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Georgia 

Georgia have only failed to score twice across their last 16 matches, with both of these blanks coming against Spain - by all accounts the best national team around right now.

Georgia’s World Cup qualifying record looks alarming on paper, but they had a really tough group which included Spain and Turkiye, yet they still scored 2+ goals in their home games against Turkiye and Bulgaria.

Northern Ireland really struggle on the road, they’ve only managed to win one of their last 12 away games with that win coming against Luxembourg. It’s also notable that Northern Ireland are without their best player for this intern break in Connor Bradley - who is out until next year.

Georgia showed real promise at the 2024 European Championships and have attacking quality to cause Northern Ireland issues, namely Khvicha Kvaratskhelia who has 23 goals across his 50 caps for Georgia. 

Belgium 

It’s another new era for Belgium following Rudi Garcia’s departure from the national side, despite reaching the quarter finals of the World Cup and bowing out to eventual winners in Spain.

Belgium scored in all but one of their games at the World Cup, with Iran being the side to keep them out in the group stage. Belgium did go down to 10 men in that game, but still registered an xG of 1.79 from 23 shots.

That blank is the only occasion across the last 13 matches where Belgium have failed to score, netting 29 goals across eight games during qualifying (3.6 per game).

Italy also have a new manager after failing to qualify for another international tournament. Roberto Mancini has taken over from Gattuso, reprising his role from 2018-2022 which obviously included beating England at Wembley to win the European Championships.

It’s going to take time for Italy to get back amongst the elite and their latest squad includes numerous inexperienced or younger players as Italy try to bring through a new golden generation. It’s obviously going to take time for these players to adapt to international level, benefitting Belgium.

Italy looked vulnerable at the back during qualifying, conceding 12 goals across their eight matches despite only Norway being a real challenger with the rest of the group including Israel, Estonia and Moldova.

Hungary have seen BTTS in four of their last six competitive matches, and scored in every match during their unsuccessful World Cup qualifying campaign.

They’re unbeaten across four friendlies this calendar year, winning three of those with BTTS landing in the most recent two.

Ukraine missed out on World Cup qualification in the play-offs, beaten by Sweden, they found the net in every game of that process aside from their meetings with France.

Their most recent outing, in late May, was an impressive 2-0 win in Poland, and they’ll be desperate to emulate that in a very winnable Nations League B group.

Italy have embarrassed themselves on the international stage over recent years, failing to qualify for a single major tournament since their triumph in the European Championships back in 2021.

They’ve now turned to Roberto Mancini to try and change the culture of the national side, and this will be his first game in charge. 

Italy have struggled against the elite sides in Europe over the last few years, losing both games against Norway during World Cup qualifying as well as losing to Germany and France when they last competed in the Nations League. 

They actually ran out 1-0 winners when these sides last met in 2024, but the three meetings prior to that clash saw BTTS. Belgium saw BTTS in five of their six games at the World Cup, only keeping a clean sheet against Iran during their run to the quarter finals. 

Poland and Bosnia will both feel they are capable of winning promotion to League A in this edition of the Nations League, and kick off their campaign while Romania go to Sweden elsewhere in the group.

Bosnia gave a good account of themselves at the World Cup and have seen both teams score in 11 of their last 13 games.

Poland have seen the bet land in five of their last six, and last time out in competitive football they had an enthralling 3-2 defeat to Sweden in the World Cup qualifying play-offs, BTTS was in after 33 minutes in that one.

Italy have embarrassed themselves on the international stage over recent years, failing to qualify for a single major tournament since their triumph in the European Championships back in 2021.

They’ve now turned to Roberto Mancini to try and change the culture of the national side, and this will be his first game in charge. 

Italy have struggled against the elite sides in Europe over the last few years, losing both games against Norway during World Cup qualifying as well as losing to Germany and France when they last competed in the Nations League. 

They actually ran out 1-0 winners when these sides last met in 2024, but the three meetings prior to that clash saw BTTS. Belgium saw BTTS in five of their six games at the World Cup, only keeping a clean sheet against Iran during their run to the quarter finals. 

Georgia failed to really kick on after their impressive run in the 2024 European Championships, failing to win five of their six matches during World Cup qualifying in what was a tough group in fairness with the likes of Spain and Turkiye coming through it.

That said, there is a lot of room for optimism for Georgia with the talent that is coming through - spearheaded by Khvicha Kvaratskhelia who has established himself as one of the best players in the world over recent seasons at PSG.

Northern Ireland tend to struggle on the road, they’ve only managed to win one of their last 10 away games with their most recent competitive win coming against Luxembourg at home. Georgia have enough quality to avoid defeat here against a Northern Ireland side who don’t take much from their travels. 

Türkiye’s games tend to be really hectic, we saw how shot happy they were at the World Cup despite their early exit and I think they could get on the scoresheet here.

France are another nation that is going through a period of transition following the World Cup, with long term head coach Didier Deschamps being replaced by French legend Zinedine Zidane.

Türkiye played three games at the World Cup and recorded an xG of 1.0 or higher in all three games, actually clearing the 2.0 xG mark in two of these matches. 

They also scored 17 goals across just six matches during qualifying (2.83 per game), but also conceded 12 (2.0 per game), showing where Turkiye may be a bit vulnerable to the talent of France’s frontline.

Sweden had some good moments at the World Cup, with the heavy defeats they suffered to France and Netherlands being a bit unfair to their performances in those games.

Graham Potter’s side will feel as though they are the strongest nation in this group, which also contains Poland and Bosnia. Sweden actually finished bottom of their qualifying group without winning a game, but it was their display in the last  Nations League which helped them qualify for the World Cup.

That recent qualifying campaign has plenty of context too, Sweden were in a real mess and Potter joined just before the end of the campaign, with their form picking up in that period. Romania didn’t feature at the World Cup as they failed to get out of a group also featuring Austria and Bosnia. 

Italy have embarrassed themselves on the international stage over recent years, failing to qualify for a single major tournament since their triumph in the European Championships back in 2021.

They’ve now turned to Roberto Mancini to try and change the culture of the national side, and this will be his first game in charge. 

Italy have struggled against the elite sides in Europe over the last few years, losing both games against Norway during World Cup qualifying as well as losing to Germany and France when they last competed in the Nations League. 

They actually ran out 1-0 winners when these sides last met in 2024, but the three meetings prior to that clash saw BTTS. Belgium saw BTTS in five of their six games at the World Cup, only keeping a clean sheet against Iran during their run to the quarter finals. 

Türkiye’s games tend to be really hectic, we saw how shot happy they were at the World Cup despite their early exit and I think they could get on the scoresheet here.

France are another nation that is going through a period of transition following the World Cup, with long term head coach Didier Deschamps being replaced by French legend Zinedine Zidane.

Türkiye played three games at the World Cup and recorded an xG of 1.0 or higher in all three games, actually clearing the 2.0 xG mark in two of these matches. 

They also scored 17 goals across just six matches during qualifying (2.83 per game), but also conceded 12 (2.0 per game), showing where Turkiye may be a bit vulnerable to the talent of France’s frontline.

Michael Olise was brilliant for France at the World Cup, providing seven assists across just eight starts.

He probably should have found the back of the net a few times as well having taken 20 shots across these games (2.77 per 90), producing a personal xG of 2.50.

He's started the domestic season really positively too, recording 11 goal contributions across just eight starts for Bayern Munich already - pitching in with two goals and an assist in Bayern's opening Champions League game this season.

Olise was still emerging as a world class talent when France last competed in the Nations League, but still registered three goal contributions across five starts with promising underlying numbers:

2.46 shots per 90
3.80 chances created per 90

I'd back Olise to register another goal contribution here having started the season really well for Bayern Munich, and having the confidence to perform at this level following his seven assists at the World Cup.

Scotland’s trip to Slovenia on Saturday might not seem an obvious both teams to score selection, but I think there is a strong case for both sides finding the net. 

New Scotland boss Sebastian Pocognoli will be looking to bring his proactive approach to the national side. 

There was no shortage of goalmouth action even before his arrival, with both teams scoring in Scotland’s final four World Cup qualifiers, all of which produced over 3.5 goals. 

The Scots also failed to keep a clean sheet in their 4-1 friendly win over Curacao a few weeks before the World Cup.

As for Slovenia, three of their four matches this calendar year have seen both teams score, including their most recent outing, a 2-1 friendly defeat to Croatia in June. 

Goals at both ends in Slovenia’s two World Cup qualifiers against Sweden only strengthen the case for a repeat in Ljubljana on Saturday.

Wycombe have sprung into life in League One, winning three on the bounce in all competitions after parting company with Michael Duff.

They scored three goals in 47 minutes in a 3-2 win at Leyton Orient straight after the sacking and backed that up with a comfortable-looking 1-0 win at Wigan last time out.

Wycombe have seen BTTS in 6/7 league games this season and they welcome a Reading side who are the 2nd-top scorers in the division, despite having played a game less than most.

Reading had seen BTTS land in three straight games before last weekend and, in Jack Marriott, they have the league’s top goalscorer by three clear goals at this stage, with eight goals in six league appearances already.

The 32-year-old is making up for lost time after a painful few years in and out of the treatment room.

Cheltenham have been one of the surprise packages in League Two so far, sitting 5th after seven matches (3W, 3D, 1L).

They’ve scored two goals per game on average and have seen BTTS land in 7/7 League Two outings.

Chesterfield have scored in 6/7 fourth tier games this term, have seen both teams score in two of their three league away games, and have conceded in five of those seven.

They generated 2.11 xG in an impressive 2-0 win over York last weekend and are more than capable of dominating proceedings at Cheltenham, heading in as clear favourites.

York have maintained a perfect record at home in League Two so far this season, winning all three of their games in front of their own fans - scoring nine goals across these matches.

They welcome a Gillingham side who have only lost one of their opening seven matches, and actually sit above York in the table at this early stage of the season. Gillingham are also unbeaten across their three away games this term, so this won’t be an easy assignment for the home side despite their perfect record.

Both sides have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches across all competitions, and look well set to both find the back of the net in this clash of two sides who will be eyeing a promotion push following their strong starts to the campaign.

Oldham have underperformed to score only eight goals from 11.4 xG so far this season, and goals looks on the cards as they host pre-season title favourites Salford City on Saturday evening in front of the Sky cameras.

There isn’t enough history to make this local match a big derby, but the players and fans will still want to get one over the team from down the road.

Both teams have scored in five of their seven League Two outings this season, and there’s serious attacking firepower arriving with the visitors after a summer of eye-watering spending for the level.

Both sides have also kept two clean sheets from their seven, so despite having underwhelming BTTS records, they’re both capable going forward and unconvincing at the back.

Each of the last four meetings between the sides have seen this selection land.

England only kept two clean sheets across their eight matches at the World Cup.

They have the attacking talent to cause Spain problems, as shown by the six goals they put past France in their last competitive match.

Spain were excellent defensively at the World Cup, but outside of tournament football they may play with a more fluid style.

England scored two or more goals in six of their eight games in the World Cup, and scored 2.75 goals per game in World Cup qualifying.

Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal are the top two favourites for the Ballon D'Or at the moment, every game between now and the award being decided is an opportunity to strengthen their case, it wouldn't be a surprise to see both on the scoresheet.

NI have only won one competitive away game since March 2023, and even that was against Luxembourg.

In that sample, they’ve failed to win in Belarus and Luxembourg, and lost in Bulgaria, Finland and Kazakhstan.

Georgia were disappointing in World Cup qualifying after an excellent Euro 2024, but weren’t helped by having Spain and a strong Turkey in their group.

Outsider for the Ballon D’Or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia looks set to start, as well as Villarreal forward Georges Mikautadze, who has 23 goals in 43 caps for his country.

Georgia have registered two wins and two draws in friendlies since World Cup qualifying, and can battle for promotion to League A if they make a good start in this group.

Mikautadze shared the Golden Boot at Euro 2024, he’s at 2.15 shots on target per 90 in La Liga this season and had at least one shot on target in six of eight games for Georgia in the last Nations League campaign.

He hit the target in 4/4 home games in that run, which includes scoring a brace in his last appearance in the competition.

Northern Ireland’s last away clean sheet was in Belarus in October 2024, he should have plenty of opportunities to let fly on Saturday.

Likely to find duels with League One defender Ciaron Brown (Oxford United), he should have too much quality, and he came off the bench to score for Villarreal last weekend in a 3-1 win over Levante.

I wouldn’t persuade anyone away from considering him in the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Kvaratskhelia has had his minutes managed carefully at PSG so far this season, after making 55 total appearances for the back-to-back Champions League winners in 2025/26.

That should mean he’s fresher than usual for an international break, he’ll be on penalties and the go-to player in possession for the Georgians.

He’s scored three in three for his country since World Cup qualifying.

Georgia are odds-on in places to score two or more goals in this match, and the most likely player to be involved in goals for them is their captain and star player.

Trai Hume has been in and out for Sunderland this season, and he’ll have his work cut out dealing with arguably the best left winger in world football.

The 4.33 on him to be carded, given Kvaratskhelia’s dribbling ability, is another intriguing angle for this content.

Price’s energy will be crucial for Northern Ireland in this game, and the 22-year-old, who turns 23 on Saturday, is averaging 2.39 shots per 90 in the Championship for West Brom so far this season.

Price has had 11 shots in his last four competitive outings for Northern Ireland, with the bet landing in three of those four.

That includes have five shots away at Slovakia and two at home to Germany.

He’ll be in contention to take set pieces as well, quickly becoming a senior player despite his years, as one of the first names on Michael O’Neill’s team sheet with 32 caps and 10 goals to his name already.

Plymouth enter this game in strong form having won each of their last four matches, scoring at least three goals in all of these wins.

They’ve scored the second most goals of any side in League One (14), notably winning two of their three matches in front of their own fans ahead of the visit of a Burton side who have done their best work at home this season - winning just one of their three games on the road.

Burton’s recent form is also cause for concern with Gary Bowyer’s side only winning one of their last five matches, conceding 2+ goals in three of these games.

Plymouth came away 3-0 winners when these sides last met back in January, dominating the underlying numbers with an xG of 2.38 from 21 shots and also winning the away fixture 4-0. 

Stockport should have really collected all three points against Sheffield Wednesday on the road last time out, having more than double the number of shots as their opponents (18-6) and also winning the xG battle (1.58-1.18).

Stockport’s home form on paper looks weak, with two defeats from their three home games - but they were very unlucky in both matches. The first defeat was against Blackpool on the opening weekend of the season, where they generated an xG of 3.54 to Blackpool’s 1.79.

The other defeat was a bizarre 4-3 defeat against Leicester in which Russell Martin’s side only recorded an xG of 1.21 from nine shots with Stockport once again winning the battle on underlying numbers (2.29 xG from 19 shots).

Peterborough have endured a really tough start to the season, winning just one of their opening seven matches in League One. They’ve only scored four goals across these games, the lowest return of any side in the division.

They lost 3-1 to Stockport when these sides met back in April, with the home side once again dominating the underlying numbers (3.75 xG from 28 shots). They’re also yet to win a game on the road, scoring just once in three matches. 

York have maintained a perfect record at home in League Two so far this season, winning all three of their games in front of their own fans - scoring nine goals across these matches.

They welcome a Gillingham side who have only lost one of their opening seven matches, and actually sit above York in the table at this early stage of the season. Gillingham are also unbeaten across their three away games this term, so this won’t be an easy assignment for the home side despite their perfect record.

Both sides have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches across all competitions, and look well set to both find the back of the net in this clash of two sides who will be eyeing a promotion push following their strong starts to the campaign.

Fleetwood have been a very stubborn side in League Two so far this season, losing just one of their opening seven matches.

They’re unbeaten at home having drawn two of their three matches in front of their own fans, notably conceding just one goal across these games.

The only team to beat Fleetwood in the league is Barnet, a side who sit top of the table in the early stages of the season and are one of only four sides in the division yet to be beaten.

Rochdale have struggled on the road this season, failing to win any of their three away matches this term. They haven’t even managed to score a goal across these games, being one of only two sides yet to score on the road in League Two.

Both of these sides have made promising starts to the season and both sit around the playoff places after the first seven games of the season.

Cheltenham have seen BTTS in each of their last 10 matches, including all of their games across all competitions this season. They’re unbeaten across their last five matches, despite failing to keep a clean sheet in these games.

Cheltenham are also unbeaten at home across their three matches this season, scoring seven and conceding five - showing how the same defensive issues tend to be relevant in front of their own fans.

Chesterfield have picked up more points than any other side on the road in League Two, winning two of their three matches and netting four goals in the process. They’ve seen BTTS in four of their last five matches, also avoiding defeat.

The Eerste Divisie is usually worth looking at for this market and there’s a favourable matchup here between two sides that have taken the same amount of points from their opening seven matches (10).

Both sides have only drawn one of these games, offering promise for the result to go either way here. Breda have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches, seeing BTTS & No Draw in four of these games. 

Breda’s three home games in the Eerste Divisie have produced 12 goals (4.0 per game), with none of these three games ending in a draw. They came away 3-0 winners over Eindhoven when the sides last met, though that was a friendly.

Eindhoven have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches, with all of these games seeing BTTS & No Draw. They’ve seen eight goals across their three away matches in the Eerste Divisie so far with just one of these games ending in a draw.

It’s been a mixed start to the season for both of these sides who find themselves sitting two points apart in mid-table after seven games.

Rotherham have seen 20 goals across their seven games so far (2.85 per game), with an exact split in the number of goals scored and conceded. Only three of their seven games in League Two this term have ended level.

Crewe have drawn five of their seven games this term, which may be a concern, but four of these draws have seen BTTS with the most common scoreline being 1-1.

Crewe have conceded an xG in excess of 2.0 in three of these games, suggesting that the points they are collecting through draws have been a bit fortunate. They also saw BTTS & No Draw during the week as they fielded a rotated side against Aston Villa’s U21 side in the EFL Trophy, coming away 4-1 winners. 

Maastricht have made a promising start to the season, collecting 13 points from their opening seven games which is a tally that sees them sit in the playoff spots.

They did suffer a bruising defeat against Waalwijk on the road last time out, but that loss saw this selection land as they fell to a 6-1 defeat. They’ve seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, with two of these games seeing BTTS & No Draw.

Helmond have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches, with only one of these games ending in a draw. They’ve lost all three of their away games in the Eerste Divisie this term, but have scored four goals across these games.

That record sets the stage for a home win here, though expect Helmond to offer an attacking threat and get on the scoresheet as they have done often in recent weeks. 

Talk Of New York is Racing Ratings' NAP, with a perfect 10/10 rating ahead of this afternoon's race in Newmarket.

He's the odds-on favourite for the race, with two wins in his last five - finishing in the top three in all of those.

He won at Newmarket, also as an odds-on favourite, back in April, so he brings some course form into this event.

Charlie Appleby's yard have been in excellent form of late, and William Buick is back in the saddle, having ridden Talk Of New York in his last two wins.

Talk Of New York has commanded a lot of respect from the bookies with good reason, and the conditions suit him very well.

Rubellite is the 2nd-highest rated horse of the day on Racing Ratings, with a 9.6/10.

With three wins in his last five coming into this, including a victory last time out, it is no surprise to see Rubellite leading the market at the time of writing.

She has multiple wins over course and distance, including as recently as early September and is yet to finish outside the places over this exact trip.

Rubellite has dropped down a level for this race, despite winning recently at a higher grade, and she'll have Conor Whiteley in the saddle - a winning partnership in the recent past.

The course and distance pedigree is too good to ignore, Rubellite has been the most convincing this season of any horse in the 16:35.

Rugby Union is the joint-3rd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings today, with a 9/10.

6/4 favourite and shortening at the time of writing, after winning last time out - the closest three horses to him in the betting are winless in their last six races.

He's a course and distance winner with a good record over these ground conditions.

Joanna Mason returns to ride Rugby Union having been on board for the course and distance win.

Rugby Union has been shortening in odds of late, he may go off a lot closer to odds-on.

Invincible Crown is the joint-3rd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings, with a score of 9.0.

He has won two of his last six races, finishing in the top four in five of those and won last time out.

He has come in to 7/4 of late with his closest challenger at the top of the market, Khabib, drifting at this stage.

Invincible Crown won over course and distance earlier this month and is a specialist at this trip.

The ground conditions are another positive, while Ruth Carr's form as a trainer has picked up recently as well.

Talk Of New York is Racing Ratings' NAP, with a perfect 10/10 rating ahead of this afternoon's race in Newmarket.

He's the odds-on favourite for the race, with two wins in his last five - finishing in the top three in all of those.

He won at Newmarket, also as an odds-on favourite, back in April, so he brings some course form into this event.

Charlie Appleby's yard have been in excellent form of late, and William Buick is back in the saddle, having ridden Talk Of New York in his last two wins.

Talk Of New York has commanded a lot of respect from the bookies with good reason, and the conditions suit him very well.

Rubellite is the 2nd-highest rated horse of the day on Racing Ratings, with a 9.6/10.

With three wins in his last five coming into this, including a victory last time out, it is no surprise to see Rubellite leading the market at the time of writing.

She has multiple wins over course and distance, including as recently as early September and is yet to finish outside the places over this exact trip.

Rubellite has dropped down a level for this race, despite winning recently at a higher grade, and she'll have Conor Whiteley in the saddle - a winning partnership in the recent past.

The course and distance pedigree is too good to ignore, Rubellite has been the most convincing this season of any horse in the 16:35.

Rugby Union is the joint-3rd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings today, with a 9/10.

6/4 favourite and shortening at the time of writing, after winning last time out - the closest three horses to him in the betting are winless in their last six races.

He's a course and distance winner with a good record over these ground conditions.

Joanna Mason returns to ride Rugby Union having been on board for the course and distance win.

Rugby Union has been shortening in odds of late, he may go off a lot closer to odds-on.

Invincible Crown is the joint-3rd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings, with a score of 9.0.

He has won two of his last six races, finishing in the top four in five of those and won last time out.

He has come in to 7/4 of late with his closest challenger at the top of the market, Khabib, drifting at this stage.

Invincible Crown won over course and distance earlier this month and is a specialist at this trip.

The ground conditions are another positive, while Ruth Carr's form as a trainer has picked up recently as well.

This is a really good test for England following their exit in the semi final of the World Cup to Argentina, with Thomas Tuchel’s side now eyeing up the home European Championships as the trophy to end England’s years of hurt.

There is often a criticism of England that they don’t play the elite nations often enough outside of international tournaments, but the Nations League gives the Three Lions an opportunity to do that with Croatia also being in their Nations League A group.

The most recent meeting between these nations was in the EURO 2024 final, which of course saw Spain come away 2-1 winners to lift the trophy. Each of the last four head to head meetings between the sides have seen this selection land - which is a nice historical trend to add to the wider evidence for goals here.

England only kept two clean sheets across their eight matches at the World Cup. They have the attacking talent to cause Spain problems, as shown by the six goals they put past France in the third place playoff.

Harry Kane is so reliable for England, and many are concerned that finding another striker as effective as Kane will be problematic in the coming years with the former Tottenham man coming towards the end of the year.

He’s scored 85 goals across 121 caps for England, scoring six goals across seven starts at the World Cup. He achieved this tally from 12 shots on target (1.65 per 90), averaging over 3.0 shots per 90 during the tournament.

Kane has also started this season really well, scoring three goals across three starts in the Bundesliga as well as netting in the Champions League. Kane scored eight goals across eight starts during England’s last Nations League campaign, averaging 2.11 shots on target per 90.

Lamine Yamal has previously spoken about how he wants to score more for his country having netted seven goals across his 33 caps.

He seems to be improving in front of goal with every season, already scoring seven goals across seven starts in LaLiga as well as netting in Barcelona’s thrashing of Feyenoord in the Champions League.

Lamine Yamal has taken 38 shots across those seven starts in LaLiga (5.89 per 90), which is a shot average we can expect him to match here against an England side who look very vulnerable at the back. 

Yamal scored three goals across seven starts during Spain’s last Nations League campaign, in which they got to the final, averaging 3.72 shots per 90 and 1.49 shots on target per 90.

Marc Cucurella is going to get a hostile reception at Wembley with many fans still yet to forgive him for his antics in the EURO 2024 final, the tournament where Cucurella nailed down his starting spot in this Spain side.

Cucurella is a nightmare to play against as he’s so energetic and gets very tough tight to his opposite winger, making him a good option to commit fouls if he has the right 1v1 duel. 

He committed eight fouls across eight starts during the World Cup (0.96 per 90) and will be up against Bukayo Saka, who is a player that he’s faced off against many times before - Saka has won 15 fouls across five starts already in the Premier League this season (3.23 per 90).

Switzerland should dominate this Nations League B group, they’re comfortably the best and most experienced nation with the group also including Scotland and Slovenia.

Switzerland had a decent run at the World Cup, eventually crashing out to Argentina in the quarter finals. Prior to that defeat, they’d only lost one of their last 19 matches - suggesting that this is one of the most consistent sides on the continent.

North Macedonia failed to qualify for the World Cup, and have failed to win any of their last eight matches - including a 7-1 defeat to Wales. It’s hard to make a case for them here, even as the home side, given their previous struggles against more established European sides.

This represents a serious test for England after their World Cup semi-final elimination at the hands of Argentina, with Thomas Tuchel's men now setting their sights on the home European Championships as the prize to finally end England's long wait for silverware.

England are frequently criticised for not facing top-tier opposition often enough away from major tournaments, but the Nations League hands the Three Lions exactly that chance, with Croatia also drawn in their Nations League A group.

These two sides last met in the EURO 2024 final, where Spain ran out 2-1 winners to claim the trophy. Notably, each of the last four meetings between the nations has produced over 1.5 goals,  a useful historical pattern that strengthens the broader case for goals in this one.

England managed just two clean sheets in eight World Cup matches. They certainly have the firepower to trouble Spain, as demonstrated by the six goals they scored against France in the third-place playoff. 

I was pretty disappointed with both of these nations at the World Cup, I had them down to progress further than they did with Czechia crashing out in the Group Stages and Croatia exiting to Portugal in the Round of 32.

I feel as though Croatia are in a bit of a decline following on from the height of their golden generation, which battled all the way to the final of the World Cup in 2018. There’s also a change in the dugout for the away side, with long term coach Zlatko Dalic leaving after 9 years of service.

That’s a significant change, and one that may take time for this Croatia side to adapt to. Czechia scored in two of their three games at the World Cup despite their early exit, with both of their goals coming from set pieces.

This will be their main threat here again, they scored 18 goals across eight games during World Cup qualifying (2.25 per game). They actually played Croatia as part of the qualifying process, recording an xG of 1.39 as the away side.

Scotland’s trip to Slovenia on Saturday might not seem an obvious both teams to score selection, but I think there is a strong case for both sides finding the net. 

New Scotland boss Sebastian Pocognoli will be looking to bring his proactive approach to the national side. 

There was no shortage of goalmouth action even before his arrival, with both teams scoring in Scotland’s final four World Cup qualifiers, all of which produced over 3.5 goals. 

The Scots also failed to keep a clean sheet in their 4-1 friendly win over Curacao a few weeks before the World Cup.

As for Slovenia, three of their four matches this calendar year have seen both teams score, including their most recent outing, a 2-1 friendly defeat to Croatia in June. 

Goals at both ends in Slovenia’s two World Cup qualifiers against Sweden only strengthen the case for a repeat in Ljubljana on Saturday.

Plymouth enter this game in strong form having won each of their last four matches, scoring at least three goals in all of these wins.

They’ve scored the second most goals of any side in League One (14), notably winning two of their three matches in front of their own fans ahead of the visit of a Burton side who have done their best work at home this season - winning just one of their three games on the road.

Burton’s recent form is also cause for concern with Gary Bowyer’s side only winning one of their last five matches, conceding 2+ goals in three of these games.

Plymouth came away 3-0 winners when these sides last met back in January, dominating the underlying numbers with an xG of 2.38 from 21 shots and also winning the away fixture 4-0. 

Stockport should have really collected all three points against Sheffield Wednesday on the road last time out, having more than double the number of shots as their opponents (18-6) and also winning the xG battle (1.58-1.18).

Stockport’s home form on paper looks weak, with two defeats from their three home games - but they were very unlucky in both matches. The first defeat was against Blackpool on the opening weekend of the season, where they generated an xG of 3.54 to Blackpool’s 1.79.

The other defeat was a bizarre 4-3 defeat against Leicester in which Russell Martin’s side only recorded an xG of 1.21 from nine shots with Stockport once again winning the battle on underlying numbers (2.29 xG from 19 shots).

Peterborough have endured a really tough start to the season, winning just one of their opening seven matches in League One. They’ve only scored four goals across these games, the lowest return of any side in the division.

They lost 3-1 to Stockport when these sides met back in April, with the home side once again dominating the underlying numbers (3.75 xG from 28 shots). They’re also yet to win a game on the road, scoring just once in three matches. 

Talk Of New York is Racing Ratings' NAP, with a perfect 10/10 rating ahead of this afternoon's race in Newmarket.

He's the odds-on favourite for the race, with two wins in his last five - finishing in the top three in all of those.

He won at Newmarket, also as an odds-on favourite, back in April, so he brings some course form into this event.

Charlie Appleby's yard have been in excellent form of late, and William Buick is back in the saddle, having ridden Talk Of New York in his last two wins.

Talk Of New York has commanded a lot of respect from the bookies with good reason, and the conditions suit him very well.

Rubellite is the 2nd-highest rated horse of the day on Racing Ratings, with a 9.6/10.

With three wins in his last five coming into this, including a victory last time out, it is no surprise to see Rubellite leading the market at the time of writing.

She has multiple wins over course and distance, including as recently as early September and is yet to finish outside the places over this exact trip.

Rubellite has dropped down a level for this race, despite winning recently at a higher grade, and she'll have Conor Whiteley in the saddle - a winning partnership in the recent past.

The course and distance pedigree is too good to ignore, Rubellite has been the most convincing this season of any horse in the 16:35.

Rugby Union is the joint-3rd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings today, with a 9/10.

6/4 favourite and shortening at the time of writing, after winning last time out - the closest three horses to him in the betting are winless in their last six races.

He's a course and distance winner with a good record over these ground conditions.

Joanna Mason returns to ride Rugby Union having been on board for the course and distance win.

Rugby Union has been shortening in odds of late, he may go off a lot closer to odds-on.

Invincible Crown is the joint-3rd highest rated horse on Racing Ratings, with a score of 9.0.

He has won two of his last six races, finishing in the top four in five of those and won last time out.

He has come in to 7/4 of late with his closest challenger at the top of the market, Khabib, drifting at this stage.

Invincible Crown won over course and distance earlier this month and is a specialist at this trip.

The ground conditions are another positive, while Ruth Carr's form as a trainer has picked up recently as well.

Talk Of New York is Racing Ratings' NAP, with a perfect 10/10 rating ahead of this afternoon's race in Newmarket.

He's the odds-on favourite for the race, with two wins in his last five - finishing in the top three in all of those.

He won at Newmarket, also as an odds-on favourite, back in April, so he brings some course form into this event.

Charlie Appleby's yard have been in excellent form of late, and William Buick is back in the saddle, having ridden Talk Of New York in his last two wins.

Talk Of New York has commanded a lot of respect from the bookies with good reason, and the conditions suit him very well.

Rubellite is the 2nd-highest rated horse of the day on Racing Ratings, with a 9.6/10.

With three wins in his last five coming into this, including a victory last time out, it is no surprise to see Rubellite leading the market at the time of writing.

She has multiple wins over course and distance, including as recently as early September and is yet to finish outside the places over this exact trip.

Rubellite has dropped down a level for this race, despite winning recently at a higher grade, and she'll have Conor Whiteley in the saddle - a winning partnership in the recent past.

The course and distance pedigree is too good to ignore, Rubellite has been the most convincing this season of any horse in the 16:35.

Scotland’s trip to Slovenia on Saturday might not seem an obvious both teams to score selection, but I think there is a strong case for both sides finding the net. 

New Scotland boss Sebastian Pocognoli will be looking to bring his proactive approach to the national side. 

There was no shortage of goalmouth action even before his arrival, with both teams scoring in Scotland’s final four World Cup qualifiers, all of which produced over 3.5 goals. 

The Scots also failed to keep a clean sheet in their 4-1 friendly win over Curacao a few weeks before the World Cup.

As for Slovenia, three of their four matches this calendar year have seen both teams score, including their most recent outing, a 2-1 friendly defeat to Croatia in June. 

Goals at both ends in Slovenia’s two World Cup qualifiers against Sweden only strengthen the case for a repeat in Ljubljana on Saturday.

Lewis Ferguson looks well placed to commit at least two fouls against Slovenia.

The Scotland midfielder is a tenacious operator who frequently finds himself on the wrong side of the referee.

That was evident at the World Cup, where Ferguson committed a joint team-high 5 fouls across Scotland’s three matches, giving away multiple free kicks against both Morocco and Brazil.

He was also penalised more than once in each of his five appearances during Scotland’s qualifying campaign.

Ferguson has carried that tendency into this season’s Serie A campaign, reaching the 2+ foul mark in all 5 of his appearances for Bologna and committing exactly 3 fouls in each of his last two outings. 

He could find himself in a direct battle with Adam Gnezda Cerin, who was fouled 3 times when Slovenia hosted Sweden in a World Cup qualifier. 

Cerin also drew an average of 1.35 fouls per game for Panathinaikos in the Greek Super League last season, adding to the appeal of backing Ferguson to overstep the mark at least twice.

Christie often played in an advanced midfield role under Steve Clarke, and there is a good chance he will operate in similar areas under new Scotland boss Sebastian Pocognoli. 

Even if he plays more centrally, he is still happy to try his luck when the opportunity presents itself.

Christie started just one of Scotland’s three World Cup matches and managed a shot against Morocco. 

He also got an effort away against Brazil in the following game, despite coming on as a substitute in the closing stages. 

Christie averaged 1.10 shots per game during Scotland’s World Cup qualifying campaign, which adds weight to this selection.

Even more encouragingly, Christie made his first Premier League start of the season for Bournemouth against Liverpool last weekend and fired off four shots. 

Slovenia should prove difficult to break down, so Christie looks a prime candidate to try his luck at least once in Ljubljana.

A minimum of 5 corners should be within Scotland’s reach against Slovenia on Saturday. 

The hosts will not be pushovers, so the Scots may need to show patience, especially as they adapt to Sebastian Pocognoli’s methods. 

Moreover, Scotland are likely to take a more attacking approach under their new manager, which could help them build a healthy corner count during this contest.

Notably, the Scots won 7 corners against Brazil in their final World Cup group game and 8 away to Greece during qualifying. 

They also won 4 corners away to Denmark, so asking them to go one better against lesser opposition here does not seem too much of a stretch. 

Slovenia conceded 8 corners away to Croatia last time out, having also given up 11 against Montenegro and 9 against Hungary in friendlies earlier this year, adding weight to the case for Scotland to earn 5+ corners on Saturday. 

The hosts were also forced to defend at least 5 flag kicks in each of their final two World Cup qualifiers, including their home game against Kosovo.

I make Norway favourites here, I’m still really not convinced by the balance of this Portuguese side despite the change in manager - and Norway have been so tough to beat at home over the last year as Italy and Denmark have recently found out.

Despite their general dominance at home, Norway do find keeping clean sheets quite difficult. They didn’t keep a single shutout during the World Cup and conceded two goals against Denmark last time out as they picked off their Nations League campaign.

Portugal’s backline isn’t exactly solid either, they conceded an xG of 5.80 across their five games at the World Cup and only kept out Colombia and Uzbekistan, with the former being very unlucky not to get on the scoresheet with an xG of 1.70 from 24 shots.

I do have a soft spot for this Greece side with all the young talent they have coming through, particularly in forward areas, but beating a side like Germany on the road is still probably a step too far for this young team.

Germany are really hard to beat on home soil, they won all three of their games during World Cup qualifying at home and only conceded one goal, netting 13. Those games saw them put six past Slovakia, four past Luxembourg and three past Northern Ireland.

Even in the last Nations League campaign, Germany won all three home games by an aggregate scoreline of 13-0 with this group being more competitive and featuring the likes of Netherlands, Hungary and Bosnia.

Jurgen Klopp does have work to do to bring this Germany side back to the pinnacle of the sport, but this is a good platform for him to earn his first win as Germany boss.

Benjamin Sesko has been called up to the Slovenian squad for this international break, but he’s very unlikely to start here given that he’s suffered a recurrence of the injury that saw him sidelined over the summer.

Vipotnik scored 25 goals in the Championship last season for a pretty average Swansea side, ending the campaign as the top scorer in the division. He’s already scored twice across limited minutes in the Championship this term and also has a decent record at international level.

Vipotnik has scored five goals across his 26 caps for Slovenia, and will see this as a real opportunity to put his case forward against the likes of Sesko, who would usually lead the line for Slovenia if he was fit.

It’s going to take some time for Scotland to adapt to the demands of Sebastien Pocognoli, his style is quite a shift from Steve Clarke’s approach and I think we’ll see Scotland struggle defensively in the early parts of his tenure. 

McGinn has an important role to play here for Scotland with Scott McTominay sidelined for this international break.

McGinn wasn’t the most prolific in Scotland’s World Cup qualifying campaign, but did score two goals across three starts in Scotland’s most recent appearance in the Nations League.

The style of Sebastian Pocognoli should suit Scotland’s attacking players, and finally appease the fans who have been crying out for a more expansive style of play to make the most of Scotland’s emerging talent.

McGinn scored six goals in the Premier League last season, averaging 1.17 shots per 90 with a shot accuracy of 43%. He should have a starring role here with Scotland missing their main talisman.

Lewis Ferguson is one of the most aggressive players in this Scotland side, and will be an important player under Pocognoli with how he wants to set up his team.

Ferguson has committed 13 fouls across five starts for Bologna already this season (2.60 per 90), which has been a foul rate that he has matched regularly over the last few seasons.

He collected three yellow cards across five starts for Scotland during World Cup qualifying, averaging 3.0 fouls committed per 90 across these games.

This recent record for Scotland shows that his role doesn’t change too much when transitioning from club to country. Scotland collected 12 yellow cards during qualifying, so Ferguson was responsible for a quarter of the total cautions that Scotland received. 

Plymouth enter this game in strong form having won each of their last four matches, scoring at least three goals in all of these wins.

They’ve scored the second most goals of any side in League One (14), notably winning two of their three matches in front of their own fans ahead of the visit of a Burton side who have done their best work at home this season - winning just one of their three games on the road.

Burton’s recent form is also cause for concern with Gary Bowyer’s side only winning one of their last five matches, conceding 2+ goals in three of these games.

Plymouth came away 3-0 winners when these sides last met back in January, dominating the underlying numbers with an xG of 2.38 from 21 shots and also winning the away fixture 4-0. 

There are three teams remaining in League Two with a 100% record at home, Bristol Rovers are one of them.

Rovers were flying before a couple of humbling away days has brought them back down to Earth, in fairness they lost at 3rd-placed Grimsby and 4th-placed Gillingham, not the easiest back-to-back games on your travels.

Exeter have only won one of their seven League Two games so far, beating 21st-placed Accrington at home.

These sides look set to be competing at opposite ends of the table this season, and Rovers’ recent defeats have only improved the odds we’re getting on a home win this weekend.

Fleetwood have been a very stubborn side in League Two so far this season, losing just one of their opening seven matches.

They’re unbeaten at home having drawn two of their three matches in front of their own fans, notably conceding just one goal across these games.

The only team to beat Fleetwood in the league is Barnet, a side who sit top of the table in the early stages of the season and are one of only four sides in the division yet to be beaten.

Rochdale have struggled on the road this season, failing to win any of their three away matches this term. They haven’t even managed to score a goal across these games, being one of only two sides yet to score on the road in League Two.

Grimsby have been shortening this week, but there’s still enough juice to get on them winning at Newport on Saturday.

David Artell’s side are still unbeaten in League Two, pulling off back-to-back 2-0 wins heading into this one, and visit a Newport side who’re winless since the opening day.

Newport have scored just twice in their last four matches, and one of those was from inside their own half, and they are yet to beat Grimsby in the four seasons since the visitors returned to League Two.

This is last season’s 7th-placed side travelling to 20th from 2025/26, and the way things have gone so far this season there could be an even bigger gap between the sides this time around.

Barrow are yet to stop the downward spiral that resulted in their relegation from League Two last season.

Southend are eyeing a return to the EFL, now in their sixth season since dropping into the National League, and they’re going the right way about it with six wins from their opening nine in the league.

Southend have scored two or more goals in each of their last four games, three or more in three of those, and beat Gateshead 6-1 on their travels last time out.

Barrow are yet to win from five league away games, conceding two or more goals in three of those and this is one of the longest away days of the season for them.

Southend could go top with a win and attacking midfielder Sam Austin is one to keep an eye on, having scored four goals in two games last week.

I was impressed that Wales managed to keep Portugal to just the one goal on Thursday night, conceding an xG of 1.93 from 23 shots as Craig Bellamy fielded a depleted side that notably was missing Harry Wilson.

Denmark did quite well against Norway last time out and were unlucky to lose the game in the final quarter having matched Norway for shots (13) and shots on target (7) with both sides also having a similar xG (1.41-1.09).

Denmark will see this as the easiest game in their group. That’s not being disrespectful to Wales, but Portugal and Norway are both comfortably better sides - so Denmark should see this as a game they have to win if they want to be competitive in this group, particularly at home.

It is really notable that Wales are missing Harry Wilson at the moment, he was their top scorer during qualifying with five goals and Wales lack something extra in the final third when he doesn’t play.

I do have a soft spot for this Greece side with all the young talent they have coming through, particularly in forward areas, but beating a side like Germany on the road is still probably a step too far for this young team.

Germany are really hard to beat on home soil, they won all three of their games during World Cup qualifying at home and only conceded one goal, netting 13. Those games saw them put six past Slovakia, four past Luxembourg and three past Northern Ireland.

Even in the last Nations League campaign, Germany won all three home games by an aggregate scoreline of 13-0 with this group being more competitive and featuring the likes of Netherlands, Hungary and Bosnia.

Jurgen Klopp does have work to do to bring this Germany side back to the pinnacle of the sport, but this is a good platform for him to earn his first win as Germany boss.

Netherlands snatched an equaliser in the final minute against Germany last time out in Xavi’s first game in charge.

It may look lucky on paper, but I was impressed with what I saw from Xavi’s men who dominated the underlying numbers and probably should have come away with all three points.

Netherlands recorded an xG of 3.18 from 22 shots with 10 of these finding the target. They also had 43 touches in the opposition box, won the corner count 12-1 and had marginally more possession than Jurgen Klopp’s side.

Serbia gave up a 1-0 lead against Greece last time out, losing 2-1 thanks to a last minute strike from Como forward Douvikas. The Greeks managed to register an xG of 2.51 from 26 shots as the away side, I expect Netherlands to produce similar numbers and score at least twice.

I make Norway favourites here, I’m still really not convinced by the balance of this Portuguese side despite the change in manager - and Norway have been so tough to beat at home over the last year as Italy and Denmark have recently found out.

Despite their general dominance at home, Norway do find keeping clean sheets quite difficult. They didn’t keep a single shutout during the World Cup and conceded two goals against Denmark last time out as they picked off their Nations League campaign.

Portugal’s backline isn’t exactly solid either, they conceded an xG of 5.80 across their five games at the World Cup and only kept out Colombia and Uzbekistan, with the former being very unlucky not to get on the scoresheet with an xG of 1.70 from 24 shots.

Vancouver have been a really reliable team to back in the MLS this season and currently sit top of the Western Conference having won 15 of their 25 matches.

Their recent form looks patchy on paper, but they were able to get a really positive result on the road against Real Salt Lake last time out which should help confidence.

Vancouver also have one of the top scorers in the division in Brian White, who has 16 goals in the MLS this season - building on the 18 he managed in the MLS last year.

DC United sit 11th in the Eastern Conference and have had a pretty unremarkable season to date, winning just six of their 25 matches and notably just winning two from 11 on the road.

They’ve also only managed to win one of their last five matches across all competitions, giving Vancouver a real edge over their opponents here as Vancouver have won nine of their 14 home games.

Toronto come into this game having suffered back to back heavy defeats against Orlando and St Louis as the away side, conceding 3+ goals in both games - including an xG against of 2.60 against St Louis.

Toronto are without a clean sheet across their last 10 matches and sit 12th in the Eastern Conference with a dismal away record which has seen them win two of their 12 away assignments, conceding 21 goals in the process.

Nashville should have too much for them here, they came away 3-0 winners over Chicago last time out and have only lost once across their last five matches. Nashville have won a remarkable 12 out of 13 home games this season, avoiding defeat in all of these matches.

They’ve picked up the most points at home of any side across the two conferences and their defensive record looks particularly mean with just 12 goals conceded against 39 scored. 

These sides met back in March with Colorado coming away 4-1 winners on that occasion, with an xG of 2.14 and LA Galaxy dropping down to 10 men for the last 30 minutes of the encounter.

Only three points and one place separates these sides in the Eastern Conference, so we can expect it to be quite a close game with chances for both sides as both are also dangerously close to dropping out of the playoff spots.

This game is particularly important as Colorado have a game in hand on LA Galaxy, meaning they could open up a nine point gap on their opponents if they were to collect all three points and win their extra game. 

Both sides saw BTTS last time out as LA Galaxy emerged 3-2 winners over Minnesota on the road while Colorado had to settle for a point in a 3-3 draw with Seattle Sounders.

Philadelphia’s recovery this season has been quite remarkable after a really slow start that left them bottom of the Eastern Conference after the first few weeks.

Their rise has a lot to do with the talent of Cavan Sullivan who is in unbelievable form with 12 goal contributions across 17 starts at just 16 years of age. 

Philadelphia have won each of their last five matches ahead of this clash, seeing BTTS against Sporting Kansas last time as they emerged 4-3 winners despite only having an underlying xG of 0.86 themselves. 

Orlando have lost their last two matches, but have scored in both of these games and in each of their last 19 matches more widely - stretching all the way back to a blank against Montreal on the road back in May.

Orlando have only won three of their 13 away games in the MLS this term, yet have still scored 23 goals across these games which sums up the side quite well. The 43 goals they’ve conceded across these games is the most on the road of any side in the Eastern Conference. 

Norway get the nod from me here, and I'm still not sold on the balance of this Portugal team despite the managerial change. Norway have proven extremely difficult to overcome on home soil over the past 12 months, as both Italy and Denmark have found out recently.

That said, for all their strength at home, Norway have a habit of conceding. They failed to keep a single clean sheet at the World Cup and shipped two goals against Denmark last time out at the start of their Nations League campaign.

Portugal don't look much better at the back either. They gave up an xG of 5.80 across five World Cup matches and only shut out Colombia and Uzbekistan - with Colombia particularly unfortunate not to score, racking up an xG of 1.70 from 24 attempts.

This selection landed in Serbia’s opening game of their Nations League campaign as they gave up a one goal lead to lose 2-1 to Greece, thanks to a strike in the 95th minute by Douvikas.

Greece deserved that victory, they dominated the underlying numbers and had 26 shots in total - seeing nine of these efforts find the target. They did, however, allow Serbia to generate an xG of 1.42 from nine shots which underlines the attacking threat they could pose here.

I was impressed with Xavi’s Netherlands side last time out as they struck in the final stages to earn a point against Germany. They should have collected all three points really, having registered an xG of 3.18 from 22 shots.

Xavi’s teams are always going to concede chances due to how positive he wants his sides to be. I think they give up chances against this Serbia side, but still have enough quality to come out on top.

Wales lost 1-0 to Portugal last time out, but missed a golden chance to get on the scoresheet in that game with their five shots returning an xG of 0.85.

I really like the approach that Craig Bellamy has taken to this role, he wants Wales to be a side that doesn’t just set up to keep sides out and he will look at Denmark as the weakest of the other opponents Wales have to take on.

However, the Danes are likely to have a similar mindset given that this is the easiest of their assignments on paper so I expect both sides to target this game as a near must win for any chance of success in this group.

Denmark saw this selection land in their opening game against Norway, and were quite unlucky to lose 3-2 with both sides posting similar underlying numbers. They didn’t lose a game at home during World Cup qualifying, and I think they will be able to come out on top but not without Wales getting on the scoresheet. 

These sides have both struggled in the early weeks of the season, with De Graafschap only winning one of their opening seven matches while Den Bosch have won just two of their opening set of fixtures.

Despite the struggles of the home side, they have still been able to find the back of the net in recent weeks with this selection landing in four of their last five matches - with the exception of a 5-0 thrashing by Heracles, who sit top of the league having won six of their seven matches.

What is also notable for this selection is that both sides have only seen one of their opening seven matches finish level. Both backlines are really vulnerable too, only two sides in the Eerste Divisie have conceded more goals than De Graafschap so far (20), while Den Bosch have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their matches.

These sides have both struggled in the early weeks of the season, with De Graafschap only winning one of their opening seven matches while Den Bosch have won just two of their opening set of fixtures.

Despite the struggles of the home side, they have still been able to find the back of the net in recent weeks with this selection landing in four of their last five matches - with the exception of a 5-0 thrashing by Heracles, who sit top of the league having won six of their seven matches.

Both backlines are really vulnerable too, only two sides in the Eerste Divisie have conceded more goals than De Graafschap so far (20), while Den Bosch have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their matches.

I really like the approach that Craig Bellamy has taken to this role, he wants Wales to be a side that doesn’t just set up to keep sides out and he will look at Denmark as the weakest of the other opponents Wales have to take on.

However, the Danes are likely to have a similar mindset given that this is the easiest of their assignments on paper so I expect both sides to target this game as a near must win for any chance of success in this group.

Denmark saw this selection land in their opening game against Norway, and were quite unlucky to lose 3-2 with both sides posting similar underlying numbers.

They didn’t lose a game at home during World Cup qualifying, and I think they will be able to come out on top but not without Wales getting on the scoresheet. 

This selection landed in Serbia’s opening game of their Nations League campaign as they gave up a one goal lead to lose 2-1 to Greece, thanks to a strike in the 95th minute by Douvikas.

Greece deserved that victory, they dominated the underlying numbers and had 26 shots in total - seeing nine of these efforts find the target.

They did, however, allow Serbia to generate an xG of 1.42 from nine shots which underlines the attacking threat they could pose here.

I was impressed with Xavi’s Netherlands side last time out as they struck in the final stages to earn a point against Germany.

They should have collected all three points really, having registered an xG of 3.18 from 22 shots.

Xavi’s teams are always going to concede chances due to how positive he wants his sides to be.

I think they give up chances against this Serbia side, but still have enough quality to come out on top.

There’s a standout game for BTTS on Sunday in the Canadian Premier League.

York United, or Inter Toronto as they're also known, have seen BTTS in 18/22 league games this term, and they host a Pacific side who’ve seen the bet land in 16/22.

These are the best two teams in the division for BTTS Yes.

9/10 York United home games have seen the bet land, and it’s come in during six of the last seven meetings between the sides.

York United have scored in 20/22 league outings, but kept just two clean sheets.

Pacific have been even worse defensively, keeping one league clean sheet across 22 games.

I make Norway favourites here, I’m still really not convinced by the balance of this Portuguese side despite the change in manager - and Norway have been so tough to beat at home over the last year as Italy and Denmark have recently found out.

Despite their general dominance at home, Norway do find keeping clean sheets quite difficult. They didn’t keep a single shutout during the World Cup and conceded two goals against Denmark last time out as they picked off their Nations League campaign.

Portugal’s backline isn’t exactly solid either, they conceded an xG of 5.80 across their five games at the World Cup and only kept out Colombia and Uzbekistan, with the former being very unlucky not to get on the scoresheet with an xG of 1.70 from 24 shots.