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Finland v England
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Kick Off: Sunday 13th October at 17:00
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Competition: UEFA Nations League
Both sides come into this clash having suffered 2-1 defeats in their games on Thursday. England huffed and puffed without Harry Kane in a failed false 9 system, while Finland contrived to lose from 1-0 up against an Ireland team who hadn’t won from a losing position since October 2013.
⭐ Finland v England Best Bets
Despite losing to Greece at Wembley, England are once again priced at just 1.22 to win away in Finland. It could be a good opponent for Lee Carley’s men with Finland having lost five of their last seven games, with just one win in that run- coming against Estonia.
Of course, Carlsey faced Finland in just his second game in charge as England ran out 2-0 winners at Wembley in September. With Harry Kane probably only fit enough to make an appearance as a second half substitute, back England to have enough to win in Helsinki but to concede along the way after looking unconvincing at the back against the Greeks.
🔍 Finland v England Players to Watch
⚪ Anthony Gordon
Anthony Gordon looks to have taken Lee Carsley’s eye, starting all three matches of his reign after playing just one minute at EURO 2024. Operating off the left, the Newcastle man has managed seven shots, hitting the target with five efforts as he looks to take his opportunity. This despite only playing 60, 66 and 77 minutes. He managed two in the reverse fixture.
⚪ Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham has become a foul magnet for England over the last couple of years being fouled 45 times in competitive games since playing Hungary at home in June 2022, at an average of 2.25 per game (20 games).
It’s become more prominent the more responsibility he’s began to take for England, being fouled two or more times in nine of his last 12 competitive matches, including in all of the last five.
📂 Finland v England Cheat Sheet
Andy’s Bet Club is the best place for football betting predictions. We offer a huge range of Nations League accumulator predictions and Nations League tips to keep you covered during this week’s international break.
We also offer both teams to score tips, plus bet builder-focused picks such as our player shots on target tips, fouls betting predictions, and our Finland v England #OddsOnThat tips.
💻 Finland v England Form and Tactics
England had been particularly impressive in Lee Carsley’s first two games in terms of chance creation with 38 shots and 4.30 expected goals generated.
However, that was with Harry Kane present and without him on Thursday with Jude Bellingham as a false 9 and attack-minded Phil Foden and Cole Palmer behind, it left Declan Rice and England exposed defensively. Despite 64% possession, the Three Lions only had 12 shots, accumulating just 0.84 xG.
Greece only had 36% possession but they were able to hit England in transition multiple times. Finland will likely line up in a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1. In their three Nations League games, they had a different lone striker in every one with 34-year-old record goalscorer Teemu Pukki seemingly no longer first choice.
Despite having more possession versus both Ireland and Greece, Finland had just 21% possession at Wembley, only able to muster two shots in the entire game, producing just 0.09 xG. Expect more of the same in Helsinki on Sunday.
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🏁 Finland v England Ref Watch
- Referee: Giorgi Kruashvili
- Will be the sixth Nations League and just the ninth senior international match for 38-year-old Georgian referee Kruashvili.
- In senior international football, he averages five cards per game across eight matches, including three red cards.
- Kruashvili averages 27 fouls per game at international level and once gave three penalties in the same game when Wales took on Belarus in the 2022 World Cup qualifiers.
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
Our guide on how to use a Cheat Sheet is the perfect way to get involved with our bet builder stats tool, the best freely available data source for bet builder crafting.
We recommend the best betting sites for accumulators, top bet builder sites, and the best free bet offers and weekly free bet clubs, all to ensure you bet smarter when backing our tips with the best UK sports betting sites.
Expert guides, such as this one, on xG in football, are also available to help you up your punting game, while we’ve also put together a list of the best Nations League free bet offers.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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