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Gornik Zabrze missed their chance to have a real chance in this tie by falling to a 3-2 defeat to Monaco last week - though they did well to come back from two goals to keep the French side engaged for the second leg.

Monaco will be wary of the threat that the Polish side can cause them and I think we’ll see a professional performance from Felipe Luis’ side as a result. He’s won both of his games as Monaco boss so far, guiding them to a 1-0 win over Le Havre between these ties.

Monaco are one of the sides that could win the Conference League this year, and the home advantage they have should prove too much for a Gornik side who showed resolve in the first leg, but this is unlikely to be enough against a Monaco side that only lost five of their 17 home games in the league last season. 

I backed St Gallen games for goals quite often last season and this is the perfect scenario to see more here with the home side trailing 1-0 from the first leg encounter.

The first leg meeting saw plenty of goalscoring opportunities, despite the small margin of victory for Nordsjaelland. Both sides registered an xG in excess of 1.0 (2.13-1.76) and combined for 31 shots and 10 shots on target. 

Nordsjaelland’s keeper was actually awarded man of the match in that first leg, making six saves and preventing an xG of 1.06. It’s very unlikely he produces the same level of performance here, given that St Gallen scored 33 goals across 19 home games in the Swiss Super League last season.

Ajax should be one of the sides aiming to win the Conference League after navigating this qualifying process, and they’re in a strong position to do so having won the first leg 4-2 on the road.

There’s still just enough jeopardy in the tie from the two goals that Sion scored in front of their own fans to keep Ajax professional and interested in this second leg. They are likely to try and outscore Sion again, which was their approach in the first leg as we can tell from the xG battle (3.53-1.74).

Only four sides beat Ajax at home in the Eredivisie last season, and the first leg meeting would suggest that they just have too much firepower for a Sion side who also want to play on the front foot and have failed to keep a clean sheet across their last five matches.

I backed St Gallen games for goals quite often last season and this is the perfect scenario to see more here with the home side trailing 1-0 from the first leg encounter.

The first leg meeting saw plenty of goalscoring opportunities, despite the small margin of victory for Nordsjaelland. Both sides registered an xG in excess of 1.0 (2.13-1.76) and combined for 31 shots and 10 shots on target. 

Nordsjaelland’s keeper was actually awarded man of the match in that first leg, making six saves and preventing an xG of 1.06. It’s very unlikely he produces the same level of performance here, given that St Gallen scored 33 goals across 19 home games in the Swiss Super League last season.

Copenhagen were held to a 0-0 draw by FC Inter in the first leg meeting between these sides, despite registering an xG of 1.20 from 11 shots - seeing three of these efforts find the target.

FC Inter really needed to take a lead into this second leg tie to stand a chance of qualifying for the Conference League against a Copenhagen outfit who have vastly more experience than their opponents on the European stage, as well as a stellar home record during qualifying.

Copenhagen massively underperformed domestically last season, which is why they find themselves competing for a spot in the Conference League, but the early signs this season look a bit better with three wins from their opening four matches.

They’ve also eased through the qualifying process so far, beating Debrecen 8-1 in the last round over two legs after seeing off Polissya 2-1 at home following a draw on the road.

Gornik Zabrze missed their chance to have a real chance in this tie by falling to a 3-2 defeat to Monaco last week - though they did well to come back from two goals to keep the French side engaged for the second leg.

Monaco will be wary of the threat that the Polish side can cause them and I think we’ll see a professional performance from Felipe Luis’ side as a result. He’s won both of his games as Monaco boss so far, guiding them to a 1-0 win over Le Havre between these ties.

Monaco are one of the sides that could win the Conference League this year, and the home advantage they have should prove too much for a Gornik side who showed resolve in the first leg, but this is unlikely to be enough against a Monaco side that only lost five of their 17 home games in the league last season. 

This is the highest-rated game on my Goals Sheet for Both Teams to Score.

Ajax won the first leg 4-2 in Switzerland, but they cannot be relied on to keep a clean sheet considering how they have started the season.

The hosts have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three games.

That includes a 2-2 draw at Shelbourne in the second leg of the last round of Conference League qualifying - they went into that game 3-1 on aggregate, so there's a similarity with this assignment.

Sion have scored two or more goals in each of their last eight games, seeing this bet land in their last five on the bounce.

1.95, at the time of writing, is a really generous price on BTTS.

The market has moved too far against goals, after both sides drew 0-0 in their La Liga openers, presenting an opportunity to snap up some decent odds on both teams scoring.

The bet landed in both head-to-heads last season, and both teams generated 0.62 xG or more in their first league game.

BTTS came in after 37 minutes and 53 minutes in their two meetings last term, and Celta Vigo saw both teams score in 12 of their 19 home games.

Celta scored in 16 of 19 league home games last season, and kept a clean sheet in only four of those games.

Both sides have made positive starts to the National League campaign, with Boreham Wood coming into the season off the back of losing the play-off final to Rochdale.

The last meeting was a 2-1 win for Boston at Boreham Wood in late January, with BTTS landing after 52 minutes on that occasion.

Boreham Wood have seen BTTS land in three of their four games, in all competitions, so far - scoring three or more goals in all four.

Boston have scored five goals in their last three games, building on a 25/26 campaign where they were reliable going forward - scoring in 18 of 23 league away games.

Sticking with the Championship here and backing second favourites Partick Thistle to get a home win against rock-bottom Queen’s Park.

Thistle have started well, qualifying from their League Cup group and picking up 7 points from 9 in their opening three Championship matches.

In their only other home league match this season, they beat title favourites Livingston 2-0 in a match with no shortage of chances, recording 6 shots on target and 1.49 xG.

Queen’s Park have had a terrible start, losing all three of their opening games and conceding two goals in each.

In their most recent game against league newcomers and part-time side Stenhousemuir, they didn’t manage a single shot on target at home, with only 4 attempts in total.

Queen’s Park haven’t beaten Partick Thistle in the league since January 2023.

I fully expect the Jags to record a comfortable win over their Glasgow rivals on Saturday.

Getting in on this price early before it drops.

Ayr have had a decent start to the season, winning their League Cup group (including beating Premiership opposition) and collecting four points from their first two league games.

They did lose 2-0 away to Raith Rovers on Saturday but that was also a result of going down to 10 men in the 5th minute.

Morton are in a whole lot of mess. The Board have publicly said they’ve got the smallest budget in the league and, most recently, announced they might not have enough money to get through to December.

They’re joint bottom of the Championship with 0 points from their opening three games and finished bottom of their League Cup group, with losses to non-league Linlithgow and League One East Fife.

They have scored just one goal in seven competitive matches so far this season, and that was a 0.04 xG strike from 16-year-old Dean Black.

This price is a steal for Ayr. I fully expect it to be around 1.33 by KO on Saturday.

Semenyo found the target in City’s opening game of the campaign as they came from behind to beat Bournemouth 2-1 thanks to a late goal from Josko Gvardiol.

Semenyo had more touches in the opposition box than any other City player (8) and continued his record of being really consistent when it comes to finding the target for Manchester City - also having an effort on target in City’s defeat in the Community Shield to Arsenal.

Semenyo scored 17 goals in the Premier League last season and is arguably the most accurate winger in the league with 41 of his 83 shots in the Premier League last season finding the target (49% shot accuracy - 1.15 shots on target per 90).

Kamada has improved with time at Crystal Palace, settling into a midfield role alongside Adam Wharton. He’s always been willing to get involved in the midfield battle and we saw that tenacity on the opening weekend with Kamada committing one foul and collecting a yellow card. 

Kamada committed 30 fouls across 22 starts in the Premier League last season (1.42 per 90), collecting three yellow cards in the process. He often looked like he had too much ground to cover next to Wharton on the opening day of the season, and that’s a balance that could take some time to get right under Pierre Sage.

Kamada committed one foul and was shown a yellow card in this fixture last campaign. His most likely opponents here are Elliot Anderson and Marc Guehi, who were both fouled twice against Bournemouth in the opening game of the season.

Marc Guehi was deployed in midfield against Bournemouth last time out as a makeshift replacement for Rodri alongside Elliot Anderson while Manchester City attempt to secure the signing of Enzo Fernandez.

There’s every chance that Guehi continues in that role here, Maresca loves to experiment and Guehi actually did quite well in that midfield role - notably winning two fouls from 11 fuels in total. 

Guehi has always been quite good when it comes to winning fouls, and has experience with stepping into these more advanced roles having done so regularly for Crystal Palace as the left sided centre back in a back three.

Guehi won 38 fouls across his 35 starts in the Premier League last season (1.09 per 90), and that record should remain healthy this campaign - even if Guehi does eventually drop back into his usual centre back role.

Donnarumma was forced into making three saves in City’s opening game of the campaign, notably coming away with an xG prevented tally of 0.70.

I think Donnarumma will have to be at his best if City are to compete at the top of the league this season, they looked very open in transition against Bournemouth and Palace will look to play in a similar manner - having been one of the best counter attacking sides in the league under Oliver Glasner.

Crystal Palace managed 11 shots in their opening game of the season against Everton, and were pretty unlucky not to score with four efforts finding the target and being saved by Jordan Pickford, who had an xG prevented tally of 0.94 himself. 

Donnarumma made four saves in this fixture last season, and was also tested twice when Palace travelled to the Etihad despite Palace suffering heavy defeats in both matches.

Manchester City registered eight corners in their 2-1 win over Bournemouth last time out, regularly getting in positions to win these set pieces after being forced wide by Bournemouth’s mid block.

Palace may drop into an even deeper shape here to try and contain City, before looking to offer a threat on the counter attack. I’m a bit concerned that Palace may get trapped in this low block as they are expected to be without Mateta and Sarr - two of their most effective players to be able to play in this way.

Manchester City took more corners than any other side in the Premier League last season (244 - 6.42 per game) and registered nine corners in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides.

Rayan Cherki changed the game for Manchester City when he came on against Bournemouth last week, setting up both goals as Maresca’s side came from behind to win on the opening weekend of the season.

Cherki is such a great player to watch but he pairs that style with a very good end product. He registered 16 goal contributions across just 19 starts in the Premier League last season, with 12 of these being assists. 

Cherki also averaged 2.77 shots per 90 and 3.02 chances created per 90 across these games, showing his end product does have a solid underlying basis. He registered an assist in both of his league appearances against Crystal Palace last season, and I think he’ll be influential again here.

It’s been quite a tough start to the campaign for Palace and Pierre Sage, with the Eagles transitioning to a new manager and also losing key players - with Mateta and Sarr likely to be the next out of the door at the South London club.

Pino looks like one of the few Palace players who could be effective in forward areas this season, and now has extra responsibility with Palace set to lose some of their most important forward players over the last few campaigns.

Pino came off the bench to have two shots in 35 minutes in Palace’s defeat against Everton last time out, and averaged just shy of 2.0 shots per 90 in the Premier League last season as he spent the campaign adapting to the demands of the division.

Mitchell collects more yellow cards than you might expect, he’s often seen as a reliable and sometimes cautious full back - but his transition to a wing back over the last few seasons has left him with more space to cover.

Mitchell collected a yellow card in the most recent league meeting between these sides, also committing two fouls in City’s win over Palace at Selhurst Park. Maresca likes to utilise the wide areas and encourages his wingers to get involved with 1v1 duels. 

This should see Mitchell tested regularly by the likes of Foden (1.34 fouls won per 90) and Cherki (1.71 fouls won per 90) who can both offer a threat to Mitchell.

This fixture last season saw BTTS as the sides played out a 1-1 draw, with both registering an xG in excess of 1.0 (1.58-1.46).

Wrexham have seen BTTS in both of their league games so far this season, with both matches against Cardiff and Watford ending in a 1-1 draw. 

Wrexham’s home games in the Championship last season tended to be end to end and very entertaining, with 78 goals across their 23 matches (3.39 per game). 

Birmingham have seen BTTS in each of their last two matches ahead of this fixture, being held by Bristol City to a 2-2 draw before suffering a bruising 6-1 defeat to Brentford in the EFL Cup.

Bayern Munich are so dominant in this fixture having won each of the last nine head to head meetings between the sides, stretching all the way back to 2023.

They’ve also won each of the last four clashes between the teams at the Allianz Arena, suggesting that this is often an uphill battle for Stuttgart. 

Bayern have won each of their last six matches ahead of this game, including a win over Dortmund in the Super Cup where they were typically dominant, registering an xG of 2.37 from 21 shots.

Bayern only lost one of their 17 home games in the Bundesliga last season, winning 14 of these matches and netting 68 goals in the process - more than any other side at home in the Bundesliga.