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Don’t need to say much here, the guy is a freak.

He’s scored 25+ goals in three of his four seasons in the Premier League. 

Only Haaland (24) scored more non-penalty goals in the Premier League than Semenyo (16) last season.

He’ll be one of City’s biggest goal threats away from Erling Haaland with there being a 10 goal gap between Semenyo and City’s next biggest scorer in Foden last season.

Semenyo has been in very good form during pre-season, registering an assist in all three of his appearances. He’s also spoken about enjoying his role under Maresca and he should continue to be a threat in front of goal. 

Morgan Gibbs-White finished last season with his best ever goal tally in the Premier League, netting 15 goals across his 35 starts with only one of these goals coming from the penalty spot.

This tally was nine more goals than Forest’s next top scorer in Igor Jesus - so we can expect Gibbs-White to be an influential player in front of goal for Forest again this campaign with Chris Wood likely to be absent for the start of the season.

Gibbs-White should have extra motivation this season too after being left out of the England squad over the summer, and has plenty of creative teammates to fashion him chances. 

Bryan Mbeumo ended last season as Manchester United’s joint top scorer in the Premier League with 11 goals to his name.

He’s a proven goalscorer in the division having reached double digits in each of the last two campaigns - including a 20 goal haul in his final season at Brentford.

Manchester United also play in a way that really suits Mbeumo with Carrick wanting his side to play in transition, making the most of the speed Mbeumo has when running in behind. 

Morgan Rogers has made the move from Villa to Chelsea over the summer in a big money transfer which carries a lot of expectation.

Rogers has scored 14+ goals across all competitions in each of his last two seasons with Aston Villa and his output should improve further now that he has the likes of Palmer and Joao Pedro around him.

Rogers’ shot volume has steadily increased over the last two campaigns and he should get plenty of chances as part of an exciting Chelsea attack guided by Xabi Alonso.

This is quite a generous price for one of the most consistent players in the Premier League when it comes to registering shots on target.

Semenyo has been impressive during pre-season for Enzo Maresca’s side, registering an assist in all three friendlies and finding the target in two of these games. 

He’s played on both wings during the pre-season campaign and is crucially two footed - meaning that Semenyo is just as likely to find the target on his left foot as he is on the right.

Semenyo scored the second most non-penalty goals in the Premier League last season, only behind Erling Haaland, from a shot output of 83 (2.33 per 90), seeing 49% of these efforts find the target (1.15 per 90). 

BTTS has landed in four of the last five head to head meetings between these sides, despite this meeting usually being quite a tight contest.

I would expect it to be a bit more open on this occasion given that both sides will still be without key players, especially defensively which opens up the opportunity for goals at both ends of the pitch.

Arsenal have seen BTTS in all four of their friendly matches ahead of this tie, conceding against the likes of Girona, Dortmund, Betis and Como while Enzo Maresca’s side have also seen BTTS in all three of their friendly matches.

Matheus Nunes is set to continue at right back under Enzo Maresca, though his role may change slightly with the former Chelsea manager usually liking one of his fullbacks to invert during the first stage of build up.

Nunes is really suited to this role having previously played as a midfielder at Wolves, and Pep has left Maresca a player who is now also really comfortable in that usual right back role when City are without the ball.

Nunes has committed a foul in each of City’s last two head to head meetings with Arsenal, including when the sides met at Wembley in the EFL Cup final. 

His overall average in the Premier League last season isn’t that appealing (0.53 fouls per 90), but his direct opponent in Christos Tzolis should force a rise in these numbers. 

Tzolis was the best player in the Belgian Pro League last season and is effective in 1v1 situations, winning 1.73 fouls per 90 across his 34 starts in the Belgian top flight last season. 

Arsenal’s overall approach to games won’t change too much this season, and that means we will see the Gunners utilise set pieces once again as a key part of their attacking style.

They’ve signed another excellent corner and free kick taker in Christos Tzolis, giving Arteta another option from set pieces to be creative when the likes of Rice and Saka are unavailable - which may be a more frequent occurrence this season given his many games the duo played last year.

Arsenal racked up five corners when the sides met in the Premier League earlier this year and averaged 5.68 corners per game in the Premier League last season.

My Goals Sheet rates this game at 7.78 for Both Teams to Score.

Anderlecht have seen both teams score in four of their five competitive games this season, their opening league game and three of their four Europa League qualifying outings.

Newly-promoted Beveren were beaten 2-1 at Antwerp last time out, taking the lead and having the better of the first half before being pegged back in the second period.

They generated 0.90 xG in that game, which is a promising start heading into their first league home game of the campaign.

My Goals Sheet rates this one at 7.78 for Both Teams to Score.

There’s a much bigger set of season-long data to look at in the Eliteserien, heading into gameweek 17.

Valerenga have been a good follow for BTTS, with the bet landing in three of their last four in the league, they beat Aalesund 6-1 in July and impressively won 3-2 away at 6th-placed Brann in that period.

Aalesund are 2nd-bottom, one point from safety, and have seen BTTS land in all of their nine games.

The Community Shield final gets a rating of 8.65 for Both Teams to Score on my Goals Sheet.

The last four Community Shield games have seen BTTS, including Arsenal v Man City in 2023 (1-1 with Arsenal winning on pens).

Enzo Maresca is an attacking manager and will be desperate to get one over Mikel Arteta, with these clubs being the two clear favourites for the Premier League title this campaign.

My Goals Sheet has flagged this game for a Both Teams to Score bet, rating it at 7.48.

Both sides won to nil in their first game of the season, and the bet has won in two of Heerenveen’s last three away trips to play Ajax.

The hosts are very strong favourites and will be focussing on the league this season, at least for the bulk of it, with only Europa Conference League action to contend with alongside their domestic efforts, if they can progress from the final round of qualifiers.

My Goals Sheet rates this game at 7.63 for Both Teams to Score.

The bet landed in both teams’ season openers, with Charleroi looking especially potent in attack as they beat Leuven 3-1 and generated 3.08 xG in the process.

It’s a massive occasion for Lommel, their first top-flight home games for over two decades, and they showed enough promise in their 1-1 draw at St Truiden last time out (St Truiden came 3rd last season) to be worth a BTTS bet this weekend.

Feyenoord won their opening game of the season to nil on the road against Sparta Rotterdam with an xG of 3.59.

Feyenoord won all five of their friendlies in the build up to the campaign, and have not lost a game since the 1st March - winning 10 of their 15 games in this period.

Feyenoord have Giovanni Van Bronckhorst at the helm who has positive experience with the club having led them to the Eredivisie title back in the 16/17 campaign.

Go Ahead Eagles fell to a 1-0 defeat when these sides met earlier this year, and only won two of their 17 away games last season.

Southampton started the season strongly with a 2-0 win over Colchester in the EFL Cup, building on the three wins they managed from three games in pre-season.

Tonda Eckert’s side avoided defeat in both head to head meetings with Watford last season, earning a point at Vicarage Road. Southampton avoided defeat in 69% of their away matches last year.

Watford have been inconsistent in pre-season and required a 99th minute winner to get past Crawley in their EFL Cup first round tie, Saints should be able to avoid defeat. 

West Ham look like the best side in the Championship and come into the season having recorded a 3-1 win over Portsmouth in the EFL Cup.

Bowen and Castellanos got on the scoresheet in that game, and that firepower is likely to serve West Ham well in a league that will struggle to match that level of attacking quality.

Burnley have lost a lot of key players over the summer and have a manager who has never been in the Championship before. They failed to win any of their friendly matches, and were held by Notts County in the EFL Cup prior to this match. 

Molde have seen 3+ goals in each of their last nine matches, stretching all the way back to the middle of May.

They take on a Tromso side who are desperately trying to keep up with Viking and Bodo Glimt as the pace setters in the Eliteserien.

Tromso have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches, most recently firing five goals past Cluj as part of Conference League qualifying. 

This game is rated at 9.40 by my Goals Sheet for Over 1.5 Goals.

Nine of the last 10 Community Shield games have seen this bet land.

That includes Arsenal 1-1 Man City in 2023 (Arsenal won on pens).

Both sides are capable of covering this line on their own, and it’s a good chance to land an early punch ahead of their respective title pushes.

The last five head-to-heads between these two have all seen two or more goals.

My Goals Sheet rates this game at 9.00 for Over 1.5 Goals.

Only Barcelona and Real Madrid scored more La Liga goals last season than Villarreal, so they can land this bet on their own.

This is Racing Santander’s first game back in La Liga since 2011/12, they topped the second tier last season - and were comfortably the division’s best attacking team, netting 2.14 goals per game.

The two played in the Copa Del Rey last season, with Racing winning 2-1; expect an enterprising opening weekend clash.

The Goals Sheet loves this game for Over 1.5 Goals, rating it at 9.55.

It landed for both sides last week, with Lommel drawing 1-1 at St Truiden and Charleroi winning 3-1 at home to Leuven.

Charleroi scored in 15 of their 20 league away games last season and should get on the scoresheet at newly-promoted Lommel.

Lommel themselves generated 1.72 xG in their first league game, so should create enough chances at home to contribute to this bet.

The Goals Sheet likes this game for Over 1.5 Goals, giving it a rating of 8.93.

Both sides won promotion from the Turkish second tier last season, and both their head-to-heads in that campaign saw Over 1.5 Goals (2-2 and 2-0 to Erzurumspor).

Amed saw 3.24 goals per game in the second tier last season, and Erzurumspor scored in 37 of their 38 league outings.

My Goals Sheet has this game at 8.93 for Over 1.5 Goals.

Lazio are heavily odds-on to win this Coppa Italia first round tie.

They are as short as 1.36 in places to cover this line on their own and score twice or more.

Mantova came 9th in Serie B last season and are unlikely to tame this Lazio, who have been free-scoring in pre-season and can lay down a marker for the campaign after a disappointing 25/26.

Leo Scienza was one of the best players in the Championship last season and Southampton have done well to keep him amid interest from the Premier League and other top leagues across Europe.

Scienza ended the 25/26 season with 17 goal contributions in the Championship, exceeding his combined xG + xA of 13.1. Seven of Scienza’s goal contributions were goals, coming from 84 shots in total (3.13 per 90), seeing 37 of these efforts find the target (1.38 per 90). 

Scienza’s shot volume is particularly promising when looking to back him for an effort on target here, he managed four shots in Southampton’s win over Colchester in the EFL Cup last time out - highlighting again just how often he takes aim.

Caspar Jander is another player in this Southampton side that probably has the quality to play in the Premier League and gets through quite a lot of work in the middle of the park for the Saints.

He committed 45 fouls across his 32 starts in the Championship last season (1.48 per 90), also averaging 6.25 defensive contributions per 90 as well as 3.32 tackles per 90. These metrics show just how much work Jander gets through in the middle of the park. 

Jander committed a foul in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides, with Southampton committing 10 fouls in that game - a tally consistent with their foul average in the Championship last season (10.5 per game).

The meeting between these two at Vicarage Road last season produced four goals as the sides played out a 2-2 draw.

Southampton’s games towards the end of last season were really entertaining, seeing 3+ goals in each of their last nine games of the campaign across all competitions.

Southampton are one of the few sides in the Championship that have a degree of continuity from last season having kept Tonda Eckert and a lot of their key players, so I expect this trend to continue here.

Watford saw 57 goals across their 23 home games last season (2.47 per game), and notably saw 3+ goals in two of their friendly matches ahead of the new season. 

Only Sheffield United (304) and Middlesbrough (333) won more corners in the Championship than Southampton (276) in the Championship last season.

Tonda Eckert’s side averaged 5.75 corners per game in the second division, and usually end up with a healthy corner count as a result of their overall dominance - which is present over most sides in the division.

Watford conceded 5.17 corners per game in the Championship last season. Southampton recorded exactly five corners when they visited Vicarage Road last term and I’d expect them to come away with a similar corner count this time around.

Southampton came flying out of the blocks this season, kicking off with a composed 2‑0 victory over Colchester in the EFL Cup, which only added to the confidence gained from three straight preseason wins.

Tonda Eckert’s side held their own against Watford in both league meetings last season, including a hard earned point away at Vicarage Road. Across their away fixtures last year, the Saints came away unbeaten in 69 percent of those trips.

Watford, by contrast, looked patchy throughout preseason and needed a stoppage time winner deep into the 99th minute just to squeeze past Crawley in their own first round cup tie. With that uncertainty hanging over the hosts, Southampton have every chance of leaving with at least a draw.

This bet is priced as short as 2/1 with some bookies.

Sky Bet are offering a 167% increase on 2/1, boosting this from 5/1 to 7/1 themselves, for a repeat of last season's Premier League - Arsenal finishing 1st and Man City 2nd.

With so much turnover elsewhere, Arsenal are 6/4 to retain the title and with City are the clear second-favourites in the market.

Enzo Maresca has experience balancing European football and aiming to compete towards the top of the division, they have the heavily odds-on favourite for the Golden Boot, Erling Haaland, in their ranks and a repeatable playing style that Maresca will look to build on, rather than tearing it up and starting from scratch.

Third and fourth favourites for the title, Liverpool and Chelsea, are set to endure clunkier transitions with their managerial changes (Arne Slot to Andoni Iraola and Liam Rosenior/Calum McFarlane to Xabi Alonso).

The top two in the Premier League has been Arsenal and Man City, in different orders, in three of the last four seasons.

7/1 suggests there is only a 12.5% chance that it finishes Arsenal 1st and Man City 2nd, I'd argue it's far more likely than that and other bookies agree.

Feyenoord won their opening game of the season to nil on the road against Sparta Rotterdam with an xG of 3.59.

Feyenoord won all five of their friendlies in the build up to the campaign, and have not lost a game since the 1st March - winning 10 of their 15 games in this period.

Feyenoord have Giovanni Van Bronckhorst at the helm who has positive experience with the club having led them to the Eredivisie title back in the 16/17 campaign.

Go Ahead Eagles fell to a 1-0 defeat when these sides met earlier this year, and only won two of their 17 away games last season.

Molde have seen 3+ goals in each of their last nine matches, stretching all the way back to the middle of May.

They take on a Tromso side who are desperately trying to keep up with Viking and Bodo Glimt as the pace setters in the Eliteserien.

Tromso have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches, most recently firing five goals past Cluj as part of Conference League qualifying. 

Jarrod Bowen is the best player in the Championship this season for me, he could easily be playing at the top level in the Premier League and should end the campaign with a decent goal haul.

He’s already got off the mark this season with a well taken goal against Portsmouth from two shots. He’s reached double digits across all competitions for goals in each of his last five seasons with West Ham, and will also be on penalties for the Hammers throughout the campaign.

Bowen maintained an average of 0.74 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League last season, a rate I would expect to increase this campaign given that he’s dropped down to a lower level with the same quality he’s shown over the last few campaigns.

Hannibal is always a good player to back for fouls, and I think he’ll have quite a lot of work to get through in this opening clash of the season for Burnley.

Hannibal has never quite managed to tame his aggressive nature, resulting in consistently high foul counts. He committed 24 fouls across 15 starts in the Premier League last season (1.75 per 90), notably collecting 10 yellow cards in the process. 

He’ll be up against a West Ham side who will be confident enough to keep the ball as the away side with his direct opponents including Edson Alvarez (1.64 fouls won per 90) and Lewis Orford (0.81 fouls won per 90). 

I expect West Ham to be amongst the top sides in the Championship for corners this season given that they will be able to dominate most games, and have two wide players in Bowen and Solomon who will cause problems on the flanks.

West Ham averaged 4.92 corners per game in the Premier League last season, and have a lot of potential threats from these set piece situations - including Mavropanos, who averaged 0.82 shots per 90 in the Premier League last season.

Most teams will sit quite deep against West Ham in the Championship this season, which also aids their chances of registering a healthy corner count in the majority of their matches. 

West Ham are shaping up as the team to beat in the Championship, and they carried that authority straight into the season with a commanding 3‑1 cup win over Portsmouth.

Bowen and Castellanos both found the net in that fixture, and that kind of attacking firepower should serve the Hammers well over the long haul, especially against sides that simply cannot match that same quality in the final third.

Burnley, meanwhile, have watched a host of key figures depart over the summer, and they now turn to a manager with no previous experience at this level. 

Their preseason produced no victories, and they could only manage a stalemate against Notts County in the EFL Cup before this contest, hardly the ideal preparation for facing one of the division's strongest outfits.

This should be a really exciting game between two Welsh sides who will have lofty ambitions this season. They actually met in the EFL Cup last year, a game that ended 2-1 to Cardiff with both sides registering an xG in excess of 1.0 (1.14-1.97).

Cardiff saw five goals in their EFL Cup tie against Swindon last time out, coming away 3-2 winners with an xG of 2.52. They did allow the away side to record an xG of 1.36, which is a pattern I think we’ll see from Cardiff throughout this season. 

They want to play good football, which is admirable, but this will come at a defensive cost in the Championship.

Wrexham saw 56 goals across their 23 away matches in the Championship last season (2.43 per game), notably seeing an exact split in the number of goals scored and conceded (28).

Benfica are as short as 1.17 with some bookmakers to win this game, so we’re getting a slightly better price on Marco Silva’s side to score 2+ goals in their opening game of the domestic campaign.

Benfica didn’t lose a single away game in Liga Portugal last season, winning 12 of their 17 matches. They scored 33 goals across these games (1.94 per game), a tally only bettered by Sporting (38) in the Portuguese top flight. 

By contrast, Casa Pia only managed to win two of their 17 home games in Liga Portugal last term. Only three sides in the division conceded more goals at home than Casa Pia (26) last season, suggesting that Benfica should be able to come away with a comfortable victory.