 and 1.57 respectively. Alonso ball, eh.

Defensively they might be poor, sure. But you can’t ignore that attack, and Alonso has experimented in multiple ways since Joao Pedro’s absence. One of those experiments saw Estevao return to the starting 11, which meant Neto was utilised as a striker instead. It worked effectively as Chelsea put 2 past Man Utd, so I reckon the attack will stay the same for their trip here.

That central role means he could find himself in more promising positions. Sunderland, on the other hand, are struggling. Sitting bottom of the table, they concede 3.78 shots on target per 90, a stat that drops minimally to 3.25 when at the Stadium of Light. Roefs has been forced into 16 league saves, 1.78 per appearance, so defensively they too aren’t great.

Neto’s numbers are definitley more convincing when he’s playing at home, but his current record alongside potentially starting at striker again gives him the best possible chance of continuing that form.

Rayan has been a key figure on the right wing for Bournemouth this season, and he has five goals in 15 appearances across all competitions. The Brazilian is averaging 3.2 shots per 90 this season, which is the highest figure in the Bournemouth squad. He likes to cut inside onto his stronger left foot, which naturally opens up favourable shooting angles.

Ipswich haven’t been particularly good at limiting chances for their opponents - they have conceded 14 goals in their last six league matches alone, so they sit just four points above the relegation zone. Based on that, this looks like a strong matchup to target the Bournemouth forwards.

Liverpool suffered a 3-2 defeat in Istanbul on Wednesday evening, but it is worth noting that Andoni Iraola opted for some rotation. Florian Wirtz was one of those players who only featured from the bench, but he should get the nod to start against Palace here. With just one goal to his name from 14 appearances across all competitions this season, Wirtz hasn’t been particularly prolific in the final third, but he hasn’t lacked the confidence to shoot.

The German international is averaging 2.7 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, and he has landed this bet in eight of his 11 starts.

Brighton secured a huge three points against Man City last weekend, as they held on to a narrow 1-0 victory. The Seagulls had to sit deep and absorb plenty of pressure, but they made it through to the final whistle without conceding. Charalampos Kostoulas spent much more time in his defensive half than he would’ve liked, so he failed to register a shot, but Brighton should have more chances in the final third against Brentford here.

The Greek international is averaging 3.2 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, and he already has four goals under his belt. Two of those goals have been scored at the Amex this term, where Kostoulas is averaging 4.45 shots per 90.

Nicolas Jackson has registered 18 shots on target across 13 appearances across all competitions this season, landing this selection in nine matches. He failed to hit this mark against Barcelona midweek, and against Arsenal earlier in the season, but the former Chelsea man should have more chances in the final third here.

Man United broke their winless streak of nine games against Roma midweek, but they still conceded twice against the Italian side. Michael Carrick’s men have struggled at the back this season, They are only above the relegation zone because of goal difference, and their tally of 15 goals conceded is one of the highest in the division.

Kamara and Joao Gomes are possibly the most aggressive midfield duo in the Premier League, and Kamara leads Aston Villa for fouls (19 - 2.16 per 90) as well as duels (109 - 14.83 per 90) and tackles (25 - 2.84 per 90).

These metrics would suggest that Kamara is one of the most consistent players in the Premier League right now when it comes to committing fouls, with the supporting metrics of duels and tackles showing just how much he gets involved in the midfield battle.

Kamara has committed a foul in all four of his away appearances in the Premier League for Aston Villa, committing multiple fouls in three of these games - including committing four fouls in his last Premier League away assignment against Newcastle.

He’ll have to deal with former Villa midfielder Youri Tielemans (15 fouls won - 2.28 per 90) and Matheus Cunha when the Brazilian drifts into central areas (13 fouls won - 1.90 per 90).

Barcelona have been the most attack-minded side in the Spanish top flight so far, with 46 goals scored from just 11 games. By contrast, Atletico Madrid boast the strongest defensive statistics, but it seems unlikely that they will be unlikely to keep the Catalans at bay.

Barcelona’s high line has become a staple of their play - they make it so difficult for opponents to progress, but they can at times be caught in transition. Atletico Madrid have the tools to exploit space offered to them in behind, and they should play with confidence on home turf. After losing 2-0 against Bayern Munich midweek, Diego Simeone will demand a reaction from his side at the weekend, and this promises to be an open contest.

Raphinha is currently the top scorer in La Liga with a tally of 15 goals in just ten league appearances. He is three goals above Kylian Mbappe. The Brazilian international is in his prime, and he added another two goals against Aston Villa midweek, as Barcelona cruised to a 3-0 win at the Nou Camp.

Raphinha has 19 goals and three assists this season in just 13 matches across all competitions. Those numbers are incredible, and he has landed this selection in 11 of his 12 starts overall. The only miss came against PSG at the Parc-des-Princes, when Raphinha was substituted after 60 minutes. The 29-year-old scored in both starts against Atletico last season, so he should be looking forward to this matchup.

Atletico Madrid and Barcelona met six times last season - twice in La Liga, twice in the Champions League, and twice in the Copa Del Rey. Joao Cancelo started four of those matches, and he landed this selection every time. He even picked up a booking in the home leg of the Copa Del Rey.

The Portuguese international is much more confident going forward than he is at defending, and he will be up against Giuliano Simeone this weekend. The Argentine winger is averaging 1.68 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions this season, which is one of the highest figures in the Atletico squad.

Ademola Lookman is likely to start on the opposite flank, and he should be looking forward to this matchup. The Nigerian international scored twice against Barcelona last season, and his pace in transition proved to be tough to handle. Lookman hasn’t been given too many opportunities to start this season by Diego Simeone, but this matchup seems to suit him well.

Lookman seems to thrive in tougher matchups when there is space to run in behind, and he even managed to get on the scoresheet against Real Madrid. He had an average of 3.1 shots per 90 across all competitions last season after joining Atletico, rising to 3.8 at the Metropolitano.

One of the toughest assignments in football over the last 10 years or so has been trying to break the stranglehold that PSV, Ajax and Feyenoord have on the Eredivisie - but Twente are giving it a really good go at the moment.

The home side sit just two points behind the league leaders, Feyenoord, and just one point behind the visiting side here. Twente have won seven of their 11 matches in the Eredivisie, scoring 28 goals in the process (2.54 per game).

They are really free scoring at the moment, netting nine against Excelsior last time out and scoring 13 goals across their last three matches in total. They’ve also already beaten PSV 3-2 at home this season, so it’s not like they’ve been playing really weak sides all the way through.

Ajax have scored in all 17 of their matches this season, including some Conference League qualifying matches early on in the campaign. They’ve won all five of their away games domestically, scoring 18 goals in the process (3.6 per game).

This fixture has slowly grown into one of the most competitive in the Premier League, with both sides establishing themselves in the top flight with very similar recruitment and scouting models.

There’s also a bit of background with the owners, I’ve seen it described as a ‘Cold War’ before - which is a good way to put it - but that rivalry does extend to the pitch with both teams being shown a card in each of the last three head to head meetings between the clubs.

It’s not just the background around this game which pulls me towards cards, both teams have solid card records in the Premier League this season. Brighton are averaging 2.33 cards per game, while drawing 1.22 cards per game from their opponents.

Brentford have a similar record, averaging 2.44 cards per game and drawing 1.78 cards per game from their opponents. Brentford have picked up at least one card in all nine of their Premier League matches this season, being one of only five sides with this record.

Brighton have picked up 2+ cards in eight of their nine Premier League matches this season, with the exception of an uncompetitive 5-0 win over Coventry. They’ve actually picked up at least three cards in two of their four home matches as well.

Monza may sit in the relegation zone in Serie A, but only six sides in Serie A have scored more goals than them this season (17 - 1.70 per game).

They’ve even outscored the likes of Juventus so far this season, and have netted one more goal than their opponents here.

Atalanta are really vulnerable at the back. They’ve conceded 20 goals across their 10 matches in Serie A (2.0 per game), and just have the solitary clean sheet as well - which was a fortunate one against Bologna at home (1.05 xG against) right at the start of the campaign.

Their general form over the last few weeks has also been poor. They lost 3-0 to Parma at home on Monday, and also have to contest a Conference League clash before this one which gives Monza a fitness advantage over their opponents.

Monza have scored nine goals across their four home games this term, winning two of these matches. We just need them to score, which looks more than plausible against a hopeless Atalanta side.

Como are on some run at the moment.

They’ve won each of their last six matches, netting 22 goals in the process.

Cesc Fabregas’ side put nine goals past Lens in the Champions League during the week, highlighting just how much confidence this young and talented side are playing with at the moment.

I don’t think they’ll be phased by the trip to face Inter Milan, which is admittedly the toughest assignment for any side in the division, and we only need them to score once.

Inter’s underlying attacking numbers are really positive, but there are clear defensive issues. Five sides in Serie A have conceded fewer goals than Inter this season, and they’ve only kept three clean sheets across their 10 matches (30%).

Fiorentina, Club Brugge, Udinese and Monza have all scored against Inter at home this season. Como enter this game with real confidence, and have enough players firing to score at least once.

After a really difficult start to life on the south coast for Marco Rose, his fortunes have really turned in recent weeks. Bournemouth have won each of their last seven consecutive matches across all competitions, and they have cleared this line alone in five of those. The Cherries have also kept six clean sheets in that run, but keeping Ipswich at bay has proven to be no easy feat this campaign.

Gary O’Neil’s men have scored seven goals in their last four games alone. However, they have only managed to win one of those, which highlights how the Tractor Boys have let themselves down defensively.

Despite being in a rich vein of form, cards have remained a market to target when Bournemouth are playing. At least four cards have been awarded in their last seven successive matches, and the Cherries have contributed at least two bookings in six of those. Marco Rose’s men have picked up 24 yellow cards in nine Premier League matches this season - only Newcastle and Hull have more.

Ipswich are a bit behind on 18 yellows, but they have picked up an extra two red cards, which shows how they also have a competitive edge to their play. Based on that, this should be a feisty affair at Portman Road.

Tyler Adams is one of the shortest-priced players to receive a booking in this match, and for good reason. The American international has picked up a yellow card in each of his last three starts across all competitions, and his average of 1.8 fouls per 90 this season is one of the highest figures in the Bournemouth squad.

Adams covers plenty of ground in midfield, and he likes to be intense in his press. He will be up against Julio Enciso this weekend, which is a matchup to keep an eye on. Enciso is averaging 1.71 fouls drawn per 90 this season, and he has been fouled at least twice in five of his nine starts.

Enciso has been in excellent form recently, and he comes into this clash having scored in back-to-back starts. He registered four shots against Nottingham Forest, with two of those on target, and one finding the back of the net. He followed that up with five efforts against Hull last weekend, again hitting the target twice.

Enciso has taken 28 shots in nine Premier League appearances this season, and 20 of those have come from outside the box. He doesn’t usually hesitate to let fly when the space opens up, and Enciso will be the designated free-kick taker for Ipswich this weekend.

On the opposite side, Evanilson is the biggest threat for Bournemouth in the final third. The Brazilian has scored in five of his last six starts. Evanilson contributes more than just goals for the Cherries - he is adept at dropping deeper at times to try and get on the ball and link play. He has been adept at using his body to draw contact, and he was fouled five times against Leeds last weekend.

That means he is averaging 2.5 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions this season, and he has landed this bet in ten out of 12 starts overall.

I fancy Fiorentina to score at least once against Juventus on Sunday night.

While Paolo Vanoli’s side started the weekend perched precariously above the relegation zone, they have had no issues finding the net this season.

That is underlined by the fact that the Viola have scored in 8 of their opening 10 Serie A matches of the campaign, including 4 of their five fixtures at home.

Across their last three games at the Franchi, they have scored against Napoli, Como and Atalanta, while they also made the net bulge away at Inter Milan.

As such, I think Fiorentina are more than capable of making their mark against a Juventus side facing a quick turnaround after Thursday night’s 2-1 Europa League win away at AZ.

Moreover, the Old Lady have failed to keep a clean sheet in 3 of their last four Serie A away games, conceding against the likes of Sassuolo, Cagliari and Genoa.

Juventus are a team I’ve regularly targeted in the corner markets this season, and I’m keen to back over 9.5 flag kicks when they visit Fiorentina on Sunday night.

Luciano Spalletti’s side have been the corner kings of Serie A this season, averaging a league-high 8.20 corners per game.

That can be attributed to the fact that Juventus’ matches are generating an average of 11.90 corners per game.

In fact, 7 of the visitors’ 10 Serie A games this season have produced at least 10 corners, with the Italian giants reaching double figures on their own in three of them.

As such, I think Juventus are more than capable of doing most of the heavy lifting here, although Fiorentina should contribute too, having averaged 4.90 corners per game this term.

Even more encouraging is the fact that the Viola have racked up 11 corners against Como and 8 against Atalanta across their last two home matches.

Back Nick Woltemade to be fouled at least once on Sunday night.

Woltemade’s towering frame makes him an awkward customer for opposition defences to deal with, which naturally sees him draw contact and win fouls.

Case in point was Juventus’ win over Napoli last weekend, when the German forward was brought down on no fewer than 5 occasions.

That was no one-off, as Woltemade has drawn an average of 3.36 fouls per game in Serie A this season and earned his side three set pieces during his last away start at Lecce.

On top of that, Woltemade has been fouled in each of Juventus’ four Europa League matches this season, winning 2+ free kicks in three of those contests.

He is likely to be drawn into plenty of physical duels with Fiorentina centre-backs Vieri and Radu Dragusin.

Both defenders have been regulars on the referee’s radar in Serie A this season, committing averages of 1.39 and 1.10 fouls per 90 respectively.

I’m keen to back Alieu Njie to attempt at least two shots on Sunday night.

The pacey Fiorentina winger likes to get efforts away whenever openings present themselves, which is reflected in his average of 2.29 shots per game in Serie A this season.

A closer look shows the Swede has had at least 2 attempts in each of Fiorentina’s last three home games, against Napoli, Atalanta and Como, firing off 4 shots against the latter.

He is also likely to come into this clash full of confidence, having scored and provided an assist in each of Fiorentina’s last two Serie A matches.

Juventus could be heavy-legged after their Europa League exertions on Thursday night, so Njie should have opportunities to pull the trigger at least twice when the Turin giants come to town.

This fixture has slowly grown into one of the most competitive in the Premier League, with both sides establishing themselves in the top flight with very similar recruitment and scouting models.

There’s also a bit of background with the owners, I’ve seen it described as a ‘Cold War’ before - which is a good way to put it - but that rivalry does extend to the pitch with both teams being shown a card in each of the last three head to head meetings between the clubs.

It’s not just the background around this game which pulls me towards cards, both teams have solid card records in the Premier League this season. Brighton are averaging 2.33 cards per game, while drawing 1.22 cards per game from their opponents.

Brentford have a similar record, averaging 2.44 cards per game and drawing 1.78 cards per game from their opponents. Brentford have picked up at least one card in all nine of their Premier League matches this season, being one of only five sides with this record.

Brighton have picked up 2+ cards in eight of their nine Premier League matches this season, with the exception of an uncompetitive 5-0 win over Coventry. They’ve actually picked up at least three cards in two of their four home matches as well.

One of the toughest assignments in football over the last 10 years or so has been trying to break the stranglehold that PSV, Ajax and Feyenoord have on the Eredivisie - but Twente are giving it a really good go at the moment.

The home side sit just two points behind the league leaders, Feyenoord, and just one point behind the visiting side here. Twente have won seven of their 11 matches in the Eredivisie, scoring 28 goals in the process (2.54 per game).

They are really free scoring at the moment, netting nine against Excelsior last time out and scoring 13 goals across their last three matches in total. They’ve also already beaten PSV 3-2 at home this season, so it’s not like they’ve been playing really weak sides all the way through.

Ajax have scored in all 17 of their matches this season, including some Conference League qualifying matches early on in the campaign. They’ve won all five of their away games domestically, scoring 18 goals in the process (3.6 per game).

Nicolas Jackson is flying at Villa, and a lot of the credit has to go to Unai Emery.

Jackson is still frustrating at times, but Emery has improved his finishing with Jackson netting five goals across his eight starts in the Premier League from 21 shots (2.95 per 90).

Nine of those efforts have found the target (1.26 per 90), with Jackson also scoring three goals across four starts in the Champions League.

Jackson and Manzambi are the two clear attacking threats for Villa here, the pair have remarkably been involved in all 10 of Aston Villa’s goals in the Premier League this season.

Bryan Mbeumo is Man Utd’s top scorer in the Premier League this season with four goals across his nine starts.

He’s been leading the line in the absence of Benjamin Sesko, who is expected to remain sidelined until at least January.

Mbeumo has become more comfortable in this role as the season has progressed, and was already one of the best finishers in this Man Utd side having reached double digits in each of the last two Premier League seasons.

No player set to line up at Old Trafford has had more shots on target in the Premier League than Mbeumo (12 - 1.33 per 90), with the former Brentford forward having at least one effort on goal in all four of his matches at Old Trafford in the top flight.

We should expect Man Utd to get chances too, only four sides have conceded more shots than Aston Villa in the Premier League - with two of those being newly promoted sides.

Kamara and Joao Gomes are possibly the most aggressive midfield duo in the Premier League, and Kamara leads Aston Villa for fouls (19 - 2.16 per 90) as well as duels (109 - 14.83 per 90) and tackles (25 - 2.84 per 90).

These metrics would suggest that Kamara is one of the most consistent players in the Premier League right now when it comes to committing fouls, with the supporting metrics of duels and tackles showing just how much he gets involved in the midfield battle.

Kamara has committed a foul in all four of his away appearances in the Premier League for Aston Villa, committing multiple fouls in three of these games - including committing four fouls in his last Premier League away assignment against Newcastle.

He’ll have to deal with former Villa midfielder Youri Tielemans (15 fouls won - 2.28 per 90) and Matheus Cunha when the Brazilian drifts into central areas (13 fouls won - 1.90 per 90).

Bryan Mbeumo has been fouled in all four of his Premier League appearances at Old Trafford this season, mainly playing as a striker which is the role we expect him to continue in here.

Only Cunha (13) and Tielemans (15) have won more fouls in the Premier League for Man Utd this season than Bryan Mbeumo (10 - 1.11 per 90). He maintained an average of 0.96 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League last season, so this is a consistent part of his game.

This selection is also as short as 1.33 with other bookmakers, so we’re getting a decent bit of value as part of our higher odds bet builder. Mbeumo will be up against Pau Torres (0.71 fouls per 90), but will also drift into wide areas where he’ll be against Maatsen (1.24 fouls per 90).

Igor Matanović has four goals and one assist in eight Bundesliga games this season, but what really stands out is how often he shoots.

He’s taken 26 shots, with 13 on target, averaging 4.2 shots per 90 minutes. He’s had at least two shots in all eight games and scored in his last match against Augsburg.

His numbers are even better at home, where he’s scored three of his four goals this season and averages five shots per 90 minutes.

Freiburg have also been much better going forward at home, scoring 12 goals in four games. That’s three per match, twice their average away from home.

Union Berlin, on the other hand, have already conceded 19 goals in eight league games and are giving up a massive 23 shots per match away from home, including ten on target.

They’ve conceded 12 goals in three away games and will also be without Felix Uduokhai at the back because he’s suspended.

João Gomes picked up ten yellow cards in the Premier League last season, and he's already got five in 12 games for Aston Villa this season across all competitions, plus a red card.

The Brazilian is averaging 1.83 fouls per 90 minutes in the league and has given away at least one in five of his six games.

He could come up against Bruno Fernandes, who's already got Everton's Harrison Armstrong and Tottenham's Jan Paul van Hecke booked this season.

Youri Tielemans could also cause him problems in midfield, as he gets fouled 1.69 times per game on average.

Chris Kavanagh is another one to keep an eye on. He's handed out 32 yellows and four reds in just six Premier League games this season.

He also showed eight yellow cards in his most recent match, Galatasaray vs Stuttgart in the Champions League.

Fermín López has already picked up three yellow cards in ten La Liga games this season and is averaging 1.67 fouls per 90 minutes.

He's given away at least two fouls in each of his last four away games across all competitions.

He could have his hands full against Morten Hjulmand in midfield.

Hjulmand gets fouled 1.81 times per 90 minutes across all competitions, more than any other Atlético player this season.

Atlético also have Pablo Barrios, who gets fouled more than once and is involved in over nine duels per 90 minutes.

The last three meetings between these sides have been pretty heated, with 14 yellow cards and three reds. Fermín himself was booked in their last La Liga meeting.

Both of these sides were probably hoping for a slightly more appealing opponent to make the most of the benefits which come with getting to this stage of the FA Cup - but it has presented a massive opportunity for both to get into the second round and almost certainly secure that level of opponent.

Berkhamsted saw this selection land in the final round of qualifying against Southend, causing one of the upsets of the round by winning 2-1 at Roots Hall.

We don’t have loads of data for the underlying numbers, but Berkhamsted’s record on the road in the Southern Premier Division would suggest that their away matches are where we are likely to see goals. Berkhamsted have seen 24 goals across their eight away matches in the league (3.0 per game).

Plymouth Parkway have seen this selection land in each of their last two matches ahead of this massive cup tie, and compete in the same division as Berkhamsted. They’ve scored 19 goals across their seven home matches (2.71 per game) - winning all seven, so backing them for the result may also be an angle here.

Leander Alvheim is Kristiansund’s top scorer with 12 goals in 23 Eliteserien games, putting him among the league’s top five scorers.

He’s been on a great run lately, scoring seven goals in his last nine games and averaging 3.8 shots per match.

In his last league game, against KFUM, Alvheim scored once and had an impressive ten shots

Vålerenga, meanwhile, concede an average of two goals per away game and allow 15.6 shots per match on the road.

The game was supposed to take place on Saturday, but got pushed back to Monday after an illness outbreak hit Vålerenga’s squad.

Alvheim scored against them earlier this season, and with no one quite sure which of Vålerenga’s regular starters will be available, there’s even more reason to fancy him finding the net again.