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Luton v West Brom
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Kick Off: Friday 1st November at 20:00
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football
Both teams come into this match desperate for a win. West Brom have drawn their last four and Luton are in the relegation zone.
Rob Edwards is under great pressure having been expected to deliver a promotion challenge, but recent home performances have been good despite a lack of points.
⭐ Luton v West Brom Best Bets
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Despite Luton’s precarious position, there is general acceptance that the players are still very much playing for the manager, and, especially at home, there is reason to believe that they represent a touch of value here.
The best way to take advantage of this is in the Draw No Bet market. West Brom have drawn their last four, so this market takes that out of the equation and secures the stake back if it does happen. Luton are available for 1.75 on this market.
The other market that looks interesting is the corners market. Luton have become a monster for corners, especially at home. They are averaging a league-high of 7.5 corners at home, and they have had double figures on four occasions this season, including the last two home matches.
This could be worth a ladder bet. Luton over 6.5 corners is 2.2, and over 10.5 is 10.0, spreading your units between these price points could be a good play here.
👕 Luton v West Brom Predicted XI
🔍 Luton v West Brom Players to Watch
🟠 Mark McGuinness
Mark McGuinness has become Luton’s #1 target from attacking set pieces since his signing from Cardiff.
He is averaging 1.63 shots per 90 in the Championship, which increases to 1.86 when only considering Luton home matches. This includes three shots on target in five home matches.
Luton average over 7.5 corners per home match, and they had 10 and 11 in their last two home matches, so we can expect McGuinness to be a target once more.
🟠 Elijah Adebayo
Adebayo has always seemed to be all-action ever since he signed for Luton from Walsall a few seasons ago.
This season is taking his efforts to new extremes though. Whilst he has been struggling for goals, Adebayo continued to shoot regularly, and now has his reward with two goals in two.
He has the highest average shots on target of anyone on the pitch and is also fouling at a rate of 2.72 fouls per 90.
⚪ Uros Racic
The new signing has begun to make an impact in Corberan’s first XI. Every time he has started a match, five in the last seven, he has committed a foul, but he has also fired off two or more shots on five occasions for West Brom.
If he starts this match he looks a big price for a single foul, adding a shot on target creates a tasty double.
📂 Luton v West Brom Cheat Sheet
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💻 Luton v West Brom Form and Tactics
Luton come into this match inside the relegation zone. Their recent form has seen them lose three of their last four matches. However, they have gathered seven points from their last five matches at home.
Conceding too many goals has been the issue for Luton, and some aspects of their recent performances seem to have been better than the results would indicate. Luton are ranked eighth in the league for xGF and 11th for xGA, so their current position of 22nd looks to be a fairly false one.
The second half capitulation against Coventry last time out is undoubtedly going to leave some mental scars though, and that is something worth bearing in mind in this first match since then.
West Brom have slipped from the summit in recent weeks due to a six-match winless streak. They have now drawn four consecutive matches after two defeats to Sheffield Wednesday and Middlesbrough.
Only in the last of the four draws, at home to Cardiff, would West Brom be able to say that they dominated chance creation and won the xG battle convincingly. They were shut down from an attacking perspective away at Blackburn, creating zero big chances in an xG of less than 0.5, and they created only two big chances in matches against Millwall and Oxford United as well.
As always, from a defensive perspective, the Baggies look fairly solid. They currently sit fifth in the Championship for xGA having conceded 10.7 xG in their 12 league games.
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🏁 Luton v West Brom Ref Watch
- Referee: Dean Whitestone
- Dean Whitestone has refereed in the Championship for 15 years, so is very experienced at the level
- This season, from six Championship fixtures, he averages 21.67 fouls given per match when refereeing in the Championship, which is quite low in comparison to his peers, and he is averaging 3.67 yellow cards per fixture in the Championship for 2024/25
- Whitestone’s yellow card rate for a full season in the Championship last term was 3.94 yellows per match from 19.29 fouls per match. Fouls could be in short supply, therefore.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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