In the league this season, Bournemouth have conceded 1.22 goals per game, Brighton have let in 1.33 and Tottenham have conceded 1.11 per game.

Haaland has scored 11 of City’s 20 goals up to this point, a whopping 55%.

If City, impossibly, only matched the average goals against per game of those three teams so far this season, they would score 3.66 goals in the three-game run.

We all know that City are a far stronger attacking side than that, so we’re happy to assume they score at least four goals across the three fixtures. If the Norwegian continues to be responsible for such a large percentage of City’s goals in that run (55% so far), it is likely that he nets at least two of those goals (50%).

This is a conservative first leg of the bet, but with the EFL Cup, two Champions League fixtures and another international break as a distraction, not to mention ‘Pep Roulette’, we’re happy to take the 24-year-old to score two or more Premier League goals in the month of November.

Haaland was fouled 1.09 times per 90 in the league last season, from this season’s sample he’s at 0.56 per 90. We can expect that number to come closer to last season’s average, which would help this leg of the treble, and his matchups against these three sides are favourable for it to.

Last season, in 5 matches against Bournemouth, Brighton and Spurs, Haaland was fouled 6 times. Three times against the Cherries (1.50 per game), once in his only game v Brighton (1 per game) and twice across the two league games with Spurs (1 per game).

Although, we’re using last season’s data there, the Cherries and Tottenham have the same manager and lots of continuity in their squads, while the Seagulls are playing a similar open and attacking brand of football under Fabian Hurzeler as they were Roberto De Zerbi, with lots of the same personnel. So these numbers are still relevant when looking at the best Erling Haaland bets for November.

Haaland is at 0.89 fouls committed per 90 in the league this season, from 9 90s worth of action.

Therefore, his current fouling rate suggests we’ll get a good run for our money with this leg.

It is going to be difficult for top level players to maintain peak performance over the month of November, with an international break and two Champions League gameweeks.

And, with that in mind, fatigue and an increased desire for breaks in play could see more fouls crop up across the league.

We feel confident that Haaland could be fouled 4 times or more across the three fixtures, which could also bring some retaliation infringements into play.

The Norwegian committed 31 fouls in the Premier League in 2022/23 and 18 in 2023/24, if 3 land in this run of fixtures we could be right in the mix to land a big-priced winner.