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France ran out 1-0 winners over Belgium when these nations met last week thanks to a late goal from Michael Olise which the Bayern man took really well to give Zidane his second win as France boss.

France have avoided defeat in all three of their Nations League games so far, beating Türkiye and Belgium to nil. They were held to a 1-1 draw by Italy last time out, but did have six more shots on target than their opponents in that clash.

This Belgian side is still quite young and developing under new coach Mark van Bommel, they struggled to get on the ball in their 1-0 defeat to France last week - only managing two shots on target from the 35% share of the ball they had. I think France will control the game again here and come away with a fairly comfortable victory.

Italy surprised quite a few people with their 4-1 win over Türkiye last week. Mancini’s side were extremely clinical in converting an xG of 2.28 to four goals from eight shots on target and 22 touches in the opposition box.

They didn’t keep things that tight at the back through, actually facing a higher xG against (2.98) with Türkiye also having one extra shot than Italy despite the heavy defeat they suffered in front of their own fans. Türkiye have only scored once in the Nations League so far, but have notably generated an xG of 1.0 or higher in every game. 

Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their three Nations League games so far, and I think Tutkiye will be able to post similar underlying numbers to the meeting between the nations last week, resulting in both sides finding the back of the net.

France ran out 1-0 winners over Belgium when these nations met last week thanks to a late goal from Michael Olise which the Bayern man took really well to give Zidane his second win as France boss.

France have avoided defeat in all three of their Nations League games so far, beating Türkiye and Belgium to nil. They were held to a 1-1 draw by Italy last time out, but did have six more shots on target than their opponents in that clash.

This Belgian side is still quite young and developing under new coach Mark van Bommel, they struggled to get on the ball in their 1-0 defeat to France last week - only managing two shots on target from the 35% share of the ball they had. I think France will control the game again here and come away with a fairly comfortable victory.

Italy surprised quite a few people with their 4-1 win over Türkiye last week. Mancini’s side were extremely clinical in converting an xG of 2.28 to four goals from eight shots on target and 22 touches in the opposition box.

They didn’t keep things that tight at the back through, actually facing a higher xG against (2.98) with Türkiye also having one extra shot than Italy despite the heavy defeat they suffered in front of their own fans. Türkiye have only scored once in the Nations League so far, but have notably generated an xG of 1.0 or higher in every game. 

Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their three Nations League games so far, and I think Tutkiye will be able to post similar underlying numbers to the meeting between the nations last week, resulting in both sides finding the back of the net.

Hungary haven’t been at their best in the Nations League so far, but still have time to turn around their campaign as the strongest team on paper in this group.

Hungary recorded their first win of the campaign against Georgia last time out, registering 24 shots and an xG of 1.47 as they ran out 1-0 winners in front of their own fans.

Ukraine fell to a 3-0 defeat at the hands of Northern Ireland last time out, who have taken control of the group, notably conceding an xG of 1.39 from 10 shots despite allowing Northern Ireland only 28% of the ball.

Hungary were very unlucky not to score when these sides met last week, generating an xG of 2.03 from 17 shots with 33 touches in the opposition box.

This selection landed when these nations faced off in the Nations League last week, with Sweden coming away 2-1 winners on that occasion - making the most of the four shots on target they managed in the contest.

Sweden are a really open side under Graham Potter, which is reflected in the fact that they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 18 matches. They’ve conceded against the likes of Slovenia, Kosovo, Tunisia and their opponents here in that run which would indicate that they are defensively vulnerable.

Romania have seen 3+ goals in all three of their Nations League games so far, conceding four against Bosnia and six against Poland in their two games since their defeat against Sweden. They’re really vulnerable at the back right now, but will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet with Sweden’s shocking defensive record over the last few months.

Maxim De Cuyper has started two of Belgium’s three games in the Nations League so far, having at least one shot in both matches against Italy and Turkiye - taking 2+ shots against the latter last time out, with one of those attempts finding the target.

De Cuyper is naturally a forward thinking fullback, so much so that Fabian Hurzeler has deployed him as a left winger to great effect this season domestically. De Cuyper has taken seven shots across his five starts in the Premier League playing in this more advanced role (1.48 shots per 90).

De Cuyper was very happy to take aim for Belgium during the World Cup from left back, taking 10 shots across his five starts, working out to an average of 2.03 shots per 90. He scored two goals across six starts during World Cup qualifying, averaging 2.36 shots per 90.

These are really consistent shot numbers for a fullback, and he should get forward often enough to have a shot again in this clash. Belgium had 12+ shots when they lost to France last week, Mark van Bommel wants them to be on the front foot - which should translate to at least one shot for De Cuyper with his consistent record.

Square D'alboni is Racing Ratings' joint-favourite today, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his last four races coming into this and is the favourite at the time of writing.

Square D'alboni has won over this distance before and 30% of his career races overall.

He suits this track and won there, going off as the favourite, in late June as well.

Jockey, Harry Skelton, has won twice on this horse previously, and the lack of experience and winning pedigree amongst the rest of the field sees Square D'alboni the clear one to watch.

Square D'alboni is Racing Ratings' joint-favourite today, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his last four races coming into this and is the favourite at the time of writing.

Square D'alboni has won over this distance before and 30% of his career races overall.

He suits this track and won there, going off as the favourite, in late June as well.

Jockey, Harry Skelton, has won twice on this horse previously, and the lack of experience and winning pedigree amongst the rest of the field sees Square D'alboni the clear one to watch.

Fiscal Policy is Racing Ratings' joint-highest rated horse today, with a 9.6/10.

He has a solid record over this distance, compared to the rest of the field, and is leading the market at the time of writing.

Fiscal Policy has won three times over course and distance, most recently in September.

He is proven at this level, and prowess over distance and ground explains why he's the favourite.

Trainer, Ruth Carr, has been in good form of late and Fiscal Policy's recent experience at the track could give him an edge.

The Good Biscuit is the 2nd-highest rated horse of the day on Racing Ratings, with a 9.3/10.

He has won four of his last six races, and two of his last three, joint-2nd favourite for this race at the time of writing.

The Good Biscuit has finished in the top four in 22/40 (55%) of his races over today's distance.

He is a Pontefract specialist in career-best form, with experience winning over course and distance at this level.

Joanna Mason has lots of experience on The Good Biscuit, including four victories.

A Lott Of Kane is Racing Ratings' joint-favourite today, with a 9.6/10 rating.

He has won three of his last six races coming into this, and two of his last three before a 4th-placed finish last time out.

He has won 3/9 races over this trip, which could give him an edge, considering no horse above him in the betting has a win in their last six.

The strong recent form, 1-1-4, has come after a wind operation and he's a previous course and distance winner.

Joey Haynes has a well established with him from the saddle, and he looks a great E/W bet at this price.

Square D'alboni is Racing Ratings' joint-favourite today, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his last four races coming into this and is the favourite at the time of writing.

Square D'alboni has won over this distance before and 30% of his career races overall.

He suits this track and won there, going off as the favourite, in late June as well.

Jockey, Harry Skelton, has won twice on this horse previously, and the lack of experience and winning pedigree amongst the rest of the field sees Square D'alboni the clear one to watch.

A Lott Of Kane is Racing Ratings' joint-favourite today, with a 9.6/10 rating.

He has won three of his last six races coming into this, and two of his last three before a 4th-placed finish last time out.

He has won 3/9 races over this trip, which could give him an edge, considering no horse above him in the betting has a win in their last six.

The strong recent form, 1-1-4, has come after a wind operation and he's a previous course and distance winner.

Joey Haynes has a well established with him from the saddle, and he looks a great E/W bet at this price.

Square D'alboni is Racing Ratings' joint-favourite today, with a score of 9.6/10.

He has won two of his last four races coming into this and is the favourite at the time of writing.

Square D'alboni has won over this distance before and 30% of his career races overall.

He suits this track and won there, going off as the favourite, in late June as well.

Jockey, Harry Skelton, has won twice on this horse previously, and the lack of experience and winning pedigree amongst the rest of the field sees Square D'alboni the clear one to watch.

Fiscal Policy is Racing Ratings' joint-highest rated horse today, with a 9.6/10.

He has a solid record over this distance, compared to the rest of the field, and is leading the market at the time of writing.

Fiscal Policy has won three times over course and distance, most recently in September.

He is proven at this level, and prowess over distance and ground explains why he's the favourite.

Trainer, Ruth Carr, has been in good form of late and Fiscal Policy's recent experience at the track could give him an edge.

The Good Biscuit is the 2nd-highest rated horse of the day on Racing Ratings, with a 9.3/10.

He has won four of his last six races, and two of his last three, joint-2nd favourite for this race at the time of writing.

The Good Biscuit has finished in the top four in 22/40 (55%) of his races over today's distance.

He is a Pontefract specialist in career-best form, with experience winning over course and distance at this level.

Joanna Mason has lots of experience on The Good Biscuit, including four victories.

A Lott Of Kane is Racing Ratings' joint-favourite today, with a 9.6/10 rating.

He has won three of his last six races coming into this, and two of his last three before a 4th-placed finish last time out.

He has won 3/9 races over this trip, which could give him an edge, considering no horse above him in the betting has a win in their last six.

The strong recent form, 1-1-4, has come after a wind operation and he's a previous course and distance winner.

Joey Haynes has a well established with him from the saddle, and he looks a great E/W bet at this price.

Italy surprised quite a few people with their 4-1 win over Türkiye last week. Mancini’s side were extremely clinical in converting an xG of 2.28 to four goals from eight shots on target and 22 touches in the opposition box.

They didn’t keep things that tight at the back through, actually facing a higher xG against (2.98) with Türkiye also having one extra shot than Italy despite the heavy defeat they suffered in front of their own fans. Türkiye have only scored once in the Nations League so far, but have notably generated an xG of 1.0 or higher in every game. 

Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their three Nations League games so far, and I think Tutkiye will be able to post similar underlying numbers to the meeting between the nations last week, resulting in both sides finding the back of the net.

Sweden have seen BTTS in 12/13 games since Graham Potter took over.

They conceded a first half goal in their first two games of this international break, and though they’re top of League B Group 4, and come into this match as odds-on favourites, they still can’t be trusted defensively.

Romania found the net three times in their first two outings of this international period, including in a 2-1 defeat in Sweden, before having Radu Dragusin sent off after 22 minutes in Poland, with the scoreline at 0-0, they went on to collapse and lose 6-0.

They had seen BTTS in four games in a row before that big defeat and should bounce back in front of goal against a very attacking Swedish side.

Scotland were very unlucky not to beat Slovenia when these sides met last week, with that clash ending with a point for each nation in a 0-0 draw.

Scotland recorded their first ever win under Pocognoli last time out with a 2-0 victory over North Macedonia. They thoroughly deserved that victory having taken 25 shots and recorded an xG of 3.45 to Macedonia’s 0.38. They also limited the home side to just nine shots, none of which found the target.

They should have beaten Slovenia last week, with Scotland generating an xG of 2.16 from 17 shots in that 0-0 draw. They were particularly impressive in the second half of the game with Slovenia having to rely on Jan Oblak’s man of the match display to keep a clean sheet.

I think Scotland can get over the line this time around against a nation that they are clearly better than on paper. They should have more confidence from their win over North Macedonia to help them get over the line in this one. 

Lewis Ferguson is perhaps better known for committing fouls, but he also wins his fair share of free-kicks.

The combative midfielder has been fouled 6 times across Scotland's opening three Nations League matches.

That includes twice against Slovenia in Ljubljana a couple of weeks ago, while he was brought down on 3 occasions against North Macedonia on Saturday night.

He was also fouled 10 times across Scotland's three World Cup matches, earning multiple free-kicks against both Haiti and Morocco.

It has been a similar story in Serie A this season, with Ferguson fouled 2+ times in two of his last three outings for Bologna.

He could find himself operating in similar areas to Sandi Lovric, who has committed 5 fouls across his three appearances for Slovenia in this Nations League campaign.

For the reasons touched on above, Sandi Lovric looks worth siding with to pick up a card against Scotland, especially if he's tasked with keeping Lewis Ferguson and John McGinn quiet.

The Slovenian midfielder committed 3 fouls against Switzerland on Saturday night, having already been penalised twice and booked in the reverse fixture with Scotland.

He also committed 3 fouls in June's friendly against Croatia, which strengthens the case for another couple of offences here.

McGinn should give him plenty to contend with, having drawn 17 fouls across Scotland's opening three Nations League matches.

As mentioned, Lewis Ferguson has also been winning his fair share of free-kicks, drawing 6 fouls across that same three-game stretch.

Kieron Bowie looks worth siding with to score or assist against Slovenia after delivering an impressive display for Scotland on Saturday night.

The striker capped his performance with his first Scotland goal against North Macedonia.

The powerful striker racked up 7 shots, including 4 on target, and was a threat throughout.

He also caused Slovenia problems off the bench in the reverse fixture, registering 2 on-target attempts during his brief run-out.

A likely starting role at Hampden should give him more time to influence proceedings, while his recent goal for Sassuolo against Juventus only adds to the appeal of siding with this selection.

While these two nations played out a 0-0 draw less than a fortnight ago, I'm prepared to look beyond that here by siding with over 1.5 goals.

The Scots passed up enough chances to cover that line single-handedly in the reverse fixture, registering an xG of 2.16 and winning the shot count 17-4.

Sebastien Pocognoli's side subsequently fell to a 3-0 defeat at home to Switzerland, but they delivered their most impressive performance under their new manager to date with a deserved 2-0 win over North Macedonia on Saturday.

Slovenia have also shown their attacking capabilities since that stalemate, beating North Macedonia 2-0 before giving Switzerland a game in a 2-1 away defeat on Saturday night.

That suggests the visitors could contribute to the scoring at Hampden.

Kieron Bowie was one of Scotland's standout performers against North Macedonia on Saturday night, and I'm keen to back the striker to register at least one shot on target.

Bowie opened the scoring in Skopje with a brilliant strike from distance.

Remarkably, that was one of 7 attempts from the striker, 4 of which worked the opposition goalkeeper.

He also made an impression when Scotland faced Slovenia on matchday one, coming off the bench to register a couple of on-target efforts.

Bowie looks to be playing with real confidence at the moment, and he should cause Slovenia's defence plenty of problems when the pair meet again at Hampden.

The striker also found the net for club side Sassuolo against Juventus last month, adding to the appeal of backing him to test Jan Oblak at least once here.

Stephen Welsh has caught the eye for Scotland during this Nations League campaign, and I'm backing the defender to be fouled at least once.

Welsh is extremely comfortable in possession, with his ball-carrying ability often taking him up the park into midfield areas.

As such, he has a knack for winning free-kicks.

That was evident against North Macedonia on Saturday night, when Welsh was brought down on 3 separate occasions.

He also earned Scotland a free-kick away to Slovenia a couple of weeks ago.

The case is strengthened by the fact that Welsh has drawn at least 1 foul in six of his eight Championship appearances for Swansea this season.

He is likely to come up against club teammate Zan Vipotnik, who committed 2 fouls and picked up a yellow card against Switzerland last time out.

John McGinn has been the very definition of a foul magnet across Scotland's opening three Nations League games.

The all-action midfielder was brought down on 6 occasions against Slovenia on matchday one before earning Scotland 5 free-kicks against Switzerland last Tuesday night.

McGinn not only got himself on the scoresheet against North Macedonia on Saturday, but he also drew a further 6 fouls during that contest.

Looking further back, he was fouled on multiple occasions in each of Scotland's three World Cup matches, while the same is true of four of his five Premier League appearances for Aston Villa this season.

He is likely to be closely watched by Slovenia's Sandi Lovric, who committed 2 fouls and picked up a yellow card against Scotland less than a fortnight ago.

The Scotland skipper has clearly been encouraged to get forward into advanced areas under Sebastien Pocognoli, evidenced by the 4 shots he fired off against North Macedonia on Saturday night.

Notably, Robertson also attempted 1 shot against Slovenia in the reverse fixture and another in Scotland's home defeat to Switzerland.

Robertson has also shown a willingness to try his luck for Tottenham this term, attempting 1 shot in two of his last four Premier League appearances.

Scotland racked up 17 shots in the reverse fixture and should be on the front foot again at Hampden, giving Robertson plenty of scope to let fly once more.

Spain are comfortably the best international side around at the moment and have scored 2+ goals in all three of their Nations League games, putting four goals past Croatia when these nations met last week.

Spain have avoided defeat across their last 21 matches. They scored 21 goals across six games during qualifying (3.5 per game), and also netted 13 goals across six games in their last Nations League campaign (2.16 per game), reaching the final on that occasion which they lost to Portugal on penalties.

Croatia look really messy at the back at the moment having conceded seven goals against England last time out. They allowed Spain to have seven shots on target when the sides met last week, totalling an xG of 1.81 to Croatia’s 0.47. 

Bilic watched his side give up an xG of 6.43 against England last time out, suggesting that they are very unlikely to keep Spain out in this clash.

Scotland were very unlucky not to beat Slovenia when these sides met last week, with that clash ending with a point for each nation in a 0-0 draw.

Scotland recorded their first ever win under Pocognoli last time out with a 2-0 victory over North Macedonia. They thoroughly deserved that victory having taken 25 shots and recorded an xG of 3.45 to Macedonia’s 0.38. They also limited the home side to just nine shots, none of which found the target.

They should have beaten Slovenia last week, with Scotland generating an xG of 2.16 from 17 shots in that 0-0 draw. They were particularly impressive in the second half of the game with Slovenia having to rely on Jan Oblak’s man of the match display to keep a clean sheet.

I think Scotland can get over the line this time around against a nation that they are clearly better than on paper. They should have more confidence from their win over North Macedonia to help them get over the line in this one.