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Football

Thursday's Daily Double 🇵🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 @ 2.08

Andy Robson

My last THREE Daily Doubles have won

Both of these sides have shown a vulnerability to conceding corners this season.

Only Chelsea (11.25) have seen more corners per game in the Premier League this term than Everton (10.88).

Only Hull (6.63) have conceded more corners per game than David Moyes’ side (6.00), who instructs his side to stay quite narrow when out of possession - encouraging opposition sides to use the wide channels as their main avenue of attack.

Newcastle are seeing an average of 10.00 corners per game in the Premier League, only six sides have had a higher corner count in their league matches this term. 

Again, they have an issue when it comes to conceding corners with only Chelsea, Everton and Hull giving away more corners than Matthias Jaissle’s side. 

I backed Benfica to win on Monday night against Santa Clara for Monday’s Daily Double, which won at 2.08, and Marco Silva’s side run out 2-1 winners as the away side came from behind to collect three points 

The only team to beat Benfica across all competitions this season has been Porto, which was a defeat that Benfica suffered as the away side - and were reduced to 10 men in the first half with Clement Lenglet picking up two yellow cards in quick succession.

Benfica have seen 2+ goals in each of their last 18 matches. They’ve come out on top in 14 of these games - suggesting that Benfica could easily cover this line on their own in a comfortable victory. They’ve won each of the last five head to head meetings as the home side against Gil Vicente.

The away side have only scored four goals across their four away matches this term, which is a scoring power that is unlikely to be able to match that of Benfica’s - who are so dominant domestically. 

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Football

Thursday's Win & Both Teams to Score Treble ⚽️ @ 26.46

Andy Robson

Frosinone have scored 8 in their last 2

Frosinone have scored eight goals in their last two games, beating Sassuolo 4-2 before drawing 4-4 with Atalanta.

They have the 3rd-best attack in Serie A after eight games, averaging 2.25 goals per game at home, with Antonio Raimondo in great form with seven goals.

The problem is their defence.

They're allowing an average of 19 shots per game, with an xGA of 1.92 per game.

Lecce have struggled this season, and their defence is a big part of the problem.

They're allowing six shots on target per game and have conceded in six of their eight matches so far.

However, they did beat Udinese 3-0 in their last away game and have managed at least 16 shots in each of their last three matches.

BTTS looks promising here, especially with both teams giving away so many chances.

But Frosinone have been the more consistent side and look the favourites to get the win.

Benfica have scored in every game this season and have the best attack in Portugal, averaging 2.8 goals per game.

They're averaging 19 shots per match, with Vangelis Pavlidis leading the way with nine goals in nine league games.

Gil Vicente are one of the few teams who've managed to cause Benfica some problems at the back, scoring against them and creating more than one big chance.

They've won their last two away games, including a 2-1 win over Braga, showing they can cause problems going forward.

However, they've struggled to keep clean sheets against stronger teams.

In their last game, for example, they conceded at home to Porto, giving away 12 shots.

Benfica should have enough quality to win this one, but BTTS landing in four of their last five games suggests another clean sheet won't be easy.

Vasco are coming off a big 3-2 comeback win over Corinthians, with 25 shots and two goals in the space of just two minutes.

They're averaging 20 shots per game at home, with an xG of 2.26, but they've also had their problems at the back.

They've conceded six goals in their last three games, including a 3-1 home defeat to Boca Juniors.

Things won't get any easier against Flamengo, who have the best attack in the league and have scored in their last 16 Brazilian Serie A games.

Flamengo have an xG of 1.77 and will have Pedro available, their top scorer with 16 goals.

They're averaging two goals per away game, although they've looked a bit shaky at the back themselves, especially after conceding twice against Atlético-MG.

Despite those defensive problems, Flamengo are top of the league and have been the more consistent side, while Vasco are still trying to find the right balance.

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Football

Thursday's Bet of the Day 🎯 @ 1.61

Andy Robson

Mastantuano has won more fouls than any other Fiorentina player this season

Franco Mastantuano has found some form at Fiorentina on loan from Real Madrid. 

The move to the Spanish capital was probably a year or so too early for him, but there’s no doubting his talent. He’s a really strong dribbler, and that makes him a good player to watch to win fouls. 

Mastantuano has won more fouls than any other Fiorentina player this term (18 - 2.65 per 90), and also leads the squad for dribbles attempted (5.30 per 90) and dribbles past opponents (2.36 per 90).

He’s been fouled at least once in seven of his eight matches this term, drawing multiple fouls in six of these games - including being fouled 3+ times in four matches.

He started 11 games for Real Madrid in LaLiga last season, drawing 30 fouls across these matches (2.60 per 90). He also maintained promising dribble numbers that season (4.68 per 90), ranking in the 75th percentile for fouls won when compared to other wingers in the division.

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Football

Thursday's Anytime Goalscorer 🇮🇹⚽️ @ 2.25

Gabriel Jesus

Lecce weakened at the back v Serie A top scorer

Antonio Raimondo is Frosinone's top scorer in Serie A, with seven goals in eight games, including five at home.

The striker is averaging 3.5 shots and 1.37 shots on target per 90 minutes.

At home, those numbers go up to 4.3 shots and two shots on target per game.

Frosinone have one of the best attacks in the league, scoring 17 goals in eight games and averaging 18 shots per match.

Lecce, meanwhile, have conceded 14 goals this season, including nine in their last five games.

Lecce will also be without Gaspar in defence, while Tiago Gabriel is a doubt for this game.

Things are looking good for Raimondo, who's been even better at home and is now facing a team that gives away an average of six shots on target per game.

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Football

Thursday's Player Cards Double 🟨 @ 12.00

Gabriel Jesus

Matchup and ref puts Viery on the radar

Viery joined Fiorentina this season and has been giving away an average of two fouls per 90 minutes, one of the highest averages in the squad.

He's already picked up two yellow cards despite not playing that many minutes, having only completed two full games this season.

This isn't anything new for him either.

Back at Grêmio, he picked up four yellow cards in 13 Brazilian league games.

The bad news for Viery is that Federico La Penna will be the referee.

He averaged 4.3 cards and 27.6 fouls per game last season.

Viery will also have to deal with Nikola Krstovic, who gets fouled almost twice per 90 minutes and was fouled three times in his last game against Frosinone.

With a referee who isn't afraid to show cards and both of Viery's yellow cards coming from fouls on opposition attackers, the Brazilian looks like a good candidate for a booking here.

Alan Franco has been booked in three of his five games against Cruzeiro in 2026, and there's already a bit of bad blood between him and some of their players.

The midfielder has also picked up six yellow cards in the Brazilian league, averaging 1.5 fouls per game.

He's committed at least one foul in 86% of his league appearances.

Cruzeiro have plenty of players who draw fouls in midfield, especially Matheus Pereira, who's been fouled 101 times in 29 games, an average of almost 3.5 per match.

Raphael Claus will referee the derby, and he's averaging 3.9 yellow cards per game in the Brazilian league. 

He also refereed their last meeting in September, when seven yellow cards and a red were shown.

Franco's recent disciplinary record is another big reason to fancy him for a card here.

He's picked up two yellow cards and a red in his last four games across all competitions.

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Horse Racing

Thursday's Racing Ratings E/W Double 📊🏇 @ 10.35

Racing Ratings

Wednesday's Double saw both horses place

Red Metal is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his four career races, coming into the top two in three of those and is the joint-favourite for the 13:50 at the time of writing.

Red Metal has shortened in odds of late and is the only horse in the race to arrive off the back of a victory.

His win from last time out came over course and distance earlier this month.

Red Metal has shown promise on this ground as well, and if the market continues to move in his favour he could yet go off as the standalone favourite.

Timely Affair is Racing Ratings' 2nd-favourite horse of the day, with a 9.0/10 rating.

He's won two of his last six races, finishing in the top two in three of those and the top three in five of those six.

Anthropologist and Monsieur Bondy are above Timely Affair in the betting, both won last time out but hadn't in their previous five before that.

He has won at this track as recently as July, and is a multiple course and distance winner.

His consistency in the second half of this year is promising, and he came 2nd at Kempton in early October at a similar price as today.

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Horse Racing

Thursday's Racing Ratings NAP of the Day 📊🏇 @ 2.75

Racing Ratings

Wednesday's NAP returned just under 3x the stake

  • 29 Oct 2026, 13:50 Stratford
  • Today

Red Metal is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his four career races, coming into the top two in three of those and is the joint-favourite for the 13:50 at the time of writing.

Red Metal has shortened in odds of late and is the only horse in the race to arrive off the back of a victory.

His win from last time out came over course and distance earlier this month.

Red Metal has shown promise on this ground as well, and if the market continues to move in his favour he could yet go off as the standalone favourite.

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Horse Racing

Thursday's Racing Ratings E/W Lucky 15 🍀🏇 @ 41.54

Racing Ratings

Wednesday's Lucky 15 returned just under 2x the stake

Red Metal is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his four career races, coming into the top two in three of those and is the joint-favourite for the 13:50 at the time of writing.

Red Metal has shortened in odds of late and is the only horse in the race to arrive off the back of a victory.

His win from last time out came over course and distance earlier this month.

Red Metal has shown promise on this ground as well, and if the market continues to move in his favour he could yet go off as the standalone favourite.

Albus Anne is one of the highest rated horses on Racing Ratings today, with an 8.1/10.

She's finished in the top four in three of her last five races, won last time out and is still shortening as the favourite at the time of writing.

Closest competitor in the betting, Box To Box, is without a win in five and hasn't finished in the top four in three outings this season.

Albus Anne has a good record at Bath, winning over course and distance earlier this month and returns today after a three-week break.

The distance suits her well, and jockey, Olivia Haines, is retained having been in the saddle for the C&D win in early October.

Timely Affair is Racing Ratings' 2nd-favourite horse of the day, with a 9.0/10 rating.

He's won two of his last six races, finishing in the top two in three of those and the top three in five of those six.

Anthropologist and Monsieur Bondy are above Timely Affair in the betting, both won last time out but hadn't in their previous five before that.

He has won at this track as recently as July, and is a multiple course and distance winner.

His consistency in the second half of this year is promising, and he came 2nd at Kempton in early October at a similar price as today.

Sycamore Gap is Racing Ratings' 3rd-favourite horse of the day, with a score of 8.4/10.

He's the 3rd-favourite for the race, at the time of writing, but has shortened into 5.50 and could go off a lot closer to favouritism.

Sycamore Gap won last time out as a longshot at Southwell last Thursday.

His stable are looking to pounce on that good form by re-entering him so soon, looking to emulate that course and distance victory.

Both of his career wins have come on this surface and Oliver Stammers stays in the saddle after last week's win.

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Horse Racing

Thursday's Racing Ratings E/W Accumulator 📊🏇 @ 275.48

Racing Ratings

Follow the data with Racing Ratings 📈

Red Metal is Racing Ratings' NAP of the day, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his four career races, coming into the top two in three of those and is the joint-favourite for the 13:50 at the time of writing.

Red Metal has shortened in odds of late and is the only horse in the race to arrive off the back of a victory.

His win from last time out came over course and distance earlier this month.

Red Metal has shown promise on this ground as well, and if the market continues to move in his favour he could yet go off as the standalone favourite.

Albus Anne is one of the highest rated horses on Racing Ratings today, with an 8.1/10.

She's finished in the top four in three of her last five races, won last time out and is still shortening as the favourite at the time of writing.

Closest competitor in the betting, Box To Box, is without a win in five and hasn't finished in the top four in three outings this season.

Albus Anne has a good record at Bath, winning over course and distance earlier this month and returns today after a three-week break.

The distance suits her well, and jockey, Olivia Haines, is retained having been in the saddle for the C&D win in early October.

Timely Affair is Racing Ratings' 2nd-favourite horse of the day, with a 9.0/10 rating.

He's won two of his last six races, finishing in the top two in three of those and the top three in five of those six.

Anthropologist and Monsieur Bondy are above Timely Affair in the betting, both won last time out but hadn't in their previous five before that.

He has won at this track as recently as July, and is a multiple course and distance winner.

His consistency in the second half of this year is promising, and he came 2nd at Kempton in early October at a similar price as today.

Sycamore Gap is Racing Ratings' 3rd-favourite horse of the day, with a score of 8.4/10.

He's the 3rd-favourite for the race, at the time of writing, but has shortened into 5.50 and could go off a lot closer to favouritism.

Sycamore Gap won last time out as a longshot at Southwell last Thursday.

His stable are looking to pounce on that good form by re-entering him so soon, looking to emulate that course and distance victory.

Both of his career wins have come on this surface and Oliver Stammers stays in the saddle after last week's win.

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Football

Andy's Saturday Accumulator 📈 @ 3.81

Andy Robson

Luton have seen more goals per game than any side in League One this season

Roma are one of only three sides in Serie A who are yet to lose a game, winning six of their nine matches and scoring the second most goals of any side (23), behind league leaders Inter (25).

Udinese are one of only three sides in the Italian top flight who are yet to win a game at home, losing four of their five matches in front of their own fans. 

The main concern for Udinese is that they’ve only managed to score two goals across these games - the joint lowest of any side at home in Serie A this term. 

Roma have won two and drawn two of their four away assignments in Serie A, with those draws coming against Napoli and Como. They’ve scored nine goals across these games as well, which is a scoring power that Udinese simply can’t match.

Udinese have lost six of their last seven matches ahead of this clash, only claiming a point against a Parma side who are struggling towards the bottom of the table as well in a 0-0 draw.

Betis have been really impressive at home in LaLiga this season, winning four of their five matches in front of their own fans.

The only side to beat them at home domestically this season has been Barcelona, who simply outscored Manuel Pellegrini’s side, and Betis still did well to score twice despite dropping down to 10 men in the second half of that clash.

Malaga have really struggled on their return to the Spanish top flight, failing to win any of their 10 matches and sitting rock bottom of the table. They’ve conceded 19 goals across these games, only three sides in the division have a weaker backline than the away side here.

Malaga’s firepower on the road is particularly alarming. They’ve only scored twice across five away matches, leaving them vulnerable against sides like Betis. They’ve struggled against the more established side in LaLiga, losing to nil against both Madrid sides and conceding five to Real Sociedad a few weeks ago.

Betis have been really impressive at home in LaLiga this season, winning four of their five matches in front of their own fans.

The only side to beat them at home domestically this season has been Barcelona, who simply outscored Manuel Pellegrini’s side, and Betis still did well to score twice despite dropping down to 10 men in the second half of that clash.

Malaga have really struggled on their return to the Spanish top flight, failing to win any of their 10 matches and sitting rock bottom of the table. They’ve conceded 19 goals across these games, only three sides in the division have a weaker backline than the away side here.

Malaga’s firepower on the road is particularly alarming. They’ve only scored twice across five away matches, leaving them vulnerable against sides like Betis. They’ve struggled against the more established side in LaLiga, losing to nil against both Madrid sides and conceding five to Real Sociedad a few weeks ago.

These sides have met twice already this year with BTTS landing in both matches as Stuttgart came away 3-1 and 4-1 winners.

Leverkusen may get a bit more joy here given that Stuttgart have only managed to win two of their opening seven Bundesliga matches, but their games have still been seeing plenty of goals with 23 in total so far (3.29 per game).

Neither of these sides have been good at keeping clean sheets in the early stages of the Bundesliga season. Stuttgart have kept just one shutout across their seven games, conceding an xG of 17.5 - which is the second highest xG against in the Bundesliga behind Augsburg (19.6).

Stuttgart’s early season slump is not that alarming to me, especially when considering that they’re competing in the Champions League this season - which will have had an effect on their domestic performances.

They still have the firepower to get on the scoresheet against this Leverkusen side, who have only kept out two sides in the Bundesliga this term.

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Football

Sheff Utd v Wrexham Bet Builder 🧱 @ 4.01

Rob Elder

Wrexham decline to continue

There was a real sour taste when O’Hare left Sheffield United for Wrexham, with fans labelling it a sideways move and one that was solely about money.

I expect O’Hare will get a rather cold reception and could be targeted more so than usual.

His numbers for drawing fouls are excellent anyway, he draws an average of 2.08 per 90 minutes and he’s been fouled two or more times in three of his last four.

He’ll be up against Kalvin Phillips who ranks high for fouls in The Blades’ squad. The ex-England international commits 1.69 per 90 minutes.

This is a nice addition to the bet builder at around 1.33. Burrows’ numbers are very strong.

The left-back has drawn an average of 1.61 fouls per 90 minutes. He’s only recently returned from a long injury lay-off, but across his three starts he’s drawn five fouls, with at least one drawn in each match.

Issa Kabore will be his direct opponent down that flank, he has committed an average of 1.15 fouls per 90 minutes.

Burrows has a wonderful left-foot and likes to get forward, he can be a real danger and Wrexham will need to shut him down.

Veteran striker Patrick Bamford is on to five goals for the season and netted at the weekend as The Blades drew with Derby County.

He netted a brace in his last home game prior to that too when they beat Lincoln City 3-0.

He’s averaged 0.80 shots on target per 90 minutes and has had a shot on target in seven of his 11 Championship starts.

Wrexham have conceded an average of 4.08 shots on target per 90 minutes and I think Sheffield United can really get at them here, which leads me on to the final pick of the bet builder.

This isn’t the most exciting game for a Friday night. Maybe it looked set to be when it was scheduled but both sides have been lacklustre.

That being said, I’m especially unimpressed with Wrexham. It’s surely getting to a point where they part ways with Parkinson. They’ve spent a lot and there’s little cohesion in the squad.

They’ve won just one of their last seven matches on the road and have slumped down to 14th place following defeat to Blackburn on Saturday.

They’ve averaged 1.31 xG in away matches and scored an average of just 0.83 goals from that.

The Blades haven’t been spectacular but this selection has landed more often than not at home, with the hosts avoiding defeat in six of their eight matches.

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