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Nashville have been the best side in the MLS so far this season, losing just one of their 16 matches. 

We backed them to win in our last MLS acca and they edged out a 1-0 victory over Montreal, in what was a pretty dominant performance overall when looking at the underlying numbers - notably winning the xG battle (1.89-0.76). 

Only Inter Miami (22) have picked up more points than Nashville (14) on the road in the Eastern Conference this season with Nashville only conceding two goals across these matches which is the best defensive record of any away side in the division. 

These sides faced off back in March in a contest which produced six goals as the game ended 3-3.

Both sides registered an xG in excess of 2.0 on that occasion (2.71-2.04) and not much has changed from the approach of both sides since that encounter.

San Diego have seen 3+ goals in seven of their last 10 matches and have scored 23 goals across their nine home matches in the MLS (2.55 per game) with these matches seeing 38 goals overall (4.22 per game). 

Dallas have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches and are in better form coming into this one than their opponents. 

Only San Jose (19) have picked up more points than Dallas (13) on the road in the Western Conference this season with these games seeing 3.14 goals per game. 

Each of the last two head to head meetings between these sides, both taking place last year, produced 3+ goals with Cincinnati coming away 2-1 winners in the most recent clash.

Cincinnati’s games have been mental recently, each of their last six matches has produced 3+ goals with all of these fixtures seeing at least four goals.

Cincinnati have only managed to win one of their eight away matches in the MLS this season, with these games producing a crazy 39 goals (4.8 per game). 

Columbus have won three of their eight home games so far this term with these matches producing 18 goals (2.25 per game).

St Louis are enjoying a strong season after underwhelming last year. 

They’ve avoided defeat across their last seven matches but have seen BTTS in five of these games. 

St Louis were fortunate to keep a clean sheet when these sides last met with Colorado racking up an xG of 1.33 from 10 shots and dropping down to 10 men halfway through the contest. 

Colorado have scored 10 goals across their nine away games in the MLS this term while St Louis have shipped nine goals across their seven home games. 

This is another very important clash at the bottom of the Irish Premier Division as bottom placed Sligo Rovers take on a Drogheda side who could move eight points clear of their relegation rivals with a win here.

Sligo Rovers have seen 2+ goals in each of their last nine matches across all competitions, notably conceding 2+ goals themselves in seven of these matches - suggesting that Drogheda may be able to cover this line on their own.

Sligo have the worst home record of any side in the Irish top flight, winning just three of their 12 matches with these games producing 2.66 goals per game.

This is an important game at the bottom of the Irish Premier Division with Waterford currently sitting four points from safety, and six points behind their opponents here.

There’s still plenty of time for Waterford to climb out of the drop zone but they’ll be eager to avoid being cut off from the other candidates for the drop.

Galway United have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, most recently running out 4-0 winners in the FAI Cup following an important 3-2 win over Sligo Rovers - who sit bottom of the table.

Waterford have the joint worst away record of any side in the Irish top flight, winning just two of their 12 games on the road. 

These games have produced 50 goals (4.16 per game) and Waterford have also conceded more goals than any other side on the road this term (32).

Bodo Glimt always look to entertain and find themselves locked in another title race against Viking, who beat them to the title last year.

Bodo Glimt have only lost one of their seven away games in the Eliteserien this term, with these matches producing 23 goals (3.28 per game). They’ve won each of their last five matches ahead of this clash, with three of these games seeing 3+ goals.

Sandefjord are battling at the opposite end of the Eliteserien table and enter this game having failed to win any of their last five matches, seeing 3+ goals in four of these games.

These teams faced off in August last year with Bodo Glimt coming away 2-1 winners on that occasion with both sides registering an xG in excess of 1.0 (1.42-1.31).

This should be a really competitive game, these sides are separated by just two points in the Eliteserien and both have found clean sheets really difficult to come by in recent weeks.

Brann have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches, seeing BTTS in all 11 of these games. Valerenga have failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 games, seeing BTTS in nine of these matches.

The recent head to head record between these sides also offers promise for BTTS here, each of the last three meetings between the sides has seen both sides find the back of the net with the most recent meeting finishing 3-2 to Brann.

This has landed in all three of Gian van Veen’s matches at the World Matchplay this year, and he may have to lean on his incredible finishing ability to compete with Gerwyn Price here.

Gian van Veen has not had a good tournament based on his underlying numbers. 

He’s only averaged 95+ in one of his games - yet still finds himself in a semi final of a major event, which is the mark of a quality player. He’s finding a way to win and his 100+ checkout ability has been a big part of this. 

Van Veen is the best finisher in the PDC in my opinion. He’s so clinical and has managed a checkout percentage of 50% or higher in all three of his games. 

He will need to raise his level to compete with Price, but a 33 leg game should be more than long enough to see at least two 100+ checkouts from Gian van Veen.

Luke Littler keeps getting better.

It seems ridiculous that he can keep improving his levels from an already elite base, but he’s currently operating at the highest ever running average we’ve seen at the World Matchplay - just a touch shy of 111 across his three matches.

He won the competition last year with an average of 105 throughout the tournament and I think this format really suits him and makes it near impossible to fully fend off Littler. 

Even if you have a five or six leg lead, one burst from Littler in a mini session would be enough to get him back in the game.

His 180 hitting is always spectacular, but it reached new heights against Josh Rock last time out with 17 maximums across just 23 legs of darts (0.73 per leg) which is just obscene. 

For context, Littler is averaging 0.43 180s per leg over the last calendar year - so he’s operating at a level we’ve never actually seen before.

In line with the single prediction, despite the disparity in quality, I don’t see Joshua searching for an emphatic ‘I’m Back’ kind of statement stoppage on Saturday night.

Instead, I’m anticipating a methodical approach, where he and Golub get used to spending time in the corner together to best prepare for Fury.

As a result, in my opinion, a stoppage inside the opening two rounds would be less useful for ‘AJ,’ and I can’t envisage it happening, so backing round three to start should be a safe multiple selection.

Unfortunately, Joshua-Prenga is not the only one-sided clash on the bill, with Hamzah Sheeraz set for his second walkover in as many months, even though those outings were a world title challenge and, on Saturday, an attempted first defence.

In May, Sheeraz ran through Alem Begic as expected to pick up the WBO super-middleweight world title, but he faces another German opponent with another manufactured professional record in his first fight as champion.

Simon Zachenhuber lost a six-rounder to Pawel August back in April. That same August fights as a 6/1 underdog lower down on this bill against Jacob Bank - that in itself speaks volumes.

The solitary obstacle that Zachenhuber can provide is that he is a southpaw, but this has proven to be no issue for Sheeraz in the past; his most recent bout against a lefty (Tyler Denny) culminated in a second-round knockout.

Consequently, Sheeraz can be expected to get the job done early once again, so I am picking the Brit to win in Rounds 1-4 for 1.91 (10/11).

Finally, in the best-matched fight of the event, Josh Kelly attempts to defend his IBF super-welterweight world title for the first time against Belfast’s Caoimhin Agyarko - with a potential unification against WBA and WBO ruler, Jaron Ennis, hanging in the balance.

Whilst undefeated, Agyarko’s best wins have come against those competing at the domestic/European level, whilst Kelly’s title win against Bakhram Murtazaliev shows that the fleet-footed Sunderland star can out-think those at the peak of the 154lb division.

However, Agyarko presents a different kind of challenge to Murtazaliev, boasting impressive amateur pedigree but perhaps lacking the power to knock Kelly out if able to catch him.

Still, in a technical affair, I see the nimble Kelly being too fast for Agyarko with both his hands and his feet; thus outpointing the challenger by decision to retain his belt.

This bet won in Welsh Fire's opener.

Salt is the elite short-form batter in this match, he's in-demand all over the world.

He's won three consecutive IPLs, he's the all-time leading run-scorer in the Hundred.

This is the best price on the market, it's 6.0 on bet365.

MI London looked a strong collective, but were without excellent individual contributions until the back end of both innings in their opening round win over Sunrisers Leeds. Therefore, I'm more confident backing Welsh Fire's two best players to contribute in this one.

Salt has seen recent success for England and now the Fire by giving himself a bit of time at the start of his innings, rather than playing high risk strokes early on. That suits this bet, as does his responsibility in an underwhelming batting line-up for 100-ball cricket.

His 47 was the highest score in the match as the Fire beat Southern Brave in their first game, making this 10+ runs line look very achievable.

6ft 8in left armer, Marco Jansen, showed his class against Southern Brave, dismissing the Brave's no. 2 and 3, to post figures of 2-17 from his 20 balls. He created immense pressure with 10 dots in that spell, and though he wasn't called upon in the death overs in that encounter, he could well be if this one goes close.

He should get a crack at an MI London top order that looked way off it in their opener, with their top three scoring 2, 17 and 0.

Admittedly, the main event is a mismatch.

Prenga is nowhere near world level, and one glance at his highlights will tell you that. Although what he does bring is the unknown, and with a lucrative affair against Fury on the line, it would be foolish of ‘AJ’ to disregard and overlook Prenga by attempting to blast him away inside of a round.

Adding to that, this is Joshua’s second bout since a devastating September 2024 defeat to Daniel Dubois - the other being a gimmick fight with Jake Paul - and also his second under the tutelage of new trainer, Iegor Golub, of Team Usyk

Therefore, expect Joshua to take a look at Prenga and what he brings to the table, whilst the two-time heavyweight world champion banks a few rounds and then dispatches of the underdog, who offers a similar level of threat to Paul, at a time of his choosing.

That being said, anything beyond the sixth round will be a bad look for ‘AJ’ ahead of a career-defining clash with Fury, so I believe that rounds 4 and 5 should be the sweet spot for a solid performance that builds hype for the Fury showdown and simultaneously shakes off some ring rust.