Oli McBurnie recorded one foul in the first leg at the MKM Stadium, and the battle between him and Jake Cooper was a good one to watch. It was the Millwall centre back who had the upper hand this time, as he won three of his four aerial duels in that encounter, and he was also fouled once to land this selection. 

McBurnie is a physically imposing presence up front for Hull, and he is averaging 1.59 fouls per 90 this season, which is one of the highest figures in the Hull squad. Cooper is averaging 0.74 fouls drawn per 90 this season in the league, and he has drawn a free kick in five of his last six starts. Hull should stick with their route one football, which means Cooper should be heavily involved in the game, with plenty of duels against McBurnie, which is an ideal matchup.

Millwall were the more positive side in the first leg, registering 61% possession and 15 shots, compared to just six efforts from the hosts. Camiel Neghli accounted for three of those attempts from Millwall, but he was unfortunate that none hit the target. The Algerian was able to pick up some promising positions in the final third, and there is no reason to think that will change here. If anything, Millwall should have even more of the ball at The Den, which can only work in Neghli's favour.

Neghli is averaging 1.52 shots per 90 in the Championship this season, rising to 1.68 when playing at home, where he has landed this selection in each of his last three home starts. He tends to be at his most dangerous when finding space in between the lines, and those pockets should be there again for Neghli to exploit.

The first leg of the play-off semi-finals finished 0-0, so there is still everything to play for at The Den here. Millwall were the more positive side at the MKM Stadium, and they had a disallowed goal in the closing stages for a foul. They will fancy their chances of booking their spot in the play-off final to take place at Wembley, and Millwall come into this one as favourites to do so.

Hull were largely kept at bay in the first leg, as they failed to register a corner, while the Lions recorded five. Alex Neil's men were able to exert plenty of control on the game, even despite playing away, and they should be even more dominant on home turf here.

Millwall are averaging 5.68 corners per game in the Championship this season, rising to 6.17 at The Den, where this selection has landed in nine of their last 10.

Conor Gallagher has been repeatedly misprofiled by managers during stints at Chelsea and Atletico Madrid, but I think Roberto De Zerbi is platforming him in the correct way. If you think back to when Gallagher was at his best, for both Chelsea and Crystal Palace in the Premier League, it was when he was playing higher up the pitch and being encouraged to get in the box.

Gallagher is not a pretty player to watch, but he’s so effective in this area of the pitch. There has been a tendency from managers to play him in a deeper role, but his skillset isn’t suited to that - he’s not that technically gifted, and his main strengths lie in his energy and perseverance, traits that make him an excellent second striker.

Gallagher scored a brilliant goal for Tottenham against Aston Villa last time out, and was one of the better players on the pitch - constantly looking to get in the box and playing ahead of a midfield pivot of Joao Palhinha and Rodrigo Bentancur. Tottenham looked a lot more settled with this structure, and we should see Gallagher continue in this more advanced role, which gives him a decent chance of registering another goal contribution for Tottenham, adding to the two he’s managed since arriving at the club.

Joao Palhinha hasn’t featured as much as I thought he would for Tottenham this season, but he has retained his tag of being reckless and a bit careless with his challenges. I think De Zerbi likes him because of his passion. We saw this when he would made challenges against Villa and then celebrated as if he had just scored a last-minute winner.

Palhinha has picked up six yellow cards across his 20 starts in the Premier League this season, while maintaining a foul average of just 1.06 fouls committed per 90. This surprised me when I saw it, given how often I see Palhinha charge into challenges, but it does show that the fouls that Palhinha is committing are likely to end up with a caution, or at least a note in the referee’s mind for his next challenge.

Palhinha committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card when the sides met earlier in the season, with Tottenham coming away 2-1 winners on that occasion. Tottenham have picked up more cards than any other side in the Premier League this season (90).

No Leeds player has picked up more yellow cards in the Premier League this season than Ethan Ampadu (nine). Leeds actually have quite a modest card count overall for a side battling towards the bottom of the table, but the context surrounding this fixture would suggest that we see an increase in their card numbers here, with this being a six-pointer in the relegation battle.

Leeds are priced at 1.44 to pick up 2+ cards here, a line that is usually around 1.7-1.8 for their card record. Ampadu has picked up four cautions across his last 10 domestic appearances for Leeds, including each of his last two matches for Daniel Farke’s side against Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final, and in Leeds’ 3-1 win over Burnley last time out.

Ethan Ampadu committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card when these sides met earlier in the season, with Leeds committing 10 fouls overall in that game.

He’s been a consistent player for Leeds in the Premier League this season, but is tasked with getting through quite a lot of work in the middle of the park - as highlighted by his foul average of 1.42 fouls committed per 90.

He’s committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League appearances, committing 2+ fouls in three of these games as well as five fouls in Leeds’ win over Burnley last time out.

No Leeds player has picked up more yellow cards in the Premier League than Ampadu (9), further suggesting that he’s their most aggressive player and will have quite a lot of work to get through against Gallagher as his main opponent.

It may surprise you to learn that Gallagher has won more fouls than he’s committed since joining Tottenham (19-18). This works out to an average of 1.84 fouls won in the Premier League. 

Tottenham drew 10 fouls from Leeds when these sides met earlier in the season, Gallagher wasn’t at the club for that game but Longstaff, Stach and Ampadu combined to commit four fouls as the midfield trio for Leeds in that game.

Gallagher has been fouled in each of his last four Premier League matches, and is a bit shorter as a single with most bookmakers to win 2+ fouls here (1.53). Furthermore, his opponents here are all really shortly priced for a single foul:

Ampadu - 1.11 
Stach - 1.17 
Tanaka - 1.17 

Calvert-Lewin has been brilliant for Leeds in the Premier League this season, netting 12 goals across his 27 starts in the division - making him Leeds’ top scorer, four goals ahead of Noah Okafor with eight goals to his name.

Calvert-Lewin found the target from two shots when the sides met earlier in the season, and has taken 69 shots overall in the top-flight (2.51 per 90). He’s seen 31 of those efforts find the target (1.13 per 90), and should be able to pose a threat to Tottenham here, having just netted in Leeds’ 3-1 win over Burnley last time out.

Only seven players have scored more goals in the Premier League this season than Calvert-Lewin, showing his overall level but also how crucial he is to this Leeds side.

Richarlison committed two fouls in Tottenham’s crucial 2-1 win over Aston Villa last time out, taking his total count for the season to 21 fouls across his 17 starts in the Premier League (1.11 per 90).

I think Richarlison is the perfect striker to lead the line for Tottenham at the moment, not solely due to his ability, but also because he’s been in this exact situation before - guiding Everton to safety when they were in trouble a few seasons ago. This experience is crucial when you’re battling at the bottom of the league, and also is an experience that not many other Tottenham players have been through before.

It’s likely that Richarlison faces up against a back three here, so he will be outnumbered when contesting challenges. He gets through quite a lot of work off the ball too, so this busy nature can contribute to Richarlison committing at least one foul in what is a crucial game for both of these sides.

No side has picked up more yellow cards in the Premier League than Tottenham (90 - 2.57 per game). It’s clear that the North London side have struggled with handling the emotions of being in a relegation battle, and that should be particularly relevant here as they face off against one of their direct rivals in the battle to survive in the Premier League.

Tottenham committed 12 fouls and picked up three yellow cards on their trip to Elland Road earlier in the season, showing how Leeds can bring out the aggression we’re looking for from Tottenham. 

Roberto De Zerbi’s presence on the touchline should only fuel the fire more, with his erratic and passionate approach starting to have an effect on the Tottenham players - who played with more fight and grit against Aston Villa last time out than I’ve seen from them all season.

The initial league meeting between these sides saw BTTS as Tottenham came away 2-1 winners over Leeds at Elland Road. That victory feels like an age ago now, when Tottenham were still under the tutelage of Thomas Frank and the Lilywhites now find themselves on the edge of the drop zone - realistically needing all three points here to take the fight to the final few weeks of the campaign with Forest and West Ham also still in the mix.

Tottenham’s home form is one of the main reasons why they find themselves in the lower reaches of the table, they’ve only managed to win two of their 17 home matches in the Premier League this season (v Brentford and Burnley) and have picked up the joint fewest points at home of any Premier League side (11), level with Burnley. Tottenham have notably conceded 30 goals across these games, which should give the appropriate encouragement to Leeds.

Both sides saw BTTS in their most recent assignments, both winning games against Aston Villa and Burnley. I can see chances for both sides here given the context, neither side has a real advantage over the other so i’m happy to take BTTS at this price as the relegation battle in the Premier League inches closer towards a conclusion.

The initial league meeting between these sides saw BTTS as Celta Vigo came away 2-1 winners.

Both sides registered an xG in excess of 1.0 in that game (1.20-2.00).

Levante have seen BTTS in each of their last two matches.

Celta Vigo’s 17 home games in LaLiga have produced 51 goals (3.0 per game), they’ve only won five of these matches.

Levante are two points from safety at the bottom of LaLiga, while Celta Vigo are just four points away from a Europa League spot with three games remaining of the campaign.

Elche have the worst away record in LaLiga this season, winning just one of their 17 away matches - losing 12 of these games.

Only Real Oviedo (37) have conceded more goals on the road than Elche (35) in LaLiga this season.

Betis have won three of the last four head to head meetings between the sides, including the most recent clash which was a 2-1 win in the Copa Del Rey.

Betis have only lost three of their 17 home matches in LaLiga this season.

Atletico Madrid have only won five of their 17 away games in LaLiga this season (29%).

Osasuna have seen 2+ goals in four of their last five matches in LaLiga, with three of these games producing 3+ goals.

Osasuna have seen 49 goals across their 17 home games in LaLiga this season (2.88 per game), losing just three of these games.

This fixture produced exactly two goals when Osasuna last welcomed Atletico Madrid to Estadio El Sadar.

Tommy Conway had the pick of the chances for Middlesbrough in the first leg, and he was the one who struck the woodwork for his side. He was completely open in the box, but his effort only struck the inside of the post - he probably should have done better in the end, and Conway will know that. He had another big chance which was blocked, while his other two attempts managed to find the target, so he will feel his performance warranted a goal.

The striker tends to pop up in promising positions in and around the box, and he has scored 13 league goals this season from 46 appearances. He ended the regular season on a high, scoring against Wrexham on the final day, after bagging a brace against Watford, so he is a player full of confidence at the moment. 

Flynn Downes returned from his three-match suspension for the first leg of the playoff semi-final, and he wasted no time in making his presence felt. The midfielder recorded two fouls and was carded during that match, before being replaced after 69 minutes, which shows how difficult it was for Middlesbrough in midfield areas. Downes partnered Caspar Jander in the double pivot, who also finished the game with three fouls.

Downes is averaging 1.93 fouls per 90 in the Championship this season, which is one of the highest figures in the Southampton squad, and he has been booked 13 times from his 37 league appearances. He is a very combative player in the heart of midfield, and Downes should find duels against Aidan Morris again here - the USA international was fouled three times in the first leg, taking his average to 2.62 fouls draw per 90 for the season.

The first leg ended as a goalless stalemate, which is unexpected given how attack-minded both sides have been throughout the season. Middlesbrough were the dominant side at the Riverside Stadium, registering a total of 21 shots and six big chances worth 1.81 xG, but they were wasteful in the final third. With that being said, Boro did come incredibly close, and they were denied by the woodwork. Southampton had to dig in at times, but the Saints improved after the break and came close to stealing an advantage themselves late on - this time Taylor Harwood-Bellis hit the crossbar. 

Southampton should be much more front-footed at St Mary's here, which makes goals a target. Tonda Eckert's men have been one of the most prolific attacking sides in the Championship this season, with 82 league goals from their 46 regular season matches. Over 2.5 goals has also landed in nine of Middlesbrough’s last ten away matches. 

There were 12 corners in the first leg, and Middlesbrough landed this selection on their own by contributing 11 of those. Southampton only added one to the tally, but they should be much more progressive on home turf here, especially considering there is still everything to play for. 

Southampton are averaging 5.64 corners per game in the league this season, rising to 6.26 at St Mary's, where they usually play with a lot more attacking intent. In fact, they recorded six corners against Middlesbrough when these sides met on the south coast back in September. 

Middlesbrough are averaging an impressive 6.91 per game in the league, which is the highest figures in the league. They both like to utilise width when they attack, and with the tie still hanging firmly in the balance, corners are a target once again.

Morgan Whittaker was really bright in the 0-0 draw between the sides last season, creating three chances and taking on three efforts. Boro as a whole struggled to convert any of the chances they created (21), though Whittaker is certainly the most likely Boro player to register a goal contribution given his strong seasonal numbers.

Whittaker netted twice in the most recent league meeting between these sides, which Boro won 4-0 with 22 shots and an xG of 2.27, accounting for two of the 14 goals he’s scored in the Championship this season. No Boro player has netted more goals than Whittaker in the Championship this season, and he also sits joint top of the assist charts with seven to his name - level with Hayden Hackney, who is a doubt for this fixture.

Whitaker’s total haul sits at 20 goal contributions across his 35 starts in the Championship, only Oli McBurnie (24) and Zan Vipotnik (26) have registered more goal contributions in the Championship this term than Whittaker, making him an obvious threat in this second leg.

Only Matt Crooks (13) has picked up more yellow cards in the Championship this season than Flynn Downes (12). He’s always been quite an aggressive player, as further shown by the 12 cards he picked up across just 25 starts in the Premier League for Southampton last season.

Downes has been cautioned in each of his last three Championship games, including picking up a yellow card in the first leg meeting between these sides last week which ended 0-0. Downes committed two fouls in that game and struggled with Aidan Morris in particular - who was fouled three times in the encounter.

Southampton committed 12 fouls in the first leg, matching that amount in the most recent league meeting between the sides. Downes was fortunate to avoid a caution in that game, committing two fouls overall, while Southampton picked up four cards in total, suggesting that the Saints could struggle with the clever movement of this Boro side again in this second leg clash.

No Middlesbrough player has picked up more yellow cards in the Championship this season than Luke Ayling (10). His experience has been vital to Kim Hellberg’s side this season as he showed in the first leg where he was arguably one of Boro’s best players.

He was actually fouled four times in that game, committing one himself, but our focus is on Ayling to pick up a caution here. His experience does lead him to be more frustrated than most in the Boro squad as he’s been in this position quite a few times before, and knows the effect it can have on a squad if they miss out after all the hard work across the season.

Ayling has picked up 13% of the total cards that Boro have collected in the Championship this term, which is a pretty significant total. He’ll have to try and manage the threat of Leo Scienza, one of the strongest players in the Championship when it comes to winning fouls (3.65 per 90). 

BTTS landed the last time that Lens welcomed PSG, with Luis Enrique’s side coming away 2-1 winners in that game.

Lens have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches, remaining unbeaten across these games.

PSG have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, also remaining unbeaten across these games.

Lens boast the strongest home record in Ligue 1, and have netted 35 goals across their 16 home games (2.18 per game).

Lens must win to take the Ligue 1 title race to the final game of the season.

Stockport came away 1-0 winners in the first leg, striking in the 94th minute.

Stockport limited Stevenage to an xG of just 0.27 in the first leg meeting. 

Stockport avoided defeat in 17 of their 23 home matches during the League One season, netting 38 goals across these games.

Stevenage only managed to win seven of their 23 away matches in the regular season (30%), scoring just 22 goals across these games.

Hearts have avoided defeat in all 18 of their home matches in the Scottish Premiership, winning 14 of these games.

Hearts have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches in the Scottish Premiership, including victories over Rangers and Motherwell.

Falkirk have only managed to win one of their last five matches in the Scottish Premiership.

Hearts have avoided defeat in each of the last four head to head meetings between the sides, winning three of these games.

The most recent meeting between these sides produced four goals as Celtic came away 3-1 winners over Motherwell.

Celtic have seen 3+ goals in each of their last four matches, notably winning all of these games despite being unable to keep a clean sheet.

Motherwell have seen 3+ goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions, winning just one of these games.

Motherwell have scored 30 goals across their 18 home games in the Scottish Premiership this season (1.66 per game).

Celtic’s 18 away games in the Scottish Premiership have seen 51 goals (2.83 per game).