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Swansea v Leeds
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Kick Off: Sunday 24th November at 15:00
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football
Swansea welcome 3rd-place Leeds to the Swansea.com Stadium on Sunday in what will likely be another heated Championship fixture.
On paper Swansea and Leeds have a similar shape and style to them. Both are 4-2-3-1 teams with high possession numbers. The difference between the two teams can be found in the underlying numbers.
⭐ Swansea v Leeds Best Bets
Leeds are 1st in the league for possession share with 62.5%. Swansea 2nd with 60%. But Leeds’s possession ends with much more threat than Swansea’s. Leeds score 1.6 goals per game, Swansea 0.7. Leeds’s total xG is 25.1, Swansea 19.3. Leeds average 5.3 shots on target per match, Swansea 3.2. Leeds have created 43 ‘big chances’, Swansea 25. Leeds have had 438 touches in the opponent’s penalty area, Swansea 288.
These attacking numbers from Leeds are built on top of strong defensive foundations with them having the lowest xGA in the league.
Swansea have only conceded 10 goals against themselves and can keep the game low margin even if Leeds’s threat wins the day come the end of the match.
Swansea have lost six matches 1-0 in the Championship already this season and the same scoreline could play out here.
👕 Swansea v Leeds Predicted XI
🔍 Swansea v Leeds Players to Watch
⚪ Myles Peart-Harris
Swansea’s setup allows them to go man-for-man v Leeds. As a result, their wide players will have defensive duties that are even more important than their attacking role.
After starting the season centrally, Peart-Harris has moved to a wide role. This has resulted in a large spike in the number of fouls he’s making.
After committing just one foul in his first seven matches this season, Peart-Harris has committed 12 fouls in his last five games.
Whether he starts from the right or the left on Sunday his task will be to double up with his full back and offer protection.
As well as increased foul numbers, Peart-Harris has gone into the referee’s notebook twice in those last five matches. Once for a foul and once for delaying a free kick to be taken by refusing to retreat.
🟡 Jayden Bogle
Leeds’ attacking threat in forward areas is well established but this season they’ve added an extra weapon from deep in right-back, Bogle.
Bogle has already scored twice this season, against Coventry and in Leeds’s last match versus QPR.
He has taken 15 shots at goal and although he only has a 20% shot-on-target ratio his shot locations are good with just four of his shots coming from outside of the penalty area.
Bogle has taken ten shots in his last five appearances and can trouble the keeper again in a match where Leeds should be territorially dominant.
📂 Swansea v Leeds Cheat Sheet
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💻 Swansea v Leeds Form and Tactics
Swansea have pulled themselves up into the top half of the table with two wins from their last three matches.
Goals have not been easy to find in Swansea matches this season – just 21 in 15 matches, comfortably the lowest in the division.
Swansea operate in a 4-2-3-1 but unlike Leeds, whose shape is similar, they lack vibrancy and cutting edge with possession often stale and not penetrating enough.
Lawrence Vigouroux is the starting goalkeeper and he is having a great season so far. Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Harry Darling and Josh Tymon make up the back four with Matt Grimes and Goncalo Franco in front of them. Joe Allen is likely to start in the #10 – at times he will drop to be a third midfielder but he is also key in Swansea’s press and has won possession in the final third more than any other Swan this season.
Zan Vipotnik and Liam Cullen are in contention for the lone striking role and will be flanked by Myles Peart-Harris and Ronald although Florian Bianchini is putting pressure on Ronald’s shirt.
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At the time of writing, Leeds sit 3rd in the table, two points behind Sheffield United and Sunderland and two points ahead of Burnley.
Leeds are also 3rd in the five-game form table, picking up ten points from the last available 15. Interestingly though, Leeds have drawn three of their last four matches away from Elland Road.
Leeds have a familiar 4-2-3-1 look to them under Daniel Farke, who has a reputation for being tactically stubborn, right down to his use of substitutes where he has a reluctance to make changes until deep into the second half of matches. This makes him a divisive figure amongst Leeds fans as some find him too reactive with little forward thinking. His defenders will point to Leeds’ stunning data across the board which defies the need for too much change.
Leeds have some players missing for the fixture. Junior Firpo, massively underrated at left back, is missing through suspension. Midfield pair Ethan Ampadu and Ilia Gruev are out until 2025 with knee injuries and winger Largie Ramazani has an ankle problem.
Leeds can still put out a formidable side though. Despite some early season errors, Illan Meslier remains number one ahead of Karl Darlow. Three of the back four are automatic picks with all of, right-back, Jayden Bogle, and centre-back pairing Joe Rodan and Pascal Struijk having great seasons. Sam Byram is expected to play instead of the aforementioned Firpo at left-back. In the absence of Ampadu and Gruev, Joe Rothwell and Ao Tanaka should form a double pivot in midfield. The attacking quartet is where Farke has a plethora of options to mix things up with Wilfried Gnonto, Manor Solomon and Dan James fighting it out for the two wide roles whilst Brenden Aaronson, Joel Piroe, Mateo Joseph and Patrick Bamford do battle for the central attacking roles.
🏁 Swansea v Leeds Ref Watch
- Referee: Dean Whitestone
- Averages 3.6 yellow cards per game in 10 matches officiated this season.
- Is yet to give a red card this season.
- Is yet to give a penalty this season.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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