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Real Madrid v Dortmund
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Kick Off: Tuesday 22nd October at 20:00
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Competition: UEFA Champions League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 2
Real Madrid host Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday in a repeat of last season’s Champions League final.
Los Blancos ran out 2-0 winners at Wembley thanks to goals from the injured Dani Carvajal and the very much available Vinicius Junior.
But Carlo Ancelotti’s side are under some pressure after surprisingly losing 1-0 against Lille last time out, while BVB have six points out of six after wins over Club Brugge and Celtic, the latter success coming by a thumping 7-1 margin.
⭐ Real Madrid v Dortmund Best Bets
Vini Jr has been Real Madrid’s most productive player in terms of shots over the course of the last three matches, mustering 11 efforts at goal over that period.
Having made a comparatively slow start to the season in this regard, he has had three shots in four of his last five matches, while he also mustered this figure in the Champions League final.
He also looks excellent value to have one or more shots on target at 1.44. The Brazilian has managed this in eight of his last ten appearances.
👕 Real Madrid v Dortmund Predicted XI
🔍 Real Madrid v Dortmund Players to Watch
🟡 Julian Ryerson
Ryerson is Borussia Dortmund’s most prolific fouler in the Bundesliga this season, committing 13 offences at a rate of 2.06 per 90 minutes.
The Norway international is set to go up against Vinicius Junior in this encounter, with the Brazilian winning fouls at a rate of 2.64 per 90. In their Wembley head-to-head, Ryerson committed two fouls. Furthermore, he has committed multiple fouls in four of his nine matches in the Bundesliga and Champions League this season and has yet to come up against an opponent as tricky as the one he will face in Spain’s capital.
🟡 Emre Can
Borussia Dortmund midfielder Can has committed five fouls in the Champions League to date, which is joint first in the competition.
He is set to be deployed in a very competitive midfield area. In Carlo Ancelott’s side, Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, and Eduardo Camavinga are all central midfielders picking up more than one foul per 90 this season. When the sides met in June in the Champions League final, he gave up two fouls in 79 minutes.
🟡 Serhou Guirassy
As one of Europe’s form strikers, Guirassy looks a good price to work the Real Madrid goalkeeper at least once.
He has 12 goals for the season in eight starts for club and country, while he has only played one outing this term without hitting the target.
Dortmund had 13 shots against Real Madrid when the sides last met. If they get this volume of efforts away game, Guirassy is likely to have been prominent and will likely have hit the target at least once.
📂 Real Madrid v Dortmund Cheat Sheet
The third week of the Champions League is littered with action and our signature football betting predictions are on hand to help. Make sure to check out our Champions League accumulator tips and Champions League bet builder tips to help you back a winner for the first week of the Champions League.
Not only that, but we also have a selection of both teams to score tips, along with player prop market predictions to fold into bet builders, like our card betting tips, player shots on target tips, fouls betting tips, and anytime goalscorer tips.
If you enjoy this revamped betting preview, be sure to check out our bet builder stats tool, the best freely available data source for punting on football, available for all Champions League fixtures this week.
💻 Real Madrid v Dortmund Form and Tactics
Real Madrid have not had the best start to the season relative to the lofty standards they set last season when they suffered only one defeat in normal time all season. Los Blancos sit second in La Liga after drawing three of ten matches, while defeat to Lille away from home in the Champions League on October 2 was an unexpected setback.
They have recovered well, beating Villarreal and Celta domestically, but the pressure is on them this coming Saturday when they meet Barcelona in El Clasico. Staying focused on Dortmund is the immediate challenge.
At the Bernabeu, Carlo Ancelotti’s side have been flawless this season, winning each of their six home matches in all competitions, scoring 17 and conceding only four.
Vinicius Junior is the one to watch in the player prop markets across the board.
Although Kylian Mbappe leads Real Madrid in terms of shots and shots on target by some distance, the Frenchman has been outshot 11-5 by his Brazilian colleague in the last three games, albeit from 73 more minutes.
The Brazilian also dominates Madrid in terms of fouls, with a team-leading 17 fouls at 1.87 per 90 in La Liga. Last season, Eduardo Camavinga posted 2.43 fouls per 90 but has only played 132 minutes of league football this time around due to injury and is a likely starter.
Vinicius Junior, meanwhile, has won 24 fouls this season in La Liga – more than twice as many of his teammates (Rodrygo is next with ten). He does this at a rate of 2.64 per 90.
Borussia Dortmund, meanwhile, are just seventh in the Bundesliga. They have a common opponent with Madrid this season, having suffered a 5-1 loss to Stuttgart, who Los Blancos beat 3-1 at home last month.
Nuri Sahin’s side have since won three of their four matches but have not played a top-level opponent and struggled to beat St Pauli on Friday.
Serhou Guirassy has scored seven goals in his last six club games plus has five in two for Guinea. He has had at least two shots on target in four of his last five starts and is the clear focus to the attack, despite Karim Adeyemi being joint first in the Champions League with five shots on target (3.38 per 90).
Julian Brandt, meanwhile, had assists in three successive matches before the St Pauli match at the weekend.
When it comes to the Fouls Market, Emre Can could be one to watch in this game. He has committed five fouls across his two Champions League outings – as many as he has made in the Bundesliga this season. Julian Ryerson, with 13 fouls conceded, dominates the foul count domestically for BVB.
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🏁 Real Madrid v Dortmund Ref Watch
- Referee Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
- Has overseen 12 games this season, giving 40 yellow cards at a rate of 3.33 per game.
- Yet to send a player off in 2024/25.
- Has awarded four penalties but all of these have been in the Romanian SuperLiga.
- Only game of note this season was Scotland’s clash in Croatia. Gave 21 free kicks in that game – 14 against hosts Croatia – plus four yellow cards.
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
Our guide on how to use a Cheat Sheet is the perfect way to get involved with our bet builder stats tool, the best freely available data source for punting on the Champions League.
We recommend the best betting sites for accumulators, top bet builder sites, and the best Champions League free bets, and weekly free bet clubs, all to ensure you bet smarter when backing our tips with the best UK sports betting sites.
Expert guides, such as this one, on xG in football, are also available to help you up your punting game.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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