In this article…
Finland v Greece
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Kick Off: Sunday 17th November at 17:00
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Competition: UEFA Nations League
Greece have been exceptional in their Nations League campaign, securing four wins from five matches, including a remarkable injury-time triumph over England at Wembley. They have demonstrated both defensive resilience and offensive efficiency, making them a dominant force in their group.
Their September clash against Finland was a one-sided affair, ending in a 3-0 victory where Finland failed to register a single shot on target. Conversely, Finland’s campaign has been abysmal. They’ve lost all five matches, conceding 11 goals and scoring just twice, illustrating their inability to compete at this level.
Outclassed in every department, Finland has struggled to offer any resistance to the more organised and tactically astute teams. With Greece motivated by the prospect of automatic promotion, an away victory seems highly probable, especially given the stark contrast in form and performance between the two sides.
⭐ Finland v Greece Best Bet
Greece’s impressive form in the Nations League makes them a strong pick for an away win at odds of 2.0. They’ve won four of their five matches, scoring crucial goals and showing resilience against high-calibre opponents like England.
Finland, on the other hand, have had a disastrous campaign, losing all five of their games. In their previous encounter in September, Greece completely outplayed Finland, winning 3-0 and not allowing their opponents a single shot on target.
With Greece eyeing automatic promotion and Finland struggling for form, it’s hard to envision anything other than a Greek victory.
👕 Finland v Greece Predicted XI
🔍 Finland v Greece Key Players
🔵 Anastasios Bakasetas
Greece’s captain and Panathinaikos midfielder, Anastasios Bakasetas, has been instrumental in their Nations League campaign. As the team’s creative lynchpin, he has consistently led the attack, registering 14 shot attempts and averaging 3.3 shots per 90 minutes.
Bakasetas’ influence is evident, as he has taken multiple shots in four of Greece’s five matches, with the exception being their loss to England, where he still managed one attempt. Impressively, he has recorded at least one shot on target in all five of Greece’s matches, showcasing his precision and reliability under pressure.
With Greece needing a win to secure promotion, Bakasetas will likely play a key role in driving their offence forward, making him a crucial player to watch in this high-stakes encounter.
⚪ Glen Kamara
Glen Kamara, Rennes’ versatile midfielder, has been Finland’s standout performer in an otherwise disappointing Nations League campaign. Known for his composure on the ball and ability to retain possession, Kamara has drawn 12 fouls, the most of any Finnish player, and seven more than his closest teammate.
This knack for attracting challenges highlights his importance in Finland’s midfield. He has been fouled multiple times in four of Finland’s five matches, including three times in their recent loss to Ireland.
Greece, a team that applies high midfield pressure, is likely to target Kamara to disrupt Finland’s rhythm, increasing the chances of him being fouled frequently. His ability to withstand pressure and orchestrate play will be critical for Finland, making him a key figure to monitor in this contest.
📂 Finland v Greece Cheat Sheet
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💻 Finland v Greece Form and Tactics
The disparity between Greece and Finland in terms of statistics underscore their contrasting campaigns. Greece have been superior across most metrics, averaging nearly five more shots per game than Finland, along with a higher number of attempts on target, corners, and fouls drawn.
Meanwhile, Finland has been less disciplined, committing more fouls, receiving more bookings, and conceding more corners than their Greek counterparts. Surprisingly, both teams have maintained similar possession statistics, with only a 2% difference in average ball control. This suggests that while Finland can retain the ball, they lack the cutting edge to convert possession into meaningful chances.
Greece’s ability to exploit these weaknesses, combined with their tactical discipline and attacking efficiency, positions them as the clear favourites to secure a result in this crucial match.
🏁 Finland v Greece Ref Watch
- Referee: Willy Delajod
- Delajod has distributed 25 cards in his last 5 matches, an average of 5 cards per game.
- He has brandished 29 yellow cards during his last 5 international fixtures, an average of 5.8 per game.
- He has awarded 3 penalty kicks and brandished 2 red cards in his last 7 international matches.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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