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Liverpool have looked a bit frantic and unpolished in their first two games under Andoni Iraola.

But that wasn't unexpected, and they're still putting the ball in the net despite not firing on all cylinders, drawing 2-2 at Newcastle and at home to Nottingham Forest.

Ipswich got hammered at Man Utd on Sunday, scoring first and last in a game they were otherwise dominated in and lost 5-2.

Man Utd managed 4.77 xG and won the shot count 33-9 at Old Trafford, it was a humbling for newly-promoted Ipswich and they'll do well to keep a lid on Liverpool.

Liverpool have generated 4.73 xG in their opening two and will be targeting a first win of the campaign in Suffolk.

After a stuttering start to the Ligue 1 season, PSG have had a week on the training ground in preparation for their first league home game.

Luis Enrique will have been looking to eradicate the issues that’ve seen them draw their opening two league games 2-2 (away to Rennes and Lille) after losing the Super Cup 1-0 to Lens.

Early pace-setters Monaco visit Paris after two wins from two, but they’ve hardly been the manner of victories that encourage belief they can challenge for the title (1-0 at Le Havre and 2-0 at home to Marseille).

The odds take into account PSG’s unconvincing start; as soon as they click into gear, they’ll be much shorter in their home games, and this could be the only opportunity this season for us to grab a slice of value on them winning in a home Ligue 1 match.

Tilehurst is Friday's Racing Ratings NAP of the Day with a Racing Rating of 9.6.

Champion Jockey Sean Bowen may have a tough time defending his crown this year given Harry Skelton's run this summer; however, he is still on great form himself. Bowen is operating at a 28.9% strike rate at Worcester this season, and 25.4% at this circuit across his last 268 rides. He rides Tilehurst today and looks the man for the job here.

Tilehurst is a consistent sort, having finished outside the top five only once in his career. Mullohand's gelding finally got his head in front last time out, winning nicely at Worcester in July off a 7lb mark. That was his first effort in cheekpieces, and hopefully that was the boost this 5-YO needed to spark continued progression.

Bowen definitely knows how to get them up, and with favourable ground conditions and coming off a break, Tilehurst has all the tools to defy the rise in the weights against a weak field.

After a sensational World Cup, Bellingham has continued his form into La Liga. He’s kicked off his campaign with two goals and two assists in his opening three matches.

He’s also had four shots on target across those three matches with this selection landing in two of them.

He was brilliant in this market through the summer too, he had two or more shots on target in three of England’s four knockout games and even managed two in just 12 minutes in the third-place play-off against France.

Betis started well but were dealt an alarming 5-2 thrashing by Levante. Madrid can hurt them here and they’ve been scoring freely so far.

Speaking of scoring freely, that leads me into this selection. Madrid have already slammed in 10 goals across their opening three matches - four, four and two.

This selection has landed in each of Vini’s last two matches as he’s picked up two assists and a goal to start the season.

Of course, he’s very capable of scoring himself and can work chances all by himself but then he’s also got Mbappe, Bellingham, Diomande, Guler and Diaz all to feed with chances - Mbappe alone already has four goals this season, one of which was set up by Vini Jr.

I’m expecting a bit of a clash down the left-hand side between two Brazilians who do have a bit of a reputation for stirring the pot and getting a bit involved with their opposing number.

He’s committed three fouls so far, with this selection landing in two of his three matches.

He committed 38 fouls last season, the most in the entire Real Madrid squad and an average of 1.21 per 90 minutes.

Antony has drawn two fouls in each of his two matches so far and drew an average of 1.62 per 90 minutes last season.

Antony has also committed three fouls this season and again, this selection has landed in two of his three matches.

Often petulant, especially when frustrated, Antony committed an average of 0.74 fouls per 90 minutes last season and committed a foul in one of the meetings with Real Madrid.

Vinicius Jr is exceptional at drawing fouls, he drew an average of 2.59 per 90 minutes last season and has been drawing them at a ridiculous rate in his opening three this time around.

Vini has been fouled 13 times in three matches and he drew a whopping eight against Espanyol.

Hickory holds a Racing Rating of 8.7 ahead of this afternoon's contest at Ascot.

Hickory ever so slightly leads the market for the 16:48 at Ascot at the time of writing at 13/2, and I believe he holds a live chance in this contest given his credentials. This experienced 8-Yo is an Ascot regular, and is three times a winner at this fabled racecourse, most recently in July. His last win at Ascot came off a 2lb lower mark, and our recent rainfall may improve his chances today.

Hickory's most eye-catching recent performance came at Ascot in October 2025 on soft ground, where he finished 2nd behind a Group 3 winner in Native Warrior in a £180,000 Heritage Handicap; he ran off 93 that day, and that kind of performance looks within his scope again here at his home track.

Hickory has seen significant market support overnight, backed in from 10/1, and given he ranks as the strongest finisher in this field, that may well be money well placed in a competitive affair.

Go Rimbaud has a Racing Rating of 9.0 ahead of the 18:54 at Kempton.

Go Rimbaud is one I have had tabs on for a while now; his second and third starts saw him run into very useful Godolphin runners, Talk of New York, rated 11. It placed in the St James's Palace Stakes, and Fort Rock, who has had a disrupted season, placed in a strong handicap at Newmarket. Go Rimbaud finished second to both, but managed to get off the mark at Kempton on the third time of asking, beating Besieged, who went on to finish a close 2nd behind Heyzoom at Newbury and was a 14l winner on his third start.

The form book certainly appeals, and I believe that this gelding may still be ahead of his handicap mark of 87, especially given the connections he represents. The Gosdens strike at 21% at Kempton and are on form so far this month, with 11 winners in September already.

Go Rimbaud is the best front-runner in this field, and with a positive ride from Rab Havlin, he will be very tough to stop here at Kempton.

Szoboszlai has taken six shots already this season, one of the best records in this Liverpool side, following on a strong trend from last season, in which he had the most shots on target (21), and the 2nd most shots (71) for Liverpool in the league.

Ipswich have really struggled so far, conceding the most shots on target (15) and shots (44). They conceded 11 shots on target against Man Utd, who racked up 33 shots in total, whilst Sunderland managed four shots on target with 11 shots.

I'd expect Szoboszlai to get off a few efforts, and hopefully test the keeper at least once, plus he should be on penalty and free kick duties, giving us an added edge.

I love this selection, and I'd even be intrigued to take his higher lines. He's managed three shots in both opening games so far this season, against Man Utd and Sunderland.

This isn't just a new trend, back in the 24/25 season for Ipswich, he averaged 3.30 shots per 90, and racked up 2.92 shots per 90 at Strasbourg last season.

He is consistently shooting, and with home advantage, I'm confident he'll get at least one chance.

Liverpool managed six corners away to Newcastle, and have seen eight match corners in both of their opening games this season. It's also landed in both opening league games for Ipswich, with 12 in their game against Man Utd.

I feel like taking the lower lines here should put things in our favour, especially with mounting pressure on Liverpool to secure their first win. Utd managed eight corners, and Sunderland managed five.

Ipswich are also strong for this market, despite losing to Man Utd, they did manage four corners themselves, and had three against Sunderland. Both sides should contribute to this.

This links into my angle with Liverpool fouls committed.

Enciso landed this bet purely through fouls won in both opening games, winning 2+ fouls in both of those. But there's also the added aspect that he committed a foul v Sunderland, showing he can also get stuck in from the defensive end.

Most of this is reliant on Liverpool committing fouls, so have a read of my notes around that for more insight.

Liverpool committed 15 fouls against Newcastle, and 13 against Forest. They are still without a win, and pressure will be mounting in this one, that they should be getting a routine three points.

Sunderland committed 14 fouls when they travelled to Ipswich. They were also the most fouled team in the Championship last season (596), working out at 13.0 fouls won per 90, and I can see this continuing in the Premier League.

Any time Ipswich get the ball, I can see Liverpool trying to instantly win it back to keep the pressure on, and this should result in some mistimed challenges, that rack up the fouls for this leg of the bet.

Chymbulak has a lifetime Top 2 Hit Rate of 100% across his one career start.

Chymbulak lines up in a Class 3 maiden at Ascot here following a promising second on debut at Kempton, and whilst that form is yet to be tested, it places this colt at the top of the shortlist for this contest. There are a number of unknowns in this race, with the current favourite Shimmering Shadow, a Dark Angel and Shimmering Dawn colt making his debut today.

Chymbulak is entitled to come on nicely for his debut effort, and as a fellow son of Dark Angel, looks likely to do so. He was poorly placed to truly challenge the winner on debut, held up and forced to get reminders by Ray Dawson from 3f out, but answered well in the final furlong to make up a lot of ground.

A positive ride and due improvement make it hard to see Roger Varians colt out of the frame here at Ascot.

Wild Clary has a lifetime Top 4 Hit Rate of 88% across 17 starts, all over today's distance and a Top 4 Hit Rate of 100% on today's ground conditions.

Wild Clary's profile ticks a lot of boxes for a handicap of this nature, starting with the potential pace map. Wild Clary makes the running in 71% of his seasonal starts, with a lifetime 50% conversion from the front of the field. The stall 9 draw would be a complicating factor for many, but Wild Clary's early pace means that, with a strong break, he may still be able to occupy the running here; he strikes at 25% from a middle draw. Wild Clary may not face much of a challenge for the lead and could dictate from the front here.

Wild Clary is well within the scope of his last winning mark of 82, and his fourth last time, which saw his mark remain unchanged, was not reflective of his capabilities; he was very slowly away, and his race was run after the 1st furlong, but he still stayed on to recover to a close fourth.

Clifford Lee takes the ride today, and we will be hoping that Karl Burke's retained rider can do a favour to Richard Hannon here at Haydock with Wild Clary on favourable ground.

Jolly Roger has a lifetime Top 3 Hit Rate of 83% across 6 UK starts, all of which were over today's distance.

Jolly Roger returned from a spell in the Middle East after finishing a very close second at Redcar in April. His break is likely because his season continued throughout the winter in the Middle East. His time at Meydan and Jebel Ali saw him register four top-three finishes and a fair share of prize money.

The booking of William Buick after such a long break is certainly a statement of intention from the Crisfords. Buick is a top operative globally but also at Ascot, ranking the highest of jockeys on display today with 33 winners at this circuit over the last five years.

Jolly Roger steps back a furlong and has questions to answer following a break and tough-to-judge Middle Eastern form, but I believe he is in the right hands to challenge here today.

Clementines Star has a lifetime Top 4 Hit Rate of 100% across six career starts, three of which were over today's distance.

Clementines Star looks quite a nice filly for the Kubler team, with her Hit Rate speaking to her consistency. This 3-YO was looking progressive before a disappointing 3rd at Chepstow when sent off EVS on rattling quick ground. The step to softer ground is a gamble but may well bring out the best in this young filly.

There is a lot to like about Clementines Star, which is why the opportunity to back her at 10/1 looks to good to pass up, especially considering she opened at 9/2 for this contest. The significant drift is definitely a concern; however, I believe it's created the chance to get a huge price on a talented filly looking to get back to her best.

This is the highest rated game on my Goals Sheet for Both Teams to Score, getting a score of 9.18/10.

8/8 Eerste Divisie games involving these two teams this season have seen BTTS land.

Heracles are averaging four goals for per game so far, and they’ve scored in the first half of every game.

De Graafschap have also scored a first half in every game despite being less prolific.

The visitors escorted in 32 of 38 (84%) Eerste Divisie games last season, so will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet despite being big outsiders here.

This is the 2nd-highest rated game for Both Teams to Score on my Goals Sheet, 8.33/10.

8/9 games involving these two in the league this season have seen the bet land.

Almere City have scored three or more goals in each of their last three games, with BTTS landing in the first half in two of their last three.

Jong Ajax have seen BTTS in 5/5 and even played out a 6-4 defeat at home to Emmen in mid-August.

This exact fixture last season ended 3-2 to Almere City, in a crazy game that saw four goals scored after the 80th minute.

7/8 Eerste Divisie games involving these sides have seen BTTS land this season.

The bet came in after just 27 minutes of Waalwijk last match, a 2-2 draw v Jong PSV, and they’re averaging 1.50 goals for per game so far.

Breda have scored two or more goals in three of their four league games so far, finding the net in the first half in their last two in a row.

Waalwijk saw BTTS in 15 of their 19 home league games last season, and conceded a goal in 31 of their 38 (82%) outings.

Dexperts Opinion holds a Racing Rating of 9.0 ahead of the 16:30 at Worcester.

Sean Bowen is on board for Mickey Bowen here at Worcester, and the champion jockey's form speaks for itself; however, Mickey is in good form of his own, striking at 21% in the last fortnight. Mickey Bowen is a top course trainer and looks to have picked up a strong French recruit here.

Dexperts Opinion has finished 1st and 2nd in his two starts since crossing the channel, but in all honesty I believe one of those starts was of little relevance to today's bearings, as he was stepped up to 3m2f. At his optimal trip, which looks to be anything from 2m3f to 3m, his form places him a notch clear of this field, especially as he drops in class and trip today.

Being a French recruit, it seems likely that Dexperts Opinion would enjoy the juice in the ground, and he is coming off a break and a 1lb drop in the weights; all seems in favour of this gelding for the Bowens today.

Hickory holds a Racing Rating of 8.7 ahead of this afternoon's contest at Ascot.

Hickory ever so slightly leads the market for the 16:48 at Ascot at the time of writing at 13/2, and I believe he holds a live chance in this contest given his credentials. This experienced 8-Yo is an Ascot regular, and is three times a winner at this fabled racecourse, most recently in July. His last win at Ascot came off a 2lb lower mark, and our recent rainfall may improve his chances today.

Hickory's most eye-catching recent performance came at Ascot in October 2025 on soft ground, where he finished 2nd behind a Group 3 winner in Native Warrior in a £180,000 Heritage Handicap; he ran off 93 that day, and that kind of performance looks within his scope again here at his home track.

Hickory has seen significant market support overnight, backed in from 10/1, and given he ranks as the strongest finisher in this field, that may well be money well placed in a competitive affair.

Tilehurst is Friday's Racing Ratings NAP of the Day with a Racing Rating of 9.6.

Champion Jockey Sean Bowen may have a tough time defending his crown this year given Harry Skelton's run this summer; however, he is still on great form himself. Bowen is operating at a 28.9% strike rate at Worcester this season, and 25.4% at this circuit across his last 268 rides. He rides Tilehurst today and looks the man for the job here.

Tilehurst is a consistent sort, having finished outside the top five only once in his career. Mullohand's gelding finally got his head in front last time out, winning nicely at Worcester in July off a 7lb mark. That was his first effort in cheekpieces, and hopefully that was the boost this 5-YO needed to spark continued progression.

Bowen definitely knows how to get them up, and with favourable ground conditions and coming off a break, Tilehurst has all the tools to defy the rise in the weights against a weak field.

Go Rimbaud has a Racing Rating of 9.0 ahead of the 18:54 at Kempton.

Go Rimbaud is one I have had tabs on for a while now; his second and third starts saw him run into very useful Godolphin runners, Talk of New York, rated 11. It placed in the St James's Palace Stakes, and Fort Rock, who has had a disrupted season, placed in a strong handicap at Newmarket. Go Rimbaud finished second to both, but managed to get off the mark at Kempton on the third time of asking, beating Besieged, who went on to finish a close 2nd behind Heyzoom at Newbury and was a 14l winner on his third start.

The form book certainly appeals, and I believe that this gelding may still be ahead of his handicap mark of 87, especially given the connections he represents. The Gosdens strike at 21% at Kempton and are on form so far this month, with 11 winners in September already.

Go Rimbaud is the best front-runner in this field, and with a positive ride from Rab Havlin, he will be very tough to stop here at Kempton.

Isak opened his account for the season last week against Nottingham Forest and he’ll be hoping to add to it here against an Ipswich side that Man Utd spanked 5-2 last week.

He’s already taken seven shots across the opening two Premier League matches, with three of those being on target.

2 Shots on Target v Newcastle (a)
1 Shot on Target v Nottm Forest (h)

The bookies are expecting Liverpool to have around 18 shots here, which makes this price for two or more Shots on Target feel very generous, especially when you consider how poor Ipswich were at the back against Man Utd. They conceded 4.77 xG and 11 Shots on Target.

Enciso takes an insane amount of shots, just look at these numbers:

• 2022/23 (Brighton) - 4.22 shots per 90

• 2023/24 (Brighton) - 5.28 shots per 90

• 2024/25 (Brighton) - 6.06 shots per 90

• 2024/25 (Ipswich) - 3.30 shots per 90

• 2025/26 (Strasbourg) - 2.92 shots per 90

• 2025/26 (Ipswich) - 3.33 shots per 90

That’s a career average of 3.70 shots per 90, with 1.42 on target per 90. I know he’s playing for the much weaker team here, but with how often he goes for goal, 1.83 looks generous for a single Shot on Target.

He’s already taken six shots in 160 minutes of Premier League football this season, with one of those on target. But if you factor in Super Sub, then this selection has landed both matches.

Liverpool are vulnerable too, they conceded 2.30 xG to Forest at home last weekend, with both of Oliver Glasner’s ‘inside 10s’ scoring. Enciso should be picking up similar positions as the number 10 for Ipswich here.

Gravenberch didn’t start last week, but he did come on and win a foul in the 20 minutes he played. He also won three fouls in the 77 minutes he played against Newcastle.

It’s a small sample size but he’s currently averaging 3.64 fouls won per 90, and now faces one of the league’s most aggressive midfielders in Saša Lukić.

Lukić averaged 2.75 fouls per 90 last season and has already committed four fouls in 162 minutes this season whilst picking up a booking. Only last week Lukić committed three fouls against Man Utd.

Even Lukić’s midfield partner is a frequent fouler, Marcelino Núñez committed 1.42 fouls per 90 in the Championship last season.

I’m expecting Ipswich to try and make it difficult for Liverpool here by turning it into a gritty game; they have committed 12 fouls in both of their two Premier League matches. Pair this with Gravenberch’s ability to drive with the ball and win fouls, and I think this is a nice selection.

This selection ties in with my research on Gravenberch, but Ipswich will try and make this a physical match at Portman Road.

They’ve already committed 12 fouls in both of their Premier League matches so far and I can see them hitting this threshold again.

With the likes of Gravenberch, Munoz, Gakpo and Mac Allister, Liverpool can win a ton of fouls, we’ve already seen that when they won 16 against Newcastle on matchday one.

Partner that with Ipswich’s midfield of Lukić, Núñez and Enciso, who combined to average 5.13 fouls per 90 last season and there could be a big foul count here.

Darren England is decent for fouls too, averaging 23.39 per match across his career.

Both of PSG’s matches so far have finished 2-2. They’re no stranger to goals, with an average of 3.03 in league games last season and a hefty 71% of home matches seeing three or more match goals.

Monaco aware statistically the most entertaining team to watch in the league last season with an average of 3.35 goals per game, that rose to 3.41 on the road with 65% of their trips paying out for over 2.5 backers.

This fixture is excellent for goals too. The last three matches have finished 1-3, 2-2 and 2-3. Seven of the last 10 meetings have seen this selection land.

The young striker has had a flying start to the season. He bagged in both legs of their Conference League qualifier and was in red hot form as he scored both goals in a 2-0 win over Marseille last time out.

Brunner has averaged 2.65 shots on target per 90 in the league so far, with four shots on target to his name. He also had three in two matches in Europe, meaning he’s hit the target seven times in four games and at least once in each.

PSG have had a faltering start to their Ligue 1 title defence, drawing two games from two and conceding four goals in the process - Monaco will get chances.

Of course, with fancying Brunner to have a shot on target, I expect him to get plenty of shots away - which he has done to great effect already this season.

This looks to be a breakout campaign for the young German forward and as mentioned before, he's started in red hot form.

Brunner has averaged a huge 5.96 shots per 90 across his first two league matches. He had five against Marseille and four against Le Havre, as well as five and three in the Conference League matches against Gornik Zabzre.

The odds are good here on account of the opponent, but PSG have looked slack in defence and I've been impressed with Monaco's start to the campaign.

Camara has been absolutely brilliant to kick off the '26/27 campaign for Monaco. He's dynamic, he covers ground and he can play. He'll be the next big sale off the books if he carries on - something Monaco actually need rather desperately.

Camara has committed four fouls in his two Ligue 1 matches so far, with three coming against Le Havre and one against Marseille.

He'll be in the engine room against the likes of Vitinha and Fabian Ruiz, who are key to PSG's control of the game. He'll also see some of the wide players when they drift infield, likely Desire Doue - who has drawn six fouls across his opening two appearances in Ligue 1 this season.

Wirtz has looked a completely different player to the one we saw flatter to deceive last season, starting the campaign with two really strong performances for Iraola’s side.

He was excellent against Forest last weekend, picking up the Man of the Match award and registering an assist, while he was unfortunate not to get on the scoresheet after his goal was ruled out for offside. And it was some finish as well.

He looks to be playing with much more confidence than last season, and you can see that in his shooting numbers. He’s averaging 2.94 shots per game compared to 1.92 last season, while he’s hit the target in both games so far.

Ipswich come into this one off the back of a battering from Man United, allowing them 33 shots, 11 of which were on target. I think this will be another tough game for them, and with Wirtz in good form, I fancy him to find the target again.

Again, another thing I love when choosing a player for a shot on target is taking a player who has a large average shot volume and Esposito ticks that box.

He's had nine shots across his two games, four against Cagliari and five against Monza. Giving him a huge average of 5.26 shots per 90 minutes across his opening two Serie A matches.

He averaged 3.27 shots per 90 last season, despite not being a regular starter. His role in the team looks far more valued now and he's in the thick of the chances, I expect that to continue here.

Esposito has started off the campaign very well and seems to have cemented himself as Inter's starting striker alongside club legend Lautauro Martinez.

This selection has landed in both league games so far, with Esposito hitting the target twice against Cagliari and once against Monza - meaning an average of 1.75 shots on target per 90 minutes.

He also scored against Monza. I like when backing shots on target that my player has multiple routes to the winner. Esposito is good on both feet but also a big threat in the air.

I do expect Inter to have the better of the game. Napoli will threaten but the hosts should have plenty of joy.

Nicolo Barella is the heartbeat of this Inter side. Although Calhanoglu controls the tempo, Barella is the engine and the driving force.

Barella drew an average of 0.79 fouls per 90 minutes in the league last season and has drawn two fouls in two games so far this campaign, both of which were drawn against Monza in the 4-1 victory.

Scott McTominay and Frank Anguissa have combined for over three fouls drawn per 90 minutes so far this season already and Kevin De Bruyne has also got his hands dirty in limited minutes.

These games can often become battles in the middle of the park and I expect similar here.

Both teams to score has landed in each of the last five meetings between these two sides. Serie A isn't always a league synonymous with goals, but the big games do regularly produce excellent clashes and this selection is often worth a look.

Both teams have seen one of their two league matches. Napoli fell to a 2-1 defeat to Como in their last match and have looked shaky at the back. Inter conceded in their 4-1 win over Monza to kick off the campaign.

Inter have looked really strong in attack but aside from Bastoni, I do still question their defensive abilities.

Both sides had a 47% strike rate for this selection in Serie A last season.

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Roberto De Zerbi's style of football lends itself towards the goals, and Tottenham should break their goal drought at the City Ground on Saturday.

There were positives to take, in the first half especially, of their 2-0 defeat at home to Newcastle last time out - winning the xG battle 1.12-0.72 in that game despite the loss.

Nottingham Forest have conceded in all three of their 2026/27 games so far, and played out an entertaining 2-2 draw at Liverpool last weekend.

Forest have won four in a row against Spurs in the Premier League and will fancy their chances of continuing that streak, but I don't think they'll keep the back door closed.

Both sides sit on three points after four games and are outside the relegation zone on goal difference.

Both have scored more than one goal per game so far, with Cardiff stepping up well, after winning promotion last season, in the final third in particular.

This bet has won in 6/6 Cardiff games this season and 4/5 of Pompey’s in all competitions.

Pompey lost 2-0 at home to Derby on Tuesday night, but they have a preparation advantage over Cardiff as the Welsh side were beaten 2-1 at QPR on Wednesday night - more travel time and less turnaround time for this match.

Middlesbrough have seen both teams score in all four of their Championship outings so far this season.

They’ve looked mightily impressive in the final third at times, adding some cutting edge, that they were lacking last season, in Will Lankshear - who's joint-top scorer in the division alongside Southampton’s Cyle Larin at this early stage.

QPR have seen BTTS land in 4/5 games so far this term, and they take a preparation advantage into this game having won 2-1 at home to Cardiff on Wednesday, where Middlesbrough had to travel to Burnley (1-1).

There were exactly four goals in each meeting between these sides last season.

Norwich created plenty of chances to score in their 1-0 defeat at Stoke on Tuesday night, and this trip to Bramall Lane could be something of a redemption game following that frustrating evening.

They won the xG battle 1.44-0.58 at Stoke, conceding a deflected shot from range, and Andre Brooks missed a 0.61 xG chance in the first half.

Norwich had scored six goals in two games heading into the midweek slate, where Sheffield United found their shooting boots.

Blades beat Bolton 3-2, scoring two goals or more in back-to-back games, but they’d have been disappointed with their defensive display - conceding twice and allowing a newly-promoted side 1.91 xG on their patch.

Barnet are the 2nd-top scorers in League Two after four games, scoring nine, and they visit a Chesterfield side who should benefit from playing twice at home this week compared to the visitors’ double away week.

Both sides saw BTTS land in midweek, Barnet had a long trip down to Exeter, and Chesterfield hosted Gillingham - both games ended 1-1.

Barnet have seen BTTS land in 6/6 competitive games this season, while Chesterfield have seen the bet win in each of their last two.

Across the 11-game combined sample of these two sides’ fixtures so far this season, they’ve managed only one clean sheet between them.

Both meetings between these sides ended 2-2 last season.

With BTTS landing after 31 and then 11 minutes, the first meeting between them this term should bring entertainment.

Ajax have scored four or more goals in each of their last three games, while PSV (favourites coming into this) have scored five or more in their last two games.

BTTS has landed in each of the visitors’ last four, and they can’t reach the top of the table this weekend unless they win in Amsterdam.

Ajax have scored two or more goals in all three of their home games so far this season, this could be one of the standout games of the weekend for goals.

Bolton gave everything in their late 3-2 defeat at Sheffield United on Tuesday night, and they may carry some soreness from that outing into their trip to The Den on Saturday.

Millwall have had a wobble of late, losing 3-0 at home to Wrexham on Wednesday to follow a heavy defeat at Southampton.

But class is permanent, this is a team that came 3rd in the division last season hosting a newly-promoted side and they began the season with very impressive 2-0 and 3-0 wins over Bristol City and Norwich.

Alex Neil will be desperate for a win to get them back on track to put a challenging end to the summer transfer window behind them.

Middlesbrough have seen both teams score in all four of their Championship outings so far this season.

They’ve looked mightily impressive in the final third at times, adding some cutting edge, that they were lacking last season, in Will Lankshear - who's joint-top scorer in the division alongside Southampton’s Cyle Larin at this early stage.

QPR have seen BTTS land in 4/5 games so far this term, and they take a preparation advantage into this game having won 2-1 at home to Cardiff on Wednesday, where Middlesbrough had to travel to Burnley (1-1).

There were exactly four goals in each meeting between these sides last season.

Norwich created plenty of chances to score in their 1-0 defeat at Stoke on Tuesday night, and this trip to Bramall Lane could be something of a redemption game following that frustrating evening.

They won the xG battle 1.44-0.58 at Stoke, conceding a deflected shot from range, and Andre Brooks missed a 0.61 xG chance in the first half.

Norwich had scored six goals in two games heading into the midweek slate, where Sheffield United found their shooting boots.

Blades beat Bolton 3-2, scoring two goals or more in back-to-back games, but they’d have been disappointed with their defensive display - conceding twice and allowing a newly-promoted side 1.91 xG on their patch.

The floodgates opened for West Ham in midweek, registering their first Championship win of the season, at the fourth time of asking, with a 4-2 home win against Wolves.

4-2 probably makes it sound more competitive than it was; West Ham were 2-0 and 4-1 up in the game and the scheduling suits them in looking to go back-to-back.

This is a double away game week for Derby, where it's a double home game week for West Ham, and though Derby impressed in winning 2-0 on the South Coast at Portsmouth on Tuesday night, it will have taken a lot out of a squad that is already dealing with injuries to key players.

A win would likely see West Ham break into the play-off spots and put their slow start to the campaign behind them.

This is another team with a double home game week against a side going away for the second time in the space of a few days, and Huddersfield are rightful strong favourites to beat newly-promoted Notts County having started the season well.

Huddersfield are top with 10 points from four league games and they beat newly-relegated Oxford 3-1 on Tuesday night.

Notts County have made an impressive return to League One so far, but this is comfortably their toughest test yet. They’re yet to register more than 0.87 xG in an away league game this term.

Joe Taylor is on fire up top for Huddersfield, leading the league with five goals already and you can get nearly 5/1 on him to score the first goal in this one.

Barnet have made a seriously impressive start to the season and it hasn’t gone unnoticed, as they’ve established themselves at the top end of the market to win League Two.

They’ve scored nine goals in four league games so far, and they’ve found the net in the first half in three of those games.

Chesterfield have only kept one clean sheet in their five games so far, in all competitions, and they conceded in both meetings with Barnet last season.

The hosts have allowed their opposition 1.30 xG per game on average in the league, and Barnet are more than good enough going forward to exceed that amount, which would make it very likely that they get on the scoresheet.

Idah has had an excellent start to the season and his impressive form has kept star striker Zan Vipotnik out of the starting 11, despite him getting 23 goals last season.

Idah actually averaged more shots on target per 90 minutes in the '25/26 campaign with 1.17 compared to the 1.10 of Vipotnik.

He's netted twice in all comps already and has had a shot on target in four of the five games. Domestically, Idah has averaged 1.67 shots on target per 90.

He does often get subbed early, but the beauty is it then carries on to Vipotnik, who has averaged 2.50 shots on target per 90 in his limited minutes.

Kieffer Moore has looked lively at the start of the campaign for Wrexham. He has two goals in four Championship matches and has managed five shots on target across those games, averaging out to 1.59 per 90 minutes.

Moore's big asset is his size and physicality. He benefits greatly from Wrexham's desire to get wide and deliver balls in to the box. This has also given Wrexham a high corner count, which is another bonus for backing Moore in this market.

He leads the side for shots on target too.

This is a tough fixture against a Swansea side who've started well, but Wrexham will have their chances in what should be quite an open and entertaining game.

O'Brien was a very shrewd addition at the beginning of last season, adding some bite and steel in the middle of the park and that is the platform for this pick.

O'Brien loves getting stuck in, he was carded five times last season in the Championship and averaged 1.04 fouls per 90 minutes.

He's always been the same, he racked up plenty of cards in his time at Huddersfield too.

Central players for Swansea such as Just, Fulton and Eustaquio have already drawn 10 combined fouls across their Championship matches.

Wrexham's matches have averaged a huge 10.75 corners so far in this Championship campaign with 75% of their matches seeing this selection land - which includes both of their home games.

They do a lot of the heavy lifting at home. They've had 13 corners across their two home matches and they managed this selection on their own in one of them.

Swansea matches have averaged 9.25 corners, rising to 10 in their away matches. Both of their away matches have seen this selection land and they've earned at least five corners in all four matches. They've also conceded at least four in both away games.

Bolton gave everything in their late 3-2 defeat at Sheffield United on Tuesday night, and they may carry some soreness from that outing into their trip to The Den on Saturday.

Millwall have had a wobble of late, losing 3-0 at home to Wrexham on Wednesday to follow a heavy defeat at Southampton.

But class is permanent, this is a team that came 3rd in the division last season hosting a newly-promoted side and they began the season with very impressive 2-0 and 3-0 wins over Bristol City and Norwich.

Alex Neil will be desperate for a win to get them back on track to put a challenging end to the summer transfer window behind them.

This is another team with a double home game week against a side going away for the second time in the space of a few days, and Huddersfield are rightful strong favourites to beat newly-promoted Notts County having started the season well.

Huddersfield are top with 10 points from four league games and they beat newly-relegated Oxford 3-1 on Tuesday night.

Notts County have made an impressive return to League One so far, but this is comfortably their toughest test yet. They’re yet to register more than 0.87 xG in an away league game this term.

Joe Taylor is on fire up top for Huddersfield, leading the league with five goals already and you can get nearly 5/1 on him to score the first goal in this one.

Leicester are improving with every game and it's gradually getting the fans back onside and behind Russell Martin.

They had the better of a 0-0 draw at MK Dons last weekend and built on that good performance by beating Plymouth Argyle 2-0 at home in midweek.

They had a good end to the transfer window as well which'll build optimism for their promotion push and they host an Oxford side who have a very thin squad to try and cope with the brutal fixture schedule.

Oxford have conceded two or more goals in two of three league games so far, and they fell apart late on to go down 3-1 at Huddersfield in midweek.

The schedule makes this one harder for the visitors too, they had to travel to Yorkshire on Tuesday night to get beat whereas Leicester stayed at home to seal a morale-boosting win.

Bristol Rovers are the title favourites in League Two now, and with good reason.

They’ve scored 11 goals in just four games so far and have responded brilliantly to an opening weekend 3-2 loss at York, by stringing together three consecutive wins without really breaking a sweat.

Rotherham have made a steady start, coming down from League One, but they’ve only won once, and the schedule has not been kind to them here.

They drew 2-2 at Tranmere on Tuesday night, while Bristol Rovers stayed at home to cruise past Colchester 2-0.

It’s no surprise to see the Gas odds-on for this encounter even at this early stage; that’s how good they’ve been already.

Swindon look to have turned a corner after a concerning start, and they’re only outside the play-offs on goal difference.

Colchester are treading water at the moment; the owner wants to sell, and it’s impacted Danny Cowley’s progress on the pitch this summer.

Colchester conceded 2.99 xG in their 2-0 defeat at Bristol Rovers on Tuesday night, when Swindon beat Port Vale 3-1 at home.

Last season’s League Two top scorer, Aaron Drinan, has started to hit form with two in his last three, and Swindon will be eyeing back-to-back home wins to kickstart their season and move on from an up-and-down summer under Ian Holloway.

Malen had a brilliant spell on loan with Roma last season, he finished his half-season stint with 14 goals and two assists in just 18 games.

He’s started this campaign in truly outrageous fashion. He’s scored five goals in two matches and kicked off the season with a hat-trick.

Roma have been sublime, winning both games 4-0. The attack really has it all, the pace and finishing ability of Malen, supplied by the creativity of Dybala and Soule, it’s a terrifying combo.

He hasn’t registered an assist yet, but did pick up a couple last season and with the quality around him I like the added security it offers as opposed to an anytime goal scorer bet.

As mentioned, Roma have netted four goals in each of their two Serie A matches so far and have looked so sharp in attack. Malen’s arrival last season gave them that cutting edge and now retaining him looks to have unlocked his full potential.

Atalanta have also had a good start to the season, winning both matches. One of the two saw over 2.5 goals as they beat Sassuolo 2-1 on match day one.

Roma’s defence haven’t been tested yet, but Atalanta have the players to do so. Raspadori, Scamacca and De Ketelaere form a formidable front-line and I’d expect that Roma’s 100% clean sheet record doesn’t last to week four.

Soule was excellent when coming on in the season opener and earned himself a start against Lecce. He played 59 minutes, scored a goal, had four shots and three on target.

He has a lovely left foot and has scored some impressive goals throughout his career.

Soule had a decent season last year with 11 G/A in Serie A. He had 18 shots on target, a total that could only be beaten by Donyell Malen.

That worked out to an average of 0.76 shots on target per 90 minutes. I’d expect Roma to win the match and you could pick any of that frontline for some shots on target.

Scalvini is a very talented young defender, but he does make mistakes and he’s fond of a foul.

He’s already committed three across his first two Serie A matches, two against Bologna and one against Sassuolo.

This is nothing new either and he’s right in-line with his average for last season where he was committing 1.54 fouls per 90 minutes.

He’ll be in close proximity to Malen, Dybala and Soule have combined for an average of 3.33 fouls drawn per 90 minutes so far this season.

This should be an open, attacking game and with how sharp that front three look for Roma, you’d be well placed to look at Atalanta fouls.