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Andy Robson

Andy's Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Exclusive Boost @ 29.00

This selection came within inches of landing last week, only missing a second Real Madrid card as Bayern Munich came away 2-1 winners over Alvaro Arbeloa’s side.

Both Kane and Mbappe scored in that game, and should be involved again here. Mbappe is the top scorer in the Champions League this term with 14 goals to his name, and Kane is just behind him with 11 - you literally could not back better players to score in the Champions League at the moment.

The meeting between the sides last week produced 19 corners. Bayern Munich registered 11 of these - with five coming in the first half and six in the one half. Real Madrid pitched in with the other eight corners, two of which came in the first half with the other six coming in the final 45 minutes. I’d expect Madrid’s corner count in the first half to rise here, given that they are chasing the tie.

There were 24 match fouls at the Bernabeu last week, split perfectly between the two sides. Despite this, Bayern Munich picked up four cards while Real Madrid collected just one. I’d expect this to level out more in the second leg with their naturally being more on the line for both sides. 

Real Madrid have actually picked up more cards than any other side in the Champions League this season (25) ahead of the second legs, so that solitary card in the first leg can be considered a bit of an anomaly. 

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Football
Andy Robson

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Bet Builder @ 3.56

The first leg at the Bernabeu was one of the most entertaining Champions League games of the season - both sides had 20 shots each, Neuer made nine saves, and Lunin pulled off five of his own. Despite their heroics, there were still three goals in that game. 

There is every reason to expect a similarly open contest at the Allianz Arena for the second leg, as Real Madrid will have to come out firing to have any chance of completing the comeback. With 15 Champions League titles to their name, Real Madrid are the most successful club in the history of the competition, so they definitely won’t go down without a fight.

Bayern have bagged 105 goals in the Bundesliga this season, and they aren’t going to sit back to defend their lead here. The Bavarians will continue to be front-footed in their approach, which makes goals a target once again. 

Assuming Bayern Munich maintain their usual approach for this game at the Allianz Arena, we should get a very similar matchup. There were 19 corners in that first leg, with 11 for the German side and eight for Real Madrid, comfortably clearing this line. 

Los Blancos are averaging 11.85 corners per game in the Champions League this season, and this selection landed in both matches against Man City in the previous knockout round. There were 11 corners in the first leg against Pep Guardiola’s men, and 15 in the second.

Knockout ties can tend to be a good opportunity to target corners, as sides become a bit more desperate and last-ditch in their efforts. Especially with this tie still hanging firmly in the balance, chances should continue to be available at both ends, with the momentum swinging between the two sides.

Michael Olise was one of Bayern’s standout performers from the first leg, and he provided the assist for Harry Kane. The Frenchman has contributed to 42 goals this season for Bayern, with 17 goals and 25 assists, and he was unfortunate not to find the back of the net in the first leg. Olise registered four shots in total, and two of those hit the target. 

The 24-year-old also bagged a brace in the previous round against Atalanta, as Bayern cruised to a 6-1 victory in Bergamo. Olise has been central to his side's success going forward this season, and he is averaging 3.77 shots per 90 in the Champions League.

He has landed this bet in tougher matchups against the likes of Chelsea, PSG, and, of course, Real Madrid in the first leg. He tends to play with more attacking freedom on home turf, making him a target again here.

Knowing that they have a one-goal deficit to overcome at the Allianz Arena, Real Madrid will have to be a bit more intense in their press, and they could get quite desperate at times. Joshua Kimmich has plenty of experience in these kinds of big fixtures, and Vincent Kompany will be reliant on his captain to provide that calmness in midfield. 

The German international is averaging 1.16 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions this season, which rises steeply to 1.72 when playing in the Champions League. He was fouled once in the reverse fixture and has landed this selection in nine out of ten appearances on the European stage this season. The only game he failed was against Club Brugge, but Bayern dominated that contest and won 4-0. 

This upcoming clash against Real Madrid should be much more evenly balanced, and Kimmich will be a target in midfield.

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