England v France
England did not have a great start vs Senegal in the previous round and were second best for the opening half hour. However, a bit of quality from Jude Bellingham opened up the game to set up Jordan Henderson and the Three Lions eventually took a stranglehold on proceedings, easily prevailing 3-0 in what was eventually a routine victory. England have sometimes started slowly under Gareth Southgate and had to adjust to the strong press that Senegal were applying. They were also slow out of the blocks in several other games such as the disappointing 0-0 draw vs the USA and a poor first half vs Wales. There has been some talk that the manager might switch to a back three system for this fixture, but the general expectation is that England will remain relatively unchanged in their 4-3-3.
Sterling and Rashford will always be pushing for a place in the side but Foden and Saka both played well vs Senegal so should retain their spots. All of the talk ahead of this game is the matchup between Kyle Walker and Kylian Mbappé. Therefore, there might be a temptation from Southgate to revert to a back three and start someone such as Kieran Trippier in the right wing back position. England should be able to exploit the French left hand side with both Saka and potentially Rashford dangerous in those areas. This is the first time since Gareth Southgate took over that England are an underdog in a major tournament match. It is unusual for the Three Lions to be in this position and expectations are usually massively on their shoulders. This is also the toughest team on paper that the English have faced in a competitive fixture under Southgate. It will be interesting to see how they adapt in this situation.
France might start their World Cup quarter-final against England on Saturday as favourites, but with a depleted squad, they face a major challenge to live up to that billing as they continue their defence of the crown that they won in Russia four years ago.
Indeed, questions still linger over Didier Deschamps’ side, particularly in a defensive capacity. In each of their four matches in Qatar, they have conceded a single goal. That inability to keep a clean sheet is liable to be problematic in this encounter. The defence looks distinctly unbalanced, with a changing centre-back partnership and Jules Kounde playing out of position on the right.
In midfield, meanwhile, France will find it harder to dominate this game than their previous matches. While Adrien Rabiot has impressed over the course of the last three weeks, Aurelien Tchouameni has blown a little hot and cold, and his lack of experience is bound to count against him in this encounter.
Where France are strong, though, are in attack. Kylian Mbappe has been the deadliest player at World Cup 2022 thanks to his total of three goals, while Olivier Giroud has played an impressive supporting role and Antoine Griezmann has gone largely unheralded as a key figure in this side.
Given the wealth of attacking options, France have a chance, but with a squad eaten away by injuries elsewhere, they face a major challenge in negotiating this match, despite a strong record against England in recent matches.
This is likely to be a testing fixture for Barcelona defender Jules Kounde. Not only is he short of action this season, but he is liable to once again be deployed out of position on the right of defence. It is a role that he has played earlier in his career and one that he is now playing on a semi-regular basis for France, but it is not one that he thrives in. Kounde has yet to be booked in 10 appearances for Barcelona this season, but he has already been cautioned once in two World Cup starts.
Kounde has played right-back for France on four occasions for more than a half of football and he has been cautioned in two of these games. Against a classy opponent like England, look for them to take advantage of this weakness, and that means Kounde will again be asked to do a good deal of work. His lack of experience in this role could easily result in another caution and odds of 3.75 look value. Kounde to commit at least one foul at 1.5 is also an excellent alternative.
Much of England’s attention is set to be focused on Kylian Mbappe, which could have the impact of reducing the PSG star’s effectiveness. Certainly, odds of 1.25 on the competition’s top scorer to get one shot on target do not look particularly attractive. On the other hand, this could free up Antoine Griezmann to have more of a say in this match.
The Atletico Madrid attacker has mustered a shot on target in three of France’s four previous World Cup matches, with the exception the 1-0 loss against Tunisia in which he played only a cameo role. In a fixture of this magnitude, expect to see him on free kicks around the box, even if Mbappe wants to be increasingly involved in this capacity. In France’s 10 internationals this year, he has recorded at least one shot on target in eight of these.
This outcome has prevailed in 2 of the 3 matches Saka has started at this World Cup. He fired three shots vs Iran, one vs the USA and two against Senegal last time out. If England are to do well in this game, they must target the French left hand side which will be heavily reliant on Theo Hernandez to snuff out any danger. The problem for France is that he likes to regularly get forward and could leave himself exposed. With Kylian Mbappé unlikely to track back very often, if at all, then whoever England feature on the right wing could go well. Saka likes to cut inside, and this feels like the sort of match which could open up for him. I would expect him to attempt at least two shots in this match, either with an individual effort, or ghosting in at the back post from a Foden or Shaw type cross.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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