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Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa
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Kick Off: Saturday 14th December at 17:30
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Competition: Premier League
The teams in 5th and 6th position in the Premier League clash on Saturday teatime, as Nottingham Forest take on Aston Villa. The two sides have identical records with 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 15 games.
Villa have lost their last 3 away from home at an aggregate of 9-1, so will be hoping for any sort of result at the City Ground.
⭐ Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Best Bet
As well as having identical records in terms of points and records, they also have been awarded the same number of yellow cards, each racking up 35 cards in total.
It has caught our eye however, that in their 7 home games so far this season, Forest’s opposition have been shown the most yellow cards in 6 games out of 7, with the other a tie. This pick provides good value with that in mind.
🟢 Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Both teams to score in the first half has landed in 3 of Villa’s 7 away games so far this season. It has landed in just 1 of Forest’s home games, but they are yet to face a European quality team at the City Ground, with 8th the highest placed side to visit so far.
6+ first half corners has landed in 3/7 home games for Forest, and 3/7 away games for Villa, so 6/14 overall, so this is not without hope. Paddy Power have this priced up at 13/10, which we make about the right price.
Finally, a red card awarded, this has a chance. Referee Samuel Barrott has yet to show one this season, but he does show a lot of yellow cards, and these two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in terms of total cards drawn from their opposition. It is not beyond the realms to think that a player might pick up two yellow cards and with combined odds of 25/1 for the above selections to all come in, this selection looks value.
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👕 Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Predicted XI
🔍 Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Players to Watch
🔴 Ryan Yates
We are getting another good price, 2/1+, on Ryan Yates to commit 1 or more fouls on Youri Tielemans. Yates commits the most fouls per 90 of any regular starter for Forest, averaging 2.2 fouls per 90.
He is one yellow card away from a suspension and has been for the last 3 games, but that doesn’t seem to have slowed him down, committing at least 1 foul in all 3 of those games and a huge 6 at Old Trafford last weekend.
Tielemans wins 2 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, and will likely start as left central midfielder, in direct opposition with Forest’s Yates.
➡️ Back Ryan Yates to Commit 1+ Fouls on Youri Tielemans @ 3.0 on Paddy Power
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🟣 John McGinn
This seems a huge price to me for a bet which would have landed in 8 of the 11 Premier League games McGinn has started this season. 1 of the 3 it didn’t land in, McGinn was subbed at half time.
McGinn averages 3.03 fouls won per 90, and 1.51 fouls committed per 90. He will be in and around Ryan Yates, who both wins and commits over 2 fouls per 90.
➡️ Back John McGinn to have 4+ Foul Involvements @ 2.40 on Paddy Power
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📂 Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Cheat Sheet
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💻 Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Form and Tactics
Forest have been this seasons biggest surprise, currently sitting in 5th position in the Premier League. They play with a 4-2-3-1 spearheaded by Chris Wood, who keeps elite company as one of 4 players who has scored double figure Premier League goal so far this season.
Aston Villa were winless in 7 games just 10 days ago, but 3 wins in a row have put a spring in their step again.
The main question mark over Villa’s team selection is as to who will start out of Ollie Watkins and Jhon Duran. It may be the Colombian, with Ollie Watkins reportedly carrying a bit of a knock.
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🏁 Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Ref Watch
- Referee: Samuel Barrott
- Barrott has officiated 9 Premier League games so far this season.
- He has shown 5.89 yellow cards per game, and 0 red cards. This is the highest yellow card average of any referees who has taken charge of at least 5 games.
- He has awarded 2 penalties so far this season.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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