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Bristol City v Burnley
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Kick Off: Saturday 23rd November at 12:30
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports +
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Bristol City v Burnley Bet Builder Tips
Bristol City welcome Burnley to Ashton Gate on Saturday in a contest that pits together two evenly-matched outfits based on recent form. If the Championship table was purely based on the last ten matches, then both clubs would be sitting in the play-offs on 17 points and with identical wins, draws and losses. With only one loss apiece in that period, it makes this lunchtime encounter a likely difficult encounter to win for each side.
⭐ Bristol City v Burnley Best Bets
Burnley’s victory at home to Swansea may prove a turning point in their recent fortunes. They went four without winning prior to that, which is a drought for a side of their calibre at this level. Some injuries should have healed up over the international break to give them a better shot of winning at Ashton Gate.
Bristol City are in good form themselves but they are less reliable for maintaining this. Last season they would follow a good run with a bad run, and interchange over the season. There isn’t much middle-ground with them, so they’ll have to play well to get a good result here. Burnley have ambitions of winning this league and getting good results at places like this will be their expectation.
The away side often fall under the hard to beat category given how tight they are defensively. They’ve the best defensive record in the division and face a team who have conceded many more, plus have a much worse xGA.
👕 Bristol v Burnley Predicted XI
🔍 Bristol City v Burnley Players to Watch
🔴 Anis Mehmeti
The former Wycombe Wanderers man has come into the team recently, mainly due to injuries elsewhere. However, manager Liam Manning is now at a point where he can’t drop him, especially having scored in back-to-back games.
The versatile midfielder recorded four shots in the last game v Norwich, so he clearly has the taste for trying to add to his goal tally. Based across the games he has started this season, Mehmeti is averaging 1.11 shots on target, so he clearly makes an impact when given extended minutes outside coming off the bench.
📂 Bristol City v Burnley Cheat Sheet
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💻 Bristol City v Burnley Form and Tactics
Along with QPR and West Brom, Bristol City have drawn the joint-highest number of Championship games this season. This includes stalemates in five of their previous nine league assignments, plus four of their last six played at Ashton Gate. Over their seven league draws in 2024/25, they’ve won the xG battle on four occasions.
The Robins may enter this weekend sitting tenth in the Championship table but based upon xG they should be as high as seventh. The team are ranked sixth purely based upon goals scored in this league, so they deserve to be in and around the play-off equation. The fact they’ve scored two or more in four of their previous six in the league suggests something of a hot streak that Burnley will have to be wary of.
One big area of concern for Liam Manning’s side is their leaky defensive record against set pieces. Only Sheffield Wednesday have conceded more league goals in this manner. Even more worrying is the fact that even though this is the case it comes despite City conceding the fourth-fewest average corners in the league with 4.33. They’re also only 16th in the league for average fouls committed with 11.30, meaning the opposition won’t need many set pieces to get a goalscoring chance it would appear.
Burnley may sit four points off the top of the table 15 matches into the campaign but this is mainly through an incredible defensive record. They’ve conceded only six league goals, which is an average of 0.40 per game. It has needed to be strong considering they’ve only scored more goals than two other top-half clubs in the division. Scott Parker’s men are averaging 1.20 league goals per fixture.
On paper, this will be the toughest home league contest of the season so far for the Clarets. This is because they’ve not faced any club positioned in the top-eight at Turf Moor so far. This partly explains why they possess one of four remaining unbeaten home records in the Championship. This team have won the xG battle in five of their seven home league battles.
Parker’s men have the third-highest average ball possession in their league with 57.30, so they should dominate Saturday’s clash in that regard. However, they are averaging slightly less shots per league game than Bristol City despite this increased amount of ball time in comparison. One area they are clear of their opponents on is the number of cards issued. They average 2.27, whereas City average 1.73.
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🏁 Bristol City v Burnley Ref Watch
- Referee: Robert Madley
- This experienced official will be overseeing his 12th clash of the season on Saturday. So far, Madley is averaging 3.18 cards per match in the current campaign.
- Last season, Madley averaged 4.63 cards, so he is clearly much more forgiving and a little less likely to dip into his pocket based on those figures.
- This season, Madley has awarded a penalty on average every 4.50 games. In 2023/24 in the same competition, that average stood at 3.40, which again demonstrates less willingness to commit to such big calls this time around.
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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