Blackburn’s Japanese forward is overpriced for fouls with Betfair.

There is a slight question over whether Ohashi will be selected to start the match, it is always a tactical choice between Ohashi and Makhtar Gueye as to who starts, but Ohashi has had the nod more often at home, starting three of the last four at Ewood.

Whenever Ohashi does start, he is a foul machine. His game style is all action, all running, and the effort that he puts in to hassle opposition defenders is a major part of Blackburn’s defensive structure. The issue is that Ohashi’s exuberance often turns into overexuberence and he gives fouls away.

Interestingly, Betfair make him the 11th most likely Blackburn player to commit a foul, this is despite him having the highest average number of fouls per 90 in the whole Blackburn squad. Ohashi currently commits 3.09 fouls per 90, which suggests that his price with Betfair looks generous.

Looking back over Ohashi’s Championship starts, he has conceded 1, 2, 2, 4, 2, 4 fouls.

Despite the fact that his last match was a single foul, this sequence demonstrates that the 2.87 available for two or more fouls looks generous. Sky Bet have priced the 2+ line up at 1.8 in comparison.

The safer bet is the single foul at 1.4, but all lines are value for the Japanese forward to foul.