Liverpool have been in electrifying form in the Champions League, boasting a perfect record in the group stage. Their dominance mirrors their domestic campaign, where they sit atop the Premier League, a testament to their consistency and quality. A postponed weekend fixture has further bolstered their preparations, giving them a crucial edge in this matchup.

Meanwhile, Girona have struggled in Europe, with just one win and three losses in five group stage games, despite facing relatively modest opposition. Liverpool’s superior quality, depth, and form make them firm favorites at these odds.

Girona’s aggressive style of play has seen them average 3 cards per game in the Champions League. Teams facing Liverpool also tend to commit numerous fouls due to the Reds’ quick transitions and dynamic attack, with opponents averaging 2.4 cards per game.

Additionally, Girona commit 14.8 fouls per game on average, further underscoring their disciplinary issues. Against Liverpool’s relentless attack, Girona are likely to resort to tactical fouling, making over 1.5 cards for the home side a strong selection.

Liverpool have averaged 5.2 corners per game in the Champions League, even against elite opposition like Real Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen. Girona, on the other hand, have conceded an average of 3.8 corners per game, despite facing much weaker teams.

Given Liverpool’s ability to dominate possession and create numerous attacking opportunities, they are well-positioned to exceed 4.5 corners in this fixture.

Liverpool have averaged 7.6 shots on target per game in the Champions League, achieving this against far stronger defensive units than Girona. Meanwhile, Girona have conceded an average of 6 shots on target per game in the competition, despite facing relatively modest attacks.

With Liverpool’s firepower and Girona’s defensive vulnerabilities, 8 or more shots on target for the away side represents excellent value at these odds.

Mohamed Salah’s ability to consistently threaten goal makes this bet highly compelling. In the Premier League, he averages 2 shots on target per game, highlighting his clinical precision. While his Champions League average dips to 1.2 shots on target, he still records 3 total shots per game—this against significantly stronger opposition than Girona.

Facing a Girona defense that has conceded 1.8 goals per game in Europe, Salah is expected to flourish in this matchup, with ample opportunities to test the goalkeeper multiple times.

Virgil van Dijk has averaged 0.6 shots per game in the Champions League, with 0.4 of those on target, primarily from headers during set-pieces. Against Girona, Liverpool are likely to dominate, resulting in a higher volume of corners and free kicks compared to previous group-stage matches against tougher opponents.

This increased set-piece potential directly enhances van Dijk’s opportunities for attempts on target. At these odds, betting on the towering defender to direct one effort on goal presents solid value.

Girona have been adept at winning corners, averaging 6.4 per game in the Champions League. Liverpool’s defensive style can often result in corners, with an average of 3.6 corners allowed per game.

In a match where Girona will be eager to press for a result, especially at home, their attacking intent should result in at least 3 corners. This selection aligns with their established patterns in European competition.

Curtis Jones has demonstrated a knack for drawing fouls, averaging 1.09 fouls won per game in the Premier League. He will likely face Girona midfielders Oriol Romeu and Donny van de Beek, who average 1.7 and 1.06 fouls committed per game, respectively, across all competitions.

Jones’ ability to carry the ball and operate in tight spaces makes him a likely target for opposition challenges, making this a strong and well-justified pick.