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Gornik Zabrze missed their chance to have a real chance in this tie by falling to a 3-2 defeat to Monaco last week - though they did well to come back from two goals to keep the French side engaged for the second leg.

Monaco will be wary of the threat that the Polish side can cause them and I think we’ll see a professional performance from Felipe Luis’ side as a result. He’s won both of his games as Monaco boss so far, guiding them to a 1-0 win over Le Havre between these ties.

Monaco are one of the sides that could win the Conference League this year, and the home advantage they have should prove too much for a Gornik side who showed resolve in the first leg, but this is unlikely to be enough against a Monaco side that only lost five of their 17 home games in the league last season. 

I backed St Gallen games for goals quite often last season and this is the perfect scenario to see more here with the home side trailing 1-0 from the first leg encounter.

The first leg meeting saw plenty of goalscoring opportunities, despite the small margin of victory for Nordsjaelland. Both sides registered an xG in excess of 1.0 (2.13-1.76) and combined for 31 shots and 10 shots on target. 

Nordsjaelland’s keeper was actually awarded man of the match in that first leg, making six saves and preventing an xG of 1.06. It’s very unlikely he produces the same level of performance here, given that St Gallen scored 33 goals across 19 home games in the Swiss Super League last season.

Sticking with the Championship here and backing second favourites Partick Thistle to get a home win against rock-bottom Queen’s Park.

Thistle have started well, qualifying from their League Cup group and picking up 7 points from 9 in their opening three Championship matches.

In their only other home league match this season, they beat title favourites Livingston 2-0 in a match with no shortage of chances, recording 6 shots on target and 1.49 xG.

Queen’s Park have had a terrible start, losing all three of their opening games and conceding two goals in each.

In their most recent game against league newcomers and part-time side Stenhousemuir, they didn’t manage a single shot on target at home, with only 4 attempts in total.

Queen’s Park haven’t beaten Partick Thistle in the league since January 2023.

I fully expect the Jags to record a comfortable win over their Glasgow rivals on Saturday.

Getting in on this price early before it drops.

Ayr have had a decent start to the season, winning their League Cup group (including beating Premiership opposition) and collecting four points from their first two league games.

They did lose 2-0 away to Raith Rovers on Saturday but that was also a result of going down to 10 men in the 5th minute.

Morton are in a whole lot of mess. The Board have publicly said they’ve got the smallest budget in the league and, most recently, announced they might not have enough money to get through to December.

They’re joint bottom of the Championship with 0 points from their opening three games and finished bottom of their League Cup group, with losses to non-league Linlithgow and League One East Fife.

They have scored just one goal in seven competitive matches so far this season, and that was a 0.04 xG strike from 16-year-old Dean Black.

This price is a steal for Ayr. I fully expect it to be around 1.33 by KO on Saturday.

Ajax should be one of the sides aiming to win the Conference League after navigating this qualifying process, and they’re in a strong position to do so having won the first leg 4-2 on the road.

There’s still just enough jeopardy in the tie from the two goals that Sion scored in front of their own fans to keep Ajax professional and interested in this second leg. They are likely to try and outscore Sion again, which was their approach in the first leg as we can tell from the xG battle (3.53-1.74).

Only four sides beat Ajax at home in the Eredivisie last season, and the first leg meeting would suggest that they just have too much firepower for a Sion side who also want to play on the front foot and have failed to keep a clean sheet across their last five matches.

I backed St Gallen games for goals quite often last season and this is the perfect scenario to see more here with the home side trailing 1-0 from the first leg encounter.

The first leg meeting saw plenty of goalscoring opportunities, despite the small margin of victory for Nordsjaelland. Both sides registered an xG in excess of 1.0 (2.13-1.76) and combined for 31 shots and 10 shots on target. 

Nordsjaelland’s keeper was actually awarded man of the match in that first leg, making six saves and preventing an xG of 1.06. It’s very unlikely he produces the same level of performance here, given that St Gallen scored 33 goals across 19 home games in the Swiss Super League last season.

Copenhagen were held to a 0-0 draw by FC Inter in the first leg meeting between these sides, despite registering an xG of 1.20 from 11 shots - seeing three of these efforts find the target.

FC Inter really needed to take a lead into this second leg tie to stand a chance of qualifying for the Conference League against a Copenhagen outfit who have vastly more experience than their opponents on the European stage, as well as a stellar home record during qualifying.

Copenhagen massively underperformed domestically last season, which is why they find themselves competing for a spot in the Conference League, but the early signs this season look a bit better with three wins from their opening four matches.

They’ve also eased through the qualifying process so far, beating Debrecen 8-1 in the last round over two legs after seeing off Polissya 2-1 at home following a draw on the road.

Gornik Zabrze missed their chance to have a real chance in this tie by falling to a 3-2 defeat to Monaco last week - though they did well to come back from two goals to keep the French side engaged for the second leg.

Monaco will be wary of the threat that the Polish side can cause them and I think we’ll see a professional performance from Felipe Luis’ side as a result. He’s won both of his games as Monaco boss so far, guiding them to a 1-0 win over Le Havre between these ties.

Monaco are one of the sides that could win the Conference League this year, and the home advantage they have should prove too much for a Gornik side who showed resolve in the first leg, but this is unlikely to be enough against a Monaco side that only lost five of their 17 home games in the league last season. 

This is the highest-rated game on my Goals Sheet for Both Teams to Score.

Ajax won the first leg 4-2 in Switzerland, but they cannot be relied on to keep a clean sheet considering how they have started the season.

The hosts have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three games.

That includes a 2-2 draw at Shelbourne in the second leg of the last round of Conference League qualifying - they went into that game 3-1 on aggregate, so there's a similarity with this assignment.

Sion have scored two or more goals in each of their last eight games, seeing this bet land in their last five on the bounce.

1.95, at the time of writing, is a really generous price on BTTS.

The market has moved too far against goals, after both sides drew 0-0 in their La Liga openers, presenting an opportunity to snap up some decent odds on both teams scoring.

The bet landed in both head-to-heads last season, and both teams generated 0.62 xG or more in their first league game.

BTTS came in after 37 minutes and 53 minutes in their two meetings last term, and Celta Vigo saw both teams score in 12 of their 19 home games.

Celta scored in 16 of 19 league home games last season, and kept a clean sheet in only four of those games.

Both sides have made positive starts to the National League campaign, with Boreham Wood coming into the season off the back of losing the play-off final to Rochdale.

The last meeting was a 2-1 win for Boston at Boreham Wood in late January, with BTTS landing after 52 minutes on that occasion.

Boreham Wood have seen BTTS land in three of their four games, in all competitions, so far - scoring three or more goals in all four.

Boston have scored five goals in their last three games, building on a 25/26 campaign where they were reliable going forward - scoring in 18 of 23 league away games.