One player who should be directly up against Marc Casado is Serhou Guirassy, as he often drops deeper into midfield to create for his colleagues.

Guirassy has drawn the most fouls for Dortmund this season, landing this selection in 13 out of 14 starts in all competitions since completing his move from Stuttgart over the summer.
He drew 4 fouls from Bayern Munich, despite the visitors committing just 6 fouls in total in that match. He was also fouled 3 times against Real Madrid.

One of the key strengths of Guirassy is his ability to drop deep and find space in between the lines. He has a tendency to pick up the ball in promising positions, and draw soft fouls close to the opposition goal.

Jamie Gittens has scored in each of his last four games for Borussia Dortmund, locking down a starting position on the left-wing.

His tendency to cut inside onto his stronger right foot makes him a target for shots, and helps explain his average of 2.7 efforts per 90 – only Serhou Guirassy (3.02) ranks higher for Dortmund in all competitions this season.

As mentioned, Barcelona were not at their best midweek, and leaked chances against Real Betis. That is something Dortmund, and Gittens in particular, will look to exploit.

The Englishman has started each of the last 10 games straight for Dortmund, landing this bet in 7 of those, including against Real Madrid. Gittens has already scored 4 goals in the Champions League, landing this bet in 4 out of 5 European matches.

Marc Casado is averaging 1.71 fouls per 90 playing as the defensive midfielder under Hansi Flick, which is the highest in the Barcelona squad this season.
That average rises to 1.88 fouls per 90 when playing away, with this selection landing in 8 out of 10 matches in all competitions.

Last time out in the Champions League, the La Masia graduate made 1 foul against Brest, meaning he has committed at least one infringement in all 5 Champions League games this term. He also fouled twice or more in 4 out of 5 matches.

Given that Casado has shown an uptick in fouls committed when playing away, and in Europe, he seems a sensible player to back here.

In their previous league outing, Barcelona were held to a 2-2 draw by Real Betis at the Benito Villamarin Stadium, thanks to a late equaliser from Assane Diao from the penalty spot.

However, Los Verdiblancos racked up 3.15 xG in total, while Barcelona managed 1.92 xG. The Catalans were not at their best defensively, and were fortunate to come away with even a point in the end.

Dortmund certainly have the potential to exploit such defensive frailties, especially given how strong their form has been at the Signal Iduna Park. Dortmund have a record of 8 wins at 1 draw at home this campaign, scoring twice or more in 7 of those.

However, both teams to score has landed in six home matches. Similarly, this selection has landed in each of the last three for Barcelona.

Ramy Bensebaini has emerged as the starting left back under Nuri Sahin, meaning he will be up against Yamal on the flank on Wednesday night.

The Spaniard drew 3 fouls last time out against Real Betis, with his opposition fullback Romain Perraud responsible for 2 of those, before being substituted after 72 minutes. Yamal is averaging 2.17 fouls drawn per 90 this season, which is the highest of any Barcelona player.

Similarly, Bensebaini is averaging 1.68 fouls per 90 making this a matchup to keep an eye on. He has made 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 8 matches in all competitions.

Lamine Yamal has looked back to his best since returning from a recent injury, playing the full 90 in each of his last two games.

He landed a shot on target against both Mallorca and Real Betis, respectively, since his return.

For the season in total, the 17-year-old is averaging 3.64 shots per 90, and has registered at least one shot on target in each of his last six appearances, including two or more in 5 of those games.

With Raphinha expected to start, Yamal should be afforded enough freedom to cut in from the right wing, utilising his stronger left foot. Most of his shots this season have come from such a situation in settled attacks, while Yamal will also be an ever-present danger in transition.

Former Bayern Munich man Robert Lewandowski will return to the country where he has played for the majority of his senior career, to face an old rival. The Polish international will perhaps be the most familiar with facing Dortmund as an opponent, as will Hansi Flick.

Lewandowski has played 26 games against Borussia Dortmund in total, and scored 27 goals against them.

After missing out against Mallorca, Lewandowski returned to score against Real Betis in the previous match, taking his tally to 23 goals for the season. He has rediscovered his scoring touch under Hansi Flick, and will be looking to increase his goal count here.

Dortmund memorably shipped five goals against Real Madrid, as Vinicius Jr netted a hat-trick. Lewandowski should be looking forward to this fixture.

Nico Schlotterbeck is averaging 1.04 fouls drawn per 90 this season for Dortmund, landing this selection in 14 out of 19 games in all competitions.

That’s a 73.6% hit-rate for the season, making this selection look great value priced at 1.8 which is an implied probability of 55.5% for this landing.

Interestingly, that average rises to 1.35 fouls drawn per 90 when playing away, as Schlotterbeck has been fouled in 10 out of 11 games in total, including each of the last 8 straight matches.

Barcelona are a high-pressing side under Hansi Flick, which Schlotterbeck could use to his advantage by drawing soft fouls. Dortmund will likely see less possession than usual here, but this bet did land against Real Madrid at the Bernabeu.