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Philadelphia have recovered really well from a slow start to the campaign and enter this clash having won each of their last six matches - netting 3+ goals in five of these games.

It’s no secret that Philadelphia have one of the most talented young players to come out of America in recent years with Cavan Sullivan pitching in with 12 goal contributions in the MLS this term despite still being a teenager. It’ll be interesting to see if his planned move to Manchester City materialises now with all the off field issues.

Real Salt Lake have lost four of their last five games ahead of this clash, but did manage to end that run of four consecutive defeats with a 3-0 win over New England last time out, which was a surprising result but one they deserved on the underlying numbers.

Philadelphia should have too much for this Real Salt Lake, even with that morale boosting win the away side earned last time out. Real Salt Lake are also without seven first team members here, including Diego Luna - who is their best player in my view.

There really isn’t much between these sides, San Jose sit slightly higher in the table but both occupy playoff positions in the Western Conference with this game being a good opportunity to spirit those spots.

Colorado notably boast the second best home record of any side in the Western Conference, only league leaders Vancouver have picked up more points in front of their own fans than Colorado with the home side here winning nine of their 13 matches and netting 25 goals in the process.

San Jose have only kept one clean sheet across their last five matches, but have avoided defeat across these games. They ran out 3-1 winners over Portland at home last time out, but did allow Portland to generate an xG of 1.33 and take more shots (18-13).

Furthermore, San Jose actually boast the joint best away record of any side in the Western Conference - once again levelling the playing field between these two as it matches Colorado’s impressive home record. San Jose have netted 24 goals across their 13 away games this term (1.84 per game).

Orlando have been one of my go-to sides for BTTS in the MLS this season, they’ve seen 112 goals across their 27 matches (4.14 per game), which is unsurprisingly more than any other side across the two divisions.

Orlando have lost each of their last three games ahead of this clash, but have seen BTTS in all three of these matches. They’ve also notably been the away side in all of these matches, which is generally where they have struggled all season - winning just three of their 14 games on the road, but still managing to score 25 goals which sums them up quite well.

Columbus have opposite recent form having won each of their last three matches, seeing BTTS in two of these games. They also have a pretty poor record on the road having won just two of their opening 13 matches and have also recently lost their manager following a comment he made to a female referee.

Each of the last five head to head meetings between the sides have seen BTTS, including the most recent clash which saw Columbus come away 2-1 winners in the Open Cup just last month.

Inter Miami are one of the most entertaining teams in football at the moment, there aren’t many sides that can concede 50 goals across 27 matches (1.85 per game) and still sit third in the league having lost just five of these games.

Their scoring power is usually what separates them from the rest of the sides in the division, no side has scored more goals than Inter Miami in the Eastern Conference of the MLS this term (64 - 2.37 per game). 

They clearly trust in their ability to simply outscore the opposition, making them a good team to back for goals at both ends.

DC United have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, including putting three goals past Western Conference leaders in Vancouver in their most recent away game. 

They should be able to find a way past an Inter Miami side who have only kept one clean sheet across their last five matches - winning just once across these games as well.

Oliver Glasner returns to Selhurst Park for the first time since leaving the club to join Nottingham Forest and I’m a bit concerned about his former club this season from what I’ve seen so far.

Crystal Palace have only managed to win one of their opening five Premier League games, with that victory coming against a Fulham side who I also expect to struggle based on the early signs.

What has been particularly alarming about Palace’s performances so far is how open they look at the back, conceding 11 goals across their five games with only Chelsea (12) conceding more goals in the Premier League so far.

There seems to be an air of discontent too, Sarr and Mateta both pushed for moves away from the club during the summer and there have been rumours of Pierre Sage already having disagreements with the higher ups at Palace.

Forest have scored four goals across their five games so far, but have recorded an xG of 7.30 from these matches. I think they are in a better spot than Palace at the moment and should be able to benefit from the defensive issues currently troubling Sage’s side. 

This is the game of the weekend, everyone will be watching to see how Anfield greets Manchester City following the news that dominated the second half of the international break that City had been found guilty on almost all of their 115 charges.

It’s easy to get sucked into the narrative around the game, but I'm focusing on what I’ve seen from these sides on the pitch so far - with City entering this game having won all five of their Premier League matches, scoring the second most goals of any side in the division (13) behind Brighton (16).

City have scored in all three of their away matches across all competitions against Palace, United and Porto - scoring multiple goals in two of these assignments. They also take on a Liverpool side that is depleted following the international break with Gakpo, Isak and Jacquet all being doubts for this game.

Liverpool have only managed to keep one clean sheet across their four games at Anfield this term across all competitions. I think they’ll miss the presence of Jacquet in particular here, leading to City having enough chances to find the back of the net.

If you’ve been keeping an eye on Serie A this season then you will have noticed a substantial increase in goals and this is directly linked to the rule changes that have been introduced in the league this season which make it a much more enjoyable product.

Only 10 sides in Serie A have actually managed to keep a clean sheet so far this season, highlighting exactly how these rule changes have led to more goals. Sassuolo are one of those teams, having conceded nine goals across their opening five games of the campaign.

Milan haven’t fared much better defensively with only two clean sheets from their opening five games. Ruben Amorim’s style is very chaotic and almost always leads to chances at both ends, which is something Sassuolo can benefit from as they’ve managed to score as many goals as they’ve conceded this season (9).

Real Betis are such a hard team to beat when they’re in front of their own fans and have won each of their three home games at the start of this campaign.

They’ve won these games without conceding a goal too, being the only side in LaLiga to keep a clean sheet in each of their three opening home matches. Their scoring power could be better from these games, but the overall control is worth factoring in to any angle in this game.

Osasuna have struggled on the road in LaLiga so far this season, winning just one of their three away matches. They’ve conceded 10 goals across these games (3.33 per game) - which is the third highest tally in LaLiga for sides when travelling away from home.

Betis beat Osasuna 2-0 in this fixture last season, and I can see a similar sort of scoreline playing out here with how both sides have started the season. I can’t see Osasuna being able to find a way past this stubborn Betis backline, and even if they do - it’s likely that they are outscored with their poor defensive record on the road. 

After returning to Everton over the summer, Grealish was trusted to start their final two games before the international break. He drew four fouls against Wolves in the EFL Cup before winning another two free-kicks against Ipswich. Last season, the winger averaged 3.29 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions for the Toffees.

Grealish remains one of the best players in the league when it comes to inviting contact and forcing defenders into challenges. He can be a frustrating player to deal with, and Lewie Coyle will have the tough task of trying to contain him. The Hull captain is averaging only 0.81 fouls per 90 and has been carded once across six starts, but this promises to be his toughest matchup of the season.

Harrison Armstrong seems to have established himself as an important starter in Everton’s double pivot. The 19-year-old has started six out of seven competitive matches for his side this season, and he has completed the full 90 minutes in five of those appearances.

Armstrong is averaging 1.68 fouls per 90 in that time, landing this selection in three of those starts, and he has already collected two yellow cards. Those numbers reflect how much of a role he is given with protecting the backline - no Everton player has accrued more fouls than Armstrong so far this season. He should find duels against Oli McBurnie this weekend, as the striker often drops deeper to get on the ball. The Scottish international is averaging 2.34 fouls drawn per 90 this campaign.

Oli McBurnie has been amongst the fouls this season - he is also averaging 1.43 fouls committed per 90, picking up two yellow cards from five Premier League appearances. The striker is always willing to engage in a physical duel, and Hull usually play quite direct to McBurnie to get him as involved in the game as possible. 

The 30-year-old should find plenty of duels against Tarkowski here, who is equally as aggressive. With that being said, the Everton centre-back does tend to go down easily at times to buy soft free-kicks, and he is averaging 1.50 fouls drawn per 90 this season. That is the second-highest figure in the Everton squad behind Grealish.

Thierno Barry has made an impressive start to the season, scoring five goals from seven appearances in all competitions. That includes a hat-trick against Preston in the EFL Cup, as well as goals against Crystal Palace and Ipswich in the Premier League.

The Frenchman is averaging 4.35 shots per 90, which is notably high, and he could easily have added more goals to his tally. Barry has shown a massive improvement when it comes to finding space inside the penalty area compared to last season, and with the likes of Grealish and Dewsbury-Hall operating behind him, chances should continue to flow for the 23-year-old.

Utrecht have conceded 13 goals in their three Eredivisie home matches this season, but they have also scored in every one of them.

Willem II's away record tells a similar story: 10 goals conceded in three games, with the visitors finding the net on each occasion.

Despite sitting bottom of the table, Willem II average 10.33 shots per away game, while Devin Haen has three league goals to his name.

All six of those home and away fixtures have also produced at least 27 shots in total, highlighting how open their games have been.

Utrecht could be without their leading scorer Artem Stepanov, who has five goals, although Adrian Blake and Dani de Wit have contributed two apiece.

Both teams have scored in all six of those fixtures. With neither defence offering much resistance, there is a strong case for BTTS.

Como are yet to keep a clean sheet in Serie A this season.

That is a concern with league leaders Roma coming to town, particularly given the visitors' impressive scoring form.

However, Cesc Fàbregas' side pose a significant attacking threat themselves, averaging 2.44 xG and 23.4 shots per game, with nine goals scored in five league outings.

Roma have been even more prolific, scoring 14 times in five matches.

Donyell Malen has accounted for six of those goals and is expected to start again.

The obvious counterargument is Roma's away defensive record: no goals conceded in two matches. It is still a small sample, though.

Como's attacking numbers suggest they have the firepower to test that record, while Roma's goalscoring form makes it difficult to look past the visitors finding the net themselves.

The Rhineland derby brings together two sides who are yet to keep a clean sheet in the Bundesliga this season.

Köln have scored in all four league matches, averaging 17 shots and 1.75 xG per game, but they have also conceded nine goals along the way.

Gladbach's defensive record is even more alarming: four defeats, 16 goals conceded and an average xGA of 2.12 per match.

There are reasons for caution, though. Gladbach have failed to score in both away fixtures, while Köln have lost forwards Dallinga and Ache to injury.

Even so, with neither defence looking particularly secure, BTTS remains worth considering.

All three of Excelsior's Eredivisie home matches this season have seen both teams score. The same is true of Groningen's three away fixtures.

Both sides have scored 15 goals in seven league games, although their defensive records tell a different story. Groningen have conceded 13, compared with nine for Excelsior.

Groningen have been particularly vulnerable on the road, shipping 2.33 goals per game on average and recording 2.17 xGA.

That should encourage an Excelsior side who have scored in every league match so far.

The hosts have hardly been convincing at the back either, conceding five goals across their three home fixtures.

Six matches across the relevant home and away records, six BTTS outcomes. Both sides have shown they can score, and neither has managed to keep opponents out consistently.

Auxerre have lost both away matches so far, but they have managed to find the net on each occasion despite conceding eight goals across those two fixtures.

Rennes, meanwhile, remain unbeaten at Roazhon Park, where they have scored six times in three games while averaging 1.81 xG and 17 shots per match.

Esteban Lepaul has been Rennes' main attacking threat, scoring three league goals. Auxerre also have a player in form, with Cameron Archer netting three times in just three appearances.

The visitors have shown signs of defensive improvement, conceding only once across their last two victories, although both wins came at home.

Away from home, they are still averaging 1.90 xGA per match.

Rennes' attacking output at home, coupled with Auxerre's ability to score even in defeat, makes BTTS an appealing option.

If you’ve been keeping an eye on Serie A this season then you will have noticed a substantial increase in goals and this is directly linked to the rule changes that have been introduced in the league this season which make it a much more enjoyable product.

Only 10 sides in Serie A have actually managed to keep a clean sheet so far this season, highlighting exactly how these rule changes have led to more goals. Sassuolo are one of those teams, having conceded nine goals across their opening five games of the campaign.

Milan haven’t fared much better defensively with only two clean sheets from their opening five games. Ruben Amorim’s style is very chaotic and almost always leads to chances at both ends, which is something Sassuolo can benefit from as they’ve managed to score as many goals as they’ve conceded this season (9).

It’s hard to see how this will be a low scoring game with all of the background noise affecting Manchester City following on from the announcement that City have been found guilty of nearly all of the 115 charges put to them three years ago.

Ironically, City now travel to face the side who suffered more as a result of City’s cheating more than any other side in the Premier League. Liverpool will be eager to welcome them too, having only lost one of the last six meetings between the teams at Anfield - with half of these games seeing 3+ goals.

Liverpool have seen 3+ goals in three of their four games at Anfield this season, with the exception of a 0-0 draw against Fulham that saw both sides combine to produce an xG of 1.98 as well as 42 touches in the box.

Liverpool are set to be without Jeremy Jacquet for this clash which is a big miss to a back line that already looked pretty vulnerable. I think City will be able to score here, and Liverpool should have all the motivation they need to contribute to this tally as well.

Unsurprisingly, Erling Haaland has had more shots on target than any other player in the Premier League across the opening five games of the season.

I thought that he may have some slight issues in adapting to Maresca’s style of play, but that hasn’t been the case with the striker looking even better than he did last season having scored five goals across his five starts from 10 shots on target (2.0 per 90).

Haaland enjoyed a strong international break too, scoring three goals across his four games for Norway from 18 shots (4.81 per 90), seeing half of those efforts find the target (2.40 per 90).

Haaland has scored in each of his last three appearances against Liverpool, netting a hat trick when the sides last met in the FA Cup earlier this year. He had 2+ SOT in all three of those games, actually finding the target on three occasions in two of those assignments.

Alexander Isak and Cody Gakpo are real doubts for this game having picked up injuries during the international break, setting the stage for Bradley Barcola to make his first real impact in a Liverpool shirt.

Barcola has everything to be a top winger, he’s really quick and regularly gets into promising positions. His issue over the last few seasons has been converting these opportunities, his final product has been a bit lacking even in his early few weeks at Liverpool - but he’s still been getting into decent positions to take aim.

He started both games against Belgium for France over the international break, having 2+ shots in both games and also finding the target in both matches. He also had an effort on target against Bournemouth just before the international break, and notably averaged 1.59 shots on target per 90 for PSG in Ligue 1 last season. 

There aren’t many players who will be as fired up as Dominik Szoboszlai for this game, who has been moved to a slightly deeper role by Andoni Iraola as he tries to find the best balance for his midfield.

Szoboszlai has committed 10 fouls across his five starts in the Premier League already this season (2.04 per 90). This is a substantial increase on his foul numbers from last season (1.14 per 90), with Liverpool generally playing with more intensity under Iraola as they attempt to understand his style of play.

Szoboszlai will be directly up against a trio of Cherki, Anderson and Fernandez who have all shown promise when it comes to winning fouls this season - Anderson and Fernandez are the two shortest players in the market with most bookmakers to be fouled here, giving Szoboszlai the perfect direct opponents to commit at least one foul. 

After returning to Everton over the summer, Grealish was trusted to start their final two games before the international break. He drew four fouls against Wolves in the EFL Cup before winning another two free-kicks against Ipswich. Last season, the winger averaged 3.29 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions for the Toffees.

Grealish remains one of the best players in the league when it comes to inviting contact and forcing defenders into challenges. He can be a frustrating player to deal with, and Lewie Coyle will have the tough task of trying to contain him. The Hull captain is averaging only 0.81 fouls per 90 and has been carded once across six starts, but this promises to be his toughest matchup of the season.

I was not surprised at all to see Enzo Fernandez as the shortest player with most bookmakers to pick up a card in what should be a really intense game.

Fernandez hasn’t been at City very long, but has still managed to become a fan favourite and the main reason for that is his passion.

He’ll relish being part of a side that everyone hates, and you’ll see that in his general demeanour on the pitch.

Fernandez picked up his first caution in a City shirt in another recent high profile game as City came away 1-0 winners over Manchester United, despite dropping down to 10 men.

It definitely won’t be the last caution that Fernandez picks up for City seeing as he collected 10 yellow cards across his 35 starts in the Premier League for Chelsea last season, averaging 1.04 fouls committed per 90.

Hull rank top of the Premier League charts for total yellow cards this season, with 18 bookings from their five matches. They have landed this selection in every league game so far, including ten yellow cards across their final two fixtures before the international break against Chelsea and Newcastle.

The Tigers like to be strong in their tackles and compete for every loose ball, which has been a theme under Sergej Jakirovic. Last season, Hull picked up the most yellow cards in the Championship. This looks like a difficult matchup for the Tigers against an Everton side who have forced at least two cards from their opponents in four of their last five fixtures.

Everton are averaging 5.14 corners per game across all competitions this season, landing this selection in four of their seven matches. They finished on exactly four corners in all three misses, highlighting how consistently they have got close to this line. David Moyes likes his side to utilise width and get crosses into the box at every available opportunity. 

Meanwhile, Hull are conceding an average of 5.43 corners per game. They have started the season strongly in terms of results, but goalkeeper Konstantinos Tzolakis has played a significant role in that success. Opponents have generally found no issue in carving out shooting chances against Hull, and Everton are expected to control proceedings at the MKM Stadium this weekend.

James Tarkowski is perhaps Everton’s biggest threat from set pieces, and he has registered a shot in five of his six starts this season. The centre-back even scored the equalising goal against Bournemouth a few weeks ago, firing home a rebound during stoppage time to rescue a point at the Vitality Stadium.

Tarkowski is strong in the air, and he is usually the target when Everton send balls into the box. With Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and James Garner usually the ones responsible for crossing the ball in, Tarkowski is always in the game. Hull have conceded an average of 13.8 shots per game this season, so there should be chances for the Everton centre backs to get forward here.

No Hull player has recorded more shots in the Premier League this season than Mohamed Belloumi, who really announced himself by scoring a brace at Stamford Bridge. His two goals helped the Tigers earn an impressive 2-2 draw against Chelsea, and he has established himself as one of Hull’s danger men going forward.

Belloumi is averaging 2.94 shots per 90 from his five league appearances this term, landing this selection in four of those matches. Considering Hull have spent a lot of time this season defending deep and trying to protect their leads, those figures are impressive. In their only league defeat, the Tigers accumulated 22 shots against Newcastle, with Belloumi accounting for five of those.

Belloumi has carried a significant attacking threat, but his defensive contribution has been equally impressive. The winger often tracks back to support Lewie Coyle defensively, while also leading the press for Hull from the front at times. 

Belloumi ranks top of the Hull squad for tackles, averaging 3.62 per 90 in the Premier League. That includes six tackles against Newcastle just before the international break. He is also averaging 1.58 fouls per 90, demonstrating his willingness to get stuck into duels and attempt to regain possession for his side. Belloumi should operate on the same flank as Jack Grealish this weekend, and Everton are likely to channel the majority of their play down that flank, which will bring Belloumi into the game.

I always am really surprised whenever Cherki is left out of the starting eleven, City have a lot of talented attacking players but he’s the one who really makes things happen - even if he doesn’t quite have the work rate of some other players in the squad.

Cherki has registered five goal contributions across just four starts in the Premier League this season, matching the output of Haaland and Semenyo despite not getting the same minutes in the early weeks of Maresca’s tenure at the club.

Cherki enjoyed a really positive international break too, registering a goal contribution in three of the four matches despite only starting two of these games. He’s made for big games too, many of you will remember the wonderful he scored against Arsenal earlier this year and the Anfield atmosphere won’t affect him too much.

Cherki registered 16 goal contributions across just 19 starts in the Premier League last season, with 12 of these being assists. I think he’ll be one of the City players that is pretty unaffected by the recent news, and be able to cause Liverpool problems.

I was not surprised at all to see Enzo Fernandez as the shortest player with most bookmakers to pick up a card in what should be a really intense game.

Fernandez hasn’t been at City very long, but has still managed to become a fan favourite and the main reason for that is his passion.

He’ll relish being part of a side that everyone hates, and you’ll see that in his general demeanour on the pitch.

Fernandez picked up his first caution in a City shirt in another recent high profile game as City came away 1-0 winners over Manchester United, despite dropping down to 10 men.

It definitely won’t be the last caution that Fernandez picks up for City seeing as he collected 10 yellow cards across his 35 starts in the Premier League for Chelsea last season, averaging 1.04 fouls committed per 90.

This is a really nice price for Mac Allister to pick up a card at Anfield on Sunday, I’d consider taking it as a single as well with how well suited Mac Allister is to Andoni Iraola’s ideal style of play.

Iraola wants to play with intensity, which is something that Liverpool lacked last season - especially in midfield. Trying to fit Mac Allister, Gravenberch, Wirtz and Szoboszlai all into the same midfield is simply not going to work and Iraola has realised that with Gravenberch being the player to drop out.

I personally think that Wirtz should be the one to make way, but it leaves Liverpool with Mac Allister and Szoboszlai to cover a lot of ground and get stuck in. Mac Allister has picked up one yellow card already this season, with that coming against Ipswich - he also collected a caution against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League.

It’s been a big week for Southampton manager Tonda Eckert, but with Spygate now finally put behind him, full focus can now go towards pushing for promotion again this season, and what’s left is a Southampton attack that can’t stop scoring.

Their 15 goals in 4 home games is the most by any Championship side since Reading tallied 16 in the 2008/09 season, which explains why clean sheets are so hard to come by at St Mary’s. But defensively, they’ve been leaking goals too, with their only clean sheet this season coming in Round 1 of the EFL Cup away to League 2 side Colchester.

Portsmouth have done their bit, too, only failing to score twice all season, and averaging 1.2 goals per 90 in the league. Last seasons 0-0 is an obvious concern, but only 3 of the last 10 meetings between these sides,  a run stretching back to 2004, have ended with a team keeping the other out.

If Portsmouth are to hurt Southampton, Segecic is likely to be at the heart of it. No player has played more minutes for the club than the 22 year old this season, and he’s created 5 big chances already. For context, the next closest teammate has generated 2, so he’s already proving to conduct the attacks.

So far in the Championship, he’s averaged 3.4 shots a game, with 0.6 per 90 landing on target, whilst his 1.7 total xG is second best in the squad. That 0.6 is modest on its own, but Portsmouth's shot map only further points towards his success - 62% of all their shots have come through the central channel, whilst 49% have come within the 18 yard box, with the intersection of these zones landing directly in the positions Segecic tends to pick up.

When Southampton played Bristol in their most recent home fixture, Dom Ballard manged two shots on target from this same position in his 58 minutes on the pitch, so if you’re looking for Southamptons defensive frailty, then it’s here.

With Kamara expected to continue starting out on the the right for Pompey, Ryan Manning will be in for a busy afternoon.

Not only does the Irish international play a huge part in providing width in the attack, but he's equally important at providing defensive cover out wide. Kamara has won 7 fouls in his last 5 games, and is drawing 1.65 per 90 in the Championship this season, so he’s a player opponents tend to bring down.

Manning at left back will be the man trying to stop him, but just as much as Kamara wins them, he commits them. In each of his last 5 starts he has brought a man down, picking up 2 yellow cards in the process, whilst continuing that trend with 4 fouls in his 4 appearances during the international break.

That side of the pitch will certainly see action, with most of Portsmouth’s attacks coming down that wing, so this I’ll be surprised if Manning isn’t penalised at some point in the match.

Set pieces are one of the Saints best routes to goal, and summer signing Keven Schlotterbeck has taken to them instantly.

Thanks to the high-quality deliveries from Ward-Prowse, Manning and Scienza, the 6’2” German recorded a headed shot on target in his debut against Milwall, before scoring on his second outing against Birmingham. He’s also had 5 shots in his last 5, each of which resulting from a set-piece, with all but one of them headers.

In fact, only Bristol City and West Ham have scored more set-piece goals than Southampton in the Championship this season, whilst Portsmouth are averaging 11.7 fouls per 90, so dead-ball chances should be plentiful. A defender is always a slightly cheeky shots pick, but 5 in 5 is a pattern, not luck.

Cyle Larin has taken the Championship by storm, leading the charge for the league’s top goalscorer, but the Canadian is quiety (or not so quietly) getting stuck in, too. In his 8 league appearances this season, he's committing 2.11 fouls per 90, with his last 5 matches reading 0, 2, 3, 2, 3. With the nature of the derby factored in, I’d be surprised if that didn’t add even more fuel to the fire.

Those numbers aren’t a fluke, either. Prior to his January move to the South Coast, he committed 4 fouls in his lacklustre 152 minutes for Eredevisie giants Feyenoord. Meanwhile, Pompey’s Ebou Adams wins 2.83 fouls per 90 in all competitions this season, with teammate and centre-back Poole winning 1.36, so neither will be afraid to go down if Larin gets too close.

2+ is certainly a bigger ask than 1+, but given his recent run and the feisty clash for territorial bragging rights, it’s well within his reach.

Tuten has had over 9.5 receiving yards in 3/4 games this season, including both of his last 2 where he had 17 vs. the Patriots in Week 3 and 18 vs. the Bengals in Week 4.

He has already had 54 receiving yards this season, meaning he's well on track to surpass his 79 receiving yards in 2025. Tuten could do this on Sunday against a Eagles side that ranks 16th in the NFL in opposing passing yards per game (222.0) and who conceded a whopping 309.0 passing yards in their 20-24 defeat to the Rams in Week 4.

With 7 receptions from 4 games already this season - compared to 10 from 15 games throughout all of 2025 - it is clear the Jaguars RB is being targeted more this campaign (7 targets so far in 2026, 14 targets in all of 2025) and he should be able to get over this modest total in London.

Tuten has scored 2 TDs this season - against Denver and New England - and has had 277 rushing yards in 4 games so far. This is just 30 short of his overall total in 2025, despite playing 15 games.

It is clear that Tuten is being trusted far more by this Jaguars team, while he also had 2 TDs called back last week because of holding penalties. With an impressive 4.6 rushing yards per carry, he could profit against an Eagles side that is expected to have to spend a lot of time on the field defensively due to their offensive struggles.

With the Eagles 23rd in opponent rushing yards per game (122.0) and Jacksonville 3rd with a red zone scoring percentage (TD only) of 81.82%, Tatum could have a number of opportunities to reach the end zone, particularly as he also leads the Jaguars in red-zone carries

The Eagles offense sits 26th in the NFL with an average of 18.8 PPG and are likely to be without a number of key players. The trip to London means DeVonta Smith (hamstring) and Dallas Goedert (knee) may not feature, while Eagles star RB Saquon Barkley left the field last week with a hamstring injury too.

Meanwhile, the Eagles face a Jacksonville side that has the 2nd-tightest defense in the NFL, averaging just 13.3 OPP PPG and 1.3 opponent TDs per game. All of the Jaguars last 3 games finished with 41 points or fewer, and their Week 1 win vs. the Browns only had 44 points. The Jaguars should be able to hold off the Eagles, pointing to the Under.

Hurts has gone Over 174 passing yards in 2/4 games this season, although none of his last 2. However, with the Eagles 7.5-point underdogs, this points to it being a passing game for Philadelphia, despite their injuries.

This could be to Hurts' advantage as Jacksonville has the 2nd-weakest defense in terms of opponent passing yards per game (280.3). Last time out, in their 17-22 win vs. the Bengals, the Jags conceded a whopping 414.0 passing yards.

Over their last 3 games, Jacksonville also has the weakest passing defense in the NFL with an average of 312.0 opponent yards conceded per game. Hurts averaged 201.5 passing yards per game last season and even though he's down to 178.3 over the first 4 games in 2026, he should be able to surpass this modest total in London based on these Jags numbers

With 8 passing TDs already this season, Lawrence faces an Eagles side that ranks 16th in the NFL on opponent passing yards per game (222.0).

Last time out vs. the Rams, the Eagles allowed 309.0 yards and with cornerback Quinyon Mitchell and pass rusher Jonathan Greenard potentially absent for this game in London, they could be weakened considerably.

Lawrence has had 4 passing TDs in his last 2 games - 3 vs. New England and 1 vs. Cincinnati - and if he can find a foothold early in this one, he should be able to clear 1.5 passing TDs, not least because the Eagles are likely to be defending for most of the game due to their banged-up offense.

Oliver Glasner returns to Selhurst Park this weekend for the first time since leaving Crystal Palace for Nottingham Forest. Yeremy Pino didn’t quite have the desired impact under the Austrian manager last season, but he has played with more confidence this season on the left wing. 

Pino is averaging 2.28 shots per 90 across all competitions so far, and he opened his account for the season during Palace’s 4-0 Europa League victory over Lech Poznan. The Spaniard is always looking to cut inside onto his stronger right foot, and let fly when the space opens up, and four of his ten efforts in total this season have hit the target.

I was really intrigued to see how Oliver Glasner would make the most of Morgan Gibbs-White in his 3-4-3 shape as he seemed like the perfect player to slot into one of those two roles just behind the central striker.

He’s started the season really well in this role, registering three goal contributions across his five starts and acting as Forest’s most dangerous player. He’s taken 10 shots across these games (2.00 per 90), seeing one of those efforts find the back of the net. 

Gibbs-White scored 15 goals in the Premier League last season, ending the campaign as Forest’s top scorer. He took 83 shots across his 35 starts to reach that tally (2.40 per 90), showing a consistency when it comes to Gibbs-White’s shot output despite the change in style and system at Forest.

Honest Ahanor is on loan from Chelsea at Crystal Palace having signed for the Blues from Atalanta over the summer for an eye raising £40 million fee. 

Chelsea signing relatively unknown youngsters for that sort of transfer fee doesn’t even really surprise many people anymore, but Ahanor is seriously talented and has impressed in his brief appearances for Crystal Palace so far - especially when it comes to winning fouls.

Ahanor was fouled five times on his Premier League debut for Crystal Palace, playing as the left sided centre back in Palace’s 3-4-3 shape. He looked really comfortable on the ball in that game and will now face off against Liam Delap, one of the most careless forwards in the Premier League when it comes to making challenges.

Delap has committed five fouls across his three starts for Forest already this season (1.62 per 90), and maintained an average of 2.04 fouls committed per 90 across 12 starts for Chelsea last season. 

Oliver Glasner returns to Selhurst Park for the first time since leaving the club to join Nottingham Forest and I’m a bit concerned about his former club this season from what I’ve seen so far.

Crystal Palace have only managed to win one of their opening five Premier League games, with that victory coming against a Fulham side who I also expect to struggle based on the early signs.

What has been particularly alarming about Palace’s performances so far is how open they look at the back, conceding 11 goals across their five games with only Chelsea (12) conceding more goals in the Premier League so far.

There seems to be an air of discontent too, Sarr and Mateta both pushed for moves away from the club during the summer and there have been rumours of Pierre Sage already having disagreements with the higher ups at Palace.

Forest have scored four goals across their five games so far, but have recorded an xG of 7.30 from these matches. I think they are in a better spot than Palace at the moment and should be able to benefit from the defensive issues currently troubling Sage’s side. 

Emmanuel Longelo is another Motherwell player who appeals in the shots market, and I’m backing him to let fly at least once.

Longelo was arguably the standout left-back in Scotland last season and carries a considerable attacking threat, with plenty of licence to push forward. 

That is underlined by his 8 goals for Motherwell in the top flight last term, alongside an average of 1.39 shots per game.

While he has yet to score domestically this season, he did find the net away at Freiburg in a Europa Conference League qualifier.

The Motherwell ace has also fired 1+ shot in each of his last five Scottish Premiership outings, including Motherwell’s road game at Rangers last month.

With both teams likely to play on the front foot, there looks to be value in backing Longelo to try his luck at least once.

The former Rangers youngster appears to have found a new lease of life at Fir Park, where his willingness to pull the trigger has caught the eye.

Lowry has already racked up 21 shots in the Scottish Premiership this season, a tally bettered by only two players.

A closer look shows that he has attempted multiple shots in four of his last five league appearances, including 5 at home to Dundee United and 6 at home to Aberdeen.

Celtic still look shaky at the back, and their attacking approach should give Lowry space to get a couple of efforts away.

Motherwell look worth siding with to earn at least four corners against Celtic on Sunday afternoon.

Alfred Johansson’s side like to take the game to their opponents, regardless of who they face, and that approach regularly sees them rack up plenty of corners. 

Indeed, the Steelmen are averaging 5.58 corners per game in the Scottish Premiership this season. 

They have earned at least 4 in each of their last five league games, including 5 against Rangers at Ibrox.

As for Celtic, they have conceded 5 corners at Kilmarnock and 6 at St Mirren on their top-flight travels this term.

It’s also worth noting that Motherwell forced exactly 4 flag kicks when the teams met at Fir Park towards the end of last season, further strengthening the case for this selection.

Every Juventus game I tip on, I keep coming back to fouls for the Portuguese winger, I’m surprised his odds haven’t shortened further when you look at some of the other prices available.

Conceicao has averaged a massive 2.75 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A this season. He’s made at least two fouls in three of his five league games so far.

Including racking up four against both Parma and Frosinone.

He is very aggressive in his desire to get the ball back and will hunt down his opposite number to try and turn over the ball as quickly as possible.

He was also sent off in the international break for Portugal.

Of course, the wide man is also a threat going forward. He’s averaged 1.25 shots on target per 90 minutes and his five shots on target is the most in the Juve squad.

He’s had one or more in four out of five Serie A matches so far this season.

Against Inter, Cagliari conceded seven shots on target and they’ve conceded an average of 4.20 per 90 minutes.

Juventus can be frustrating at times but they have only been beaten once so far and produced an excellent 2-0 win against Atalanta before the break and also a drubbing of NEC in Europe.

The Frenchman can be an incredibly frustrating watch, as Juve fans are finding out. One thing he does do well at though, is winning fouls.

He’s been fouled eight times so far this season, the most of any Juve player, working out at an average of 1.60 times per 90 minutes.

He’s been fouled at least once in four out of five games this season. He’s also one of the more nailed on players for good minutes, as he’s played 90 in every game bar one; in which he played 88 minutes.

The young midfielder, on-loan from Roma, has had an excellent start to the season and earned himself game-time for Italy in the international break.

Romano has been racking up plenty of shots and the price here looks generous, especially with some of the space that Juve give up in midfield.

He’s had seven shots so far, an average of 1.42 per 90 minutes and the third most in the Cagliari squad.

He’s had at least one shot in every single game this season and also managed one in both of his starts for Italy during the break.

The Colts come into this road game off the back of a trip to London, while Pittsburgh has had a semi-bye week having playing on Thursday.

The handicap being 2.5 makes this bet attractive, particularly when you consider the Steelers' 17-2 all-time record vs. the Colts in Pittsburgh. The Colts rank 30th in the NFL on opponent yards per game with 392.3 (Pittsburgh ranks 13th with 322.3) with Pittsburgh 17th in yards per game (317.8) compared to Indianapolis' 26th (284.3 yards per game).

The Colts may score more (25.5 PPG vs. 19.3) but the Steelers concede fewer (21.8 OPP PPG vs. 26.0). Indianapolis also has the habit of giving up big plays. So based on the circumstances and Pittsburgh's home field advantage, I'll take the Steelers here

Both sides are 0-4, but the Texans are coming into this game after their strongest performance of the season so far, having narrowly lost 30-34 to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 4.

Indeed, they were leading 16-6 at halftime, scuppered by a late-game collapse. C.J. Stroud threw for 347 yards and 2 TDs, while the Texans moved the ball well in general. Their defensive issues prevail (joint-27th in OPP PPG with 27.3 and 20th in opponent yards per game with 343.8) but Tennessee ranks 2nd-bottom on PPG at 13.8 and bottom in yards per game (261.3).

Following their good showing against the Cowboys, expect the Texans to continue this momentum against a poor Tennessee side. There are concerns about crossing 7 - maybe go -6.5 as a safer option in this accumulator - but I'm confident enough to back the -7.5

The Browns have won all of their last 3, while the Jets have lost all of their last 3. Their last 2 defeats have been by 7-point (31-24 vs. Detroit) and 11-point (23-12 vs. Chicago) margins too, while against the Bears, they managed a measly 157.0 offensive yards.

The Browns' recent run of form has been off the back of their strong defense and they shouldn't be troubled too much by a Jets side that ranks 25th in the NFL on yards per game with an average of 286.0.

There are clouds for Cleveland though, with Mason Graham (MCL, ankle) and Mike Hall Jr. (ankle) likely to be out through injury. Despite this, the Jets offense has failed to convince, so I'm still fancying the Browns

The Raiders are the 7th highest scorers in the NFL this season, averaging 28.8 PPG. Their lowest scoring game so far this season was 26, when they defeated the Chargers 14-26 in Week 2.

In addition, Raiders QB Kirk Cousins has thrown for 11 TD passes over the 4 games so far. In contrast, the Patriots are not high scorers (ranking 30th in the NFL with an average of 16.3 PPG) but have been kickstarted into life, having scored 29 points in their 26-29 victory over the Bills last week.

Drake Maye seems to have returned to form too, throwing for 269 yards and 3 TDs. With the Raiders 31st in the NFL on opponent yards per rush attempt (5.2), the Patriots could also utilise their rushing game too (they sit 11th with an average of 117.8 rushing yards per game). All this points to the Over

If you’ve been keeping an eye on Serie A this season then you will have noticed a substantial increase in goals and this is directly linked to the rule changes that have been introduced in the league this season which make it a much more enjoyable product.

Only 10 sides in Serie A have actually managed to keep a clean sheet so far this season, highlighting exactly how these rule changes have led to more goals. Sassuolo are one of those teams, having conceded nine goals across their opening five games of the campaign.

Milan haven’t fared much better defensively with only two clean sheets from their opening five games. Ruben Amorim’s style is very chaotic and almost always leads to chances at both ends, which is something Sassuolo can benefit from as they’ve managed to score as many goals as they’ve conceded this season (9).

Oliver Glasner returns to Selhurst Park for the first time since leaving the club to join Nottingham Forest and I’m a bit concerned about his former club this season from what I’ve seen so far.

Crystal Palace have only managed to win one of their opening five Premier League games, with that victory coming against a Fulham side who I also expect to struggle based on the early signs.

What has been particularly alarming about Palace’s performances so far is how open they look at the back, conceding 11 goals across their five games with only Chelsea (12) conceding more goals in the Premier League so far.

There seems to be an air of discontent too, Sarr and Mateta both pushed for moves away from the club during the summer and there have been rumours of Pierre Sage already having disagreements with the higher ups at Palace.

Forest have scored four goals across their five games so far, but have recorded an xG of 7.30 from these matches. I think they are in a better spot than Palace at the moment and should be able to benefit from the defensive issues currently troubling Sage’s side. 

It hasn’t taken long for Quinten Timber to establish himself as a regular starter for Crystal Palace, and he is expected to retain his place in midfield on Sunday afternoon. He has made five appearances for the Eagles, averaging 1.92 fouls drawn per 90, landing this selection in three of those matches.

Timber likes to receive possession under pressure in the middle of the park, and he can be adept at inviting contact before going down to win soft free-kicks. He only failed to clear this line against Middlesbrough and Lech Poznan, but he was substituted early in both matches. Nottingham Forest’s midfielders will look to press aggressively under Oliver Glasner, which should give Timber enough duels to land this selection.

Timber hasn’t been completely innocent himself, as he is also averaging 1.92 fouls committed per 90 this season. He has recorded multiple infringements in four of his five starts, and he should find duels against James McAtee in midfield at Selhurst Park.

McAtee has been given a much greater role since Glasner arrived at Nottingham Forest, emerging as a regular starter. He sees plenty of the ball in midfield, and often looks to carry it forward. Because of that, he has drawn nine fouls from five Premier League appearances, averaging 1.93 fouls drawn per 90. This selection has landed in four of his five starts, and this looks like a solid matchup to increase that hit-rate.

Lewie Coyle looks set for a difficult afternoon on Sunday, as he should be directly up against Jack Grealish. The former Man City man has drawn nine fouls in four appearances for Everton this season, despite two of those outings coming from the bench. He is averaging 3.40 fouls drawn per 90.

Even though that is a relatively small sample, Grealish averaged 3.29 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions for Everton last season. He sees plenty of the ball on the left wing and remains one of the most effective players in the Premier League at inviting contact. Coyle has started all five of Hull’s league matches so far, and this promises to be his toughest individual matchup so far.

Man City won all three head-to-head meetings against Liverpool last season, and Erling Haaland caused problems in every match. The Norwegian found the back of the net in all three encounters, including a hat-trick during City’s FA Cup victory, and he was fouled four times across those fixtures.

Van Dijk committed at least one infringement in all three meetings, including two fouls during the league encounter at Anfield. The Liverpool captain is averaging only 0.33 fouls per 90 this season, but this selection is based heavily on the matchup against Man City. Liverpool will have to be aggressive at Anfield to stop Man City dominating possession, which could draw Van Dijk into duels higher up the field.

Enzo Fernandez has been trusted to start in midfield since completing his big-money move from Chelsea, and he has already recorded six fouls in his three Premier League starts for Man City. That includes four infringements against Man United, before adding another two against Sunderland prior to the international break. As well as that, Fernandez racked up three fouls against Porto in the Champions League. 

The Argentine international has looked eager to impress, and he recorded exactly two fouls when he last faced Liverpool, which was as a Chelsea player. He also scored in that game, and was booked. He should again have plenty of duels to get through at Anfield, which makes this price stand out.

Dominik Szoboszlai scored his third goal of the campaign against Tottenham in the EFL Cup just before the international break, finding the net with another spectacular effort from well outside the box. The Hungarian international has been one of Liverpool’s standout performers again this season, and he is averaging 2.58 shots per 90 across all competitions.

Szoboszlai has landed this selection in five of his seven appearances this season, registering 13 Premier League shots with five hitting the target. He scored a brilliant free-kick when these sides last met at Anfield, recording three shots with two on target before being sent off. Szboszlai has stepped up for Liverpool in tough matchups over the last couple of seasons, which makes him a target here.

It was Szoboszlai’s red card in stoppage time which indirectly denied Rayan Cherki a goal at Anfield last season, in what was a strange incident. The Frenchman rolled the ball into an empty net from long range, but the goal was disallowed after the officials penalised an earlier foul involving Szoboszlai and Erling Haaland.

Cherki only appeared from the bench that afternoon, but he landed this selection when starting against Liverpool in the FA Cup. Under Enzo Maresca, Cherki has emerged as a key player for Man City this season, playing just behind Haaland. Cherki is averaging 2.43 shots per 90 across all competitions, and he has scored four goals in six starts.

Oliver Glasner returns to Selhurst Park this weekend for the first time since leaving Crystal Palace for Nottingham Forest. Yeremy Pino didn’t quite have the desired impact under the Austrian manager last season, but he has played with more confidence this season on the left wing. 

Pino is averaging 2.28 shots per 90 across all competitions so far, and he opened his account for the season during Palace’s 4-0 Europa League victory over Lech Poznan. The Spaniard is always looking to cut inside onto his stronger right foot, and let fly when the space opens up, and four of his ten efforts in total this season have hit the target.

Following Beto’s departure over the summer, Thierno Barry is currently the only recognised centre-forward registered in Everton’s first-team squad. That has placed massive pressure on the Frenchman, but he has responded impressively by scoring five goals from seven appearances across all competitions this season.

Barry is averaging 4.35 shots per 90, and he has consistently been able to pop up in promising goalscoring positions. His movement in the box has improved significantly since last season. Hull have started strongly in terms of results, but Konstantinos Tzolakis has played a massive role. The Hull goalkeeper is averaging 3.29 saves per game. Based on that, Barry should be looking forward to the prospect of this matchup at the MKM Stadium.

Glasner has attempted to replicate his Crystal Palace system at Nottingham Forest, which has significantly benefited James McAtee. The former Man City midfielder has been tasked with emulating the role of Adam Wharton - he sees plenty of the ball in midfield, and is usually the one looking to progress play through central areas. 

McAtee has landed this selection in each of his last three Premier League starts. He recorded two shots, one of which hit the target, during Forest’s 2-1 victory over Aston Villa before taking four shots against Coventry. Eight of his nine shots have come from outside the box, with two of those from set-piece scenarios, which shows how he fancies his chances from distance.

Everything Parrott touches turns to gold right now. He was exceptional over the break for Ireland and returns to domestic action having got two goals and an assist in his last three for Betis.

He netted in three of four games over the break, including a brace against Austria.

Parrot managed 20 G/A for Alkmaar last season in just 29 games.

Betis are heavy favourites here and I’m backing them to win (spoiler for the next selection). If Betis play to their potential, the Irishman will be involved.

This feels like one of those moments in a players’ career where they really explode on a larger stage. Having netted the winner at home against Madrid and assisted the winner against Getafe, the stage is set for another big performance.

Real Betis are such a hard team to beat when they’re in front of their own fans and have won each of their three home games at the start of this campaign.

They’ve won these games without conceding a goal too, being the only side in LaLiga to keep a clean sheet in each of their three opening home matches. Their scoring power could be better from these games, but the overall control is worth factoring in to any angle in this game.

Osasuna have struggled on the road in LaLiga so far this season, winning just one of their three away matches. They’ve conceded 10 goals across these games (3.33 per game) - which is the third highest tally in LaLiga for sides when travelling away from home.

Betis beat Osasuna 2-0 in this fixture last season, and I can see a similar sort of scoreline playing out here with how both sides have started the season. I can’t see Osasuna being able to find a way past this stubborn Betis backline, and even if they do - it’s likely that they are outscored with their poor defensive record on the road. 

Another pro Betis selection here and one that has landed in all three of their home matches so far. They’ve averaged 4.67 corners per match on their own turf.

Osasuna have conceded plenty too, they’ve conceded an average of 4.57 and have allowed their opponents four or more in 86% of matches this season.

These numbers rise in away games. They’ve conceded 17 in three matches on their travels, an average of 5.67 per match.

This selection has been a winner against Osasuna in each of their away games this season.

Betis had 75% of the ball in their last home La Liga match, so forcing four corners shouldn’t be an issue.

The evergreen Croatian has started well yet again this season and has five goals in seven matches. Given that Osasuna have scored eight goals, it’s pretty obvious how crucial he is and Betis need to stop him to keep the visitors at bay.

That threat is clear to other sides and he’s been handled firmly so far this season.

Budimir has drawn a huge average of 2.86 ghouls per 90 and his 16 fouls drawn is double that of the next highest Osasuna player.

Budimir has been fouled in all of his appearances so far this season, even when coming off the bench. In-fact, when he’s started, he’s drawn at least two fouls in every game - so we should be safe with one here.

Hertha are ripping up the German second division, winning all six games to an aggregate scoreline of 17-7. 

It’s about time they kicked into gear, this is their third season since relegation from the Bundesliga, a division they’d spent 24 of the 26 prior seasons. 

The return of Thorsteinsson from his loan at Brann has helped, while summer additions of Adewumi and Pederson are also positive.

Another league leader at home. USG are top of the Belgian league and unbeaten in seven, winning six and keeping five clean sheets.

Interestingly, gaffer David Hubert joined from today’s opponents Leuven. They shipped him off after just four months and I’d bet they’re regretting it.

He’s won over 60% of his games since leaving Leuven, while they currently sit a point off bottom with one win in seven. He’ll get one over on his old employers.

City beat Liverpool on pretty much all metrics, xG, goal difference, results, even areas such as corners both earned and conceded.

The international break was also tougher on Liverpool. Isak, Gakpo and Jacquet all picked up injuries, leaving them pretty threadbare for this.

The main talking points will be about off-field issues for City, but my concern is what happens on it. And for me, City are simply the better side.

This is hard to believe but there has been 22 goals in Gladbach’s first 4 games, all 4 have had 3+ goals and 3 of them have had 5 or more.

They’ve conceded a frightening 2.39 xGA per match on the road.

The horrendous start has seen Eugen Polanski lose his job, this will be Alexander Blessin’s first match in charge.

Koln have had 3+ goals in 3 of 4 games and have scored in every match.

Their xG for and against are both sitting at 1.75 on average which sets up perfectly for an open game.

These two look bonkers.

Averaging 4.33 and 3.78 match goals, respectively.

This selection has landed in all 9 of Vaduz’ games and 7 of 9 for Basel. Those stats are also true when looking at the BTTS market.

Vaduz have produced an impressive 1.86 xG per match at home, despite being second-bottom.

I’ve got to mention as well that 34 year-old Xherdan Shaqiri is still cooking for Basel. Basel also have the league’s second top scorer - Zan Celar.

These two have both seen over 2.5 goals land in four out of five matches this season and rank fifth and second for average match goals at 3.40 and 3.80, respectively.

Rennes have the second highest xG in the league behind PSG.

Esteban Lepaul scored 20 times last season and has already netted three so far and was rewarded with two starts for France during the break.

Despite being 10th, Sassuolo have averaged a hefty 1.92 xG per match.

Sassuolo surrender a large 1.74 xG per match too and Milan are the third top scorers and are so far unbeaten.

All five of their matches have already paid out for over 2.5 goals.

Amorim plays high-risk, vertical football, which often leads to goals. Both their away games have seen over 2.5 scored.

Serie A has seen a substantial increase in goals as referees have cracked down on time wasting and focusing on allowing games to flow.