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The best bets from Andy Robson and our team of experts.

Football

World Cup Semi-Final Player Boost 🏆🚀 @ 9.50

Andy Robson

All three players lead their nations for goal contributions at the World Cup

Bellingham and Kane have been the main men for England, and I don't think anybody would argue if I said it's Jude who's had the bigger impact.

His two goals against Norway got them through to the semis, and it's now back to back games he's managed a brace, after putting two past Mexico.

Of the 13 goals scored by England, Jude has been directly involved in seven, and if anybody can make it happen against Argentina it's him.

He's showing 0 signs of slowing down. This bet has landed in all six of his World Cup games so far, and he's already managed 10 goal involvements this tournament.

There's no doubt he's the major threat in this Argentine side, every time Messi is on the ball, something happens.

I'll not continue to bore you with stats as this bet is pretty self explanatory, if anybody can score or assist v England, it's him.

Mbappe is currently sitting on 11 goal involvements this tournament, and the best bit is he's heavily supported by the players around him.

The likes of Dembele and Olise have both managed at least five goal involvements each, with Olise already on five assists so far this tournament. It's even more chance for Mbappe to land this market.

This bet has also landed in every World Cup game so far, managing two or more goal involvements in five of the six.

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Football

£10-£500 World Cup Train Bet 4 🏆🚂 @ 1.67

Andy Robson

Stop 4 on the way to £500 🚂🚂🚂

  • Spain v France
  • Tomorrow
  • 20:00

Spain have been the best side at the World Cup in my view and I'm a bit surprised that they’re priced at 2.30 to come through this tie, with France being clear favourites at 1.61.

Spain have won five of their six matches at the World Cup, only failing to beat Cape Verde in their opening game which ended 0-0. That game was one of only two occasions across Spain’s last 26 matches where they’ve failed to score. 

Luis de la Fuente’s side have a good recent history against France as well, having beaten Didier Deschamps’ team 5-4 in the Nations League last year - as well as coming away 2-1 winners when the sides faced off in the semi finals of the most recent European Championships.

I think this will naturally be a high scoring game with the attacking talent on show and this should lead to both sides having chances. France have scored in all six of their matches so far, scoring 2+ goals in five of these games so Spain can’t expect to get through with a clean sheet. 

Lamine Yamal has found the target in all three of Spain’s knockout matches at the World Cup, managing 2+ shots on target in all of these games. He’s also had the most touches in the opposition box and most shots of any player in all three of these matches. 

Yamal also scored in both of those Spain wins against France over the last few years and usually saves his best performances for this stage - if he finds the back of the net here, we will have a winner. 

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Football

BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals World Cup Semi Finals Double 🔥⚽ @ 5.51

Andy Robson

Both of these games are incredible on paper, I'm expecting goals

Both defences have looked shaky to say the least, but thankfully England have Kane and Bellingham, whilst Argentina have Messi.

This exact thing has happened in the last four games for Argentina, and the last three games for England, if you include extra time. And even away from that, both sides have managed just two clean sheets in six games.

As it stands, Argentina are the highest scorers at the World Cup, with 17 goals, whilst England aren't too far behind on 13.

An early goal here should really open it up, and I do think the fact it's being played in Atlanta will have an impact due to a stadium with air con, meaning there's less risk of the heat or altitude impacting the flow of the game.

Both games are incredible, and this one should be a blockbuster. The last meeting finished 5-4, and all the chat around the clean sheets for both sides, I feel will no longer be relevant.

This is a France side who have scored two or more goals in five of their six matches, the only time they didn't was the 1-0 win against Paraguay, and I can't see this game being anything like that.

France have racked up the highest xG at the tournament, with 14.30, with Spain not far behind at 11.7. From this, Spain have scored 11 goals, and have only failed to score once, in that surprise draw to Cape Verde.

As I mentioned earlier, this game had nine goals last time, and they managed a combined 5.65xG, 40 shots and 17 shots on target. I'm expecting goals.

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Football

Spain v France Foul Accumulator 🇪🇸🇫🇷 @ 3.00

Ramis Ibrahim

Both centre backs could be exposed here

  • France v Spain
  • Tomorrow
  • 20:00

Dayot Upamecano has committed a foul in all six of his World Cup matches, and I think this Spain side represent the first opponent France have faced at this tournament who can truly test them at the back.

Morocco looked a bit blunt without their star man Ismael Saibari last time out, but Spain offer far more of a threat and the fluid movement of their front three is bound to cause Upamecano problems, particularly given how prone the Bayern Munich centre back is to making errors.

France's defensive line do like to push quite high up the pitch and their full backs press on, which often leaves Upamecano and Saliba relatively exposed in transition. That kind of scenario could easily contribute to Upamecano committing at least one foul here.

One area where France could get real success in this game is exploiting the high line that Spain like to play, with Cubarsi and Aymeric Laporte both being at risk of committing tactical fouls.

We saw this in Spain’s game against Belgium last time out, both Cubarsi and Laporte got yellow cards as a result of having to haul down the likes of Jeremy Doku and Leandro Trossard when Belgium came forward in moments of transition. 

Cubarsi is an exceptional centre back for his age, but even he will struggle to contain the likes of Mbappe, Olise and Dembele here. His direct opponent in Kylian Mbappe has been fouled twice in each of France’s last two matches.

Cubarsi has committed four fouls overall at the World Cup (0.67 per 90), but I expect the centre back to be more active than he has been in some of Spain’s other games, against arguably the best attacking trio in the world at the moment.

Yamal didn’t win many fouls in the early stages of the tournament, which was likely a result of the winger wanting to avoid too much contact, having just returned from injury. 

However, we’ve seen Yamal engage more regularly with those duels in recent games. He was fouled four times against Belgium last time out after winning two fouls against Portugal in the Round of 16. 

He’ll really fancy his chances of testing Lucas Digne in this one, who has a very interesting record when it comes to committing fouls in high profile games - he’s committed a foul in each of his last four matches for France and usually struggles against top opponents.

It’s near impossible to stop Olise without hauling him to the ground, even more so now he’s operating in a central role which sees him have plenty of run-ins with opposing midfielders.

Spain will press Olise in the same way they do every opponent, though the Frenchman has the skill to find a way out of that press, which may lead to Spain having to chop Olise down as their only way of stopping a devastating France attack, especially in moments of transition.

Olise has drawn a foul in each of his last five appearances for France, drawing multiple fouls in three of those games - including 3+ fouls won against Paraguay in the Round of 16 followed by 4+ fouls won against Morocco last time out.

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Football

Spain v France High Odds Bet Builder 🇪🇸🇫🇷 @ 46.58

Ramis Ibrahim

This bet went 3/4 when the sides faced in the Nations League last year

  • France v Spain
  • Tomorrow
  • 20:00

Michael Olise has been one of France’s most influential players so far, registering five assists across his six starts at the World Cup.

No player has registered more assists than Olise at the World Cup, and he’s also been quite unlucky not to find the back of the net with his 17 efforts (3.14 per 90), posting an xG of 2.07.

Olise has created 12 chances at the World Cup with five of those being big chances. The rate his team-mates are converting those chances is really impressive and a big plus when backing Olise for a goal contribution here.

Kylian Mbappe has stolen most of the headlines, but I’ve also been really impressed with Ousmane Dembele at this World Cup, who is thriving thanks to a role imposed on him by Didier Deschamps, which sees Olise play more centrally.

Dembele had previously struggled to perform for France but now plays with the same confidence that we see from him at PSG. He’s scored five goals across his six starts at the World Cup from 16 shots (3.12 per 90), seeing six of those efforts find the target (1.17 per 90).

It’s hard to see how France don’t cause problems in the final third for Spain here, given the quality of the players they have in forward areas. France have scored 2+ goals in five of their six matches and top the charts at the World Cup for expected goals (14.3) and shots on target (7.8 per game).

Adrien Rabiot has been very fortunate to avoid a caution at the World Cup so far, having committed nine fouls across his five starts in the competition (1.80 per 90).

Many questioned his inclusion at the start of the tournament given the quality that France have in that area of the pitch, but he is a favourite of Deschamps and will have to be alert to the rotations that Spain put together in the middle of the park.

No side is better than Spain at keeping and moving the ball, France won’t struggle for possession, but they will have to break up the periods where Spain dominate the ball to ensure that the likes of Pedri and Rodri don’t start dictating the game.

Pedro Porro has emerged as a natural replacement for Dani Carvajal in this Spain side.

It’s a trait of Spain that probably explains why they are so effective: every time they have a player that looks to be ageing or moving out of their prime, there is always a ready-made replacement who can slot in and keep Spain playing in the same way.

Porro does get forward more often than Carvajal did and has already scored at the World Cup, having got on the end of a cross against Austria in the Round of 32. 

He’s taken five shots at the World Cup overall (1.25 per 90) and won’t be afraid to have a go from distance, with three of those efforts coming from outside the box.

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Football

Spain v France Bet Builder 🇪🇸🇫🇷 @ 4.37

Ramis Ibrahim

The most recent meeting between these sides finished 5-4 last year

  • France v Spain
  • Tomorrow
  • 20:00

Lamine Yamal’s numbers might not immediately leap off the page, but he’s still been hugely influential for Spain at this World Cup, and he tends to save his best displays for the big occasions.

Against Belgium last time out, Yamal topped the charts for touches in the box (12) and total shots (six) among all players, which actually marks the third consecutive game where he’s led the way in both categories.

It’s clear the 19-year-old is consistently finding dangerous positions, having taken 23 shots across his five appearances (5.11 per 90), with 10 of those finding the target (2.22 per 90).

He also has a bit of history against France, having scored against them in last year’s Nations League and netting a stunning goal during his breakout campaign at the most recent European Championship.

It’s hard to see how this game won’t produce goals given the level of attacking quality on display. 

France have seen 2+ goals in five of their six matches at the World Cup, with the exception of their 1-0 win over Paraguay, which was kept low scoring by their opponents setting up in a low block and breaking the game up as much as possible.

France have scored 2+ goals themselves in those matches, and have not failed to score in 19 matches across all competitions. 

Spain do have a really impressive defensive record at this World Cup, but I find it very difficult to make a case for them to come away with a clean sheet given the trio of Mbappe, Michael Olise and Dembele lining up against them. 

The last three head-to-head meetings between the sides, stretching back to 2021, have produced at least three goals - Spain beat France 5-4 in the Nations League semi-finals last year.

Spain have won 5+ corners in all six of their matches at this World Cup, going on to win six corners in 83% of those games.

It’s a part of their game which probably doesn’t get picked up on as much as their counter-pressing or how they move the ball through the thirds, but it’s still an important factor of Luis de la Fuente’s game plan.

Spain are able to win so many corners as a result of how wide they play. Yamal and Porro, in particular, down the right hand side of the pitch, allow Spain to have a constant outlet in wide areas, which is advantageous for corners, as they are likely to take on the opposition in 1v1 duels and try to get crosses into the box.

This selection has landed in all six of Mbappe’s appearances at the World Cup, with the Real Madrid forward actually managing 3+ shots on target in half of those games.

Mbappe has scored eight goals at the World Cup and will have a personal ambition to win the Golden Boot alongside helping his nation to lift the trophy. 

He’s taken 30 shots across those games (5.21 per 90) - only Lionel Messi (33) has had more attempts than Mbappe at this World Cup.

Mbappe has seen 19 of those 30 efforts find the target (3.30 per 90), working out to a shot accuracy of 63%, which is a ridiculous standard to set at this level.

Dayot Upamecano has committed a foul in all six of his World Cup matches, and I think this Spain side represent the first opponent France have faced at this tournament who can truly test them at the back.

Morocco looked a bit blunt without their star man Ismael Saibari last time out, but Spain offer far more of a threat and the fluid movement of their front three is bound to cause Upamecano problems, particularly given how prone the Bayern Munich centre back is to making errors.

France's defensive line do like to push quite high up the pitch and their full backs press on, which often leaves Upamecano and Saliba relatively exposed in transition. That kind of scenario could easily contribute to Upamecano committing at least one foul here.

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Football

💎 Gem Bet: Fabian Ruiz 1+ Foul Committed @ 1.66

Andy Robson

This is priced as short as 1.11 elsewhere.

  • France v Spain
  • Tomorrow
  • 20:00

This is priced as short as 1.25 on other bookies, even going as short as 1.11 on less popular ones. Managing 1.62 feels generous.

A lot of this bet for me is based on his potential opponent, Michael Olise, who has been averaging 2.41 fouls won per90. Of the players that remain in the World Cup, he's the joint most fouled alongside Messi.

There's also the likelihood he has to sit deeper and defend against Mbappe, who averages 1.23 fouls won per90.

The reason I think this price is a little higher, is due to Ruiz not having the best fouls committed record, but I do feel like this can be put down to his lack of starts, and also isn't factoring in his potential opponents.

France last played Spain in June last year, it finished 5-4, and Ruiz came off the bench in the 64th minute and committed a foul on Dembele.

Olise should start, and Ruiz should play alongside Rodri.

When looking at fouls won for Olise: 4, 3, 1, 2, 1, 2

I also checked specific fouls won for Olise:

  • In his last game, against Morocco, both CMs fouled him.


  • Against Sweden, Bergvall (CM) committed a foul on Olise.


  • Against Norway, Berg (CM) committed a foul and got carded.


  • Against Senegal, Camara (CM) and even Diarra who come off the bench into midfield fouled him.

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