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Semenyo found the target in City’s opening game of the campaign as they came from behind to beat Bournemouth 2-1 thanks to a late goal from Josko Gvardiol.

Semenyo had more touches in the opposition box than any other City player (8) and continued his record of being really consistent when it comes to finding the target for Manchester City - also having an effort on target in City’s defeat in the Community Shield to Arsenal.

Semenyo scored 17 goals in the Premier League last season and is arguably the most accurate winger in the league with 41 of his 83 shots in the Premier League last season finding the target (49% shot accuracy - 1.15 shots on target per 90).

Kamada has improved with time at Crystal Palace, settling into a midfield role alongside Adam Wharton. He’s always been willing to get involved in the midfield battle and we saw that tenacity on the opening weekend with Kamada committing one foul and collecting a yellow card. 

Kamada committed 30 fouls across 22 starts in the Premier League last season (1.42 per 90), collecting three yellow cards in the process. He often looked like he had too much ground to cover next to Wharton on the opening day of the season, and that’s a balance that could take some time to get right under Pierre Sage.

Kamada committed one foul and was shown a yellow card in this fixture last campaign. His most likely opponents here are Elliot Anderson and Marc Guehi, who were both fouled twice against Bournemouth in the opening game of the season.

Marc Guehi was deployed in midfield against Bournemouth last time out as a makeshift replacement for Rodri alongside Elliot Anderson while Manchester City attempt to secure the signing of Enzo Fernandez.

There’s every chance that Guehi continues in that role here, Maresca loves to experiment and Guehi actually did quite well in that midfield role - notably winning two fouls from 11 fuels in total. 

Guehi has always been quite good when it comes to winning fouls, and has experience with stepping into these more advanced roles having done so regularly for Crystal Palace as the left sided centre back in a back three.

Guehi won 38 fouls across his 35 starts in the Premier League last season (1.09 per 90), and that record should remain healthy this campaign - even if Guehi does eventually drop back into his usual centre back role.

Donnarumma was forced into making three saves in City’s opening game of the campaign, notably coming away with an xG prevented tally of 0.70.

I think Donnarumma will have to be at his best if City are to compete at the top of the league this season, they looked very open in transition against Bournemouth and Palace will look to play in a similar manner - having been one of the best counter attacking sides in the league under Oliver Glasner.

Crystal Palace managed 11 shots in their opening game of the season against Everton, and were pretty unlucky not to score with four efforts finding the target and being saved by Jordan Pickford, who had an xG prevented tally of 0.94 himself. 

Donnarumma made four saves in this fixture last season, and was also tested twice when Palace travelled to the Etihad despite Palace suffering heavy defeats in both matches.

Manchester City registered eight corners in their 2-1 win over Bournemouth last time out, regularly getting in positions to win these set pieces after being forced wide by Bournemouth’s mid block.

Palace may drop into an even deeper shape here to try and contain City, before looking to offer a threat on the counter attack. I’m a bit concerned that Palace may get trapped in this low block as they are expected to be without Mateta and Sarr - two of their most effective players to be able to play in this way.

Manchester City took more corners than any other side in the Premier League last season (244 - 6.42 per game) and registered nine corners in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides.

This fixture last season saw BTTS as the sides played out a 1-1 draw, with both registering an xG in excess of 1.0 (1.58-1.46).

Wrexham have seen BTTS in both of their league games so far this season, with both matches against Cardiff and Watford ending in a 1-1 draw. 

Wrexham’s home games in the Championship last season tended to be end to end and very entertaining, with 78 goals across their 23 matches (3.39 per game). 

Birmingham have seen BTTS in each of their last two matches ahead of this fixture, being held by Bristol City to a 2-2 draw before suffering a bruising 6-1 defeat to Brentford in the EFL Cup.

Bayern Munich are so dominant in this fixture having won each of the last nine head to head meetings between the sides, stretching all the way back to 2023.

They’ve also won each of the last four clashes between the teams at the Allianz Arena, suggesting that this is often an uphill battle for Stuttgart. 

Bayern have won each of their last six matches ahead of this game, including a win over Dortmund in the Super Cup where they were typically dominant, registering an xG of 2.37 from 21 shots.

Bayern only lost one of their 17 home games in the Bundesliga last season, winning 14 of these matches and netting 68 goals in the process - more than any other side at home in the Bundesliga.

Sticking with the Championship here and backing second favourites Partick Thistle to get a home win against rock-bottom Queen’s Park.

Thistle have started well, qualifying from their League Cup group and picking up 7 points from 9 in their opening three Championship matches.

In their only other home league match this season, they beat title favourites Livingston 2-0 in a match with no shortage of chances, recording 6 shots on target and 1.49 xG.

Queen’s Park have had a terrible start, losing all three of their opening games and conceding two goals in each.

In their most recent game against league newcomers and part-time side Stenhousemuir, they didn’t manage a single shot on target at home, with only 4 attempts in total.

Queen’s Park haven’t beaten Partick Thistle in the league since January 2023.

I fully expect the Jags to record a comfortable win over their Glasgow rivals on Saturday.

Getting in on this price early before it drops.

Ayr have had a decent start to the season, winning their League Cup group (including beating Premiership opposition) and collecting four points from their first two league games.

They did lose 2-0 away to Raith Rovers on Saturday but that was also a result of going down to 10 men in the 5th minute.

Morton are in a whole lot of mess. The Board have publicly said they’ve got the smallest budget in the league and, most recently, announced they might not have enough money to get through to December.

They’re joint bottom of the Championship with 0 points from their opening three games and finished bottom of their League Cup group, with losses to non-league Linlithgow and League One East Fife.

They have scored just one goal in seven competitive matches so far this season, and that was a 0.04 xG strike from 16-year-old Dean Black.

This price is a steal for Ayr. I fully expect it to be around 1.33 by KO on Saturday.

Rayan Cherki changed the game for Manchester City when he came on against Bournemouth last week, setting up both goals as Maresca’s side came from behind to win on the opening weekend of the season.

Cherki is such a great player to watch but he pairs that style with a very good end product. He registered 16 goal contributions across just 19 starts in the Premier League last season, with 12 of these being assists. 

Cherki also averaged 2.77 shots per 90 and 3.02 chances created per 90 across these games, showing his end product does have a solid underlying basis. He registered an assist in both of his league appearances against Crystal Palace last season, and I think he’ll be influential again here.

It’s been quite a tough start to the campaign for Palace and Pierre Sage, with the Eagles transitioning to a new manager and also losing key players - with Mateta and Sarr likely to be the next out of the door at the South London club.

Pino looks like one of the few Palace players who could be effective in forward areas this season, and now has extra responsibility with Palace set to lose some of their most important forward players over the last few campaigns.

Pino came off the bench to have two shots in 35 minutes in Palace’s defeat against Everton last time out, and averaged just shy of 2.0 shots per 90 in the Premier League last season as he spent the campaign adapting to the demands of the division.

Mitchell collects more yellow cards than you might expect, he’s often seen as a reliable and sometimes cautious full back - but his transition to a wing back over the last few seasons has left him with more space to cover.

Mitchell collected a yellow card in the most recent league meeting between these sides, also committing two fouls in City’s win over Palace at Selhurst Park. Maresca likes to utilise the wide areas and encourages his wingers to get involved with 1v1 duels. 

This should see Mitchell tested regularly by the likes of Foden (1.34 fouls won per 90) and Cherki (1.71 fouls won per 90) who can both offer a threat to Mitchell.

Tony Mowbray is well known for playing attacking football over his 20+ years in management, and it’s making Blackburn a good side to follow for BTTS punters this season.

They’ve seen BTTS land in 4/4 matches so far across league and cup, scoring two or more goals in three of those.

They’ve also conceded a first half goal in each of those four encounters.

QPR have seen BTTS land in 2/3 so far, scoring three times in the first half of their league opening 3-1 win at Portsmouth.

Despite drawing a blank in a 0-0 with Bolton at the weekend, QPR generated 1.82 xG and dominated the shot count 18-2 - it wasn't for a lack of trying.

Norwich have seen both teams score in three of their four competitive games so far this season, and they’re better going forward than their start to the campaign suggests.

They’ve scored just once but from chances equating to 3.98 xG, keep generating those opportunities and they’ll start hitting the back of the net.

They’ve conceded two or more goals in both Championship games so far, as have Burnley - who’ve seen BTTS land in both of their second tier outings.

The bet landed in both meetings between the sides when they were last in the second tier together in 2024/25, and both sides' strengths lie in the final third more than they do in their rearguard.

Molde have seen the 3rd-most BTTS Yes games in the Eliteserien this season, 12/17 (71%).

That actually increases to 75% (6/8) when only looking at games away from home.

Molde are favourites for the game, but have actually only kept three clean sheets this season, conceding in 14 of 17.

Only one of those clean sheets has come on the road, letting in at least one goal in seven of their eight away trips.

Valerenga have scored 1.65 goals per game this season, and saw BTTS as they lost 5-1 in the reverse fixture.

The last three head-to-heads have all seen BTTS land, the bet has also won in Valerenga's last three games on the bounce, which includes a 5-5 draw last time out in the league.

BTTS has landed in the first half in all three of De Graafschap’s games so far this season.

The bet won in three of the four head-to-heads between these two last season, with the games that De Graafschap hosted ending 3-2 and 2-2.

They’ve already let in eight goals in just three league games, while Almere City have scored three goals in both of their last two games.

BTTS has won in two of their three 26/27 outings, and my Goals Sheet rates this game at 7.93/10.

De Graafschap and Almere City ranked 3rd and 4th in last season's Eerste Divisie for the most BTTS yes games.

This is the highest-rated game for Both Teams to Score on my Goals Sheet this Saturday.

Viking have seen both teams score in seven of their last eight games, and the Eliteserien champions sealed qualification for the Champions League on Wednesday with a win over Dinamo Zagreb.

That occasion does give Aalesund a preparation advantage as they didn’t have a midweek game, while there will have also been some celebrating, that can increase fatigue, in the Viking camp on Wednesday evening.

Aalesund have seen BTTS land in all of their last 10 league games, including a 5-5 draw last time out in the league.

Tottenham regained some confidence by thrashing Charlton 5-1 in the League Cup on Wednesday, to bounce back from their 3-0 defeat at Brentford to kick off the season.

Newcastle were impressive in their 2-2 with Liverpool, they’d have won 2-1 if it wasn’t for a sloppy late penalty.

Matthias Jaissle’s side then came from behind to win 3-2 late on in the cup against West Brom.

Both head-to-heads last season saw BTTS land, with the game at St James’ Park ending 2-2.

Roberto De Zerbi's football lends itself towards goal-heavy games, 1.57 on BTTS for a Spurs game is fair and may shorten significantly in the coming weeks if they find their shooting boots.

Dortmund came away 3-2 winners over Hamburg in the most recent meeting between the sides, racking up a ridiculous xG of 6.00 from 24 shots in the encounter.

Hamburg only had four shots in that game as the away side, suggesting that the two goals they scored flattered them a bit - and that there is a significant gap in quality between these sides.

Dortmund only lost two of their 17 home games in the Bundesliga last season, with only Bayern Munich collecting more points than Niko Kovac’s side at home in the Bundesliga last season.

It’s the scoring power of Dortmund that should set them apart from their opponents here, they scored 40 goals across those 17 home matches - only conceding 16.

By contrast, Hamburg only managed to win three of their 17 away games in the Bundesliga last season, only scoring 15 goals in the road which was the second lowest tally of any side in the division. 

Lyon won their opening game of the Ligue 1 season with a routine 2-0 victory over Toulouse on the road. They did manage to survive an xG of 2.77 from their opponents, but this only translated to two shots on target from the home side.

Lyon beat Le Havre 1-0 in this fixture last season, dominating the underlying numbers with an xG of 2.56 from

18 shots in that contest. Lyon also beat Le Havre at home the season prior, putting four goals past them in another comfortable victory with an xG of 3.98.

Only PSG (13) and Lens (14) won more games at home than Lyon in Ligue 1 last season (12), with Paulo Fonseca’s side scoring 30 goals across these games and conceding just 18.

Le Havre picked up most of their points at home in Ligue 1 last season, winning just three of their 17 matches at home - notably only scoring 12 goals across these games, the second lowest tally of any side in Ligue 1 when on the road last season. 

The recent head to head meetings between these sides have been very goal heavy, with each of the last five meetings seeing 3+ goals.

The most recent clash saw Lausanne cover this goal line on their own, coming away 3-0 winners in front of their own fans with nine shots on target on that occasion.

Zurich have made a pretty poor start to the campaign, losing three of their four league matches so far, but have seen goals regularly over recent months - seeing 3+ goals in each of their last 11 matches across all competitions.

Zurich’s poor form at the start of the campaign would suggest that Lausanne may be able to cover this line on their own again, though the recent head to head meetings would also indicate that Zurich tend to get on the scoresheet in this fixture. 

Both of these sides have started the season well with three wins from their opening four games of the campaign, setting up this clash to be an entertaining one in what could be an early marker in the race for the title in Switzerland.

Young Boys have seen BTTS in three of their four matches in the league so far this season, most recently coming away 4-2 winners at home over Vaduz. Young Boys scored 43 goals at home across 19 games last season (2.26 per game), so they should have the fire power to get on the scoresheet here.

Basel have seen BTTS in each of their last four matches ahead of this clash and notably saw 63 goals across their 19 away matches last season (3.31 per game). They faced off against Young Boys four times in 2025, seeing BTTS in three of these matches. 

Iwata has got an absolute screamer in his locker. The beauty of the shots market is that if he does go for the spectacular, it could fly into row z for all we care.

Iwata had 51 shots for The Blues last season, an average of 1.20 per 90 minutes and has already landed this selection in each of his two matches so far this campaign.

Wrexham have conceded in both their matches so far and shipped 19 shots in the process.

Interestingly, in the match against Cardiff, their two centre midfielders racked up four shots between them and their defensive midfielder also had one.

This is an excellent price for a defender who’s already managed six shots in The Championship this season.

He’s even managed three on target already. A singular shot on target is priced at 3.75 in this one.

The key to this has been Wrexham’s monstrous corner count, which allows Doyle to get himself forward to attack the set pieces.

They had 10 corners against Watford and nine against Cardiff. Their three at-the-back system focuses a lot of play in wide areas as they look to find Kieffer Moore, this often leads to deflected crosses going out for a corner or players tackled close to the byline for the same result.

In this Hollywood showdown, I’m expecting an exciting fixture and goals should follow suit between two sides who aren’t short on attacking talent.

I was tempted by BTTS but I’m playing a little safer. Both Wrexham games so far this season have finished 1-1.

Birmingham have drawn 0-0 and 2-2, before then being thumped 6-1 at home by Brentford in the Carabao Cup in midweek.

83% of Wrexham’s league games saw two or more goals last season with an average of 2.91 goals per match.

As for Birmingham, their games averaged 2.46 goals with 78% seeing two or more scored.

As mentioned, Wrexham have boasted huge corner numbers so far this season, hitting nine or more in both league matches and three away at Wrexham in the Carabao Cup first round when they were beaten 1-0.

They also have shipped plenty - three against Watford, nine against Cardiff and seven against ‘Boro.

Birmingham matches have averaged 10 corners, which has been the count in both of their Championship matches. They took seven against Bristol City and eight against Sheffield United.

I expect both sides to have good periods in this match and corners should flow for both - the price on both to get over 3.5 is also very tempting as a small play on the side.

Celtic return to domestic action on Saturday afternoon when Falkirk visit Parkhead, with the Hoops looking to put their midweek Champions League heartbreak behind them.

Celtic hit the self-destruct button against LASK Linz on Tuesday night, throwing away a 4-0 lead before eventually crashing out 5-4 on aggregate. 

They should have little trouble responding against Falkirk, though, and backing the hosts to win alongside over 2.5 goals looks the way to go.

Martin O'Neill's side recently put five past Kilmarnock and four against Dundee United, while also scoring three against LASK in their last home game. 

Their attacking firepower should be far too much for a Falkirk side that has collected just one point from their opening two Scottish Premiership games and also failed to make it out of their League Cup group. 

John McGlynn's men are unlikely to abandon their attacking approach, so this should be an open game, with over 2.5 goals landing in three of Celtic's four home wins over Falkirk last season.

I think Hearts look a little overpriced to defeat St Johnstone in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday.

After falling to a 2-1 defeat away at Aberdeen in their opening league game, Wouter Vrancken's side bounced back in style with a mightily impressive 4-0 demolition of Dundee United. 

They kept the feel-good factor flowing domestically by progressing to the Scottish League Cup quarter-finals with a 6-2 rout of Inverness a fortnight ago.

While Hearts face a quick turnaround following their European heroics against Rapid Vienna on Wednesday night, they should be in high spirits and I think they have a big enough squad to cope with the demands of their schedule.

St Johnstone won their first game back in the Scottish Premiership, but they conceded three goals against Kilmarnock in that victory before slumping to a 1-0 defeat at St Mirren. 

This will be a far tougher test, and I think Hearts' superior class will tell.

I'm expecting Ayr United to return to winning ways in the Scottish Championship when they play host to Morton on Saturday. 

The Honest Men have made a decent start to the Scottish Championship season, beating Arbroath 2-0 before earning a 1-1 draw away at Dunfermline. 

Their only defeat came at Raith Rovers last weekend, although that result needs to be taken with a pinch of salt after Leon King was shown a red card just five minutes into the match.

Ayr have also shown they can compete against stronger opposition, having pushed Kilmarnock all the way in a 3-2 Scottish League Cup defeat a couple of weeks ago.

Morton, meanwhile, are yet to get going. 

They lost all four of their League Cup group games before suffering defeats in each of their opening three league matches, including a 2-1 home loss to Arbroath last weekend.

All is not well behind the scenes at Morton, and the signs point towards another defeat at Somerset Park.

I think Partick Thistle look well placed to pick up all three points against Queen's Park on Saturday. 

Having beaten Morton and Livingston, the Jags looked to be on course to make it three wins from three last Friday night before conceding a last-gasp equaliser in a 1-1 draw with Inverness.

However, back at Firhill this weekend, which has been a fortress for quite some time now, Thistle will fancy their chances of bouncing back at the first attempt, particularly against Queen's Park. 

The Spiders have made a very worrying start to their league season, having lost all three of their opening matches, including home defeats to both Raith Rovers and Stenhousemuir.

They also lost 2-0 away at Livingston on the opening weekend of the campaign, and I think they could be on the wrong end of a similar scoreline in Glasgow's west end this weekend.

Ross County's clash with East Kilbride in Scottish League One on Saturday has all the makings of an entertaining encounter. 

Three of East Kilbride's opening four league matches of the season have featured over 2.5 goals, which is hardly surprising given the attacking style that has become synonymous with Mick Kennedy's side. 

The visitors are capable of causing Ross County problems going forward, but their commitment to attacking football can leave them exposed at the other end, something that was evident in last week's 3-0 defeat to Montrose. 

They now face a Ross County side that have won all three of their league matches so far this season.

The Staggies' last two league victories have both produced over 2.5 goals, while they also impressed with a 2-1 victory away at Dunfermline in the Scottish League Cup earlier this month. 

I fancy County to come out on top here, and I wouldn't be surprised to see both teams get on the scoresheet, but over 2.5 goals looks the strongest angle in Dingwall. 

Fortuna Sittard let down last Saturday’s BTTS Acca, which was a six-fold, but they had a player sent off after five minutes.

In their two games leading up to Saturday’s 2-0 loss to AZ Alkmaar, they’d seen over 3.5 total goals and scored two or more themselves, with BTTS landing after 55 and 22 minutes.

Groningen have seen BTTS land in their three opening matches, scoring seven goals in the process, including a first half goal in each game.

Their defence was found wanting last time out, as they were beaten 5-1 at PSV, conceding 4.40 xG.

Groningen should have no problem getting on the scoresheet, as heavy odds-on favourites for the game, but they're also unlikely to keep a clean sheet.

Jong Ajax games have been bonkers so far this season, their last two alone have seen 15 total goals.

BTTS has landed in all three of their 26/27 outings, it came in after six minutes in their first game, three minutes in their second and 59 last time out.

Helmond have seen both teams score in all three of their games so far as well, with the bet winning in the first half in two of those games.

BTTS landed in both head-to-heads last term, with Jong Ajax winning 5-1 in the most recent meeting back in February.

Jong Ajax games have been bonkers so far this season, their last two alone have seen 15 total goals.

BTTS has landed in all three of their 26/27 outings, it came in after six minutes in their first game, three minutes in their second and 59 last time out.

Helmond have seen both teams score in all three of their games so far as well, with the bet winning in the first half in two of those games.

BTTS landed in both head-to-heads last term, with Jong Ajax winning 5-1 in the most recent meeting back in February.

Igor Jesus took three shots in Forest’s opening game of the season against Leeds, finding the target with one of these efforts. 

He followed up that display with an effort on target against the same opponent in the EFL Cup, and I think he’ll offer a threat to a Liverpool backline that really struggled with Osula and Wissa last week in transition.

Oliver Glasner is the perfect manager to take advantage of the issues that Liverpool have with their rest defence at the moment. He built his success at Palace on these transitions, and has the players at Forest to make it work again.

Jesus struggled in the early months of the campaign last year, but grew into the season - ending with 10 goal contributions across 28 starts, taking 70 shots across these games (2.72 per 90).

Cody Gakpo is a really efficient player, and has actually been linked with a move to Manchester City in recent weeks with rumours of Liverpool being close to securing the signature of Bradley Barcola.

I still think Gakpo can be an asset to this Liverpool team even with Barcola about to join, he showed his quality in Liverpool’s draw with Newcastle last time out - scoring from one of his six efforts in the game. 

He’s clearly being encouraged to shoot more often by Iraola, with Gakpo taking aim at almost every opportunity at St James’ Park last week. Unsurprisingly, Gakpo took more shots than any other player in that game - and also had the most touches of any player in the opposition box (10). 

Neco Williams was already a pretty good fullback to watch for shots, but is now even more of a shot threat as he’s playing as a wingback under Oliver Glasner’s 3-4-3 system. 

Williams didn’t have a shot in Forest’s opening game of the Premier League season, but did take aim against Leeds in the EFL Cup last time out - a speculative effort coming from a corner after just two minutes of action.

Williams likes to take aim from outside the box and took 46 shots across 36 starts in the Premier League last season (1.29 per 90), which is an incredibly consistent record for a fullback. 

Williams had a shot in the most recent league meeting between these sides, and also set up a goal at Anfield last season - further showing how effective Williams can be in forward areas, boosted by his more advanced position in Glasner’s set up.

This is still a very generous price for Gravenberch to be fouled just once in this game, following on from the midfielder winning three fouls in Liverpool’s opening game of the season against Newcastle.

Gravenberch is elite when it comes to finding a way out of tight spaces. He’s clever when turning with the ball, being able to open up the game which makes him a player worth watching to win fouls - as the opposition often have to bring him down to stop Liverpool from breaking forward quickly.

Gravenberch won 42 fouls across 34 starts in the Premier League last season (1.26 per 90) and will be up against Inrahim Sangare here, who committed two fouls in Forest’s defeat to Leeds last week and averaged 1.82 fouls committed per 90 in the Premier League last season.

This could be the bet of the weekend.

How are Leicester favourites for this match? They're pish.

Nearly 2/1 on MK Dons to beat a Leicester side, who have looked just as hopeless as Russell Martin's Rangers side so far.

Martin could be in for abuse from both sets of fans having left MK for Swansea on the eve of the 2021/22 season.

Leicester have drawn 1-1 at newly-promoted Notts County, one of the favourites for relegation, and lost 2-1 at home to Burton - the pre-season favourites to finish bottom of the league.

MK are genuine top six contenders this season, while Leicester are playing like a group of people who've never met each other.

MK have drawn 2-2 at newly-relegated Oxford, leading until the 95th-minute, and 1-1 at home to a Huddersfield side who've looked like one of the best attacking sides in the division.

Leicester have just suffered back-to-back relegations and don't yet look close to turning the tide.

Watford are not as good as their four points from two games suggests.

They were second-best in their 1-1 draw at Wrexham last weekend, and relied on a late sitter to cling onto their opening weekend 2-1 win over Southampton.

Sometimes you've got to respect the market. 

West Ham have not looked convincing at all so far, drawing 2-2 at Burnley and losing 2-1 at home to Charlton, but they're still the clear favourites for the Championship title.

If they click into gear, prices like 1.90 away at a side of Watford's level will not hang around.

They posted 1.33 xG in their opener and 2.84 last time out in the league - they are creating chances.

They also built some confidence with a 4-1 win at Southampton in the League Cup on Tuesday evening.

Bristol Rovers ripped Newport to shreds at times last weekend, winning a crazy game 5-3, and have looked very dangerous going forward.

Crawley were fortunate to stay up last season, posting just 40 points and keeping their heads above water by one point.

Rovers generated nearly 4 xG in the win over Newport.

Kellan Gordan and Malcolm Ebiowei are still seeing out three-match bans from their violent conduct red cards in Crawley's opening weekend 1-0 defeat at home to Crewe.

Rovers have a lot more depth and were able to rotate in their midweek 2-2 draw and penalty shoot-out defeat to Chelsea U21s in the EFL Trophy.

Rovers are third-favourites for the league title, whereas the bookies still expect Crawley to be involved in a relegation battle.

Tranmere have been gradually shortening ahead of their trip to Newport, having made an impressive start to the League Two season.

They got started with a 2-0 win over Shrewsbury before drawing 1-1 at newly-relegated Port Vale and now travel to a Newport side who are joint-favourites to finish bottom of the league.

Newport beat a shellshocked Rochdale, who won the National League play-offs last season, on the opening day before being humbled 5-3 at Bristol Rovers last weekend - the scoreline flattered them, it could’ve been more than a two-goal defeat.

Newport conceded nearly 4 xG at Bristol Rovers, and a competent if not spectacular Tranmere side can exploit that defensive weakness as they look to continue their steady improvement under Darrell Clarke.

Oldham have a lot of potential in League Two this season, and they’ve started better than three points from two league games suggests.

They comfortably beat newly-relegated Port Vale, 2-0, on the opening weekend and were 1-0 up at Colchester last weekend before a controversial first half red card for Gus Scott-Morriss.

They couldn’t hold on with 10 and lost 2-1, but they edged the game at 11 v 11.

Swindon have only had nine shots across their opening two league games, overperforming somewhat to collect four points from games that saw them involved so infrequently in the final third.

Oldham have looked far more reliable in their opening two games, despite sitting one point behind Swindon in the table, and they’re still a bet at a narrowly odds-on price.

Wissa was sensational in Newcastle’s draw with Liverpool last week, looking much more like the player that Newcastle originally thought they had when securing his signing from Brentford last summer.

He linked up really well with Will Osula with the duo causing Liverpool all sorts of issues when Newcastle were able to come forward in transition. Wissa had four shots in total during that game, seeing one of his four efforts find the target.

Wissa only played 521 minutes of football for Newcastle in the Premier League last season, so it’s hard to draw many conclusions from his data - but we know that he’s more than capable of being an effective striker at this level having scored 19 goals from 43 shots on target (1.32 per 90) during the 24/25 campaign.

Wissa played slightly behind Will Osula in Newcastle’s opening game, and I expect him to continue in this role here - making him a good player to watch for foul involvements.

Wissa committed three fouls and picked up a yellow card against Liverpool last week. He was extremely aggressive against the midfield trio of Gravenberch, Szoboszlai and Wirtz with all three Liverpool midfielders being fouled at least once and Gravenberch winning three fouls at St James’ Park.

Newcastle committed 16 fouls overall in that game, and I expect them to be just as aggressive in midfield areas again here. Wissa’s direct opponent is likely to be Sandro Tonali, who was fouled once in Tottenham’s opening game of the season and averaged 1.49 fouls won per 90 across 31 starts in the Premier League last season.

Both of these sides saw 3+ goals on the opening weekend of the Premier League season with Tottenham falling to a 3-0 defeat at Brentford, while Newcastle were held to a 2-2 draw by Liverpool.

I can see another high scoring game here with neither side looking secure at the back in the early stages of this campaign. Both sides also saw 3+ goals in their cup matches during the week, with Tottenham coming away 5-1 winners over Charlton while Newcastle beat West Brom 3-2. 

This tends to be an entertaining fixture too, both league meetings between the sides last season saw 3+ goals with Newcastle winning 2-1 in North London the last time that these two met. That game saw a combined xG of 4.33 (1.85-2.48). 

Van Hecke is the perfect centre back for Roberto De Zerbi’s style of play, and we’ve already seen how he can dictate games with a 97% pass accuracy against Brentford, followed by van Hecke making the most passes of any player against Charlton in the cup last time out.

Van Hecke was fouled once in Tottenham’s opening game of the season against Brentford, and will have quite a physical challenge again against Osula and Wissa - with the latter committing three fouls in Newcastle’s opening game of the campaign.

Van Hecke won 43 fouls across 36 starts in the Premier League last season, working out to an average of 1.21 fouls won per 90. This record made Van Hecke one of the best centre backs in the Premier League when it comes to winning fouls, a trait that should continue at Tottenham this season. 

Jeremy Jacquet was given the nod to start alongside Virgil Van Dijk last weekend, and the 21-year-old didn’t look out of his depth. He was replaced after 70 minutes, which shows how Andoni Iraola isn’t fully set on his defensive partnership, but Jacquet will hope to start against Forest here. 

The Frenchman was fouled once at St James’ Park, and he had an average of 0.92 fouls drawn per 90 playing at the back for Rennes last season. Jacquet isn’t shy to get on the ball, and he can be adept at drawing contact. Considering he will be up against Igor Jesus, who averaged 1.63 fouls per 90 in the league last season, this is a great matchup.

Matt Crooks played a key role in getting Hull promoted to the Premier League, and Sergej Jakirovic will be relying on him in midfield again this campaign. The 32-year-old put in a spirited performance against Man United in gameweek one - he contributed four tackles, won five of his ten duels, and committed two fouls. Crooks was booked in the second half for a cynical foul which the referee played advantage on, so it could easily have been three fouls for him. 

Last season, Crooks had an average of 2.13 fouls per 90 for Hull, which was the highest figure in the squad. He recorded two fouls against Coventry at the MKM Stadium, and four fouls in the reverse, where he was shown a yellow card.

Everton’s problem at right back remains unsolved, with no new incomings so far, meaning Merlin Rohl had to fill in last weekend. The German international played in that position during pre-season, and he completed the full 90 against Crystal Palace last time out. 

It’s an unfamiliar position for him, as Rohl played in midfield for the previous campaign. His average of 2.57 fouls per 90 was amongst the highest in the Everton squad - he landed this selection in six of his seven starts overall. 

Bournemouth are a side who like to play direct, attacking football, so Rohl should be called into defensive action much more often than he did against Palace. Playing out of position, the Cherries might look to target him here.

After arriving from Benfica, Amar Dedic was thrust straight into the starting lineup against Liverpool, but the 24-year-old did well considering the circumstances. With that being said, he did still rack up three fouls, and it may take him some time to get used to the pace of the Premier League. With Tino Livramento out, Dedic looks set to retain his starting spot at right back this weekend, which should put him up against Mathys Tel. 

The Tottenham winger had an average of 1.54 fouls drawn per 90 in the Premier League last season, rising to 1.71 when playing at home. He always looks to try and beat his marker when isolated one-on-one, which bodes well for this selection.

There was genuine optimism surrounding Spurs after their summer transfer window, but Roberto De Zerbi’s men were thrashed 3-0 by Brentford at the Gtech Community Stadium in gameweek one.

Still, the Italian manager is unlikely to deviate from his tactics - he likes his side to press high, with their centre backs squeezing forward. Marcos Senesi was usually the one to step out of the back line against the Bees, and he finished that match with two fouls. He is the more aggressive player in that centre back partnership with Jan Paul Van Hecke, which makes his foul prices appealing here. 

Senesi had an average of 0.94 fouls per 90 for Bournemouth last season, but that figure is expected to rise this campaign under De Zerbi.

David Moyes would’ve been happy with how his side started their Premier League campaign, as they secured a 2-0 win against Crystal Palace. It wasn’t the most convincing performance from the Toffees, but they managed to keep a clean sheet, and take their chances when they came. Iliman Ndiaye played a big role going forward, as he provided the assist for Therino Barry to score the second goal. 

The Senegalese international was unfortunate not to find the back of the net himself in the end - he had two shots which both hit the target. That has been a familiar theme for Ndiaye - he tends to be efficient with his shots, and 52% of his efforts last season in the league hit the target. Ndiaye will also be the designated penalty taker for Everton, which is a bonus for this selection.

Liverpool looked vulnerable on the break against Newcastle, a side who were ripped apart over the summer, coming into the new season with plenty of new personnel and a new manager. It wasn’t the best start for the Reds, and Forest will hope to capitalise on that. 

Forest have an impressive record at Anfield, having won on their last two visits to Merseyside, which will give them confidence. Morgan Gibbs-White in particular played a key role in this fixture last season. He had two shots, and one found the back of the net. The Forest skipper seems to have a greater responsibility in the final third for Forest under Oliver Glasner, which makes his shot prices stand out again. He had three shots against Leeds last time out.

Coventry weren’t as successful as Hull in their opening Premier League match, but it was always going to be a tough ask for them to take anything from the Emirates against the reigning Premier League champions. Chances were few and far between for Frank Lampard’s men, and they managed just four shots in total. Loum Tchaouna accounted for exactly half of those - he recorded two shots, both from outside the box, and one went narrowly over the bar. 

The Frenchman made his debut for Coventry after arriving from Burnley, and he looked sharp. Tchaouna showed glimpses of his potential for the Clarets last season, and he looks set for a massive role on the right wing for Coventry this season. He should find chances against Hull here, especially in Coventry’s first home game of the season.

Hull pulled off one of the biggest upsets in gameweek one, as they beat Man United 2-0 at the MKM Stadium. It was an ideal result on their return to the top flight, and the Tigers will be hoping to build on that result here. On paper, it looks like an easier matchup against Coventry City, who were promoted from the Championship alongside Hull. 

Mohamed Belloumi put in an impressive display against Man United, looking sharp on the right wing. Hull had to dig in and sit deep at times last weekend, managing just 28% possession and eight shots, but Belloumi still managed to land this selection with exactly two efforts. The Algerian winger is one of the more technical players in Hull’s squad, and he fancies himself from distance. If Hull get a free-kick in a dangerous position, Belloumi will also be in contention to take it.

After arriving from Brentford last season, Yoane Wissa had a difficult debut campaign at St James’ Park due to injury. He started just four Premier League games, and managed one goal. However, the DR Congo international impressed at the World Cup, scoring three times in four matches, and he looked incredibly sharp against Liverpool last weekend. 

Wissa featured in an advanced midfield position, and he was all over the park. The 29-year-old provided the assist for Joe Willock, and he was given the man of the match award at full time. Wissa had four shots against Liverpool, and he was denied by an excellent save from Allison in the second-half. The former Brentford man bagged 19 goals in the 24/25 season, so this price looks good value. 

Espanyol have been rather aggressive in their La Liga matches so far. They’ve made a huge 36 fouls across their two matches, 19 of which came in their last outing against Real Madrid.

Dolan has committed two fouls in each match so far. He’s aggressive in his press and wants to get stuck in and help out defensively by leading from the front.

He’ll see a bit of Ander Barrenetxea who has been fouled twice in two matches so far and drew an average of 1.53 fouls per 90 minutes last season.

I don’t see any reason why Espanyol wouldn’t continue getting stuck in and Dolan should be at the forefront of that.

Sucic has scored Sociedad’s only goal of the season so far and leads the squad for shots and shots on target too, with four and two, respectively.

He’s had two shots in each match, despite Sociedad’s poor performances and his goal came away at The Bernabeu.

Sucic averaged 2.03 shots per 90 minutes last season in La Liga despite limited minutes. The starting position at number 10 looks to be his for the season if he can maintain the levels he’s shown, so we will likely see that number rise.

Sociedad should have plenty of the ball here and Sucic isn’t afraid to have a pop when he gets an opening.

Staying on the theme of Espanyol fouls, given their heavy-handedness in their league games so far, I’m looking at their striker Javi Hernandez.

The striker has averaged a huge 3.53 fouls per 90 minutes of La Liga action so far.

He committed four against Levante and two against Real Madrid. Centre-halves Aramburu and Martin have drawn a combined 1.23 fouls per 90 minutes so far this season. 

He is really aggressive and loves chucking himself into challenges, both in aerial and ground duels.

Although Sociedad have started poorly, they are the favourites here at 1.90 and should see plenty of the ball and lead to some frustrating periods for Hernandez.

The Espanyol captain has been a solid price throughout the opening games for shots. He’s already had six shots across his first two league matches and it feels like the odds haven’t caught up with that.

With his minutes played, that means he’s averaged 3.14 shots per 90 minutes.

An important part here is that Exposito is a prime candidate for free-kicks. The beauty of shots is, they can go into the wall or over the bar for all we care.

Sociedad have averaged 10 fouls per match, with 12 coming in the defeat to Betis. They were brushed aside against Real Madrid so only managed eight fouls as they struggled to get close enough to Los Blancos.

Vancouver put a patchy run of form to bed with an emphatic 5-0 win over Dallas last time out, including a brace from Brian White who is one of the best finishers in the MLS.

Vancouver sit top of the Western Conference heading into this game and take on the bottom placed side in Kansas, who have won just four of their 21 matches in the MLS this season.

Kansas have conceded more goals than any other side in the Western Conference this season (51 - 2.42 per game), and also have the worst home record of any side in the division, winning just two of their 10 matches in front of their own fans. 

Vancouver have won each of the last three head to head meetings between the sides to nil, and another dominant performance is expected from the away side here.

Inter Miami have struggled for form over recent weeks, but this is the perfect game for them to correct that with Montreal sitting second from bottom in the Eastern Conference and winning just two of their 10 away games this campaign.

Inter’s home form has been one of their issues this season, too many of their matches have ended in draws - though they have lost just two of their nine matches, notably scoring 22 goals across these games (2.44 per game), only three sides in the Eastern Conference have scored more goals at home than Inter Miami this term.

Inter Miami also have a very dominant record over Montreal, winning each of the last four head to head meetings between the sides. Inter Miami came away 4-2 winners the last time they welcomed Montreal, racking up an xG of 2.63. 

Orlando have been one of my go-to teams for BTTS in recent weeks with it landing in each of their last seven matches. They’ve conceded more goals than any other side in the Eastern Conference this season (51 - 2.42 per game), but have scored 34 goals themselves.

They line up against a Minnesota side that has seen BTTS in each of their last four matches, notably only losing one of these games. Each of the last five head to head meetings between the sides has seen BTTS, with the most recent game producing five goals as Minnesota came away 3-2 winners over Orlando on the road. 

These sides met at the end of July in a clash that produced four goals as Philadelphia came away 3-1 winners over NY Red Bulls as the home side - racking up an xG of 3.25 from 24 shots.

Philadelphia have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, most recently earning a point through a 1-1 draw against Austin on the road. Philadelphia have let in a lot of goals away from home this season, conceding 27 across their 11 matches (2.45 per game).

NY Red Bulls have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches across all competitions, winning just four of their 11 home matches this term. These games have produced 37 goals, working out to an average of 3.36 goals per game.