Derby are superb at home, winning four out of four here this season in all competitions and last failed to score in a home league clash in September 2023.

Norwich are ranked inside the Championship top-six for xGF.

Norwich have kept just one clean sheet in all competitions this season but produced their best performance of season when beating Watford 4-1 in their last game.

Norwich have only outright lost one league match on a +1 handicap this season, that being on the opening weekend.

Derby have been strong at home for a long time, especially in 2024, but they’ve only totally defeated a -1 handicap in six of those 17 in all competitions.

Norwich are averaging 1.50 goals per match in all competitions, which would help them maximise their +1 handicap, and Derby have scored 3+ in only four of 17 home battles in 2024 in all competitions.

Norwich won their last match 4-1; their best result and performance of the season, and will carry plenty of momentum into this contest.

Derby have the league’s lowest average ball possession, so getting behind the ball from the off against a clever passing opponent will put them under immediate pressure.

Only four clubs in the league have conceded more shots on their own goal than Derby, suggesting they regularly come under pressure in games, and Norwich will thrive on this.

Both teams will play to win and a strong case is made for both scoring goals; Derby with a 100% home record and Norwich on a high after an emphatic victory.

An early goal often sets the tone for the game and across Norwich’s last four games in all competitions there have been three goals inside the first five minutes.

It is a 50-50 split in regards to Derby scoring their goals in the first or second half of games, while Norwich score most in the second period they will surely be fast-starters here given the confidence gained from their recent 4-1 victory.

Kenzo Goudmijn took some time to settle into his new club after signing over the summer but has now netted in back-to-back home fixtures.

Goudmijn has averaged 3.50 shots over Derby’ last two home encounters and averaged 1.50 shots on target across those, too.

Derby are averaging 13.00 shots per home match in league and cup, while Norwich have kept only one clean sheet all season in all competitions.

Marcelino Nunez scored last weekend against Watford and had his most shots in any match this season so far.

Only in one match this season in all competitions has Nunez failed to have a shot, which was the opening weekend loss at Oxford.

Derby’s opponents have averaged 12.625 shots conceded per game this season in all competitions.

Borja Sainz has scored four goals across his eight appearances in all competitions this campaign, already half the amount he earned the whole of last season.

The only match Sainz has not had a shot in this season was when he was on as a late substitute, but he’s averaging 2.71 shots in the games he has started this season in league and cup.

Sainz has scored two over his last three games, while his four goals this season came from a total of five shots on target in all competitions.